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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 585

draarrowgant | Posted 10/3/2008 3:43:14 PM | message detail
I like 19

Let's hope DeDeDe surprises people



oh come on now. if DeDeDe gets > 15% of the vote I will be very suprised. None of the other characters are going to same base each other (Mega & Pit??? very unlikely). This should be similar today with Mega>Nero>Pit>De....

so I guess you are right- it would be a suprise.

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Xuxon | Posted 10/3/2008 3:55:00 PM | message detail
what
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/19, before Captain Crow
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
charmander6000 | Posted 10/3/2008 4:02:21 PM | message detail
This should be similar today with Mega>Nero>Pit>De

They're not even in the same half division.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 45/60 Today's Match: Pikachu > Ike
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/3/2008 4:02:36 PM | message detail
Pretty should DeDeDe will beat Pit, but ok
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/3/2008 4:10:16 PM | message detail
Arthas most likely wouldn't be winning without the rally after those posts. No room for doubt, really. >_>

Anyway, GG Ike. GJ Arthas. Both impressed.

As for the pics. 17 and 18: URGHH... That's all. ESPECIALLY for Banjo and excepting Donkey Kong.

But 19 is one of my favourite pics ever.
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The below statement is the most false thing in the world.
http://i113.photobucket.com/albums/n237/Danielyoon10/B8sigbet.jpg?t=1221767288
therealmnm | Posted 10/3/2008 4:14:09 PM | message detail
Weighted Companion Cube looks like it's going to butt sex Tidus.

And why do all of Zero's pics make him seem like he's holding back his badassness? I want Z-saber and long flowing hair and reploid blood everywhere arrrrrrgh
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Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X
ffmasterjose | Posted 10/3/2008 4:17:17 PM | message detail
I'm more worried about Tidus' picture than anything, and so is my bracket. Didn't want to take DK for first. Because as the wise contest veteran says, "Never take Donkey Kong for first".

Cube's a wild card. Can't say much else about that. I can see joke votes propelling him to first, or him not getting any L-Block type support at all and placing last behind Talis

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46/60 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII
NP: Pikachu > Arthas Menethil
trannyscience | Posted 10/3/2008 4:18:42 PM | message detail
Tidus is a worse pick for first than DK is anyway.
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xyzzy
http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif
therealmnm | Posted 10/3/2008 4:18:56 PM | message detail
The Boss beat Tails. No.
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Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X
_Hogger_ | Posted 10/3/2008 4:19:35 PM | message detail
So at this point, Arthas will win with over 2000 it looks like.. maybe even 2500 if his vote cuts in soon.
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Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest!
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/3/2008 4:22:03 PM | message detail
Oh hey Albion.

Are you still going to force Hika to still close his account? After all, it seems kind of unfair with the rallying. >_> Just throwing that out there.

Actually, this was your plan from the very beginning wasn't it? You sly dog you.
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The below statement is the most false thing in the world.
http://i113.photobucket.com/albums/n237/Danielyoon10/B8sigbet.jpg?t=1221767288
ZFS | Posted 10/3/2008 4:23:28 PM | message detail
Good show from Arthas.

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Kept you waiting, huh?
Lopen | Posted 10/3/2008 4:27:54 PM | message detail
Aw yeah Ike spamming Smash attacks for 40 vote cuts.

Gotta figure Arthas will know to anticipate these soon
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/3/2008 4:27:59 PM | message detail
Okay, Ike's breaking out the F-Smash spamming for 40 vote cuts per update! Let's do this.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
Xuxon | Posted 10/3/2008 4:29:39 PM | message detail
board 8 hive mind confirmed
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/19, before Captain Crow
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
Lopen | Posted 10/3/2008 4:31:18 PM | message detail
No Leonhart and I weren't just talking on AIM not at all <_<

Hell I wasn't even looking at the updater until he's like "oh gawd 40 vote cut he's spamming f+smash!"
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
Lopen | Posted 10/3/2008 4:35:34 PM | message detail
Come on, Ike! Make that 36% beatdown a reality!

(Actually I want Arthas to win but I just love a good comeback attempt)
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/3/2008 4:36:57 PM | message detail
Anyone who takes Falcon over Ike is what.

Uhhh...To be fair, we said the same thing about Falcon over Diddy.

Also, Tidus has me really, really worried. He never does what I expect him to (other than beat Shadow, take that Moltar!). DK's a big choker, too, which gives me a slight sense of relief, but I dunno. This is the best shot Tidus has ever had to make it to the third round (well...other than 2003, he was about 2000 votes away from doing it), but with the Cube's joke factor, I'm worried. I don't really care if WCC advances tomorrow. I just don't want it to be at the expense of Tidus.

And hey, Dissidia art helped Zidane, right?! And at least it's better than what Tidus usually gets, that pose where he has the grin that makes him look like an idiot. I really don't like Dissidia art (especially Squall's. It looks hideous), but Bacon seems to like it, so what can you do? DK, Tails, and the Cube all got basically what they were expected to get.

...And where is that Mega Man pic from? Nero easily stands out there, and with the way Brawl-exclusive characters have been doing (sans Ike and Meta Knight, who still have lost in the first round anyway), I'm really thinking Olimar's got no chance there anyway. Banjo looks horrific, by the way.

The last pic is really good for all contestants. I really wish Pit had gotten a different draw in the contest. He actually did rather well last year, all things considered. It'd be nice to see what a pure Brawl character can do. Lucas would be the other one, but he's in there with Kirby, so that doesn't work either.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
ZFS | Posted 10/3/2008 4:38:19 PM | message detail
Ha. L-Block beat Ryu. How about that...

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Kept you waiting, huh?
Lopen | Posted 10/3/2008 4:40:03 PM | message detail
I wouldn't be surprised if Nero doubled Olimar. I wouldn't be surprised if Banjo beat Olimar.

Honestly, looking at how less popular characters in Brawl have been doing (Lucario and to a lesser extent Diddy) and how terrible Olimar was in 2002 (yes, Mario, but Mega Man is here to pick up the slack), he's going to look like total garbage.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/3/2008 4:41:34 PM | message detail
Ike>Falcon is pretty much a lock at this point. I mean, Ike's not that far off percentage wise, while Pikachu's about even to Diddy AND Kratos together, and is probably more direct with Ike than they are with Falcon, and Spy probably affects Ike more than Alucard does Falcon.

No contest there. Unless it became a Samus/Mario. A more interesting question is Ike vs. Meta Knight imo.
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The below statement is the most false thing in the world.
http://i113.photobucket.com/albums/n237/Danielyoon10/B8sigbet.jpg?t=1221767288
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/3/2008 4:45:49 PM | message detail
Argh, Pikachu with the Down-B!
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/3/2008 4:46:32 PM | message detail
Oh hey Albion.

Are you still going to force Hika to still close his account? After all, it seems kind of unfair with the rallying. >_> Just throwing that out there.

Actually, this was your plan from the very beginning wasn't it? You sly dog you.


Heh, it's ok. Rallying his heart out or not, I'm a man of my word. But I don't think you can exactly close your account anymore, so the deal was to give away the account to the winner.
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/3/2008 4:49:26 PM | message detail
Man, Ike, why couldn't you cut 180 votes in half an hour 5 hours ago?
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Mustache...and green...
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/3/2008 4:50:44 PM | message detail
I don't really care if WCC advances tomorrow. I just don't want it to be at the expense of Tidus.

I'm actually confident that DK will take the fall tomorrow. Tidus may have a rough history as well, but at least he doesn't have to worry about a likely fanbase split. Besides, not even Tidus can contend with our de facto king of choking.

For what it's worth, Tidus has my vote as well. I'm pretty miffed that both Rikku and Yuna got snubbed in my first year of FFX fanboyism, so I'll throw some support Tidus and Auron's way.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITS
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/3/2008 4:51:07 PM | message detail
Seriously, even at this frankly ridiculous pace Ike is going at he's still below the amount needed for a comeback.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
charmander6000 | Posted 10/3/2008 4:52:03 PM | message detail
Too little too late Ike.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 45/60 Today's Match: Pikachu > Ike
therealmnm | Posted 10/3/2008 4:52:13 PM | message detail
I'm anti-voting Banjo just for the BK3 pic. Seriously, who thought it was a good idea to keep the characters in block form with today's technology?
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Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/3/2008 4:52:23 PM | message detail
*checks*

35.28 votes an update. COME ON IKE GOGOGO

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Lopen | Posted 10/3/2008 4:52:39 PM | message detail
Not by much though Arthas had better slow him down a bit or it's going to be a really close one.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/3/2008 4:52:58 PM | message detail
Well, I'm one of the biggest Tidus fanboys on this site, and he's disappointed me every single year. I'm reasonably skeptical. Do you take DK over Pikachu in this format?

Please say no.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/3/2008 4:53:49 PM | message detail
And while Ike is basically doing what he needs to NOW, he can only keep it up for another couple of hours. He'd have to start getting like 75 vote cuts at this point.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/3/2008 4:55:36 PM | message detail
You gotta love how Ike has been taunting us with this maybe-but-not-quite comeback possibility for a while now.

And Arthas shouldn't stem the bleeding much; he didn't have a very good second night vote last year. Ike won't win, but he might get the lead under 1500.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/3/2008 4:56:04 PM | message detail
Yeah, if you look at his pace from 6:15 to 6:45, he's projected to come back at 12:48. And he's actually picking it up with the last two 5 minute updates.

Shame he couldn't do this earlier, when it would have mattered.
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Mustache...and green...
_Hogger_ | Posted 10/3/2008 4:56:52 PM | message detail
Btw just to let you guys know, I haven't bothered rallying in hours, and don't intend to anymore since this match is done, regardless if ike is looking good or not. He'll start losing updates to Arthas around 10.
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Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/3/2008 5:00:17 PM | message detail
Actually, looking at last year, Arthas didn't do any better with the second night vote than the after school vote. The only problem is that Ike won't keep up this ASV pace.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
_Hogger_ | Posted 10/3/2008 5:00:57 PM | message detail
How did Diablo do with second ngiht vote? Cuz thats same fanbase, really.
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Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest!
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/3/2008 5:01:39 PM | message detail
Didn't someone say Ike should slow down around 8? Well were about to see if that holds true or not.
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
_Hogger_ | Posted 10/3/2008 5:08:02 PM | message detail
What can I say. I started to get nervous.
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Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest!
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/3/2008 5:10:02 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
_Hogger_ | Posted 10/3/2008 5:10:46 PM | message detail
No, I'm fairly trying (since its not against the rules to rally) to get one of my favorite characters to advance
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Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest!
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/3/2008 5:10:53 PM | message detail
Trying your damnest to win an account hmm? Your starting to test my temper, Albion.
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/3/2008 5:11:15 PM | message detail
Good thing I clarified then.
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/3/2008 5:27:17 PM | message detail
Man, Ike just decided to beast it out for an hour, and he died.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/3/2008 5:29:41 PM | message detail
That was more Arthas and the rat than anything. Pretty weird in any case:

Time | Arthas . . | Ike . . . . | Pikachu | Spy
01:00 | 25.17% | 25.70% | 31.41% | 17.71%
02:00 | 29.19% | 24.08% | 29.85% | 16.88%
03:00 | 29.94% | 22.71% | 31.14% | 16.21%
04:00 | 29.70% | 23.91% | 30.97% | 15.42%
05:00 | 27.89% | 22.33% | 31.82% | 17.97%
06:00 | 30.31% | 21.82% | 33.24% | 14.63%
07:00 | 25.81% | 23.62% | 33.99% | 16.58%
08:00 | 24.82% | 25.14% | 34.08% | 15.95%
09:00 | 26.70% | 25.35% | 33.33% | 14.63%
10:00 | 28.24% | 25.09% | 32.29% | 14.38%
11:00 | 29.20% | 24.76% | 31.57% | 14.47%
12:00 | 29.27% | 23.90% | 31.19% | 15.63%
13:00 | 27.44% | 26.05% | 31.33% | 15.18%
14:00 | 26.75% | 24.47% | 33.86% | 14.93%
15:00 | 26.10% | 26.68% | 31.56% | 15.66%
16:00 | 25.21% | 26.65% | 32.32% | 15.82%
17:00 | 25.56% | 26.97% | 32.79% | 14.68%
18:00 | 24.12% | 28.26% | 32.97% | 14.65%
19:00 | 28.13% | 27.81% | 30.76% | 13.29%
20:00 | 23.74% | 28.67% | 33.61% | 13.98%


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Mustache...and green...
hellfire104 | Posted 10/3/2008 5:31:44 PM | message detail
Who the heck is Albion?
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Contest Point Total: 46 Rank: 96.7%tile, Tied for 1460
This Pick: Pikachu > Arthas
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/3/2008 5:41:38 PM | message detail
^
_Hogger/MyWorldIsCrono = Albion Hero
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/3/2008 5:59:04 PM | message detail
Charts for the characters involved in tomorrow's matches:

Time | Tails | The Boss | Vincent | Zelda
PHV | 16.22% | 17.00% | 34.76% | 32.01% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 14.84% | 17.60% | 38.27% | 29.29% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 16.26% | 15.37% | 38.31% | 30.05% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 16.03% | 14.54% | 38.35% | 31.07% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 15.56% | 15.69% | 40.20% | 28.56% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 13.97% | 16.65% | 40.43% | 28.94% | (22:00-24:00)

Not really sure what to make of Tails. He lost the ASV to The Boss, which makes no sense. Morning vote and Power Hour are his best times. Not a night vote character. Can't help but look at how dominant Vinny was here though. Man, that's just incredible.

Time | Isaac | Pikachu | Serge | Tidus
PHV | 18.32% | 36.40% | 15.23% | 30.04% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 17.61% | 34.83% | 15.83% | 31.73% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 17.04% | 36.82% | 13.09% | 33.05% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 16.81% | 34.28% | 14.94% | 33.97% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 18.01% | 39.00% | 12.32% | 30.67% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 19.07% | 35.57% | 14.63% | 31.77% | (22:00-24:00)

Tidus is actually better with the morning vote and the during school vote than the night vote. FFX in general seems to have these trends, actually. They're pretty good day characters and pretty good all around. They don't have one really bad time. And I've gotta point out how SICK Pikachu's ASV is here. Seriously, look at that.

Time | Donkey K. | Kratos | Marth | Prince
PHV | 28.47% | 36.94% | 22.14% | 12.45% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 29.05% | 38.98% | 19.21% | 12.77% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 31.11% | 38.30% | 19.54% | 11.06% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 28.51% | 41.45% | 18.98% | 11.06% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 25.82% | 40.99% | 22.13% | 11.06% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 24.18% | 41.14% | 22.13% | 12.55% | (22:00-24:00)

DK is one of those weird Nintendo characters who has a bad ASV. The early morning vote is his best time here. It's hard to say how much of his trends are affected by Marth being here and Kratos just being a great day vote grabber. Either way, his history hasn't been one of having a great day vote. Prince did a great job with consistency.

Time | L-Block | Paddle | Cube | ? Block
PHV | 35.93% | 7.97% | 24.56% | 31.55% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 32.19% | 8.02% | 21.56% | 38.22% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 31.40% | 8.63% | 18.16% | 41.80% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 28.98% | 8.61% | 19.17% | 43.23% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 27.54% | 9.95% | 17.87% | 44.64% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 27.30% | 9.95% | 18.66% | 44.09% | (22:00-24:00)

The Power Hour was the Cube's best time, and it should be tomorrow, too. None of the others are Power Hour guys (except Tails, I guess, but he doesn't matter). It's got a pretty good night vote, but yeah, it's going to suffer a lot once the sun comes up. Well, unless it starts acting like L-Block did this year and stay consistent all day. In that case, watch out. If the Cube isn't leading after the Power Hour, it's over. And it probably won't come back if it loses the lead overnight.


Trendwise, I'd guess the Power Hour goes to the Cube. The night vote goes to DK or Tidus. The morning vote goes to DK or Tidus. The during school vote goes to Tidus. The ASV goes to, uhhh..................Well, there's the rub. I guess DK almost by default (or Tails, maybe). The second night vote should favor Tidus and the Cube.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
Biolizard28 | Posted 10/3/2008 5:59:06 PM | message detail
Uh, Ike, what the hell are you doing?
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
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_Hogger_ | Posted 10/3/2008 6:01:45 PM | message detail
Sucking up the joint

Duh.
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Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest!
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