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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 573 (ASCII)

neonreaper | Posted 9/23/2008 1:53:24 PM | message detail
.16 above the limit under arrest
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Donny: Are they gonna hurt us, Walter?
Walter: No, Donny. These men are cowards.
Tediz247 | Posted 9/23/2008 1:56:27 PM | message detail
So the Nintendo character with a history of not doing much with the ASV is the one who does the most with it in this contest. Go figure.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
transients | Posted 9/23/2008 1:57:44 PM | message detail
it's all about the competition here.
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zfs: man i'm reading an argument about whether or not midna is fat
zfs: come on mgs4
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/23/2008 1:58:02 PM | message detail
Bowser went from 44.20 to 44.36 in 30 minutes. Holy ****.

I'm liking this. I thought I was insane to predict 46.80% on Bowser for my Oracle prediction and Bowser may just come through and get closer to my prediction than I expected.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/23/2008 2:07:35 PM | message detail
yeah tran has a point.

but then again Link is as good as it gets. this is still impressive no matter how you look at it.
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*is Dranze*
Bowser/Cain/Geno/Phoenix - Bracket: Bowser > Phoenix - Vote: Geno (12/20)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/23/2008 2:11:14 PM | message detail
transients
Posted 9/23/2008 4:35:20 PM
message detail
#146 I still can't get over how Phoenix has legit trends now. that tells me he's legit more than any percentage.


Or he was finally up against someone whose board vote is comparable to his. Geno being there meant he didn't have nearly as far to fall.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/23/2008 2:13:09 PM | message detail
Oh yes that favorite of board favorites Geno

oops there goes a few more brain cells
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/23/2008 2:13:59 PM | message detail
Phoenix did better in the third hour than the first that contained the board/bracket vote!

whoops more brain cells

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/23/2008 2:36:19 PM | message detail
And now Bowser just sort of...stops. Not complaining, but I thought the ASV was longer than this.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/23/2008 2:41:07 PM | message detail
Oh yes that favorite of board favorites Geno

oops there goes a few more brain cells


The first hour was his best.

Phoenix's best was 4-5am

Match trends depend entirely on the opponents. Geno has a strong board vote, meaning Phoenix's board vote looks weaker as compared to his board votes last year. Geno is the first guy he's been up against aside from Gordon that has a really strong board vote.
transients | Posted 9/23/2008 2:42:20 PM | message detail
Bowser hasn't stopped increasing. it's just a couple of average updates.

he'll probably get to the high-45s.
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zfs: man i'm reading an argument about whether or not midna is fat
zfs: come on mgs4
ffmasterjose | Posted 9/23/2008 4:08:19 PM | message detail
So, this probably goes without saying, but Phoenix isn't affected by Nintendo SFF right? At first I thought he was, just because all of his games are on the DS. But now I'm thinking he falls more towards Capcom.
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12/20 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII
NP: Bowser > Phoenix Wright
transients | Posted 9/23/2008 4:09:14 PM | message detail
yeah Leon Kennedy's got his number

(Phoenix is completely independent)
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zfs: man i'm reading an argument about whether or not midna is fat
zfs: come on mgs4
FFDragon | Posted 9/23/2008 4:09:47 PM | message detail
What? There's absolutely no reason why Dante or Ryu or Jill should SFF Phoenix. >_>
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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
http://img.imgcake.com//wesker.gif
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/23/2008 4:10:46 PM | message detail
What do you have with coffee? A sandwich.

What is Jill? A sandwich.

Phoenix is screwed.
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i am false
greatone10 | Posted 9/23/2008 4:18:47 PM | message detail
Capcom SFF? Really? The acronym is Same Fanbase Factor, not Same Company Factor. The thing about Capcom is that most of their games/series have very distinct fanbases. Unless you really think that say Mega Man and Dante really share a fanbase.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
HaRRicH | Posted 9/23/2008 4:18:57 PM | message detail
Splash Woman
Wesker
Phoenix
Bomberman



phoenix is so screwed damn that lff
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
Keno316 | Posted 9/23/2008 4:19:56 PM | message detail
So...is Splash Woman gonna get mad rallied in next year?
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims Kiddy Grade's Eclair & C.C.*
_Hogger_ | Posted 9/23/2008 4:20:19 PM | message detail
Zelda has some TJF going on there.
HaRRicH | Posted 9/23/2008 4:21:56 PM | message detail
I hope it's not her, but I definitely want a Robot Master in at some point.

I'm rooting for Pharaoh Man or Metal Man.
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/23/2008 4:22:13 PM | message detail
The sad thing is that Splash Woman would have been a midcarder in the female bracket >_>
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i am false
HaRRicH | Posted 9/23/2008 4:23:02 PM | message detail
We don't know that yet. First, we've gotta see how Tim does.....
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NRT winners: Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
Remember these games!
greatone10 | Posted 9/23/2008 4:25:01 PM | message detail
I'm thinking the best chance for a Robot Master would be the ones that got the most screentime in the Mega Man cartoon. Perhaps Gutsman or Cutman would work. That or Metal Man because of his weapon.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
Master Moltar | Posted 9/23/2008 4:33:22 PM | message detail
Wow, Mario/Knux/Zelda all look really good in that match pic.

Phoenix is falling pretty hard now. He's much closer to his last year numbers, and this is around the point when Phoenix started to get a little "help", if you know what I mean, to keep up with Bomberman. So it looks like he'll fall below his last year percentage after all.

Geno going up with the ASV. Not something I expected, but then again, it's not like anyone else here has a great ASV (Bowser only benefitting because everyone else is so bad obv)

Bowser still on a rampage. 45% will be reached after-all, which was actually the absolute worst I saw Bowser doing (yeah i had high hopes big whoop wanna fight about it).
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Moltar Status: augh
Bowser/Deckard/Geno/Phoenix - Bracket: Bowser > Phoenix - Vote: Bowser (12/20)
transients | Posted 9/23/2008 4:37:46 PM | message detail
there's nothing bad about this performance for Phoenix. Bowser may be a bit disappointing to stat-heads, but he ain't Magus.


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zfs: man i'm reading an argument about whether or not midna is fat
zfs: come on mgs4
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/23/2008 4:38:21 PM | message detail
I think the best chances for Robot Masters would be... Quick, Cut, or Shadow

maybe


But really, we should be more concerned with bringing Proto Man back than getting in some fodder Robot Master.
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve!
RPGGamer0 | Posted 9/23/2008 4:39:19 PM | message detail
Proto Man's a sucker.

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A surveillance camera!?
http://img.imgcake.com//lastcalvin&hobbes.jpg
Master Moltar | Posted 9/23/2008 4:46:18 PM | message detail

transients (#175)
there's nothing bad about this performance for Phoenix. Bowser may be a bit disappointing to stat-heads, but he ain't Magus.



Oh I agree. He's pretty much pulling the same numbers he did last year only with stronger competition. I figured he'd do a bit worse, but he's holding up very well.
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Moltar Status: augh
Bowser/Deckard/Geno/Phoenix - Bracket: Bowser > Phoenix - Vote: Bowser (12/20)
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/23/2008 5:06:56 PM | message detail
woo, Bowser at 45% now. He'll probably increase by at least another 0.5% before the end of the match.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Lopen | Posted 9/23/2008 5:17:18 PM | message detail
How much stronger this four pack is is debatable. Bomberman > SFFed Geno, Crash > Deckard Cain (ouch). Bowser's stronger than Magus but yeah.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
transients | Posted 9/23/2008 5:19:54 PM | message detail
I think Bowser makes up for any weakness there. he's quite a bit stronger than Magus.

Phoenix is going to finish around 24%, though. that's where he finished last time.
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zfs: man i'm reading an argument about whether or not midna is fat
zfs: come on mgs4
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/23/2008 5:20:20 PM | message detail
While Nick's fanbase is small, it certainly seems to be devoted. Phoenix might have gone up in strength, too. Who knows?

06:00 | 42.89% | 17.02% | 10.95% | 29.14%

...What in the world happened here with Geno? That is downright pathetic.

And Bowser really took off. He doesn't look too bad now.

For the record, Bowser is currently getting 75.59% on Deckard Cain, 73.46% on Geno, and 65.05% on Phoenix Wright. Yeah, that seems better for Bowser.

Phoenix Wright is getting 62.47% on Deckard Cain and 59.79% on Geno.

Geno is getting 52.81% on Deckard Cain.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/23/2008 5:22:42 PM | message detail
So does Knuckles have any chance of advancing, or am I just deluding myself into thinking we aren't about to lose another tradition?

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/23/2008 5:26:17 PM | message detail
I am still holding out hope that Link SFFs Sonic Team more than Mario does. I mean... it seems weird still that Shadow would get 45% on Mario and then suddenly Knuckles would get hit hard by SFF like Shadow got hit by... or maybe Shadow's just weaker than Knuckles now.

Either way, there's no way there's enough people that actually prefer Zelda to Mario enough to not let her get SFF'd to the point where the hardcore Sonic fans can't propel Knuckles to victory.

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Arsenal FC 4-0-1 Pts: 12 Pos: Top of the league, where we belong.
character battle vii ; final fantasy vii do you believe
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/23/2008 5:26:39 PM | message detail
Knuckles has a chance of winning, but it's not up to him. He basically has to hope that Mario beats Zelda into oblivion.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/23/2008 5:28:15 PM | message detail
Phoenix is going to finish around 24%

Definitely lower than that. Probably between around 23.60% and 23.75% instead.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Master Moltar | Posted 9/23/2008 5:28:27 PM | message detail
who actually likes zelda anyway really c'mon
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Moltar Status: augh
Bowser/Deckard/Geno/Phoenix - Bracket: Bowser > Phoenix - Vote: Bowser (12/20)
MnMZero | Posted 9/23/2008 5:28:50 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/23/2008 5:29:42 PM | message detail
On the other hand, Brawl is likely to have done good things for her, with how good she is in the game.

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Arsenal FC 4-0-1 Pts: 12 Pos: Top of the league, where we belong.
character battle vii ; final fantasy vii do you believe
Master Moltar | Posted 9/23/2008 5:31:30 PM | message detail
yeah, i <3 her in brawl

but knux is here man
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Moltar Status: augh
Bowser/Deckard/Geno/Phoenix - Bracket: Bowser > Phoenix - Vote: Bowser (12/20)
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/23/2008 5:33:06 PM | message detail
Division 2, Match 3

Fei Fong Wong

This is one of the surprises of the contest, in my opinion. I don’t know if anyone really expected him to be here. I don’t recall a rally for him of any kind, but I’m sure Xenogears fans are pleased that an entry finally made it. Unfortunately, Fei has been put into an unwinnable position. I think he’ll make the most of it and do well because I believe Xenogears fans will be hardcore enough to support him, but he won’t do anything but get last unless Mario SFFs Zelda into the ground like Link did last year, which ain’t likely.

Knuckles the Echidna

Knuckles will get to continue his reputation as the Square Killer because he’ll at least beat Fei, right? Anyway, Knux had a disappointing contest last year, needing a day time comeback to beat Rikku in the first match of the contest. It’s possible he may have even lost that match had Vaan not been in the poll. Some people (like me) thought he could even give Yoshi a fight, but we were wrong. This year will probably be one of his toughest fights to get out of the first round, and he’s had some tough ones in the past. Basically, Knuckles won’t be able to advance in his own power. He has to hope that the Mario/Zelda SFF is bad enough for him to sneak through. Here’s hoping it happens!

Mario

Mr. Nintendo is back, fresh off of his first major console release since the first contest, and we know what happened then! Super Mario Galaxy was much more well-received than Mario Sunshine (and most games, for that matter), so we’ll see how much it helps him. Of course, he’s also coming off of a role in Super Smash Bros. Brawl, so he’s involved in two of the site’s biggest releases in the last year. Certainly a favorable position Mario’s in. He shouldn’t have too much trouble placing first in this fourpack by a wide margin. His toughest competition is also from Nintendo, so he’ll be dealing out the LFF to keep Zelda at bay. No worries for the plumber…yet.

Zelda

The titular (what a funny word…) character from the Legend of Zelda character is back for her fifth contest and third in a row! Like Knuckles, she’s never failed to get past the first round, but last year was the first time she was really challenged straight out of the gate. Vincent put the hurt on her last year, and Mario will be here to put an even bigger hurt on her and give her some SFF to add insult to injury. In my opinion, Zelda is a little weaker in this format because she relies primarily on name value for her strength. When you give people more options to choose from, I think that name value lessens. Her match with Vincent last year seemed to confirm that (at least in my mind). I think Mario will SFF her enough for Knuckles to squeak by into the second round.

SFF Overwhelms Her
Can’t Advance Here
To Our Amusement

Fei Fong Wong – 16.60%
Knuckles the Echidna – 25.77%
Mario – 35.08%
Zelda – 22.55%
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
MnMZero | Posted 9/23/2008 5:37:10 PM | message detail
Either way, there's no way there's enough people that actually prefer Zelda to Mario enough to not let her get SFF'd to the point where the hardcore Sonic fans can't propel Knuckles to victory.

You'd think that there would be tons of hardcore Sonic character fans, but nothing in these fourway matches have proved as much. I thought Knux was as much a fan fave as Yoshi and would do well in this format, but that obviously didn't happen last year. I only picked him over Zelda because he's freakin' Knuckles and it's well worth losing the point!
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Proud Supporter of Zero
transients | Posted 9/23/2008 5:37:13 PM | message detail
I'll be elated if Fei gets 16%, but that's next to impossible. that puts him well above KOS-MOS, and she has a few, um, assets that give her the edge over Fei.
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zfs: man i'm reading an argument about whether or not midna is fat
zfs: come on mgs4
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/23/2008 5:44:09 PM | message detail
Eh, I think the LFF involved will make Fei look better than he really is, so I'm not taking too much away from this match.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/23/2008 5:54:41 PM | message detail
let's see; KOS-MOS got 18% of LFF with Mega Man. Fei will probably get considerably worse.

oh and about Link SFFing Sonic characters more than Mario.. I don't see how that's likely seeing how Mario vs Sonic is the actual rivalry. who's more Nintendo than Mario himself anyway?
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*is Dranze*
Bowser/Cain/Geno/Phoenix - Bracket: Bowser > Phoenix - Vote: Geno (12/20)
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/23/2008 6:00:19 PM | message detail
Well, I feel pretty good about Knux and Zelda being mid-20s (though no clue about the order), so Mario probably takes whatever Fei doesn't get.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/23/2008 6:12:32 PM | message detail
dont know about the mid 20s when Knuckles couldnt even do it against Mega Man. i say that's the highest he could possibly go.
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“Back in my day we used to actually play our videogames instead of watching them”- Vivi0198
Lopen | Posted 9/23/2008 6:17:53 PM | message detail
Actually I'm thinking Fei is going to be around KOS-MOS level. I mean, Xenogears did beat Pokemon GSC a few years ago. Fei probably breaks the fodder line pretty easily here.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
transients | Posted 9/23/2008 6:19:02 PM | message detail
I see no reason to expect much out of Fei after seeing what Serge did last year. he's just faded to obscurity.
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zfs: man i'm reading an argument about whether or not midna is fat
zfs: come on mgs4
MnMZero | Posted 9/23/2008 6:20:49 PM | message detail
And Aya Brea also went even with Donkey Kong. You think that still happens today?
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Proud Supporter of Zero
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