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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 577

PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/27/2008 9:22:50 PM | message detail
Making me feel good about WCC > Tidus!

^5. Let us be hated by the stats topic together!
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/27/2008 9:23:03 PM | message detail
Companion Cubes advancing, seriously. If GlaDOS with a picture nobody will even recognize if they haven't played Portal can do this then yeah...

Once Power Hour is over with, GlaDOS will fall hard.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/27/2008 9:24:10 PM | message detail
So let me get this straight.

GlaDOS' board vote is weaker than her night vote?

You're all dirty bracket voters.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 9/27/2008 9:25:02 PM | message detail

KamikazePotato (#203)
So let me get this straight.

GlaDOS' board vote is weaker than her night vote?

You're all dirty bracket voters.


You know how much the board hates joke characters.

That's also why Vincent has such a bad joke vote!
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"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/27/2008 9:26:07 PM | message detail
GlaDOS isn't a joke character.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
charmander6000 | Posted 9/27/2008 9:26:37 PM | message detail
Denied GlaDOS
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 28/40 Today's Match: Vincent > Falco
paraboxx | Posted 9/27/2008 9:29:26 PM | message detail
Blah. GlaDOS not landing at freaking 15% really isn't that much comfort to those of us who actually took the upset.

Every time I get close to the leaderboard... *mutters*
WhatTheDarn | Posted 9/27/2008 9:32:16 PM | message detail
So why don't I see red sox 777 on the leaderboard?
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"War is no reason to end a friendship." - Solid Snake
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 9/27/2008 9:32:58 PM | message detail

paraboxx (#207)
Blah. GlaDOS not landing at freaking 15% really isn't that much comfort to those of us who actually took the upset.

Every time I get close to the leaderboard... *mutters*


It's comforting to those of us who went for the Cube upset and for L-Block's inevitable victory!
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
red sox 777 | Posted 9/27/2008 9:33:27 PM | message detail
Because my universal account name is Evvivan....yeah, not too smart of me to make it something else, but nothing I can do about it now.
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 36/40 --- T-3 (45 way)
Bracket: Vincent > Falco --- Vote: Falco
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/27/2008 9:34:37 PM | message detail
Hell yeah smitelf! And both Glados and Falco are impressing me here. I figured Vincent >>>>>>>>> Falco >>>>>>>>>> everyone else.
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MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN!
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smitelf | Posted 9/27/2008 9:35:37 PM | message detail
Hey sweet, I just realized I'm on the leaderboard today :) Probably not for long though <_<
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Biden/Obama...er, I mean Obama/Biden '08!
charmander6000 | Posted 9/27/2008 9:35:56 PM | message detail
Wander under 8%
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 28/40 Today's Match: Vincent > Falco
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/27/2008 9:36:25 PM | message detail
And I would add, **** you Wander.
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MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN!
Now Playing: Final Fantasy 4 DS, Spore ~*ST*~
Yesmar | Posted 9/27/2008 9:36:58 PM | message detail

It's comforting to those of us who went for the Cube upset and for L-Block's inevitable victory!


What does this have to do with L-Block?
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"No matter who or what you are, once you are born into this world you have the right to live!"--Lloyd Irving
Lopen | Posted 9/27/2008 9:37:43 PM | message detail
Man, I had GlaDOS pegged at 20% until today when I wrote my analysis. Shows that analysis just hurts Oracle predictions and I should keep well away from it
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
WhatTheDarn | Posted 9/27/2008 9:38:01 PM | message detail
I'd be much higher than 46 on the leaderboard if I had just stuck to my original L-block pick instead of switching to Link, then back again at the last minute...
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"War is no reason to end a friendship." - Solid Snake
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 9/27/2008 9:41:00 PM | message detail
L-Block's match won't come soon enough.

I can't wait.
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
smitelf | Posted 9/27/2008 9:42:11 PM | message detail

M_e_g_a_6_4 (#218)
L-Block's match won't come soon enough.

I can't wait.



Now that I'm on the leaderboard it can't come slow enough, because that's when I'm going to fall off (L-Block losing in the first round = fail), assuming no crazy upsets before then...
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Biden/Obama...er, I mean Obama/Biden '08!
Lopen | Posted 9/27/2008 9:45:04 PM | message detail
I still don't get how GlaDOS is at all related to L-Block. Her voting trends seem more like a normal entrant rather than a joke entrant... she's not sharply declining.

And even if she were, I'd sooner have her linked to ThaDOG. Undeniable.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/27/2008 9:45:21 PM | message detail
I don't understand the Cube support. Tidus/DK > Falco, and Cube won't have a strong character in there sucking up percentage.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/27/2008 9:45:43 PM | message detail
I'm pretty convinced of bracket voters getting L-Block past Metaknight, but Crono/Ryu is a complete beast of a team to get past in the second round. He'll have zero momentum by then.
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MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN!
Now Playing: Final Fantasy 4 DS, Spore ~*ST*~
Justin_Crossing | Posted 9/27/2008 9:46:03 PM | message detail
Vincent is underperforming. >.>

Luckily my oracle prediction is still better than most peoples'
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Justin's CB Points: 30 | Points After this Round: 34
Today: Ganondorf > Frog | Tomorrow: Vincent > Falco
red sox 777 | Posted 9/27/2008 9:46:13 PM | message detail
And Vincent crosses 40%. What are his chances of hitting 50% today?
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 36/40 --- T-3 (45 way)
Bracket: Vincent > Falco --- Vote: Falco
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/27/2008 9:46:18 PM | message detail

Lopen (#220)
I still don't get how GlaDOS is at all related to L-Block. Her voting trends seem more like a normal entrant rather than a joke entrant... she's not sharply declining.

And even if she were, I'd sooner have her linked to ThaDOG. Undeniable.



Blame the Cube. >_>
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i am false
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/27/2008 9:46:43 PM | message detail
Vincent underperforming can easily be chalked up to Falco and GlaDOS being better than expected.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/27/2008 9:47:48 PM | message detail
Those last 3 matches moved me from the 60th percentile to the 92nd percentile.

lol casuals
__hiei__ | Posted 9/27/2008 9:48:08 PM | message detail
there's no excuse for Vincent not to get at the very least 45%

Ganondorf got 43% on an undeniably stronger fourpack.
creativename | Posted 9/27/2008 9:48:44 PM | message detail
Though it'll obviously drop from now to the end, Glados is looking to prove me very wrong about it.

And I echo those who say Weight Companion Cube is starting to look very dangerous.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/27/2008 9:48:46 PM | message detail
I don't think Vincent will hit 50%, and I never thought he would. I pegged him to be mid-high 40's, which he should have no trouble reaching now that the Board vote is over.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/27/2008 9:49:20 PM | message detail
I don't understand the Cube support. Tidus/DK > Falco, and Cube won't have a strong character in there sucking up percentage.

This result (assuming GlaDOS stays relatively respectably behind Falco) is good for Cube supporters because it demonstrates that GlaDOS is not pure fodder and has a core fanbase. Logic would dictate that the Cube (who most people thought would be a purely joke character) would also share this core fanbase.

Joke character with small core fanbase > Joke character without one
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 9/27/2008 9:49:25 PM | message detail
I still don't see why he needs momentum when he's already developed quite a fanbase after the last contest. There's a lot of people excited over his return and will easily vote for him over anyone else. And that's just on GameFAQs.

He shouldn't have that much trouble, and once he's actually winning by a decent margin in Round 1, people will realize how horribly, horribly wrong they were.

And boy, will I be laughing. This topic will be full of beautiful whining about how stale the joke is and how this ruins the contest, and I will just laugh

and laugh

and laugh

and... laugh.
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SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/
"[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf
Lopen | Posted 9/27/2008 9:50:43 PM | message detail
Yeah, I really wish I'd stuck to Cube > Tidus -> Mega Man > Cube -> Snake > Cube at this point.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
creativename | Posted 9/27/2008 9:52:04 PM | message detail
I wonder where Glados will end up though. While Falco might go down overnight, he should do well in the day. And you know Vincent will at make a push for mid-40's, perhaps 45%. And since Falco shouldn't do down too much, most of that should come from Glados one would think. It'll be interesting to see what happens.

If Glados can finish above 20%, that's pretty impressive.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/27/2008 9:52:15 PM | message detail
Yeah, I really wish I'd stuck to Cube > Tidus -> Mega Man > Cube -> Snake > Cube at this point.

Wait, did I just out-Lopen Lopen?
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Yesmar | Posted 9/27/2008 9:53:05 PM | message detail
I still don't see why he needs momentum when he's already developed quite a fanbase after the last contest. There's a lot of people excited over his return and will easily vote for him over anyone else. And that's just on GameFAQs.

He shouldn't have that much trouble, and once he's actually winning by a decent margin in Round 1, people will realize how horribly, horribly wrong they were.

And boy, will I be laughing. This topic will be full of beautiful whining about how stale the joke is and how this ruins the contest, and I will just laugh

and laugh

and laugh

and... laugh.


OK, but how is GladDOS a joke character?
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"No matter who or what you are, once you are born into this world you have the right to live!"--Lloyd Irving
Lopen | Posted 9/27/2008 9:53:36 PM | message detail
Nah, Lopen doesn't support joke characters in his bracket you know this. You... Sandbag and L-Block picking madman.

Cube might be 4REAL, though.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/27/2008 9:53:38 PM | message detail
And Vincent has been rocking it for the past 15-20 minutes. I'll be happy as long as GlaDOS manages to bleed more slowly than Falco.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/27/2008 9:53:40 PM | message detail
Falco isn't going to do that well in the day, I think. He won't do badly, but Vincent also wrecked Zelda throughout the day.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/27/2008 9:53:42 PM | message detail
This proves Portal has a fanbase on GameFAQS and that makes Cube more akin to Mudkip then a pure joke character. Mudkip is as strong as he is because he has Pokemon fans backing him up with the joke votes.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/27/2008 9:53:54 PM | message detail
after seeing Shadow suck it to Link and Tails struggling with The Boss, it's possible DK/Tails will overlap.

they are .. icons. sorta.
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*is Dranze*
Falco/GlaDOS/Vincent/Wander - Bracket: Vincent > Falco - Vote: Falco (32/40)
Lopen | Posted 9/27/2008 9:55:15 PM | message detail
Though I dunno... I'm thinking GlaDOS finishes around 20% with Vincent post-board vote and Falco day-vote. Not sure how great that really is. Above my expectations but not by an absurd amount.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/27/2008 9:55:40 PM | message detail
OK, but how is GladDOS a joke character?

Once again, the point isn't that GlaDOS is a joke character, but that GlaDOS has a dedicated core fanbase, and this fanbase should (logically) also support the Cube. This is doubly so when considering he's up against a couple of guys that history has shown us can't get anyone to give two craps about them. This makes WCC look a bit better going into that match.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Yesmar | Posted 9/27/2008 9:56:34 PM | message detail
This makes WCC look a bit better going into that match.

Mega's post was about how this helps L-Block, not WCC.
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"No matter who or what you are, once you are born into this world you have the right to live!"--Lloyd Irving
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/27/2008 9:56:53 PM | message detail
..."lol"
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Lopen | Posted 9/27/2008 9:57:16 PM | message detail
Mega is an insane L-Block fanboy, best to ignore him on that matter.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
creativename | Posted 9/27/2008 9:57:42 PM | message detail
I'm pretty convinced of bracket voters getting L-Block past Metaknight, but Crono/Ryu is a complete beast of a team to get past in the second round. He'll have zero momentum by then.

Indeed, that is a real tough test.

But the "L-Block for *repeat* champion" momentum will - very unfortunately IMO - be there I believe. I think people will get excited for a repeat performance. L-Block should do much better in the early rounds this year than he did in the early rounds last year, before his later momentum had built up. In other words, his static fanbase should be more solid early in this contest than it was early last contest (even though it won't be as strong as it was at the end of the last contest yet).

And as we hypothesize, anti-votes should be diluted in this format. Which means people who would truly hate to see L-Block as champ again (like me) will sadly not have the influence they should.
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/27/2008 10:02:23 PM | message detail
Only 18 fell off the Top 50 today. Burstrate, Kamek69, Ganondorf0, FilipinoSpartan, Crazy100guy, HeroicMint, Pootsie007, YanDaMan263, qxanolo, eorock, erindal, lancealots_son, Drewg1e, DarkTerraFlare, ChaoticRogue, metsrule0537, Juicelayer and h0l1c did not have Ganondorf > Frog as yesterday's winners and have fallen off.

1 person score half points and survived. Former first place ZeroCleric did not have Ganondorf > Frog, but managed to survive.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/27/2008 10:03:52 PM | message detail
But the "L-Block for *repeat* champion" momentum will - very unfortunately IMO - be there I believe. I think people will get excited for a repeat performance. L-Block should do much better in the early rounds this year than he did in the early rounds last year, before his later momentum had built up. In other words, his static fanbase should be more solid early in this contest than it was early last contest (even though it won't be as strong as it was at the end of the last contest yet).

And as we hypothesize, anti-votes should be diluted in this format. Which means people who would truly hate to see L-Block as champ again (like me) will sadly not have the influence they should.


I already made a write-up on L-Block's upcoming match, but I won't post it yet. L-Block should hopefully have more bracket support on his side, with more people taking L-Block past the first round than in the contest last year. I also proposed the possibility of The Dog/Meta Knight SFF, due to Duck Hunt being a Nintendo game like the Kirby series is. If people want to rally behind The Dog to win the contest, you have zero hope of succeeding with a huge number of joke votes also going to L-Block you. Between The Dog and L-Block, you want to vote for a character who has a past history of success in the contests. The Dog is completely untested here.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
red sox 777 | Posted 9/27/2008 10:05:51 PM | message detail
Whoa there, GlaDOS just cut Falco.
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Evvivan: Character Battle VII --- Score: 36/40 --- T-3 (45 way)
Bracket: Vincent > Falco --- Vote: Falco
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