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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 581

Guess how many teens | Posted 10/1/2008 7:17:32 AM | message detail
I hope L block chokes though. I have him being second in every round till he goes out in the quarter finals.
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[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[ -Red |||||||||||||| -Green ]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]] -Blue
H__RR____H | Posted 10/1/2008 7:17:54 AM | message detail
I'd be game, but I kinda wonder if that would just attract more attention to L-Block.....
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/1/2008 7:19:03 AM | message detail
I could see a Crono or Ryu rally going the way of attempts to rally for Kerrigan against Vincent. >_>
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"Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry
red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2008 7:24:10 AM | message detail
L-Block appears to have normal trends this year- hopefully that means he'll act like a normal character in staying consistent between rounds too!
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 46/52 --- T-18 (96 way)
Bracket: Ryu > L-Block --- Vote: Meta-Knight
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/1/2008 7:24:52 AM | message detail
I'm just saying that if his strength is constant this year and this is the best he can do, hes finished. If it fluctuates all over the place like last year then he'll easily win this thing again and the contest will remain stupid.

The thing is L-Block isn't fluctuating at all. His range across all 8 of it's matches have been in the slender 6% range between 28% and 34%. .

33%
34%
29%
28%
28%
30%

Those are the figures he pulled last year and he's looking for something similiar again today. While I believe he gained some support as he went along last year I don't think for second that he doubled in strenght or some such nonsense that an x-stat approach would have you believe. He's got joke appeal that appeals to an audience and they'll consistently vote him over anyone. Mudkip while slightly lesser reach has a similiar 6% range regardless of opponent strength. Sandbag and Cube probably the same. So if anything I'd say L-Block has been one of the most consistent performers, it depends how you look at it.
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Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism
you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin
Osfan | Posted 10/1/2008 7:26:15 AM | message detail
Kerrigan was dead in the water against Vincent. I mean jeez she was down like 40% and that was a 2 way. Ryu and Crono should not be more then 8% behind the L block next round meaning a rally could do some good especially in a way. As for giving more attention to block you just have to be discrete about where you rally I mean a Frog rally over Axel is hard too both are Square characters and that was easily pulled off unless you think Frog is capable of the greatest 15 minute rally of all time >_>
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Nominate Rydia for this years Character Battle!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 7:26:29 AM | message detail
Ryu better get to work over the next 4.5 hours. Seems pretty clear now which one of these guys the ASV will favor.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/1/2008 7:27:52 AM | message detail
The idea of the kiddies going full force behind L-Block is hilarious.
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"Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 7:29:32 AM | message detail
Not full force, but I am expecting Ryu to be last in terms of ASV percentage gains.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
H__RR____H | Posted 10/1/2008 7:29:45 AM | message detail
L-Block with an after-school vote is devastatingly scary.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/1/2008 7:30:21 AM | message detail
L-Block? More like L FUEL beLieve
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"Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 7:32:40 AM | message detail
I love how because it's L-Block people are suddenly promoting the idea of rallying against him. I thought you guys hated rallying!

Anyway, I'm back. Time for L-Block to take off!
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
Guess how many teens | Posted 10/1/2008 7:35:30 AM | message detail
What scares me more is that with Ryu and L Block being in the poll, the ****ing stupid dog is still getting 15%. Imo this means that sandbag or WCC could become very dangerous players. And I have both of them dying the first round :p.
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[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[ -Red |||||||||||||| -Green ]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]] -Blue
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/1/2008 7:36:42 AM | message detail
Hey now, The Dog is awesome!

....and if anything, this match makes me fear what The Dog could have done with better bracket placement.
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"Dreaming of one day flying, it practices by leaping off cliffs every day." ~Bagon's Pokedex entry
Guess how many teens | Posted 10/1/2008 7:36:46 AM | message detail
Oh and
L Block>Ryu in next round. Who has it :D?
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[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[ -Red |||||||||||||| -Green ]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]] -Blue
Osfan | Posted 10/1/2008 7:40:51 AM | message detail
I love how because it's L-Block people are suddenly promoting the idea of rallying against him. I thought you guys hated rallying!

lol Osfan = people I guess... and Rallying > Stuffing IMHO...

Anyway, I'm back. Time for L-Block to take off!

Thus proving my point ...<_<
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Nominate Rydia for this years Character Battle!
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 7:40:51 AM | message detail
I don't care what everyone else says, Sandbag's not going far with his competition and based purely on Brawl strength. At least Cube and Mudkip have decent chances of going far, with Mudkip benefiting from strong competition and Cube having a couple rounds to gain strength. Unlikely, but better than the nigh-impossible chance Sandbag has.
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/1/2008 7:43:45 AM | message detail
I could see Sandbag making the final, actually.
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Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism
you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 7:46:27 AM | message detail

Osfan (#266)
I love how because it's L-Block people are suddenly promoting the idea of rallying against him. I thought you guys hated rallying!

lol Osfan = people I guess... and Rallying > Stuffing IMHO...


People were actually agreeing with your idea. Considering how pissed I've seen people get over Blizzard's rallying and rallying in general, it's hilarious that some Board 8ers are suddenly selling their beliefs and adopting a hypocritical stance just because they don't want a video game character to win a video game website's contest. This is exactly what I've been waiting for!

Anyway, I'm back. Time for L-Block to take off!

Thus proving my point ...<_<


Oh no, L-Block has fans! That shouldn't be, L-Block is the Antichrist!

Relax, Biolizard. Take a deep breath and take a break.
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 7:50:13 AM | message detail

__Smurf__ (#268)
I could see Sandbag making the final, actually.


I wouldn't complain if he made it that far, obviously, but I don't see it happening. Even if he can get past Magus, it's freaking Sonic and Auron. Hell, I'm skeptical Cube can make it past Mega Man and Snake even with two rounds to build up support.

Though a final of Mudkip/L-Block/Cube/Sandbag would be the best thing ever.
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 7:50:56 AM | message detail
L-Block gained the last two updates.

Go Wylvane Fanbase Factor!
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
Seginustemple | Posted 10/1/2008 7:52:34 AM | message detail
The idea of the kiddies going full force behind L-Block is hilarious.

Honestly, I'm pretty sure that's who the 'comedy' of this situation is targeted to. In real life I've never seen someone over the age of 14 mention a Mudkip, and I can only expect it's the same kids still chortling over that one that vote for l-block as a joke.

And then it's got regular appeal with the older crowd, Tetris being a classic.
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__Smurf__ | Posted 10/1/2008 7:55:02 AM | message detail
Just reading the pre-match analysis in the old topic. My god, "experts" hold your head in shame firstly for thinking L-Block would fall way outside his 6% bracket and secondly doubting the freakin champion who's been given substantial support before the contest in a poll. Betting on a sudden shift like that is amatuerish as is going out on a limb claiming SFF on conjecture. Yoblazer is the only one out of all of you that comes out that with credibility intact.

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Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism
you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/1/2008 7:57:18 AM | message detail
I'm guessing on a final of Link / L-Block / Sandbag / Cloud. Link winning it.

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Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism
you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/1/2008 7:59:11 AM | message detail
The idea of the kiddies going full force behind L-Block is hilarious.

Kiddies will go full force behind Meta Knight and to a lesser extent the dog. Both L-Block and Ryu will have a bad day vote but from trends so far it looks like L-Block isn't quite as bad with that vote as Ryu.

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Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism
you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 8:00:36 AM | message detail

__Smurf__ (#273)
Just reading the pre-match analysis in the old topic. My god, "experts" hold your head in shame firstly for thinking L-Block would fall way outside his 6% bracket and secondly doubting the freakin champion who's been given substantial support before the contest in a poll. Betting on a sudden shift like that is amatuerish as is going out on a limb claiming SFF on conjecture. Yoblazer is the only one out of all of you that comes out that with credibility intact.


I'd laugh at them, but they'll have to live with the fact that I will end with a better bracket than them. Every last analyst will have a lower score than me. I had Kefka > Niko. I have L-Block >Pikachu in Round 3.

That's punishment enough.
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
Master Moltar | Posted 10/1/2008 8:01:45 AM | message detail

__Smurf__ (#273)
Just reading the pre-match analysis in the old topic. My god, "experts" hold your head in shame firstly for thinking L-Block would fall way outside his 6% bracket and secondly doubting the freakin champion who's been given substantial support before the contest in a poll. Betting on a sudden shift like that is amatuerish as is going out on a limb claiming SFF on conjecture. Yoblazer is the only one out of all of you that comes out that with credibility intact.



Don't worry, yesterday write-ups were only a test. Now that I've seen the results, I will be giving the Block the respect it deserves in future write-ups.
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Moltar Status: augh
L-Block/Meta Knight/Ryu/The Dog - Bracket: Ryu > L-Block - Vote: Meta Knight (42/52)
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 8:01:51 AM | message detail
Also, looks like Cube's Round 3 match will be with Mega Man, Snake, and... Zero. Maybe Cube will have a better chance of advancing than I thought!

Just gotta hope Vivi and Ryu H don't try anything funny.
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
Osfan | Posted 10/1/2008 8:01:57 AM | message detail
I am not Biolizard first of all I am Osfan, that is me don't call me Biolizard just because he hates the L Block and I want to rally against the L Block its just not a very nice thing to do! ;-) I like Tetris too I just don't want L Block winning by the shenanigans that it is clearly using to anyone who is halfway objectionable to these contests. Take me out of the equation and take yourself out as well and anyone looking at an L Block votal graph could see the tragedy. I am not upset that its winning I just don't want it winning because in my opinion it will make for a boring contest, more so then if it goes out.
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Nominate Rydia for this years Character Battle!
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 8:03:49 AM | message detail
And then Yoshi and Mewtwo will LFF each other enough for Cloud > Squall to happen, and they'll hurt each other enough for Snake > Cube to happen. And if Cube can beat Cloud, well, he's a lock for the finals!
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
Merc25 | Posted 10/1/2008 8:10:15 AM | message detail
Wouldn't it be more prudent to assume that MK gets a plurality of the ASV votes, seeing how kiddies <3 SSBB.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 8:14:31 AM | message detail
Ryu retakes the lead! He's got less than four hours to build it.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Malakuko | Posted 10/1/2008 8:15:05 AM | message detail
NOICE
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Mer NOICE!
charmander6000 | Posted 10/1/2008 8:19:48 AM | message detail
I've never given L-Block much credit in my analysis. The only time I've correctly predicted its placement was in round 3. In round 4 I had it barely losing to Sonic and I had him in second in rounds 5 and 6. Next round I'll be predicting that he'll get second.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 40/52 Today's Match: Ryu > Meta Knight
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/1/2008 8:22:50 AM | message detail
Well whatever happens here I'd say 2nd at least is a given for the next round.
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Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism
you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin
Master Moltar | Posted 10/1/2008 8:24:56 AM | message detail
hey wait a minute i have ryu > l at least i still have a chance of being right today take that crew

not that it matters in the long run but still
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Moltar Status: augh
L-Block/Meta Knight/Ryu/The Dog - Bracket: Ryu > L-Block - Vote: Meta Knight (42/52)
_Hogger_ | Posted 10/1/2008 8:25:08 AM | message detail
This match is over. Ryu is going crazy now.
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Bacon, please just give me purgatory already. MyWorldisCrono has already been suspended for 7 days, the length of purg.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 8:26:00 AM | message detail
I'd say he's going in as the favorite for first. Win or lose tonight, he'll finish right alongside Ryu, and Crono isn't that much stronger than the SF2 star (although there's obviously a significant intrinsic strength gap). Couple that with Block's static fanbase and the fact that The Dog won't be there to leach joke support, and I'd be surprised if L doesn't win in Round 2.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2008 8:27:00 AM | message detail
Hmm... Ryu will have built himself quite a lead before the ASV at this rate. Might be too much for L-Block to handle.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/1/2008 8:28:20 AM | message detail
He did this earlier and L-Block stopped him quite quickly. I'd be surprised if Ryu could build enough in the next 3 or 4 hours.
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Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism
you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin
_Hogger_ | Posted 10/1/2008 8:31:57 AM | message detail
Crono is way stronger then Ryu. I'd be shocked that L Block beats Crono. This year, I don't think he'll be getting much stronger every match, since he has TONS of anti voters, and to a good amount of people, the joke isn't funny anymore. Thats the reason he's struggling to beat Ryu, while owning Link and Cloud last year.
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Bacon, please just give me purgatory already. MyWorldisCrono has already been suspended for 7 days, the length of purg.
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 8:32:59 AM | message detail

_Hogger_ (#291)
Crono is way stronger then Ryu. I'd be shocked that L Block beats Crono. This year, I don't think he'll be getting much stronger every match, since he has TONS of anti voters, and to a good amount of people, the joke isn't funny anymore. Thats the reason he's struggling to beat Ryu, while owning Link and Cloud last year.


The Dog
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
_Hogger_ | Posted 10/1/2008 8:33:29 AM | message detail
The Dog is hurting him a tiny bit, but not as much as some people think he is imo.
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Bacon, please just give me purgatory already. MyWorldisCrono has already been suspended for 7 days, the length of purg.
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/1/2008 8:34:20 AM | message detail
I don't think he'll be getting much stronger every match

He won't, he'll pull 28%-34% every match like he always does and get to the final. It's not about strength for L-block since he has a consistent voter base.
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Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism
you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin
_Hogger_ | Posted 10/1/2008 8:36:09 AM | message detail
If he truly does win this damn thing again, then even though I love the 4 way format cuz it makes matches more exciting overall, I'd want to go back to 1v1, because L Block winning twice in a year truly loses the contest all credability, jokes about that aside. Theres no fun in the contest if a joke character just constantly wins this thing.
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Bacon, please just give me purgatory already. MyWorldisCrono has already been suspended for 7 days, the length of purg.
Tarrot | Posted 10/1/2008 8:37:14 AM | message detail
It is real tough to beat L, but not impossible I think. The Dog, for some reason, is too strong of a character, and Meta too weak of a character, to mean anything. You'd need a poll of something like Auron/Vincent, Ryu, L, and super fodder to knock L out, since L's static nature only means he grows stronger as he faces stronger competition (and thusly, using two upper tier characters who can nigh split 30%, and a lower tier character to not leech that 30%, means you could have like a 32-31-30-7 vote split and thus L out).
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 8:37:32 AM | message detail
It's certainly fun to me! I love watching this topic implode within itself.

After Biolizard's meltdown last night, I can't see how anyone else can complain about this result.
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/1/2008 8:37:53 AM | message detail
Everyone wants to go back to 1 v 1 whether he wins or not.
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Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism
you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin
hailEC | Posted 10/1/2008 8:39:49 AM | message detail
Dante could win this contest and I'd want to go back to 1v1. Get these 4-ways outta here.

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M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 10/1/2008 8:42:05 AM | message detail
Eh, at this rate I could live with the fourways. More unpredictable, more entertaining, and everyone else hates it.

I'm hoping Bacon does fourways for the game contest! And the inevitable Female Villains Contest!
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
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