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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 581

Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 12:32:38 PM | message detail
I've said it before and I say it again. Every match should end after 15:00, because the ASV always favors the less good character in undecided matches.

Except when Sonic is in the poll of course.... >_>
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me
RockMFR 5 | Posted 10/1/2008 12:34:47 PM | message detail
MK cuts Ryu!
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
ffmasterjose | Posted 10/1/2008 12:34:58 PM | message detail
Come on Ryu, don't crumble now. :(
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42/52 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII
NP: Ryu (Street Fighter) > L-Block
Twilight Swift | Posted 10/1/2008 12:35:41 PM | message detail
yess ryu suck it lets gooooo l block
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*~Swift~* SC2K8: 43 pts
2007 NY Giants:: SBXLII Champs!
hellfire104 | Posted 10/1/2008 12:35:47 PM | message detail
The little kid vote should count too. Just because we on this board have different types of tastes. oesnt mean their opinions dont matter.
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Contest Point Total: 38 Rank: 92%tile, Tied for 3346
This Pick: L-Block > Ryu
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 12:36:16 PM | message detail
So basically... the L-Block now no longer had the one thing that was cool about it going for it anymore: HUGE percentage drops. I think I hate it this year even more.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 12:36:38 PM | message detail

hellfire104 (#405)
The little kid vote should count too. Just because we on this board have different types of tastes. oesnt mean their opinions dont matter.


It's not about their opinions, it's about ME ME MEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE.
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 12:38:12 PM | message detail
Meta Knight actually is looking very good if we gauge him through Mr. Consistency. By the end of the night, he should be somewhere in the low 40s on Ryu, which is right around what Kratos managed in 2006. I'd call that damn good, but the people who expected the world of Meta Knight might not realize this.

Cracking 40 on Ryu is nothing to scoff at.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/1/2008 12:38:39 PM | message detail
Keep those cuts a coming. I guess L-Block really doesn't need to win this one in all honestly, but it'd be nice.
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 12:40:41 PM | message detail
Eh, Meta-Knight is actually about exactly where I pegged him at on Ryu. My projection had him getting about 43% on Ryu directly. I just expected more damage from The Dog SFF and/or a slight L-Block drop from loss of shock factor.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2008 12:44:48 PM | message detail
Wow, L-Block winning the day vote now? And I agree he isn't exactly static- you'd expect similar trends in each match if he were. He had wildly varying trends last year, getting a better early vote every match, and this is another variation- in the other direction.
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 46/52 --- T-18 (96 way)
Bracket: Ryu > L-Block --- Vote: Meta-Knight
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 12:46:16 PM | message detail
Aw yeah Meta cut the block.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 12:47:36 PM | message detail
I have a feeling L-Block is going to go berserk next round. I haven't heard a single compelling explanation as to why Joke SFF wouldn't exist and why The Dog wouldn't be impeding L-Block here.
Spark Mandrill | Posted 10/1/2008 12:47:45 PM | message detail
Is it me, or is Meta making some excellent gains right now?
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
http://img175.imageshack.us/img175/7315/ocelotpartycd1.gif
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/1/2008 12:48:28 PM | message detail
He's gonna make Ryu and Crono his personal *****es next round, Yo. Just you wait.
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/1/2008 12:48:58 PM | message detail
Wow, what the hell Meta Knight, stop cutting everyone
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2008 12:49:41 PM | message detail
Would anyone here take L-Block over Ryu 1v1 if the match were held tomorrow? Next round?
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 46/52 --- T-18 (96 way)
Bracket: Ryu > L-Block --- Vote: Meta-Knight
Spark Mandrill | Posted 10/1/2008 12:50:45 PM | message detail
Jesus, Meta is keeping up pretty well with the block.

I've lost all hope for a comeback, but it'd be the best thing ever if he manages.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
http://img175.imageshack.us/img175/7315/ocelotpartycd1.gif
_Hogger_ | Posted 10/1/2008 12:50:50 PM | message detail
I'd easily take Ryu over L Block 1v1, since L Block has a static fanbase, which is great for 4ways... but not enough for him to advance against strong characters like Ryu in 1v1.
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Bacon, please just give me purgatory already. MyWorldisCrono has already been suspended for 7 days, the length of purg.
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 12:50:53 PM | message detail
Yeah, I've got L getting first next round right now. Forget second.

Well, actually, it'll probably be kinda close. The Dog is hurting it, but it's realistically probably only two or three percent. And it just might be hurting Ryu too being all old school like that.

So yeah thinkin L gets around 34% next round with the Dog gone assuming no momentum increase. It's enough to put Ryu out of contention... dunno about Crono. Probably him too though I think Ryu can make it closer than Crono needs to break 34%.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 12:51:13 PM | message detail
L.Block in 1 VS 1 would be tough as hell to predict. But I think it could beat anything without a solid fanbase. Alucard VS L-Block would be interesting.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me
Spark Mandrill | Posted 10/1/2008 12:51:49 PM | message detail
red sox 777 (#417)
Would anyone here take L-Block over Ryu 1v1 if the match were held tomorrow? Next round?

No.

L-Block's a Hate-Mobile given power by the format. He can't hang with the elites in 1v1 matches.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
http://img175.imageshack.us/img175/7315/ocelotpartycd1.gif
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/1/2008 12:51:56 PM | message detail
1 on 1, I'd take Block over Ryu. The Dog is doing more damage than you guys are giving it credit.
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 12:53:38 PM | message detail
L-Block vs. Master Chief: A Diary into my Madness

by Lopen
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 12:53:48 PM | message detail
Even if L-Block gets 100% conversion from The Dog that's only 45%. I'm sure most of Meta's votes go to Ryu.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/1/2008 12:54:18 PM | message detail
...is Block stalling now? WTF?
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
hellfire104 | Posted 10/1/2008 12:54:58 PM | message detail
Block just lopped 30 votes off of Ryu's lead

400 BARRIER FAILING!!!!
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Contest Point Total: 38 Rank: 92%tile, Tied for 3346
This Pick: L-Block > Ryu
TestIcicles | Posted 10/1/2008 12:55:31 PM | message detail
Even if L-Block gets 100% conversion from The Dog that's only 45%. I'm sure most of Meta's votes go to Ryu.

This. There's no chance in hell I take L > Ryu in a 1v1.

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mmm test icicles
TestIcicles | Posted 10/1/2008 12:56:11 PM | message detail
yeah he just knocked of 30 votes

or half that
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mmm test icicles
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 12:57:49 PM | message detail
1v1 I'd take L to lose to most things. I'd put it around the fodder line. 28-34% of the site voting for you just doesn't cut it in a 1v1 match. Basically it'd have to count on its opponent not having a fanbase of its own.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/1/2008 12:58:55 PM | message detail
Jesus, Meta-Knight is going nuts
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
RockMFR 5 | Posted 10/1/2008 12:59:38 PM | message detail
Meta's votes going to Ryu? No way. How does Kirby/Smash overlap with Street Fighter more than Tetris?
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 1:00:25 PM | message detail
A A A A B B B B >B >B >B A A
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 1:00:25 PM | message detail
People are not voting for Tetris you dolt.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
TestIcicles | Posted 10/1/2008 1:00:26 PM | message detail
Joke characters vs. Not Joke characters.

Pretty sure that's how.

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mmm test icicles
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 1:01:57 PM | message detail
People are not voting for Tetris you dolt.

I'm pretty sure that if the L-Block didn't appear in Tetris, it wouldn't even have 10% in this poll....
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/1/2008 1:03:02 PM | message detail
Yeah, I think L-Block is legitimate now. He might not have as much of a static fanbase anymore.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 1:03:07 PM | message detail
Impossible for L-Block to make the types of gains he needs with Meta ruling the ASV like this. I won't rule out the possibility of a total comeback, but Ryu is looking safer now.

Maybe we should start talking about tomorrow match, or do too many people not care now?
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 1:03:33 PM | message detail
That still doesn't mean people are voting for it because they love Tetris.

It works because of Tetris that doesn't mean it's a vote from "the Tetris fanbase."
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 1:04:36 PM | message detail
So we all know it's going to be Alucard and um....Diddy maybe?

400 barrier broken.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 1:05:39 PM | message detail
Waitin for the match pic. I made an awesome Kratos pic hopefully Bacon picks it.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/1/2008 1:06:13 PM | message detail
Yeah, I'm rooting for that pic as well.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
_Hogger_ | Posted 10/1/2008 1:08:24 PM | message detail
Hopefully we get both match 15 and match 16 pics.
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Bacon, please just give me purgatory already. MyWorldisCrono has already been suspended for 7 days, the length of purg.
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 1:08:35 PM | message detail
I will say that if L doesn't take a good lead before the second night vote Ryu probably wins. SF's second night vote is beastly.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
TestIcicles | Posted 10/1/2008 1:09:44 PM | message detail
I say if Ryu doesn't have a substantial lead before the last hour L-Block wins. His rally/stuff potential is beastly.

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mmm test icicles
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/1/2008 1:10:15 PM | message detail
Really? I thought a character like the L-Block would be the perfect thing to get a nice rally in a close battle. Ryu has have at least a 700 lead in the last hour before I think he's safe.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. The 2008 Guru contest winner > Me
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2008 1:11:09 PM | message detail
That's true, yeah. If it's close in the last hour Ryu can pack his hobo bag and walk off into the sunset again.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 1:16:48 PM | message detail
I disagree there. L-Block is a casual joke; it doesn't have a diehard fanbase. I can't really imagine anyone putting forth the effort of managing a last hour rally for it. But hell, who knows. It's done everything else - it may as well pack some Frog power, too.
Panthera | Posted 10/1/2008 1:18:52 PM | message detail
I disagree there. L-Block is a casual joke; it doesn't have a diehard fanbase. I can't really imagine anyone putting forth the effort of managing a last hour rally for it. But hell, who knows. It's done everything else - it may as well pack some Frog power, too.

Given that we're seeing an L Block who starts at only the low 30s, but doesn't even fall much during the day, would ANYTHING from L Block come as a surprise anymore? This thing could come in first every remaining round from here on, or flop and let Ryu and Crono waltz by it next round and it would seem perfectly sensible either way to me.
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A season of our stolen youth shall teach old hearts to break
~Primordial-The Coffin Ships
_Hogger_ | Posted 10/1/2008 1:19:02 PM | message detail
I could imagine them rallying and stuffing for Block if it mattered. But its round 1, and he's advancing either way. They'd prolly do it in later rounds if he might not advance.
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Bacon, please just give me purgatory already. MyWorldisCrono has already been suspended for 7 days, the length of purg.
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