GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 570
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/20/2008 9:06:28 PM | message detail |
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LucariOWNED ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~ http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html ~*aprosenf's poll script*~ http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms, Percentages For Dummies, and Odd Matches*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN! Now Playing: Final Fantasy 4 DS, Spore ~*ST*~ |
| M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 9/20/2008 9:06:47 PM | message detail |
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This contest is awesome. --- SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/ "[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 9/20/2008 9:06:53 PM | message detail |
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So, Pikachu/Ike/Arthas/Spy. Who is the favorite now? --- Good Times, Great Memories |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/20/2008 9:07:25 PM | message detail |
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FEEL THE ALTAIR! Of all the days not to have AIM access...I wanna rub this in the face of Dealer so badly. ...and for some reason, I'm starting to feel better about having Marth getting 2nd next round <_< --- ...I'm still War13104! "and seriously, white flags, god damnit. v.v" - ExThaNemesis, 11:44 PM EST, 1/28/07 |
| Sir Basch | Posted 9/20/2008 9:07:31 PM | message detail |
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spy its ****ing spy. my bracket is burning and I am laughing insanely, jesus christ --- Achromatic The Cream of Cubs Fanboyism |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/20/2008 9:07:40 PM | message detail |
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Altair>Isaac BOOK IT --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| Malakuko | Posted 9/20/2008 9:07:45 PM | message detail |
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this contest is so awesome --- http://img.imgcake.com//christ2.gif http://img.imgcake.com//dannynoriegaanimated.gif Mer NOICE |
| Big Bob | Posted 9/20/2008 9:08:02 PM | message detail |
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Lucario's taking a ton of damage here. Comeback confirmed |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/20/2008 9:08:44 PM | message detail |
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Pikachu still, my logic for Marth (and Altair) beating Lucario is that
Lucario has minimal pull with the older audience who may have played
Pokemon. The guy may as well be a pure Brawl character <_< --- ...I'm still War13104! "and seriously, white flags, god damnit. v.v" - ExThaNemesis, 11:44 PM EST, 1/28/07 |
| Lopen | Posted 9/20/2008 9:08:48 PM | message detail |
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Screw ZackFAQs this is Altair country! --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| Xcarvenger | Posted 9/20/2008 9:08:51 PM | message detail |
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Ike > Arthas looks good now tbqh --- Xcarvenger: http://img514.imageshack.us/img514/9123/chocobo34kg4.jpg For all your board 8 needs: www.board8.wikia.com |
| Link The Hylian | Posted 9/20/2008 9:08:51 PM | message detail |
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Man I'm so glad I didn't bother making a bracket for this contest. --- "The PS2 had 12,000,000 pre orders. To give you an idea of how many people that is that's over half of the world population." - DifferentialEquation |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/20/2008 9:08:55 PM | message detail |
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And I had Lucario leaving this division with Link. >_< --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 6/12 Today's Match: Lucario > Altair |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/20/2008 9:08:59 PM | message detail |
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So much for people LOVING brawl. --- Warning, there is a bear right behind you. Ride Him. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/20/2008 9:09:10 PM | message detail |
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Gogo Altair > Isaac! --- "Men that are trapped by chains of 'maybe' can never reach their dreams!" Explicit Content > me in the Guru |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 9:09:15 PM | message detail |
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Link / Zack / Altair / Duke Who's goin' to round 4? --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| M80TheWolf | Posted 9/20/2008 9:09:23 PM | message detail |
| This is so ridiculous. I'm going to have less than
half the possible points after the first division... and I don't even
feel bad about it. At least I have Altair in 1st next round too! Too bad Kefka's in second. --- hungry like the wolf |
| jrdebo | Posted 9/20/2008 9:09:24 PM | message detail |
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I really want Spy to win but I doubt he will :( --- Oakland Raider fan till I die. Let's just try not suck this year. My gaming backlog report. http://backloggery.com/main.php?user=jrdebo |
| ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 9/20/2008 9:09:34 PM | message detail |
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ZackFAQs >>>>>>> Altair Country by leagues! --- Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/20/2008 9:10:05 PM | message detail |
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So much for people LOVING brawl. More like so much for Pokemon Factor. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 9/20/2008 9:10:11 PM | message detail |
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Melee > Brawl easily --- Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/20/2008 9:10:13 PM | message detail |
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I've lost all fear of L-Block failing in Round 1 now. REST OF THE FIELD, BEWARE. --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| ZFS | Posted 9/20/2008 9:10:25 PM | message detail |
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ZackFAQs -- now and forever --- let's mosey |
| Keno316 | Posted 9/20/2008 9:10:30 PM | message detail |
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People complained about this contest, but the unpredictability so far
has been some of the most interesting stuff I've seen in one in a long
time. --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims Kiddy Grade's Eclair & C.C.* |
| smitelf | Posted 9/20/2008 9:10:34 PM | message detail |
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Link / Zack / Altair / Duke According to my bracket, Shadow. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Biden/Obama...er, I mean Obama/Biden '08! |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/20/2008 9:10:38 PM | message detail |
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Oh god Altair > Isaac might just happen. --- ...I'm still War13104! "and seriously, white flags, god damnit. v.v" - ExThaNemesis, 11:44 PM EST, 1/28/07 |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/20/2008 9:10:38 PM | message detail |
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I really want Spy to win but I doubt he will :( *CONTEST SPOILERS* Link, Cloud, Mario, and Snake are All secretly Spy disguised. /END SPOILERS --- Warning, there is a bear right behind you. Ride Him. |
| transience | Posted 9/20/2008 9:10:38 PM | message detail |
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okay, with Lucario having a truckload of brackets behind him, I think Isaac has a real chance here. --- xyzzy "Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai |
| satai_delenn | Posted 9/20/2008 9:10:38 PM | message detail |
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Screw ZackFAQs this is Altair country! Zack would rule Altair country with a fair and just hand. ...god that pun wasn't even intentional, augh. --- Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE! |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 9:10:39 PM | message detail |
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Aww yeah, Isaac's stalling Lucario! --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/20/2008 9:10:50 PM | message detail |
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So uh isn't this supposed to be Lucario's A-time? GO ISAAC --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/20/2008 9:11:04 PM | message detail |
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Well it looks like the match is between Lucario and Isaac --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 6/12 Today's Match: Lucario > Altair |
| ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 9/20/2008 9:11:06 PM | message detail |
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L-Block to repeat the throne??? Not with ZackFAQs --- Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/20/2008 9:11:12 PM | message detail |
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Keno316 | Posted 9/21/2008 12:10:30 AM (#024) People complained about this contest, but the unpredictability so far has been some of the most interesting stuff I've seen in one in a long time. Fourways are still ass. These upsets would be much more awesome 1v1 --- MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN! Now Playing: Final Fantasy 4 DS, Spore ~*ST*~ |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/20/2008 9:11:32 PM | message detail |
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One thing tranny is probably right about is that this is a case of Lucario being really overrated. Isaac should overtake him during the night, and Isaac doesn't overtake respectable competitors, dammit. --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/20/2008 9:11:51 PM | message detail |
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Altair > Isaac?!?!!?! seriously there are no words --- Moltar Status: augh Altair/Guybrush/Isaac/Lucario - Bracket: Lucario > Altair - Vote: Lucario (6/12) |
| Keno316 | Posted 9/20/2008 9:12:07 PM | message detail |
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Fourways are still ass. These upsets would be much more awesome 1v1 Most likely true. But at the same time a lot of them probably wouldn't happen 1 on 1. --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims Kiddy Grade's Eclair & C.C.* |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/20/2008 9:12:50 PM | message detail |
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Zidane doing a headbutt on Shadow, Duke Parking a brick on everyone's bracket, Now Lucario too busy Yiffing himself. This contest rocks. --- Warning, there is a bear right behind you. Ride Him. |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 9/20/2008 9:12:52 PM | message detail |
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Assist Trophy boost aw yeah. Y'know, Isaac had a fairly solid day vote in his match last year. It wasn't as good as the rat's but it got the job done. If Lucario's lead was built on bracket votes, this could end poorly for him. --- Mustache...and green... |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/20/2008 9:13:11 PM | message detail |
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of course the match I was the most sure of is the one I get the most wrong. ROFL --- Arsenal FC 4-0-1 Pts: 12 Pos: Top of the league, where we belong. character battle vii ; final fantasy vii. do you believe |
| smitelf | Posted 9/20/2008 9:13:13 PM | message detail |
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WHERE IS YOUR GOD NOW?! --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Biden/Obama...er, I mean Obama/Biden '08! |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/20/2008 9:13:30 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, Isaac has never had a bad day vote. It won't be better than Pokemon, but...watch out, Lucario. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| M80TheWolf | Posted 9/20/2008 9:13:37 PM | message detail |
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People complained about this contest, but the unpredictability so
far has been some of the most interesting stuff I've seen in one in a
long time. I'd much rather have interesting stuff and awesome bracket set-ups in a 1v1 style. Granted we probably wouldn't be seeing upsets going down like crazy like this, but I'd still prefer it. Once you get 128 characters into the mix, it's kinda hard to predict who's better than who among fodder and random new entrants. A good 1v1 bracket would be better than this still. For having to deal with 4-ways though, I guess this is good. --- hungry like the wolf |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/20/2008 9:13:42 PM | message detail |
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If it's Isaac, I'm thinking Altair > Marth is the most likely
scenario for the next round. Altair seems like the type of guy who
would ravage Duke's casual support. --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| Lopen | Posted 9/20/2008 9:13:43 PM | message detail |
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I am lovin this. I voted Altair just because he looks cool and because people scream Assassin!! at him clearly that's where the votes are coming from. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| Xcarvenger | Posted 9/20/2008 9:13:45 PM | message detail |
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nobody expects jinjo at the top of the leaderboard! --- Xcarvenger: http://img514.imageshack.us/img514/9123/chocobo34kg4.jpg For all your board 8 needs: www.board8.wikia.com |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/20/2008 9:13:47 PM | message detail |
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All the 0 brackets seem to have died in three matches. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 6/12 Today's Match: Lucario > Altair |
| ZFS | Posted 9/20/2008 9:13:50 PM | message detail |
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time for isaac to get outta here --- let's mosey |
| M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 9/20/2008 9:14:04 PM | message detail |
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UltimaterializerX (#034) People complained about this contest, but the unpredictability so far has been some of the most interesting stuff I've seen in one in a long time. Fourways are still ass. These upsets would be much more awesome 1v1 These upsets wouldn't exist 1v1, and we'd have yet more stale lifeless matches. I love 1v1s as much as the next guy, but fourways have proven to be interesting and hell and are the closest we'll ever get to 2002-levels of unpredictability and excitement. --- SNES Reviews - http://mega64.20ehost.com/ "[Wylvane]'s the type of guy we probably need more of around here to keep the place interesting." ~Smurf |
| satai_delenn | Posted 9/20/2008 9:14:14 PM | message detail |
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We should all just...stop ever saying anything is a lock. Or even close to a lock. Ever again. --- Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE! |
