GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 582
| trannyscience | Posted 10/1/2008 2:10:43 PM | message detail |
|
L-Block aw yeah ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~ http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html ~*aprosenf's poll script*~ http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms, Percentages For Dummies, and Odd Matches*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. post away |
| The_Ocelot2 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:11:36 PM | message detail |
|
boo L-block boo boo --- Go Ducks Go! http://img.imgcake.com/fallout_3.jpg |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 2:12:00 PM | message detail |
|
This topic will be filled with FALCON PUNCH!!! --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:24:07 PM | message detail |
|
Meta and L both spike, while Ryu dies a little inside <_< --- "Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:24:39 PM | message detail |
|
Well, not that update, the one before where Meta cut Ryu --- "Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry |
| RockMFR 5 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:25:11 PM | message detail |
|
The 100 vote barrier is too strong! Come on, L-Block! Put some muscle into it! --- Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0 The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n. |
| Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/1/2008 2:25:16 PM | message detail |
|
I have no idea what is going on. L-Block seems weaker, Ryu seems A LOT weaker, especially sucking it up with the day vote. Met-Knight isn't getting the SNF if it even exists, and is sucking pretty badly. Is the Dog detracting from L-Block? Is Ryu the kind of guy with a static 30% when not against the best of the best? Is L-Block? This match... Argh. So, what does MK's performance say about tomorrow? Diddy's surely stronger, but Captain Falcon... |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 2:26:47 PM | message detail |
|
So people who says that Ryu will make another push with the second night vote, when do you expect that to start? It has been hours since Ryu won an update, and as long as L-Block gains more than 2 votes each update he's safe. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:27:28 PM | message detail |
|
The real wildcard in all this is The Dog. We expected him to completely
suck. Like, sub-10% suck. Instead, he's showing that he's got his
following too. If The Dog is holding back L at all, L getting first next round is a lock. --- "Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry |
| chaosarcher07 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:27:38 PM | message detail |
|
Ryu plummeted there. Hard to blame vote stuffing when even Meta Knight cuts you. --- http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=29 CBVII Current Score: 46/52 |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/1/2008 2:27:41 PM | message detail |
|
Ryu is done unless L-Block falters. I could see it dropping off just because it's so weird, but I wouldn't count on it. --- xyzzy http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif |
| Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 2:28:10 PM | message detail |
|
I'm thinkin 8pm ET is about when he'll start swinging back. He'll probably slow his descent a little earlier. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:28:56 PM | message detail |
|
ASV begins to taper off past 7, and really dissipates after 8. However,
even then it usually resembles the day vote more than the night vote.
The second night vote proper really takes off around 11 or so.... --- Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 46/52 --- T-18 (96 way) Bracket: Ryu > L-Block --- Vote: Meta-Knight |
| MnMZero | Posted 10/1/2008 2:29:29 PM | message detail |
|
Why are people saying that all of The Dog's votes are at the expense of
L-Block? Just because you vote for one joke doesn't mean you vote for
them all. People vote on the jokes that appeal to them. --- Proud Supporter of Zero |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 2:29:48 PM | message detail |
|
Lolz sitxty nine. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
| red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:31:35 PM | message detail |
|
I wouldn't count on the second night vote saving Ryu. I don't remember
a single successful non-Frog comeback made with it since the start/end
time was changed to midnight....Snake and Phoenix Wright used it to
stall and win, but there was no real comeback in those matches. --- Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 46/52 --- T-18 (96 way) Bracket: Ryu > L-Block --- Vote: Meta-Knight |
| Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 2:32:23 PM | message detail |
|
Eh, when I say Ryu will make a comeback with the second night vote I
meant around 8pm ET. That's about when Street Fighter really starts
coming back. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/1/2008 2:33:44 PM | message detail |
|
L-Block is still looking stronger than Clinkeroth...assuming The Dog is LFFing the Blockster. --- Feel my truth. |
| The_Ocelot2 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:34:48 PM | message detail |
|
What's up with these "stall, stall, epic cut" updates? --- Go Ducks Go! http://img.imgcake.com/fallout_3.jpg |
| __hiei__ | Posted 10/1/2008 2:34:49 PM | message detail |
|
Crono got 20% against Link, Vincent, Zero Ryu got 20% against Cloud, Auron, Marcus Fenix Advantage Crono but not by a huge margin. I don't think Cloud hurts Auron that much. Ryu vs Crono is going to be a match to watch with L pushing the votals down. wha? Link >> Cloud Vincent >> Auron Zero >> Marcus fenix Cloud and Auron SFF Crono potentially being hurt by Link Crono's match was much,much harder. I doubt Ryu has any chances against Crono. his only hope rests in L-Block crumbling this year (not being constant anymore) |
| Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 2:36:03 PM | message detail |
| One too many > signs on all three of those
comparisons, with the exception possibly of Marcus Fenix. Auron SFF
from Cloud is overrated. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:36:44 PM | message detail |
|
The_Ocelot2 (#019) What's up with these "stall, stall, epic cut" updates? VOTE STUFFING --- CB7 Score: 44/52 http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:36:55 PM | message detail |
|
Man, Ryu just keeps deciding to fall apart every 2-3 updates >_> --- "Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry |
| red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:37:35 PM | message detail |
|
Yeah, while I think Crono's competition was way stronger than Ryu's, I
have a bad feeling that L-Block is going to hurt Crono more....no real
reason, but Crono has let me down too many times. It would culminate 3
years of failure too well to lose by crumbling with the day vote
against Ryu and a tetris block responsible for the biggest percentage
losses ever. --- Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 46/52 --- T-18 (96 way) Bracket: Ryu > L-Block --- Vote: Meta-Knight |
| Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 2:37:53 PM | message detail |
|
I motion that L-Block has stuffed roughly 15000 votes. Meta-Knight should be beating it comfortably tbqh. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 2:39:12 PM | message detail |
|
This is a new kind of votestuffing, instead of giving L-Block more votes they are removing votes from Ryu :D --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
| The_Ocelot2 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:44:46 PM | message detail |
|
Lead change next update --- Go Ducks Go! http://img.imgcake.com/fallout_3.jpg |
| red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:45:08 PM | message detail |
|
Ouch....12 votes left. L-Block about to take the lead. --- Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 46/52 --- T-18 (96 way) Bracket: Ryu > L-Block --- Vote: Meta-Knight |
| Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 10/1/2008 2:45:17 PM | message detail |
|
L-Block seems weaker, Ryu seems A LOT weaker, especially sucking it up with the day vote. What? Street Fighter has ALWAYS sucked with the day vote. Or am I the only one who remembers SF2/SMRPG? |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 2:45:54 PM | message detail |
|
Really bold and stupid prediction: The L-Block will not get in this hour. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
| croy3 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:47:26 PM | message detail |
|
not gonna happen lol --- Character Battle Vii:33/52 Todays Pick:L Block>Meta Knight |
| spiegel22 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:49:27 PM | message detail |
|
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO --- http://backloggery.com/spiegel22/sig.gif ~Ç~ Sonic! ^.^ Excellent Guru bracket right here -- http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=45 |
| RockMFR 5 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:49:47 PM | message detail |
|
Born is the ki-ing of GaaammmmmeFAQs! --- Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0 The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 2:53:07 PM | message detail |
|
Come on Ryu, stall him in this update n_n --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
| Merc25 | Posted 10/1/2008 2:53:28 PM | message detail |
|
technically tied right now --- If you read this signature, then you have wasted your time. (:H --- Capt. Bullet, my mascot. |playing: BOF3, SP:DM |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/1/2008 3:01:49 PM | message detail |
|
*Salutes L-Block* --- The Straight Up G WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| LShaped Tetris Block | Posted 10/1/2008 3:02:27 PM | message detail |
|
PLAYTIME IS OVER! --- STILL SHAPED LIKE A BOOT TO KICK YOUR ASS! The 2007 Character Battle Champion |
| Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 10/1/2008 3:02:49 PM | message detail |
|
Well, at least we don't have to worry about any other jokes except potentially Mudkip. God I hate the internet. |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 3:06:23 PM | message detail |
|
Meta Knight's current % against Ryu: 41.13% Not bad at all. --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/1/2008 3:07:06 PM | message detail |
|
yeah, Meta-Knight wasn't a bad pick if this was last year's L-Block, really. it's just that L is stronger than before. --- xyzzy http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 3:07:19 PM | message detail |
|
Well, at least we don't have to worry about any other jokes except potentially Mudkip. Weighted Companion Cube is looking better now than it ever has. --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 3:08:53 PM | message detail |
|
So which round 1 match will be closer than this one? Actually I think this is the closest match we will have in this contest. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 3:09:48 PM | message detail |
|
OMG Ryu won an update! *rings the comeback alarm* --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me |
| Cyrlous | Posted 10/1/2008 3:09:56 PM | message detail |
|
I personally believe that weighted companion cube is way overrated.
L-Block is unique, hitting several key factors all at once. I just
think the cube ain't got it like the L. --- Ness rules! |
| Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 3:10:56 PM | message detail |
|
Yup. He's slowin down that momentum just as planned let's go Ryu. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/1/2008 3:11:03 PM | message detail |
|
Cube's got a much easier path, though. and if people vote for something
because it's an inanimate object, the Cube will get those votes too. --- xyzzy http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/1/2008 3:11:25 PM | message detail |
|
Shaped like a boot to HADOUKEN your ass --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| jonthomson | Posted 10/1/2008 3:11:52 PM | message detail |
|
*plays doctor spin* --- Jon Thomson - 1:10 pure 1:43 100% - HKP: 179 Obama '08 imo |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/1/2008 3:11:53 PM | message detail |
|
too bad the Cube is one match away from the top half of the bracket. that would make for an interesting dynamic. --- xyzzy http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif |
| Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 10/1/2008 3:12:50 PM | message detail |
| GIven GlaDOS' bombing, I'd say the Companion Cube aint looking so hot. Then again, he's up against the 3 biggest choke jobs in contest history all at once. |
