GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 576
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/26/2008 3:48:29 PM | message detail |
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I hear Frog has never lost in the first round, guys. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~ http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html ~*aprosenf's poll script*~ http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms, Percentages For Dummies, and Odd Matches*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/26/2008 4:31:49 PM | message detail |
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Liquid Snake and Axel resent that fact. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| Lopen | Posted 9/26/2008 4:32:37 PM | message detail |
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Fun Facts: In her first round match last year, Samus got 73.52% on
Frog (which implies Crash/Frog might be a decent match!) and 65.69% on
Scorpion. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1311 Rest in peace Frog imhhho. And yeah, Leonhart... those things would be interesting... though I'm not sure if they'd be worth the effort you'd have to put in. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/26/2008 4:33:19 PM | message detail |
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Still no pic BACOOOOOOON --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/26/2008 4:34:11 PM | message detail |
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you'd have to make new charts for our summer contests. Perhaps just last year and 2006 then? I dunno. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/26/2008 4:35:59 PM | message detail |
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Crash seems to be a character who benefits greatly from the 4 way
format, if anything else. I doubt KOS-MOS does that great against him
with two other entrants in the poll. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/26/2008 4:38:52 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, I was about to say that Crash probably benefits from the format
because he can't get anti-voted. Same thing with Pikachu (though
there's no way of knowing if that's even a factor anymore at the
present time). And I was serious when I said they should do those Crash Bandicoot commercials again! He WOULD get a big contest boost! Poll 20 (12/19/1999) Who's your favorite mascot? 950 22.85% Crash 1963 47.22% Mario 1244 29.93% Sonic TOTAL VOTES: 4157 Behold Crash power! --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| Lopen | Posted 9/26/2008 4:40:20 PM | message detail |
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KOS-MOS gets more in that poll, despite it predating her existence. Mascot for sexy androids everywhere mirite. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 9/26/2008 4:45:54 PM | message detail |
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Holy crap, I just realized the percentages haven't really changed for pretty much the entire match. How boring. At least we have Frog next! --- SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/ "[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf |
| _Hogger_ | Posted 9/26/2008 4:50:18 PM | message detail |
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If Kosmos has a good cleavage pic, she wins imho --- Bacon, please just give me purgatory already. MyWorldisCrono has already been suspended for 7 days, the length of purg. |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/26/2008 4:50:53 PM | message detail |
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I wouldn't be so quick to think tomorrow's going to be exciting. Don't
KOS-MOS and Frog have similar vote patterns? I doubt KOS-MOS has the
day vote power to do what Axel did. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/26/2008 4:52:00 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, but she's still going to have a better day vote by virtue of not
being Frog. Not much better, but enough to wager a small comeback,
especially on the weekend. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| SFF_potential | Posted 9/26/2008 4:52:55 PM | message detail |
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http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3252&type=0&seconds=60&max=0 probably the straightest set of four lines i've seen so far this contest --- Character Battle 7 Currently on 24/32 Points Today: Samus>Nightmare Tomorrow: Ganondorf>Neku |
| Lopen | Posted 9/26/2008 4:56:47 PM | message detail |
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http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3252&type=0&seconds=60&max=0 XD. That's amazing. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| Biolizard28 | Posted 9/26/2008 5:07:47 PM | message detail |
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I dare you to find a match more linear than that. Tonight: The death of Bio's bracket, a Ganondorf > Neku story. --- Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism. http://img175.imageshack.us/img175/7315/ocelotpartycd1.gif |
| LordOfDabu | Posted 9/26/2008 5:18:16 PM | message detail |
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http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=2009&type=0&seconds=60&max=0 was pretty static too, way back then! --- SlayerS_`BoxeR`: that is many tank? SlayerS_`BoxeR`: yes? |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/26/2008 5:22:32 PM | message detail |
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Ha, Kefka had his Angel Sprite and the best he could do with the day vote was be constant with it. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/26/2008 5:26:36 PM | message detail |
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Considering that was Kefka, it is a 100% improvement. Then again, he was up against Resident Evil fodder, so it makes sense. |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/26/2008 5:26:57 PM | message detail |
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I decided to do a comparison chart of Frog's and KOS-MOS's first round matches from last year: Time | Arthas | Diablo | KOS-MOS | Mega Man PHV | 14.12% | 15.89% | 19.23% | 50.77% | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 16.81% | 15.33% | 19.73% | 48.13% | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 17.05% | 14.98% | 17.36% | 50.61% | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 16.17% | 15.51% | 18.11% | 50.21% | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 14.92% | 15.45% | 17.93% | 51.71% | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 14.96% | 15.11% | 19.28% | 50.65% | (22:00-24:00) KOS-MOS's strongest time is both night votes, obviously, but she's not that bad with the day vote. She did the worst in the very early morning vote. Even with Diablo's supposed day vote power (and presumably Arthas's as well), they still didn't come anywhere close to her, though they could've canceled each other out. Time | Axel | Frog | Samus Aran | Kerrigan PHV | 15.65% | 22.70% | 50.12% | 11.53% | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 16.81% | 19.80% | 50.47% | 12.92% | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 18.35% | 16.66% | 54.68% | 10.31% | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 16.99% | 18.99% | 52.73% | 11.29% | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 21.02% | 16.79% | 52.11% | 10.09% | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 18.01% | 22.85% | 47.36% | 11.78% | (22:00-24:00) Frog's Power Hour is the stuff of legends. It's incredible. Seriously, if he didn't have that, he'd have lost every single match he's ever been in. He died during the early morning, recovered a bit during the DSV, but yeah, Axel tore him up with the ASV. I think that was a combination of Frog being bad with it and Axel being flatout amazing with it for some reason (Ask Mega Man). Yeah, and look at the second night vote percentage for Samus, and tell me something's not fishy. I'll do their second round matches as well, for posterity! --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/26/2008 5:29:12 PM | message detail |
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LeonhartFour (#019) That reason would be Kingdom Hearts, BTW. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/26/2008 5:30:46 PM | message detail |
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Match X: Frog vs. Ganondorf vs. KOS-MOS vs. Neku Sakuraba Information: Name: Frog Game/Series From: Chrono Trigger 2007 Results: 2nd in round 1, 3rd in round 2 Last year Frog had one of his expected nail biter, that time it was against Axel. Frog needed a questionable last hour surge to pull off the win and for the fourth time Frog walks away from a close match. Chrono Trigger DS has been announced, but will it affect his strength? Name: Ganondorf Game/Series From: The Legend of Zelda series 2007 Results: 1st in round 1, 1st in round, 3rd in round 3 Ganondorf was performing quite nicely last year until the sprite round came and he got his pig Ganon picture. The end result was Luigi squeaking through Ganondorf on route to a respectable showing in round 4. Will Ganondorf relive the same memory again? Name: KOS-MOS Game/Series From: Xenosaga series 2007 Results: 2nd in round 1, 4th in round 2 KOS-MOS took a debated round 1 match and walked away with ease, though Arthas being in the poll may have had a reason for that. KOS-MOS has been pretty quiet since the release of Xenosaga 3 which has been about two years ago. This may be the last chance KOS-MOS has at putting up a decent performance. Name: Neku Sakuraba Game/Series From: The World Ends with You 2007 Results: Did not enter Did we see Sho get destroyed a few matches ago? At least this isn’t back to back like the Tales of the Abyss characters. Neku is the main character of this game. That’s pretty much all I have to say about him. Is the game good? Analysis: This match could potentially turn into a nail biter and with Frog in the poll there seems to be a good chance of that happening since next round he won’t be doing much. We also continue our Nintendo streak and while people question the strength of Nintendo only 3/13 Nintendo characters have failed to make it to round 2, Isaac, Geno (he’s Nintendo by my books) and Tom Nook are the ones that failed. Ganondorf doesn’t need to see Nintendo’s performance record to take first in this poll. The sprite round isn’t until round 3 and until then I expect nothing less but a good thrashing among most of the characters he’ll be meeting and here is no exception. Ganondorf is still considered to be one of the strongest characters of the bracket and should have no problem sky rocketing past 40%. Neku will be getting last in this poll. Sho showed no reason for me to believe that Neku has much strength, but I do believe that Neku will do better than Sho as he’ll probably be fighting his way through to get 10% of the votes. Frog is the overwhelming favourite for second here. It’s not like he warrants himself to be that much of a favourite. Frog is famous for winning close match having a clutch that rivals Mario in 2002 and 2003, but if Frog keeps putting himself in this position one of these matches is going to bite him in the ass. Chrono Trigger DS has been announced and will be coming out in a couple of months. As for a translation in contest strength, I doubt it. The only people excited here are Chrono Trigger fans who would probably have voted for the green guy anyway. Game hype never does much for a character strength with the exception of games such as Brawl and Halo 3. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/26/2008 5:31:00 PM | message detail |
| I’m surprised more people don’t have KOS-MOS
coming in second here. I know about Frog’s history, but it’s not a huge
stretch to believe that KOS-MOS has some upset potential. While
Xenosaga hasn’t had a game in two years the series itself was never
that mainstream where the only way for KOS-MOS to not lose strength is
to dump a new game every six months. KOS-MOS should be fairly constant
compare to last year. Sadly that alone will put KOS-MOS at the losing
end of a nail biter. The site’s demographics have changed who and by
how much is still in question though so take that as you will. Ganondorf takes first while Frog and KOS-MOS fight it out for second. However if KOS-MOS is going to win she better have at least a 1000 vote lead going into the final hour or everyone will be hearing Frog’s Theme for the second time in a row. charmander6000’s Bracket: Ganondorf > KOS-MOS charmander6000’s Prediction: Ganondorf – 46.27%, KOS-MOS – 22.36%, Frog - 21.36%, Neku – 10.01% --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 22/32 Today's Match: Samus > Nightmare |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/26/2008 5:31:05 PM | message detail |
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Eh, when dealing with those two matches, KOS's first night performance
is REALLY impressive, while Frog's first night performance is
overrated, based on the competition, imho. Seriously Mega Man doing worst during the first night vote? That's gotta be the effects of KOS-MOS. I wouldn't be surprised if KOS is beating Frog by 3 AM. --- i am false |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/26/2008 5:31:18 PM | message detail |
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Even for a KH character, Axel's day vote is amazing. I'd honestly say he's got the best one. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/26/2008 5:32:14 PM | message detail |
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But yeah, Frog is going to jump up big on KOS-MOS to start. You can bet on it. If he doesn't, he's in big trouble. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/26/2008 5:32:16 PM | message detail |
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I'm really liking these time...separation...spreadsheet...things, Leon. Very useful. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/26/2008 5:32:18 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, and look at the second night vote percentage for Samus, and tell me something's not fishy. I'll do their second round matches as well, for posterity Look at the poll for Liquid/Alucard. Exact same thing. Obviously when you have a close match like that, more people will vote for their preference between the 2 instead of their actual favourite. |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/26/2008 5:34:10 PM | message detail |
| Of course he's going to get the jump on KOS-MOS,
but just comparing the opponents, KOS did about as well during the
night (outside of power hours) against Mega Man and Blizzard as Frog
did on Samus and a Kingdom Hearts character. I can't help but think
that while Frog'll win the first hour by a good bit, KOS'll be able to
take the next two. --- i am false |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/26/2008 5:34:27 PM | message detail |
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And what KP said, awesome job, Leon. --- i am false |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/26/2008 5:35:54 PM | message detail |
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Eh, when dealing with those two matches, KOS's first night
performance is REALLY impressive, while Frog's first night performance
is overrated, based on the competition, imho. Seriously Mega Man doing worst during the first night vote? That's gotta be the effects of KOS-MOS. I wouldn't be surprised if KOS is beating Frog by 3 AM. 1) Mega Man is actually a very consistant character. He does good in the day against night guys, and good in the night against day guys. People's trends depend greatly on who they're against, especially with someone like Mega Man there. Same thing goes for Zero, except Zero is ALWAYS against a strong day guy. 2) Frog's "bad" night vote is a result of his completely front-loaded board vote. Of course his night will look worse in comparison. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/26/2008 5:37:52 PM | message detail |
| To summarize, I'll be very suprised if KOS-MOS actually makes consistant cuts through the night. She'll do better there than in the first hour purely by virtue of Frog having one of the best Power Hours in the contest. |
| red sox 777 | Posted 9/26/2008 5:38:33 PM | message detail |
| If Frog can't win the second and third hours, he
may not win any more hours all day. It's not until 4 AM or so that CT
characters fall off a cliff. --- Character Battle VII --- Score: 28/32 --- T-8 (119 way) Bracket: Samus > Nightmare --- Vote: Samus |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/26/2008 5:42:21 PM | message detail |
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I have a feeling this is going to be one of those hyped matches that
doesn't deliver. I can't see KOS-MOS even coming close to Frog, and for
once Frog is against someone worse in the day than he is, ruining all
comeback potential should he get ahead early on (which he will). For all the reasons Frog has to drop, KOS-MOS has twice as many. |
| Biolizard28 | Posted 9/26/2008 5:43:29 PM | message detail |
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Frog can't win any hours until the last, when all the cheaters ready their tools. --- Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism. http://img175.imageshack.us/img175/7315/ocelotpartycd1.gif |
| red sox 777 | Posted 9/26/2008 5:49:24 PM | message detail |
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I'm torn between wanting a close match and wanting Frog to win for once
without giving me a heart attack. How big a lead does Frog need to get
overnight? 800? He peaked at 1583 against Axel at 3:20 before falling
to around 1100 before he started to go up again with the during school
vote. --- Character Battle VII --- Score: 28/32 --- T-8 (119 way) Bracket: Samus > Nightmare --- Vote: Samus |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/26/2008 6:00:46 PM | message detail |
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Looks like another contest tradition is gonna be tested today. >_> --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/26/2008 6:01:08 PM | message detail |
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Today? Which one is that? --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 9/26/2008 6:11:20 PM | message detail |
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Lets hope for a nail biter .. We need one of those so board 8 can be
flooded with topics with "OMG frog is teh cheater, hax, etc" ... --- Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/26/2008 6:13:48 PM | message detail |
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Tomorrow >_> The "Frog will have a close match, and win it in a nail biter one". It's one of the only traditions left. --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/26/2008 6:16:34 PM | message detail |
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Time | Yoshi | Knuckles | Mega Man | KOS-MOS PHV | 28.06% | 17.37% | 39.72% | 14.85% | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 27.72% | 18.93% | 38.36% | 14.99% | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 31.06% | 20.33% | 35.15% | 13.47% | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 27.72% | 18.87% | 37.75% | 13.91% | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 28.54% | 21.37% | 37.38% | 12.70% | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 25.70% | 20.78% | 39.10% | 14.41% | (22:00-24:00) Same trends here for the most part, though KOS-MOS got hit pretty hard during the ASV. Yoshi and Knuckles are good day vote characters, moreso than Arthas and Diablo apparently, so she understandably took a good hit here. Again, both night votes are her strongest time, though she holds up pretty well at any time except the ASV. Time | Samus | Frog | Scorpion | Midna PHV | 45.60% | 19.06% | 23.09% | 12.25% | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 44.30% | 19.93% | 24.04% | 11.73% | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 47.81% | 15.56% | 23.70% | 12.93% | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 47.26% | 16.19% | 23.54% | 13.01% | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 45.54% | 17.12% | 24.61% | 12.72% | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 44.17% | 18.35% | 25.33% | 12.15% | (22:00-24:00) As you can see, when Frog doesn't win the board vote, bad things happen. Seriously, someone explain to me how Scorpion took the board vote from Frog. I mean, I know fighting game characters are primarily night characters, but come on. Scorp was actually pretty consistent throughout this match. Frog actually did his worst during the morning and early afternoon, though for some reason, I seem to remember this match being on a Saturday, which might explain that. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/26/2008 6:32:08 PM | message detail |
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Time | Ganondorf | Ratchet | Thrall | Vergil PHV | 49.10% | 12.90% | 18.75% | 19.25% | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 45.97% | 13.09% | 20.29% | 20.65% | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 49.32% | 15.06% | 16.82% | 18.80% | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 48.59% | 13.90% | 17.42% | 20.09% | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 50.58% | 16.05% | 14.97% | 18.40% | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 49.99% | 14.23% | 15.47% | 20.32% | (22:00-24:00) For those who care (since he is in the match tomorrow), here are Ganondorf's trends. Like a typical Nintendo character, his worst time is during the first night vote, but other than that, he's pretty consistent everywhere else. Still, Link and Zelda haven't been keeping to trends this year, so who knows what Ganondorf will do? And if Sho is any indication, Neku is actually going to be a day time character. Also, I'm starting to think that Diablo's supposed strong day vote was inflated by the fact that he faced Kefka and Diablo. Blizzard usually isn't too strong during the day. Look at how badly Thrall falls off here. He lost the ASV to Ratchet. So watch for Ike to rock Arthas during the day! --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/26/2008 6:43:04 PM | message detail |
| Once again Leon, show the Liquid/Alucard fourpack and you'll find that Liquid and Alucard really take off in the last hour due to rallying. |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/26/2008 6:45:29 PM | message detail |
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Also, I'm starting to think that Diablo's supposed strong day vote was inflated by the fact that he faced Kefka and Diablo. Err...that should read Kefka and Bison, not Diablo. --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/26/2008 6:46:37 PM | message detail |
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Diablo lost the day vote to Kratos Aurion, for what it's worth. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/26/2008 6:47:52 PM | message detail |
| Also, Ike will win the day vote but it won't be as
dramatic as it usually is for a Nintendo character. Remember that
Pikachu is also there; even if Ike holds up well against the SFF/LFF,
that's going to hurt him his comeback potential no matter what. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/26/2008 6:53:16 PM | message detail |
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Division 3, Match 2 Frog One of the most exciting characters in contest history is back to make some more history! He’s in another spot that could potentially be tight with KOS-MOS. He’s obviously not going to take first place. Once upon a time before we realized Frog was a fraud, maybe beating Ganondorf would have been debatable. Instead, we’re debating on whether or not he beats KOS-MOS. With Chrono Trigger DS on the horizon, perhaps Frog can regain a little of the strength that he’s been losing the last couple of years. The reason I’m taking Frog to get second has nothing to do with logic but history. When it’s close, take Frog. He’ll find a way to win. Ganondorf As much as I hate to say it, Ganondorf probably wins this one fairly easily. I hope he crashes and burns, failing to get even a single vote, but such is life. Even though he struggled with Luigi last year, Ganondorf did just fine with no Nintendo influence in the poll in the first round. Matter of fact, only Dante delivered a bigger blowout by a non-Noble Niner. Still, his competition was utterly worthless, but don’t worry about Ganondorf until you can smell the bacon. KOS-MOS The deadly android returns for some more! Despite being from a cult series, KOS-MOS has managed to make every contest except for the first, which was before her game was even released, I think. Pretty impressive, I suppose. Enjoy one of the few female characters you’ll see in this bracket! Anyway, KOS-MOS managed to oust Diablo and Arthas last year, who were arguably LFFing each other (though I’m not entirely sold on it) before getting beat up in the second round. All things considered, she did well. KOS-MOS has a great chance of upsetting Frog, but the last time she was in a potential upset situation (other than last year, I suppose), this happened: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2093 Neku Sakuraba The main character of The World Ends With You makes his contest debut! As someone who’s been playing the game a lot over the last month and a half, this makes me happy. Unfortunately, he hasn’t been put into a favorable position. For one thing, he’s handheld exclusive, and most of those characters usually don’t fare well. For another thing, none of these characters he’s facing are fodder, so he’d have to be a decent midcarder to advance, which is also unlikely. If you want to consider it, Frog’s also Square, which could hinder Neku a bit (which may also help KOS-MOS. Who knows). I’m just hoping he does well. Some Old Hack Clobbers Amphibians, Hectopascals, Trusty Overpowered Androids Frog – 24.24% Ganondorf – 37.40% KOS-MOS – 24.00% Neku Sakuraba – 14.36% --- Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/26/2008 7:15:05 PM | message detail |
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KamikazePotato (#044) Tales of Symphonia characters are decent with the day vote, considering they are essentially a Nintendo RPG. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/26/2008 7:40:27 PM | message detail |
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This match is shaping up to have the lowest vote total of the contest, but it's still going to break 120k votes. Which match will have the lowest vote total? I'm thinking Scorpion/Freeman/Balthier/Big Daddy --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 22/32 Today's Match: Samus > Nightmare |
| Biolizard28 | Posted 9/26/2008 7:41:01 PM | message detail |
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Where's that DAMN TENTH MATCH PICTURE? --- Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism. http://img175.imageshack.us/img175/7315/ocelotpartycd1.gif |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/26/2008 7:42:17 PM | message detail |
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Damnit, enough with the Arthas ads all over GameFAQs. Ike is in enough trouble as it is. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
