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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 570

KronicYouth | Posted 9/20/2008 11:06:24 PM | message detail
man this battle for 2nd is hilarious. neither of them want it, they're currently just trying to out-suck one another. One decreases by .1% the other by .11%. Jesus they suck.

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MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:06:38 PM | message detail
quick who wins?


Guybrush vs. the entire cast of Tales of the Abyss
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KamikazePotato | Posted 9/20/2008 11:06:53 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Malakuko | Posted 9/20/2008 11:06:57 PM | message detail
I hope Guybrush beats both of them just because I'm so disappointed in Lucario
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Mer NOICE
KronicYouth | Posted 9/20/2008 11:07:08 PM | message detail
guybrush

the tale of the abyss characters would only add up to 7% combined.

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can you dig it?
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/20/2008 11:07:32 PM | message detail
The only thing preventing me from making Altair a lock for 4th round right now is Guybrush.

Look how close he is to Isaac and Lucario Those are not strong characters, or even low midcarders.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:07:56 PM | message detail
Look how close he is to Isaac and Lucario Those are not strong characters, or even low midcarders.

Well, they are uh... vote splitting pretty badly probably. And they even both have the Brawl images going to like... accentuate it or something. They're probably not quite this pathetic.
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For your health.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2008 11:07:59 PM | message detail
Frog > Ganondorf in round 2?

Believe!
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:08:17 PM | message detail

MoogleKupo141 (#402)
quick who wins?


Guybrush vs. the entire cast of Tales of the Abyss


Guybrush wins in a close 3800-3400 match.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 9/20/2008 11:08:26 PM | message detail
Still. They are 9% from Guybrush.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/20/2008 11:09:10 PM | message detail
Did I seriously just say 9%?

11%. I should go go bed now.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:09:15 PM | message detail
Still. They are 9% from Guybrush.


11%, not 9 ;>_>
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For your health.
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smitelf | Posted 9/20/2008 11:09:34 PM | message detail

Gaddswell (#385)
What happens if either Wario or Cecil remained constant?



If Wario is constant:

Cecil: 10.11
Jade: 3.99
Zack: 21.19

If Cecil is constant from '05 (holy crap):

Jade: 6.85
Wario: 30.36
Zack: 36.39
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smitelf | Posted 9/20/2008 11:11:25 PM | message detail
If Cecil is constant, Zack = Vincent
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Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 11:11:37 PM | message detail
Well, we'll see at the end of the day I guess.

They're bound to go up with the day, so let's see where they end up. Though, Pre-Brawl Ike > Post-Brawl Lucario is kinda funny.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2008 11:12:10 PM | message detail
If Cecil is constant from '05 (holy crap):

Jade: 6.85
Wario: 30.36
Zack: 36.39


No way is Cecil constant from 05 given that his picture was much better this year, and he's since had both FF4 Advance and FF4 DS.

That put's Zack's value a lot closer to 40%

Zack to the finals?
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:12:14 PM | message detail
If Wario is constant:

Cecil: 10.11
Jade: 3.99
Zack: 21.19


I like this one because it makes Jade look like a total Tannerfest
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For your health.
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chaosarcher07 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:12:22 PM | message detail
before we all get too carried away (lol 2007 xstats alert)

Altair at the present is actually doing slightly worse against Issac than Duke is expected to through last year's stats.

of course you definitely need to take that with several containers of salt. and that's assuming the current % holds.

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/20/2008 11:12:55 PM | message detail
Take Guybrush

Change the first "u" into an "a"

Remove the "r"

Split it into two words between the "y" and the "b"



http://img81.imageshack.us/img81/1251/bush38566ro8.jpg

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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2008 11:13:50 PM | message detail
Try using Wario's 2k3 value. It's probably a lot more reliable than last year's <_<

33 Wario
24.07%

23.29%
South 8 7
transience | Posted 9/20/2008 11:14:07 PM | message detail
this topic needs a do-over

TRE don't archive this
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xyzzy
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Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 11:14:07 PM | message detail
Looks like I gave more fuel to the Zacktrain. >_<

Yeah, the Wario = constant stats look much more reasonable.
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KronicYouth | Posted 9/20/2008 11:14:30 PM | message detail
haha. oh man I was all like "where the hell is yo going with this"

and then i laughed my ass off

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can you dig it?
Tohoya | Posted 9/20/2008 11:14:45 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
ZFS | Posted 9/20/2008 11:15:04 PM | message detail
If Cecil is constant, Zack = Vincent

we have arrived

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let's mosey
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2008 11:15:08 PM | message detail
But Altair is doing a full 10% better against Guybrush than Duke did last year.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/20/2008 11:15:16 PM | message detail
this topic needs a do-over

TRE don't archive this


If I don't learn from my mistakes I will just repeat the freakout.

Do you really want that to happen?


Also, this is the slowest I've ever seen a character pull away from another character. I think.

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
smitelf | Posted 9/20/2008 11:16:39 PM | message detail

BlAcK TuRtLe (#420)
Try using Wario's 2k3 value. It's probably a lot more reliable than last year's <_<

33 Wario
24.07%

23.29%
South 8 7



Wario's 2k3 value (which IMO is meaningless now) is actually just 0.04% away from his value if you hold Jade constant.
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Tohoya | Posted 9/20/2008 11:16:55 PM | message detail
Look how close he is to Isaac and Lucario Those are not strong characters, or even low midcarders.

Is it fair to say Guybrush has a fairly static fanbase?
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KamikazePotato | Posted 9/20/2008 11:17:45 PM | message detail
Is it fair to say Guybrush has a fairly static fanbase?

...Actually, probably, yeah. How else does he keep getting into these things?

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Bracket:
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10
smitelf | Posted 9/20/2008 11:18:28 PM | message detail
Most of the total fodder characters will have fairly constant fanbases in these four-ways.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2008 11:19:38 PM | message detail
Personally, I think this "static fanbase" argument is useless. We don't really have any solid examples of it. It's far more likely that today's competition is roughly the same strength as last year's fourpack.
chaosarcher07 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:23:06 PM | message detail
But Altair is doing a full 10% better against Guybrush than Duke did last year.

Guybrush (2007c) VS Duke Nukem (2007c)

Guybrush has a strength of 9.12.
Duke Nukem has a strength of 20.87.

Duke Nukem wins with 78.15% of the vote!

I know the 2007 stats are lousy, but Altair is currently at 76.8% on Guybrush.

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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:23:30 PM | message detail
what in the world is going on here, I just got home
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smitelf | Posted 9/20/2008 11:24:25 PM | message detail

KleenexTissue50 (#434)
what in the world is going on here, I just got home



We all put our brackets through a shredder.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2008 11:24:34 PM | message detail
Wait, how does that even make sense? Duke had 30% and Altair is pushing 40%.

This is why I avoid math classes wherever possible.
chaosarcher07 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:26:59 PM | message detail
Wait, how does that even make sense? Duke had 30% and Altair is pushing 40%.

This is why I avoid math classes wherever possible.


I'm not sure myself. Maybe my math is wrong?

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Tohoya | Posted 9/20/2008 11:27:17 PM | message detail
Personally, I think this "static fanbase" argument is useless. We don't really have any solid examples of it

Amaterasu
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"There she lusted after her lovers, whose genitals were like those of donkeys and whose emission was like that of horses." --Ezekiel 23:20
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:31:53 PM | message detail
I dunno, Guybrush seems kind of like he might be static...ish at least maybe.
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KronicYouth | Posted 9/20/2008 11:33:53 PM | message detail
So have we ever had such an intense battle for placing where no one really seems to give a damn?

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can you dig it?
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2008 11:34:44 PM | message detail
Yesterday

The day before yesterday

Duke's fourpack last year
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:36:00 PM | message detail
Has Isaac actually gotten ahead of Lucario at all yet? If not, that's uh.. really weird that we can have something this close yet completely devoid of lead changes.
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For your health.
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smitelf | Posted 9/20/2008 11:38:44 PM | message detail
Assuming Guybrush at 9.12%, here's where the rest are at this point, x-stat wise:

Altair: 22.7
Isaac: 15.5
Lucario: 15.7

This of course assumes no LFF
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
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Link The Hylian | Posted 9/20/2008 11:39:35 PM | message detail
Would be hilarious if Lucario somehow narrowly stayed ahead all night, gained a small lead during the day, and then finished the match roughly where he is now in second. Would sure suck to be an Isaac fan.

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transience | Posted 9/20/2008 11:41:01 PM | message detail
remember when Phoenix Wright had a static fanbase?

woo
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
smitelf | Posted 9/20/2008 11:42:00 PM | message detail
Man, I am really kicking myself here for thinking that Lucario would be on Mewtwo's level. He's obviously nowhere close.
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
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KronicYouth | Posted 9/20/2008 11:42:25 PM | message detail
looks like Issacs poised to make his move...

time for me to smoke a half a blunt and get to bed

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can you dig it?
Janus5000 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:43:55 PM | message detail
Lucario almost lost that update to Guybrush.
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Big Bob | Posted 9/20/2008 11:45:09 PM | message detail
Isaac's making a break for it.
chaosarcher07 | Posted 9/20/2008 11:46:07 PM | message detail
Man, I am really kicking myself here for thinking that Lucario would be on Mewtwo's level. He's obviously nowhere close.

Mewtwo would be winning handily here IMO.

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