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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 575

Lopen | Posted 9/25/2008 9:09:47 PM | message detail
Pretty sure Nightmare had a pretty bad board vote last year too, thinking about it. Just figured BRACKETS would've made him win more.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
trannyscience | Posted 9/25/2008 9:10:21 PM | message detail
Nightmare looks safe.

next
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xyzzy
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Janus5000 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:10:23 PM | message detail
...That was boring.
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Stay a while and breathe me in.
Biolizard28 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:10:28 PM | message detail
red sox 777 (#250)
Wow, only 7 out of 50 people on the leaderboard got 4 points.

So casuals had to have been the majority.

Expect a rise in Link picks in the next few days.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
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DpObliVion | Posted 9/25/2008 9:10:32 PM | message detail
:*(

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NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!!
Vote for **CRASH BANDICOOT** - Booyah, Grandma. Booyah.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/25/2008 9:10:35 PM | message detail
yawn

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:10:44 PM | message detail
Not QUITE a cut, gotta do better than that, Crash!
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Biolizard28 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:11:01 PM | message detail
Over.
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Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism.
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Gaddswell | Posted 9/25/2008 9:12:04 PM | message detail
So much for that upset....
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sig
DpObliVion | Posted 9/25/2008 9:12:12 PM | message detail
I'll be happy if Crash doubles Raz.

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NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!!
Vote for **CRASH BANDICOOT** - Booyah, Grandma. Booyah.
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 9/25/2008 9:12:19 PM | message detail
(in Agni voice) It's over!
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
Master Moltar | Posted 9/25/2008 9:12:46 PM | message detail
samus and nightmare winning

i can watch this for 23 more hours
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Moltar Status: augh
Crash/Nightmare/Raz/Samus - Bracket: Samus > Nightmare - Vote: Samus (22/32)
Lopen | Posted 9/25/2008 9:13:18 PM | message detail
No... talking.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
red sox 777 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:13:23 PM | message detail
Nightmare isn't out of the woods yet....

And I'm amazed only 7 people on the leaderboard yesterday managed full points. Hopefully I'll get onto the leaderboard in the next couple days, because I am confident my pick Scorpion > Balthier will not happen.
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Character Battle VII --- Score: 28/32 --- T-8 (119 way)
Bracket: Samus > Nightmare --- Vote: Samus
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:13:29 PM | message detail
I must say, these simple matches are doing wonders for my bracket after Division 1! 24 points, and this will be my fifth perfect match in a row.

Of course, I'd exchange a winning bracket for more Division 1's!
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DpObliVion | Posted 9/25/2008 9:14:48 PM | message detail
Yeah, it's damn nice to see a whole division of green....

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NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!!
Vote for **CRASH BANDICOOT** - Booyah, Grandma. Booyah.
Majin Lou | Posted 9/25/2008 9:15:38 PM | message detail
Indeed, it is.
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Stop my tears. Stop my loving. Kill my memories.
paraboxx | Posted 9/25/2008 9:15:49 PM | message detail
Good grief, even the percentage predictions are spot on.

...why did I stay up for this again...?
charmander6000 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:16:00 PM | message detail
At this rate Samus may fall below 50% during the night.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls
Character Battle 2008: Points 22/32 Today's Match: Samus > Nightmare
trannyscience | Posted 9/25/2008 9:16:01 PM | message detail
Raz is doing pretty good here. didn't expect him to do so well!
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xyzzy
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MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:16:30 PM | message detail
RAZ CUT

or something
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For your health.
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__hiei__ | Posted 9/25/2008 9:18:47 PM | message detail
this fourpack is very comparable to what Crono got so later on we'll be able to see how strong Samus (and Crono) are this year.

it's weird to see she dropping % during the power hour though.i doubt this will keep.
red sox 777 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:19:59 PM | message detail
Hmm....Crash is actually about 0.7% higher than he was at this point against Magus/Phoenix/Bomberman. He rose over 5.5% from this point to the end in that poll, so I'm not calling this one yet (true, against Magus and Phoenix....but 15% to 21% is still an impressive move).
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Character Battle VII --- Score: 28/32 --- T-8 (119 way)
Bracket: Samus > Nightmare --- Vote: Samus
trannyscience | Posted 9/25/2008 9:21:29 PM | message detail
Nightmare went up in the day against Snake, too, so he's not going to collapse or anything. and Snake, bad as he is, ain't Phoenix or Magus.
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xyzzy
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Lopen | Posted 9/25/2008 9:21:42 PM | message detail
Disagree on the comparison between Crono/Samus's pack. Nightmare would destroy anyone in Crono's pack.

... though I suppose all three of em are about equal to Crash. Maybe that's about right thinking this over.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:22:38 PM | message detail
Did someone just say Raiden is equal to Crash.
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CB7 Score: 20/28 - Woo Fei.
English is my second language. And Sho made me like math. -_HarpuiaX_
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:23:29 PM | message detail

trannyscience (#274)
Nightmare went up in the day against Snake, too, so he's not going to collapse or anything. and Snake, bad as he is, ain't Phoenix or Magus.



tran, you also forget that at this point in the match, Phoenix was what, stalling Magus? Nobody this side of Tetris pieces drop like Wrighto did in that match. >_>
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i am false
trannyscience | Posted 9/25/2008 9:23:49 PM | message detail
where the heck did you get Raiden from

this isn't 2007
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xyzzy
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Lopen | Posted 9/25/2008 9:24:05 PM | message detail
Oh I thought they meant this year..

Sorry my bad. Raiden >>>> any one in this pack what is this terrible comparison.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
red sox 777 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:24:13 PM | message detail
Crono's pack looks much, much, weaker to me....Nightmare >> Amaterasu, Crash > Frank West, Raz is probably comparable to Kaim.
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Character Battle VII --- Score: 28/32 --- T-8 (119 way)
Bracket: Samus > Nightmare --- Vote: Samus
__hiei__ | Posted 9/25/2008 9:24:20 PM | message detail
i believe Amaterasu vs Nightmare could be arguable (with nightmare as the favorite of course)

and the other two,weak as they are,as you said,are about crash level.no one there is as weak as raz.

so i believe the packs are about equal in strength
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:24:32 PM | message detail
Oh, I thought he was saying Samus's 4-pack this year was about equal to Crono's 4-pack last year.
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CB7 Score: 20/28 - Woo Fei.
English is my second language. And Sho made me like math. -_HarpuiaX_
ZFS | Posted 9/25/2008 9:25:14 PM | message detail
Raz is probably comparable to Kaim.

This is going a bit too far.

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let's mosey
creativename | Posted 9/25/2008 9:25:31 PM | message detail
Worried about Frog tomorrow.

This contest has a few traditions...
*GTA and Kefka flopping
*Tidus and Shadow disappointing
*Warcraft/Blizzard doing something impressive
*Frog winning an epic match...that he was expected to win easily

Frog vs. KOS-MOS seems to be a pretty close call already, but who knows if Frog has weakened since last year. Of course, KOS-MOS could've weakened too, as I know of no reason she should be stronger.

But hopefully Frog can pull it out. At least KOS-MOS won't obliterate him with the ASV, though even KOS-MOS will likely win that against Frog.
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Lopen | Posted 9/25/2008 9:26:18 PM | message detail
Am I the only one who thought Kaim Argonar could be worth something? I dunno... Lost Odyssey is like... one of the few games that isn't a sequel of the generation that I've heard of from sources that aren't B8.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:26:23 PM | message detail
Raz ain't doin' bad here. I'd expect Kaim to put up similar numbers if he was here.
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CB7 Score: 20/28 - Woo Fei.
English is my second language. And Sho made me like math. -_HarpuiaX_
trannyscience | Posted 9/25/2008 9:27:05 PM | message detail
KOS is a great upset pick, but for as much as CT has been fading, Xenosaga should be even worse.
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xyzzy
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ZFS | Posted 9/25/2008 9:27:29 PM | message detail
Kaim's going to pull an easy third in his match, I think. He won't be nearly as weak as some people are expecting, but he's not going to be all that strong either. Still, he wouldn't have trouble with the Razs of the world.

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let's mosey
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:28:26 PM | message detail
Whoa there. Kaim's got 4th pretty much locked up. Sword SFF from Crono and all.
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CB7 Score: 20/28 - Woo Fei.
English is my second language. And Sho made me like math. -_HarpuiaX_
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:28:34 PM | message detail
Kaim's going to pull an easy third in his match, I think. He won't be nearly as weak as some people are expecting, but he's not going to be all that strong either. Still, he wouldn't have trouble with the Razs of the world.

Kaim's going to pull an easy fourth.

Total Tales of the Abyss level fodder, that guy.
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve!
trannyscience | Posted 9/25/2008 9:29:23 PM | message detail
you know it's a boring match when, half an hour in, we're arguing Frank West vs. Kaim
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xyzzy
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creativename | Posted 9/25/2008 9:29:31 PM | message detail
Total Tales of the Abyss level fodder, that guy.

I really doubt this.
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ZFS | Posted 9/25/2008 9:29:39 PM | message detail
Tales level? Get this outta here.

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let's mosey
Lopen | Posted 9/25/2008 9:29:55 PM | message detail
I've Kaim in second. I dunno, maybe I'm just underestimating Amaterasu. I will say this though... Ada Wong was probably weakened by Dante in R2, and Amaterasu only beat Balthier, the guy who got destroyed by Ada freaking Wong the round previous, by two or three percent as I recall.

I think Kaim Argonar has a good chance for second there.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/25/2008 9:30:19 PM | message detail
Is there anything to support Kaim being worth anything? Not TotA level, but he could easily lose to Frank.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/25/2008 9:30:29 PM | message detail
Ugh, I was expecting better from Samus.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:30:33 PM | message detail
Man you guys are out of your minds.
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CB7 Score: 24/32 - Hooray Division 2.
English is my second language. And Sho made me like math. -_HarpuiaX_
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/25/2008 9:30:42 PM | message detail

Lopen (#294)
I've Kaim in second. I dunno, maybe I'm just underestimating Amaterasu. I will say this though... Ada Wong was probably weakened by Dante in R2, and Amaterasu only beat Balthier, the guy who got destroyed by Ada freaking Wong the round previous, by two or three percent as I recall.

I think Kaim Argonar has a good chance for second there.



Kaim better not be that strong, or else Tetris piece!
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i am false
redrocket | Posted 9/25/2008 9:30:54 PM | message detail
Since when does being Tales level make you a lock to lose to Frank West anyway?

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trannyscience | Posted 9/25/2008 9:32:14 PM | message detail
Kaim's probably around Neku or Sho in strength. maybe a little bit higher, but he won't get more than 15%.

better than Jade for sure.
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xyzzy
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