GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 583
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/1/2008 9:32:50 PM | message detail |
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lol Diddy Kong :( *Shrugs it off cause at least I made the leaderboard for a day* ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~ http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html ~*aprosenf's poll script*~ http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms, Percentages For Dummies, and Odd Matches*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. post away :) --- The Straight Up G WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/1/2008 9:33:02 PM | message detail |
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PAUNCH! --- "Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/1/2008 9:44:30 PM | message detail |
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Let's go Falcon --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 41/56 Today's Match: Alucard > Captain Falcon |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/1/2008 9:44:58 PM | message detail |
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| darkx5642358951 | Posted 10/1/2008 9:45:12 PM | message detail |
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It's all part of the plan... --- sopme day i well beat 1000 games no matter what it takes or games to play i beat them - ertyu. That's the spirit, buddy! |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/1/2008 9:45:37 PM | message detail |
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Fitting end to a topic where I had ended up having terrible luck >_> --- The Straight Up G WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| hochimnih157 | Posted 10/1/2008 9:46:04 PM | message detail |
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Time for me to make my first bet of the contest: I say Pikachu will NOT advance tomorrow. Winner gets loser's sig for a week. Who here challenges my greatness? --- http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=55 |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/1/2008 9:46:16 PM | message detail |
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I love the smell of brackets burning! --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 9:46:24 PM | message detail |
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Kratos will be beating the ape. When the power hour is over it's game over for Diddy. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/1/2008 9:46:36 PM | message detail |
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I hope Pikachu doesn't advance tomorrow. That would make my contest. --- "Men that are trapped by chains of 'maybe' can never reach their dreams!" Explicit Content > me in the Guru |
| Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 9:46:58 PM | message detail |
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You're on, Hochi. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/1/2008 9:47:00 PM | message detail |
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incase no one saw the topic here's the list of characters who fail for me every year that I talk big smack about 2002: Ryu(SF) 2003: Sora 2004G: Dance Dance Revolution(<_<) 2004C: Liquid 2005V: Albedo 2005C: Revolver Ocelot 2006C: Zero 2007C: Midna 2008: Diddy Kong damn failures >_> --- The Straight Up G WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/1/2008 9:47:41 PM | message detail |
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It's entirely possible for Pikachu not to advance tomorrow. Most things are possible at this point. Hell, I wouldn't be shocked if Spy somehow managed to sneak in tomorrow. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/1/2008 9:48:13 PM | message detail |
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Let's go Fox > Sora --- sig |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 10/1/2008 9:48:55 PM | message detail |
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Falcon destroyed Crono during the day, but couldn't do anything with
fellow Nintendo characters around last year. I'd say Falcon > Kratos
> Diddy > Alucard is probably a good bet for the day vote. I'm
still worried about Alucard here...he should
be able to get a 1500-2000 vote lead by morning, in which case he
should be safe, but I have a lot of trouble trusting him. Maybe I've
been burned by Crono/Frog/Kefka too much, and if anybody can compare to
their day votes... --- Mustache...and green... |
| hochimnih157 | Posted 10/1/2008 9:49:22 PM | message detail |
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Then the bet is set: Lopen, you have no idea what you're going up against. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=55 |
| paraboxx | Posted 10/1/2008 9:50:02 PM | message detail |
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I'm gonna laugh and laaaaugh when Fox doesn't even break 25% in that match. (The best part is, when he does, this topic'll be so old by that time no one will remember I posted this anyway!) |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/1/2008 9:50:03 PM | message detail |
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Uh, what exactly are you two betting on? --- sig |
| Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 9:50:58 PM | message detail |
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Yellow rat, don't fail me now! --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/1/2008 9:51:13 PM | message detail |
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2002: Pikachu 2003: Yoshi 2004G: Castlevania SotN 2004C: Viewtiful Joe 2005V: Ridley 2005C: Tidus 2006C: Aeris 2007C: Midna 2008: Lucario --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 41/56 Today's Match: Alucard > Captain Falcon |
| red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2008 9:57:16 PM | message detail |
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Hmm....Alucard isn't pulling away all that quickly. Hopefully he can
really accelerate once this power hour is over.....I'll feel safe if he
can hit 1500 by morning. --- Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 48/56 --- T-48 (98 way) Bracket: Alucard > Captain Falcon --- Vote: Captain Falcon |
| hochimnih157 | Posted 10/1/2008 10:01:14 PM | message detail |
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Uh, what? 1 hour in (NPH) and he's already up by about 300. He'll be ahead by at least 2500 by the time the day hits --- http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=55 |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 10:03:13 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, Alucard is safe here. Falcon is putting on a hero's performance,
but if a Nintendo character is this far back at the end of the Power
Hour, they won't win. --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 10/1/2008 10:05:52 PM | message detail |
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Now that's what I like to see, Alucard. And with that, I'm off to bed. --- Mustache...and green... |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/1/2008 10:06:44 PM | message detail |
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Falcon just fell like a rock, right when the power hour ends. Go figure. --- sig |
| transience | Posted 10/1/2008 10:07:58 PM | message detail |
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Alucard's fine. he'll be at 2000 by morning, to say nothing of the during-school vote. --- xyzzy "Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai |
| MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/1/2008 10:17:34 PM | message detail |
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Wow Diddy is really pathetic... what the hell? --- For your health. http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve! |
| transience | Posted 10/1/2008 10:18:35 PM | message detail |
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..he might be there by 3am jeeze --- xyzzy "Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai |
| gandalf89 | Posted 10/1/2008 10:19:37 PM | message detail |
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Anyone else besides me have Captain Falcon going all the way? --- Xbox Live GT: The Morning Zoo Currently playing: Tales of Vesperia |
| M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 10:25:23 PM | message detail |
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Nintendo Conference going on. What happens if they randomly show a trailer for Super Smash Bros 4 and Kratos Aurion is in it? --- SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/ "[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf |
| creativename | Posted 10/1/2008 10:32:55 PM | message detail |
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IMO, the people hyping up Sandbag to do anything big are borderline nuts. Note: I'm one of the people who was hyping up L-Block last year (though not winning the damn thing, of course). --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| transience | Posted 10/1/2008 10:34:34 PM | message detail |
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I'm curious to hear why you think that --- xyzzy "Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai |
| creativename | Posted 10/1/2008 10:36:17 PM | message detail |
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It's weird, this is actually the strength I would've expected for
Falcon before his first appearance, based on F-Zero and Smash. But he
flopped relative to my expectations, and *now* he's meeting them? Very strange. Diddy bombing is not surprising to me, because Donkey Kong ain't all that, and I figured Diddy wouldn't be near him. But Falcon's performance is a surprise, since he's a contest vet, and he's never done squat before. But I guess hochi's theory of double SFF/LFF makes a lot of sense. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 10:36:56 PM | message detail |
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Sandbag has little time to build a fanbase, it won't have as large an
appeal since it's more oriented to Smash fans, Sonic, Magus, and Auron
are different beasts from what 2007 L-Block and the Cube had to face in
the first two rounds... Sandbag has it rough. I have L-Block winning and Cube advancing two matches, and I still have Sandbag out Round 1. I have no confidence in him. --- SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/ "[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf |
| transience | Posted 10/1/2008 10:38:29 PM | message detail |
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Magus would probably lose to Tidus or DK at this point. --- xyzzy "Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai |
| creativename | Posted 10/1/2008 10:40:17 PM | message detail |
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I'm curious to hear why you think that Sandbag is no L-Block, or even remotely close. L-Block is universally known. Sandbag's big strength is that he's in one of the strongest series on the site, and despite being only in mini-games he's actually probably stronger than some playable characters from that series. However I don't think he's going to have real strength. Plus there's a slim chance he could get SFFed by Sonic. The main reason to believe in Sandbag IMO is that his competition is Magus...and we all know about Magus and his...well...Magus-ish-ness. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Fayt_Esteed | Posted 10/1/2008 10:42:21 PM | message detail |
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Sandbag has little time to build a fanbase, it won't have as large
an appeal since it's more oriented to Smash fans, Sonic, Magus, and
Auron are different beasts from what 2007 L-Block and the Cube had to
face in the first two rounds... Sandbag has it rough. I have L-Block winning and Cube advancing two matches, and I still have Sandbag out Round 1. I have no confidence in him. I have to agree. Sandbag probably is unlikely to be making much noise. Down he goes in Round 1. --- Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM |
| creativename | Posted 10/1/2008 10:42:42 PM | message detail |
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Anyone who thinks Sandbag can get past Auron is just insane. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 10:43:19 PM | message detail |
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Not Auron. Sonic. --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| hellfire104 | Posted 10/1/2008 10:44:23 PM | message detail |
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It hink that due to Alucards weak performance here, it is now known that Pikachu > alucard will happen in round 2 --- Contest Point Total: 42 Rank: 95%tile, Tied for 2290 This Pick: Alucard > Captain Falcon |
| creativename | Posted 10/1/2008 10:44:36 PM | message detail |
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WCC on the other hand I think has a legit chance to win his match. Like I've posted before, Tidus/DK trying to out-choke each other for 2nd place just seems so poetic. And WCC should be much stronger than GlaDOS, I would think. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 10:57:07 PM | message detail |
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Nothing on Kratos cutting Diddy the last three updates? --- SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/ "[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 10:58:14 PM | message detail |
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Diddy is dead to me. Even deader than before, and man did I want him dead before. --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| transience | Posted 10/1/2008 10:59:03 PM | message detail |
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Diddy Kong: more popular than Donkey Kong --- xyzzy "Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai |
| Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 10:59:15 PM | message detail |
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Kratos Aurion has this match tbqh. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 10:59:38 PM | message detail |
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(Over Diddy, I mean, obviously) --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| greatone10 | Posted 10/1/2008 11:00:55 PM | message detail |
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What on earth got into Captain Falcon? I mean, I don't even necessarily
mind Diddy bombing because it actually sorta confirms a suspicion I
have, but Falcon sure got strong quick. However, there is a trend I have noticed. Wario, Lucario, Diddy have fallen flat. I don't know if Ike is going to be that great of a choice for tomorrows match --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| Fayt_Esteed | Posted 10/1/2008 11:02:29 PM | message detail |
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Kratos Aurion may be the strongest of the Tales characters to have
gotten in a contest, but he didn't even bother showing up this time.
Bah! (Though that was to be expected of him...) I want to see some
Tales of Vesperia characters next contest. --- Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/1/2008 11:03:12 PM | message detail |
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For what it's worth, Ike is far more favored in SSBB than
Wario/Lucario/Diddy...and one could argue FE is bigger than WarioWare
or DKC on GameFAQs, too. Still, CF is no Pikachu. --- NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2 Remember these games! |
| transience | Posted 10/1/2008 11:03:14 PM | message detail |
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...why --- xyzzy "Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai |
