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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 584

UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/2/2008 9:06:46 PM | message detail
Links update!

*Shrugs it off cause at least I made the leaderboard for a day*

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

~*aprosenf's poll script*~
http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN!
Now Playing: Final Fantasy 4 DS, Spore ~*ST*~
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/2/2008 9:07:44 PM | message detail
Spy.
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Good Times,
Great Memories
Gaddswell | Posted 10/2/2008 9:08:02 PM | message detail
Ike
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sig
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/2/2008 9:08:12 PM | message detail
Gentlemen...I fight for my friends.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Big Bob | Posted 10/2/2008 9:08:13 PM | message detail
You were supposed to put "You'll get no sympathy from Pikachu".
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/2/2008 9:10:38 PM | message detail
*fsmash*

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:12:30 PM | message detail
IkeFAQs
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CB7 Score: 48/60
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:12:31 PM | message detail
So, Cube > Tidus or Cube > Donkey Kong?
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
Spark Mandrill | Posted 10/2/2008 9:12:45 PM | message detail
*down aerial*
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
http://img175.imageshack.us/img175/7315/ocelotpartycd1.gif
Gaddswell | Posted 10/2/2008 9:13:02 PM | message detail
I think Cube > Tidus.

Tails would affect DK more.
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sig
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/2/2008 9:13:21 PM | message detail
3 updates in last year, Arthas was down 10% to 18% to Diablo... and Arthas eventually beat Diablo 15.6% to 15.2%

He is a very slow starter.
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Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest!
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/2/2008 9:13:25 PM | message detail
Arthas' power hour was his lowest time through the whole poll, though that can be chalked up to Mega Man.

Ike's best non-ASV time was the Power Hour, but he was against 3 night guys.

Should be interesting.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:13:30 PM | message detail
So much for Arthas detroying Ike
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 45/60 Today's Match: Pikachu > Ike
LinkLegend27 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:13:31 PM | message detail
You'll get no sympathy from me
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DIFTS
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/2/2008 9:13:39 PM | message detail
I've got Cube > Tidus in my bracket and am feeling very confident.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Draco1214 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:14:19 PM | message detail
Well, it looks like another one of my upsets is pulling through...finally!
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"Men that are trapped by chains of 'maybe' can never reach their dreams!"
Explicit Content > me in the Guru
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/2/2008 9:14:20 PM | message detail
Last year, Arthas was a non-factor with no bracket support who wasn't up against someone being LFF'd.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:14:32 PM | message detail
How many votes did Arthas comeback from, though? I want to know his comeback potential, because Ike's looking to surmount a sizeable lead.
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/2/2008 9:14:38 PM | message detail
Anyone else find it odd that we get more SFF between Shadow and Link than we do between Falcon and Diddy?
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:15:05 PM | message detail

PartOfYourWorld (#015)
I've got Cube > Tidus in my bracket and am feeling very confident.


Same here. Things are going swimmingly for me!
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:15:37 PM | message detail
what the hell pikachu
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/2/2008 9:15:52 PM | message detail
Pikachu dropped a full %

lol board vote
trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2008 9:16:05 PM | message detail
Pikachu's tumblin'.

Arthas has a chance here still. these Brawl guys are crazy in the first hour.
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xyzzy
http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:16:07 PM | message detail
Ike > Pikachu let's do this.
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CB7 Score: 48/60
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/2/2008 9:16:24 PM | message detail
Hmm, this puts Ike at a pretty good value and Arthas at a lower but still decent value.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:16:33 PM | message detail
That wasn't even a huge drop. >_>
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"Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/2/2008 9:17:12 PM | message detail
Funny post from a board I'm rallying on:

"W...T...F...! Who the hell picks pikachu over a frickin Death knight with a soul stealing rune blade!?!? WHO!?"
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Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest!
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
smitelf | Posted 10/2/2008 9:17:32 PM | message detail

BlAcK TuRtLe (#019)
Anyone else find it odd that we get more SFF between Shadow and Link than we do between Falcon and Diddy?



Attempting to make that much sense out of this contest is a recipe for failure and migraines.
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Biden/Obama...er, I mean Obama/Biden '08!
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/2/2008 9:18:11 PM | message detail
Rallying, you say? Well at least now I won't freak out if Arthas cuts next update or something.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/2/2008 9:18:22 PM | message detail
http://www.mmo-champion.com/index.php

Look at the current forum posts on the main page... hehe
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Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest!
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/2/2008 9:19:52 PM | message detail
22 people fell off the Top 50 today. shaneh87, RagingNiak, The_DragonsFury, ArneSaknoosen, Unlizened_RAVe, TheTigerGuard, Ep1ph0n, myeyesareopen, SoldierTwo, Piisuke, TheAxeGrinder, xDeathjesterx, OriginalChuckle, HeroicTronBonne, smitelf, backinblack167, Undeniable, Mac_Arrowny, Cubs2004Champs, HeroicMint, WindShuriken and OhYeahhhhhhhhhh did not have Alucard > Captain Falcon as yesterday's winners.

18 people managed to survived after scoring half points. Current first place Deathstroke76, TalkAboutCesc, WhatTheDarn, DeepThoatFox, Admiralnobody88, espio4000, funkyg50, EvilNinjaDuck, GhostNinjaDuck, DarkBladeDuck, GrimLeecher, ShikamaruXXX, _Viggs_, miniver, ciscowaco9, Shin_Servbot, Midget_Fetish and a person who doesn't seem like UltimaterializerX very much <_< also did not have Alucard > Captain Falcon as yesterday's winners.
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What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2008 9:20:26 PM | message detail
uh oh

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xyzzy
http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif
Gaddswell | Posted 10/2/2008 9:20:26 PM | message detail
STALL
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sig
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/2/2008 9:20:32 PM | message detail
LICH KING'D
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:20:39 PM | message detail
and a person who doesn't seem like UltimaterializerX very much <_<

XFD
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"Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/2/2008 9:20:39 PM | message detail
And there...
we...
GO!
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Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest!
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:20:42 PM | message detail
lol rallying
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CB7 Score: 48/60
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg
Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2008 9:20:50 PM | message detail
what in the
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Moltar Status: augh
Arthas/Ike/Pikachu/Spy - Bracket: Pikachu > Arthas - Vote: Uhh... (46/60)
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:20:59 PM | message detail
Arthas stalling Ike, who's stalling Pikachu.

wha
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/2/2008 9:21:12 PM | message detail
Arthas last three updates:
265
293
319

well hello there Albion

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
paraboxx | Posted 10/2/2008 9:21:23 PM | message detail
Anyone else find it odd that we get more SFF between Shadow and Link than we do between Falcon and Diddy?

I thought SFF was more pronounced with characters who already had vastly different strengths.

Didn't Mario beat DK and Bowser down a lot more than Samus?
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/2/2008 9:21:29 PM | message detail
Pikachu is dying. The very fact that he has a board vote (I mentioned this a dozen times last year, but it warrants repeating) is sickening. You people should feel ashamed.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:21:49 PM | message detail
And Arthas explodes.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 45/60 Today's Match: Pikachu > Ike
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:22:03 PM | message detail
Arthas still has a decent chance here, but if Ike keeps winning updates during the Power Hour he's not going to be able to build his lead much at night. And Ike should beat him during the day.

Incidentally, the biggest lead Diablo had was 252 votes and he started losing it at 1:50 AM. Arthas got as high as 631 by 2 PM before Diablo could cut off about 300 votes, ending it at 347 votes.
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Mustache...and green...
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/2/2008 9:22:12 PM | message detail
i love Pikachu's board vote

also

wut
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 10/2/2008 9:22:13 PM | message detail
Tee hee.
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Vote for Arthas Menethil in the Character Contest!
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/Albion+Hero.png
red sox 777 | Posted 10/2/2008 9:22:19 PM | message detail
Whoa there! Pikachu only gains 31 on Ike, and Ike only gains 2 on Arthas.
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 52/60 --- T-17 (36 way)
Bracket: Ike > Pikachu --- Vote: Ike
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/2/2008 9:22:40 PM | message detail
a person who doesn't seem like UltimaterializerX very much <_<

I'm 99% sure you know who it is, and I'm also 99% sure imping is an axeable offense.
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MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN!
Now Playing: Final Fantasy 4 DS, Spore ~*ST*~
Spark Mandrill | Posted 10/2/2008 9:22:49 PM | message detail
MyWorldIsCrono (#030)
http://www.mmo-champion.com/index.php

Look at the current forum posts on the main page... hehe


You're borderline pathetic Albion. That's being generous.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
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FFDragon | Posted 10/2/2008 9:23:28 PM | message detail
n_n
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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
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