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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 585

transience | Posted 10/3/2008 9:49:02 PM | message detail
that setup isn't possible. dump Snake, add Sephiroth.

I think
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/3/2008 9:50:16 PM | message detail
Sandbag has Hell on Earth in the second round. A Noble 9er and a beast in this format (this is assuming he even makes it there). At this point, I'd say he has a better shot of Nintendo fans jumping ship and supporting him en masse (thus beating Sonic) than he does of taking out Auron.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
paraboxx | Posted 10/3/2008 9:50:22 PM | message detail
Given that we're dealing with user submitted pictures this year, I don't think Snake has to worry about getting his usual sprite.

I wouldn't say that. I think it's pretty likely someone's going to submit one of his godawful first sprites. If they do, Bacon might accept it just because that's what he's always had before.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/3/2008 9:50:51 PM | message detail
Cube's over 36%. This is getting scary.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
Yesmar | Posted 10/3/2008 9:50:53 PM | message detail
that setup isn't possible. dump Snake, add Sephiroth.

Yeah, you're right. I keep getting Divisions 6 and 7 mixed up. One ofWCC/Sandbag might still be able to slip through if Cloud SFFs Sephy enough.
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"Incidentally, what is the going rate for rescuing Princesses these days? Food would be a good start -- the good stuff, mind you."--Balthier
red sox 777 | Posted 10/3/2008 9:51:10 PM | message detail
Snake only beat Megaman with 55% in 2006, and it looks doubtful Brawl actually releasing helped him that much. MGS4 gives him another boost, but sprite round Snake has done badly enough (seriously, 51% on Frog?) that I have to give Megaman a chance in a 1v1. But with Zero there, it won't be remotely close.
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 53/64 --- T-127 (70 way)
Bracket: Tidus > DK --- Vote: Tidus
Same Orphanage | Posted 10/3/2008 9:51:51 PM | message detail
Know what's awesome? WCC's doing better now than it did with the board vote.
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CB7 Score: 50/64
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg || http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg
Xuxon | Posted 10/3/2008 9:53:02 PM | message detail
if both sandbag and cube made it that far i could see cloud > seph for that round, only further cementing the l-block victory
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/19, before Captain Crow
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
Yesmar | Posted 10/3/2008 9:53:03 PM | message detail
Sandbag has Hell on Earth in the second round. A Noble 9er and a beast in this format (this is assuming he even makes it there). At this point, I'd say he has a better shot of Nintendo fans jumping ship and supporting him en masse (thus beating Sonic) than he does of taking out Auron.

If Sandbag gets 30% like all the other jokes seem to be getting that should be enough. Sonic and Auron are not going to triple Sub Zero, Fourth Place Factor or no. And that's assuming both get 30%, when Sonic will most likely get a little more than Auron.
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"Incidentally, what is the going rate for rescuing Princesses these days? Food would be a good start -- the good stuff, mind you."--Balthier
Xuxon | Posted 10/3/2008 9:54:02 PM | message detail
auron is beating sonic with sandbag in the match, regardless of what sandbag does.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/19, before Captain Crow
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
ZFS | Posted 10/3/2008 9:54:04 PM | message detail
I wouldn't say that. I think it's pretty likely someone's going to submit one of his godawful first sprites. If they do, Bacon might accept it just because that's what he's always had before.

If there's better out there (and there will be -- I sent in one from MGS1), I would bet on him going wiht it over the usual. It'd be like going with MGS1 artwork of Big Boss instead of Naked Snake. It could happen, but I'm doubtin' it.

Not that he necessarily needs a different pic in order to advance...

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Kept you waiting, huh
Keno316 | Posted 10/3/2008 9:54:35 PM | message detail
People still think Cube has no chance?
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims Kiddy Grade's Eclair & C.C.*
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/3/2008 9:54:42 PM | message detail
Given that we're dealing with user submitted pictures this year, I don't think Snake has to worry about getting his usual sprite. But he performed well enough last year in the sprite round that there shouldn't be much cause for worry. The difference between Snake and Mega Man is substantial at this point.

Yoshi > Squall?
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/3/2008 9:55:15 PM | message detail
Seems like nobodies even giving poor Magus a chance anymore.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/3/2008 9:56:06 PM | message detail
Jesus Christ, Cube is crushing Tidus here. Almost at a 1000 vote lead an hour in.
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Good Times,
Great Memories
transience | Posted 10/3/2008 9:57:00 PM | message detail
Sonic, Mega Man, Crono and MMX could be out before the fourth round. that's pretty crazy.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 10/3/2008 9:57:17 PM | message detail
If Sandbag is getting enough SSBB votes to be competitive, I really don't see Auron losing to Sonic there. Sonic really hasn't been impressive in this format at all.
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/3/2008 9:58:24 PM | message detail
ATTN: Mega64

Give me whatever it was you were smoking when you made your bracket.
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Good Times,
Great Memories
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/3/2008 9:59:05 PM | message detail
Magus lost to Knuckles, and look how well he did. =P

By the way, Tails is bombing pretty hard here, as well. He's not pulling a DK, but he's still a handful of percentage points lower than most Oracle predictions had him (due mainly to Cube, but still). Sonic Team is an ugly 0/3 so far; can their leader curb the damage?
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
transience | Posted 10/3/2008 10:00:06 PM | message detail
I had Tails down this low. it's not that surprising, I don't think.

DK is the surprising one. jeeze.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/3/2008 10:00:53 PM | message detail
omg stop with your blatantly obvious Sonic Team damage control you've always been like this
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Xuxon | Posted 10/3/2008 10:01:02 PM | message detail
eh, tails is basically at expectations relative to the tails/dk/tidus total, i think.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/19, before Captain Crow
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/3/2008 10:01:13 PM | message detail
I always had Tails this low regardless of what happened. He looked like garbage last year and with DK in with him probably siphoning some support, I figured he'd look like garbage again.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/3/2008 10:01:37 PM | message detail
Magus has fallen so far he can be considered a joke by now, right? Using his new joke status, he will shock us all by proving the 2k3 x-stats correct and beating Sonic with Sandbag.
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 53/64 --- T-127 (70 way)
Bracket: Tidus > DK --- Vote: Tidus
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/3/2008 10:02:24 PM | message detail
Alright, Power Hour is over. Full comparison of L-Block's lead and the Cube's lead:

5 minutes: 143 (L-Block) --- 83 (Cube)
10 minutes: 216 (L-Block) --- 160 (Cube)
15 minutes: 296 (L-Block) --- 213 (Cube)
20 minutes: 329 (L-Block) --- 318 (Cube)
25 minutes: 399 (L-Block) --- 418 (Cube)
30 minutes: 414 (L-Block) --- 502 (Cube)
35 minutes: 457 (L-Block) --- 557 (Cube)
40 minutes: 491 (L-Block) --- 608 (Cube)
45 minutes: 491 (L-Block) --- 708 (Cube)
50 minutes: 467 (L-Block) --- 787 (Cube)
55 minutes: 477 (L-Block) --- 850 (Cube)
60 minutes: 492 (L-Block) --- 883 (Cube)

Jesus, the Cube's lead is about double what L-Block had in his match a few days ago. I guess this is probably because the Cube has a weaker fourpack to deal with.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
ZFS | Posted 10/3/2008 10:02:47 PM | message detail
Snake only beat Megaman with 55% in 2006, and it looks doubtful Brawl actually releasing helped him that much. MGS4 gives him another boost, but sprite round Snake has done badly enough (seriously, 51% on Frog?) that I have to give Megaman a chance in a 1v1. But with Zero there, it won't be remotely close.

There's a better, more recent example to use than the Frog match from four years ago:

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2917&num=4

He did well here, enough to alleviate any concerns about him placing in the division finals, especially this year. Mega Man's the one to worry about there, although it might be a bit early to be talking about the Cube taking out Noble Niners to begin with.

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Kept you waiting, huh
Xuxon | Posted 10/3/2008 10:03:25 PM | message detail
it's because ryu is stronger relative to mk and the dog than tidus is relative to dk and tails.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/19, before Captain Crow
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/3/2008 10:03:35 PM | message detail
Heh, Magus proving the 2K3 stats correct would be more eye-popping than L-Block winning last year. Seriously, how much did we argue that damn thing? A hundred thousand posts? A million thousand posts?
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
transience | Posted 10/3/2008 10:05:33 PM | message detail
cube's slowin' down. these look like L-Block 2007 trends.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/3/2008 10:05:52 PM | message detail
Cube's slowing down dramatically with the night vote beginning...
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Demyx is better than Axel.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/3/2008 10:06:56 PM | message detail
Alright Tidus let's do this.
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 53/64 --- T-127 (70 way)
Bracket: Tidus > DK --- Vote: Tidus
hellfire104 | Posted 10/3/2008 10:07:23 PM | message detail
**** the cube. This kind of **** is ruining this contest.
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Contest Point Total: 50 Rank: 98%tile, Tied for 890
This Pick: Tidus > Donkey Kong
vcharon | Posted 10/3/2008 10:09:22 PM | message detail
Jesus Christ.


This is now a retarded contest. I long for the off season again.
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:>
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/3/2008 10:09:43 PM | message detail
If Cube is showing traditional L-Block trends, I get the feeling that Sandbag's Power Hour is going to be bananas.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
ffmasterjose | Posted 10/3/2008 10:10:24 PM | message detail
Come on Tidus, at least get me two points. I have no faith in Donkey Kong.
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50/64 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII
NP: Tidus > Donkey Kong
red sox 777 | Posted 10/3/2008 10:11:01 PM | message detail
Sonic to be third at the end of the Power Hour BELIEVE.

And Tidus breaks 29% as Cube breaks 900.
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 53/64 --- T-127 (70 way)
Bracket: Tidus > DK --- Vote: Tidus
transience | Posted 10/3/2008 10:12:44 PM | message detail
oh god Sandbag power hour

it might have 118%
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
Master Moltar | Posted 10/3/2008 10:19:38 PM | message detail
for those upset don't worry the games contest will make up for all the problems of the last 3 years

all of them
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Moltar Status: augh
DK/Tails/Tidus/Cube - Bracket: Tidus > DK - Vote: DK (50/64)
Gaddswell | Posted 10/3/2008 10:21:11 PM | message detail
So... any joke games that can get into the games contest? <_<
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sig
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/3/2008 10:21:38 PM | message detail
The Games Contest will once again feature 4way matches and Bacon will ban the entire stats topic for our immediate reactions.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/3/2008 10:21:52 PM | message detail
Big Rigs is going to win.
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve!
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/3/2008 10:21:58 PM | message detail
So... any joke games that can get into the games contest? <_<

I've got two words for you. Big Rigs
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Demyx is better than Axel.
paraboxx | Posted 10/3/2008 10:22:09 PM | message detail
Put Big Rigs in Starcraft's position and it wins the whole damn show.

</repost>
vcharon | Posted 10/3/2008 10:22:30 PM | message detail
There is no saving the contest, any contest, without SBAllen banning joke entries. It was cute when it was just CATS, but now it's just overboard. The internet is a different place now.
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:>
ZFS | Posted 10/3/2008 10:23:05 PM | message detail
big rigs ain't got nothing on operation shadow

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Kept you waiting, huh
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/3/2008 10:23:21 PM | message detail
Heh, I didn't even think about CATS. Wonder if he can muster 15% this year.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/3/2008 10:24:33 PM | message detail
Come on Tidus, at least get me two points. I have no faith in Donkey Kong.

I get 2 points for Donkey Kong > Tidus.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
BDawg | Posted 10/3/2008 10:25:09 PM | message detail
I don't know what I dislike more about this format, the jokes or Sonic characters getting eviscerated.
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Should I start running now?
vcharon | Posted 10/3/2008 10:25:39 PM | message detail
CATS is an actual character. He doesn't register with this slew of morons.
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:>
Touch_Me_There | Posted 10/3/2008 10:25:57 PM | message detail
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XBL GamerTag: Braddy J - Now Playing: Halo 3
Wishlist: Fallout 3, Resident Evil 5, Silent Hill 5.
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