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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 578

XxSoulxX | Posted 9/28/2008 8:25:10 PM | message detail
Marcus > Gordon, but it will be close.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/28/2008 8:25:57 PM | message detail
Meta/L will be a blow-out one way or another.

Arthas is going to murder Ike. I'm more worried about Arthas > Pikachu than I am about Ike > Arthas.

Tidus/DK and Ness/Pac will be the only close matches I see for the rest of the round.

Axel/Midna if Axel winds up weaker than I think he'll be

Ocelot/Kratos if Ocelot really boosts from MGS4
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/28/2008 8:26:27 PM | message detail
Fenix > Gordon
Biolizard28 | Posted 9/28/2008 8:27:00 PM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe (#052)
Arthas is going to murder Ike. I'm more worried about Arthas > Pikachu than I am about Ike > Arthas.

Nononononononononononononono
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Lopen | Posted 9/28/2008 8:27:33 PM | message detail
Yeah, Fenix > Gordon, just because Gordon loves the format so much. It'll be close though as Marcus can't exactly blowout the four pack
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/28/2008 8:28:09 PM | message detail
Though after GeoW2 comes out (1.5 more months!) Fenix would wipe the floor with Gordon.
_Hogger_ | Posted 9/28/2008 8:30:31 PM | message detail
BT, I'm an Arthas fanboy, and I don't even think he'll give Pikachu a run. He'll beat Ike, but thats it.
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Biolizard28 | Posted 9/28/2008 8:31:41 PM | message detail
He won't even beat Ike, though.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/28/2008 8:33:13 PM | message detail
Personally I don't think he takes out Pika, but he'll definitely be closer to the rat than he'll be to Ike.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/28/2008 8:33:52 PM | message detail

Lopen | Posted 9/28/2008 10:36:24 PM (#008)
Also, seeing as Ulti is one of the people who have him ignored (and he loves stating this fact oh so much) I sense impending drama, woo hoo.



Not really.
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Biolizard28 | Posted 9/28/2008 8:34:24 PM | message detail
HE HAS ARRIVED
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transience | Posted 9/28/2008 8:36:02 PM | message detail
Pikachu's not a lock to beat anything as long as there's Nintendo in the polls.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 9/28/2008 8:36:19 PM | message detail
Balthier Bunansa? More like Balthier Bombansa MIRITE?
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
_Hogger_ | Posted 9/28/2008 8:38:29 PM | message detail
He won't even beat Ike, though.

Ike is the upset pick. You're silly if you think Arthas, who is the favorite, won't even give him a run.
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Bacon, please just give me purgatory already. MyWorldisCrono has already been suspended for 7 days, the length of purg.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/28/2008 8:45:26 PM | message detail
Exactly. Ike vs Arthas is debateable 1 on 1, but with the rat in there, Ike has no chance whatsoever.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/28/2008 8:46:15 PM | message detail
Frog made it useless so

TIME TO RALLY GLADOS TO 20% ALL HANDS ON DECK MOVE MOVE MOVE
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Biolizard28 | Posted 9/28/2008 8:46:32 PM | message detail
_Hogger_ (#064)
Ike is the upset pick. You're silly if you think Arthas, who is the favorite, won't even give him a run.

He's the favorite by, what, 11 guru brackets?
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Biolizard28 | Posted 9/28/2008 8:47:31 PM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe (#065)
Exactly. Ike vs Arthas is debateable 1 on 1, but with the rat in there, Ike has no chance whatsoever.

You act as if Ike and Pikachu come from the same series.
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_Hogger_ | Posted 9/28/2008 8:47:48 PM | message detail
Ikes only notable support is from SSBB (Without SSBB, he'd be lower then Tales characters... Tales of the Abyss outsold the most recent Fire Emblem game), so if you think that someone whos a popular SSBB character won't do Ike in, you're just ignoring the facts =\
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Bacon, please just give me purgatory already. MyWorldisCrono has already been suspended for 7 days, the length of purg.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/28/2008 8:48:05 PM | message detail
That's arguably the toughest match of the entire round, anyway. Anything can go down.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/28/2008 8:48:57 PM | message detail
Without SSBB he loses comfortably to Duke Nukem and pre-Orange Box Gordon.
ToadYoshi | Posted 9/28/2008 8:49:24 PM | message detail
How many people vote for Pikachu based on Brawl?
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/28/2008 8:50:09 PM | message detail
Ikes only notable support is from SSBB (Without SSBB, he'd be lower then Tales characters... Tales of the Abyss outsold the most recent Fire Emblem game

What the **** are you talking about? Every Fire Emblem has broken 100k in America. Abyss didn't even break 30k here.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
charmander6000 | Posted 9/28/2008 8:50:11 PM | message detail
I would easily take Ike > Arthas one on one.
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Character Battle 2008: Points 28/40 Today's Match: Vincent > Falco
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/28/2008 8:50:24 PM | message detail
Tales of the Abyss outsold the most recent Fire Emblem game

TotA sold around 40000 copies. Both PoR and RD sold 150,000+ each.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/28/2008 8:50:47 PM | message detail
You act as if Ike and Pikachu come from the same series.

Ike is nothing without BRAWLFEAR, which Chu gets since 64.
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Biolizard28 | Posted 9/28/2008 8:50:50 PM | message detail
_Hogger_ (#069)
Ikes only notable support is from SSBB (Without SSBB, he'd be lower then Tales characters...

I'm not even going to bother with the rest of your post, given how absolutely idiotic this piece here is.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 9/28/2008 8:51:06 PM | message detail
Tales of the Abyss outsold the most recent Fire Emblem game

TotA sold around 40000 copies. Both PoR and RD sold 150,000+ each.


PWN3D!
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/28/2008 8:51:25 PM | message detail
And if anything Ike saps Pikachu's SSBB support. Pikachu will win because of Pokemon, not SSB.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
_Hogger_ | Posted 9/28/2008 8:52:11 PM | message detail
He's the favorite by, what, 11 guru brackets?

Last I checked, 64% of Guru brackets have Arthas being second, 35% have Ike, and 1% have Spy.
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Bacon, please just give me purgatory already. MyWorldisCrono has already been suspended for 7 days, the length of purg.
paraboxx | Posted 9/28/2008 8:55:32 PM | message detail
Scorpion - 36%
Gordon - 26%
Balthier - 21%
Big Daddy - 17%

(bah who needs reasoning
its only a stats topic)
charmander6000 | Posted 9/28/2008 8:57:13 PM | message detail
(bah who needs reasoning its only a stats topic)

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 578
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 28/40 Today's Match: Vincent > Falco
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/28/2008 8:59:25 PM | message detail
I'm blasting the ultimate Gordon Freeman song and ready to do this.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/28/2008 8:59:54 PM | message detail
Round 1

Division 3- Match 4

Balthier Bunansa


Han Solo returns to probably get his ass kicked again. Seriously, he was easily the worst newcomer ever in the contests.

Big Daddy

The generic enemies from Bioshock make an appearance. Can he make a splash in his contest debut?

Gordon Freeman

Gordon returns and is given opponents he is used to losing to. He should be safe here.

Scorpion

Once again he is given a weak path. He gets so damn lucky with bracket placement it isn't even funny.

Analysis:

Going straight by the numbers, this should be an easy Scorpion > Gordon result. Gordon wasn't even close to Sub-Zero right after the release of The Orange Box, so he shouldn't be a threat for first here. Balthier was crappy enough last year that he shouldn't be a threat at all, but the Big Daddy raises interesting questions.

Bioshock was both critically acclaimed and accepted by the mainstream, a potent combination. Will people vote a generic character just to see their game do well?

Personally I think Gordon has second place locked up, but this match has been bothering me since day 1. Just a gut feeling we might see some fireworks tonight.

TuRtLe's Prediction: Scorpion 32%, Gordon 25%, Big Daddy 21%, Balthier 17%
TuRtLe's Bracket: Scorpion > Gordon
TuRtLe's Vote: Balthier
HaRRicH | Posted 9/28/2008 9:00:02 PM | message detail
I think one thing that's easy to overlook about Ike is how much of his support comes from the SSB series. We've argued how favored Ike (and Marth) are in SSBM/B as well as in their FE games...but I think one thing people forget is that FE wouldn't be popular if it wasn't for SSBM. Not only does SSB > FE happen as a series and SSBM/B > any FE game, but SSB is how FE ever got somewhat popular...

...it didn't hurt Marth much last year, but Pikachu has a lot more in common with Ike than DK to Marth. Pikachu has been a casual fave through the entire SSB series while Ike is one of the general favorites in SSBB and Pokemon and FE are RPGs from Nintendo. I'm betting on Pikachu to win out pretty easily on this one.
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Master Moltar | Posted 9/28/2008 9:00:21 PM | message detail
gordon yay
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Moltar Status: augh
Balthier/Big Daddy/Gordon/Scorpion - Bracket: Scorpion > Gordon - Vote: Gordon (34/44)
transience | Posted 9/28/2008 9:00:22 PM | message detail
FreemanFAQs
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/28/2008 9:00:22 PM | message detail
Balthier Bunansa 7.69%

2
Big Daddy 11.54%

3
Gordon Freeman 53.85%

14
Scorpion 26.92%

7
TOTAL VOTES 26

Board 8, you make me proud.
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Janus5000 | Posted 9/28/2008 9:00:26 PM | message detail
Balthier Bunansa 0%

0
Big Daddy 21.43%

3
Gordon Freeman 50%

7
Scorpion 28.57%

4
TOTAL VOTES 14

flopthier
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Gaddswell | Posted 9/28/2008 9:00:30 PM | message detail
Balthier Bunansa 19.15% 9
Big Daddy 17.02% 8
Gordon Freeman 40.43% 19
Scorpion 23.4% 11
TOTAL VOTES 47

Gordon's board vote is amazing
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_Hogger_ | Posted 9/28/2008 9:01:13 PM | message detail
Gordon with the board vote? Wow.
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Bacon, please just give me purgatory already. MyWorldisCrono has already been suspended for 7 days, the length of purg.
smitelf | Posted 9/28/2008 9:01:22 PM | message detail
The board vote takes me by surprise every time.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 9/28/2008 9:01:51 PM | message detail
Aw yeah Gordon

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
The_Ocelot2 | Posted 9/28/2008 9:01:54 PM | message detail
Go Gordon Go Gordon Go Go Go Go
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/28/2008 9:02:18 PM | message detail
Hey, GlaDOS finished with 20.00%. Good stuff.
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paraboxx | Posted 9/28/2008 9:02:34 PM | message detail
Um. Why does Gordon have a board vote? I thought we hated him here.

The only reason he's even on peoples' brackets is...

..oh.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/28/2008 9:02:56 PM | message detail
big daddy gonna charge through balthy cmon
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Moltar Status: augh
Balthier/Big Daddy/Gordon/Scorpion - Bracket: Scorpion > Gordon - Vote: Gordon (34/44)
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/28/2008 9:03:13 PM | message detail
Um. Why does Gordon have a board vote? I thought we hated him here.

We love him. We are him.
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transience | Posted 9/28/2008 9:03:34 PM | message detail
Gordon's board vote is always awesome. I think he lead on Leon for a while, and he was up on Duke last year.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/28/2008 9:03:48 PM | message detail
Go Gordon!

Show em who went to MIT
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