GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 569
| __Smurf__ | Posted 9/20/2008 1:24:33 AM | message detail |
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http://www.myredpacket.com/shopimages/products/thumbnails/BubbleGum.jpg Niko's last hope. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~ http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html ~*aprosenf's poll script*~ http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms, Percentages For Dummies, and Odd Matches*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/20/2008 1:30:05 AM | message detail |
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Today Duke, tomorrow Guybrush! VOTE FOR GUYBRUSH OR YOU FIGHT LIKE A COW! --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. EC > Me |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/20/2008 1:30:45 AM | message detail |
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time for Leonhart to re-make this topic IMO --- Arsenal FC 3-0-1 Pts: 9 Pos: 3rd character battle vii ; final fantasy vii. do you believe |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 9/20/2008 1:34:27 AM | message detail |
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XD yeah just thinking that. ^_~ --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/20/2008 1:36:15 AM | message detail |
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was that the last time you tried to make one of these? =P --- Arsenal FC 3-0-1 Pts: 9 Pos: 3rd character battle vii ; final fantasy vii. do you believe |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 9/20/2008 1:38:05 AM | message detail |
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Yeah, I suffered a major CS&D confidence blow after that. Took me this long to try again. ^_~ --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/20/2008 1:39:01 AM | message detail |
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well I mean that was really harsh. I still think that was pretty low of
Leon to do that. tbqh it was your day, Sonic your favorite character
overcoming the odds. it's like "let him make the topic ffs" --- Arsenal FC 3-0-1 Pts: 9 Pos: 3rd character battle vii ; final fantasy vii. do you believe |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 1:40:26 AM | message detail |
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I remember that. Twas two years ago from now. Well, let's hurry and make this the official topic then! --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 9/20/2008 1:41:51 AM | message detail |
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Yeah well now you know why I have such a low opinion of him. -_- --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 2:22:13 AM | message detail |
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Well, that's two updates now where Marth seems to be slowing Duke's gains. --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/20/2008 2:23:02 AM | message detail |
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What a strange 500 post.. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. EC > Me |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 9/20/2008 2:23:54 AM | message detail |
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376 now, seems likely that Duke will take the lead at some point.
Meanwhile Kefka pads his lead on Niko to over 800. Just hope he keeps
it up. -_- --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| Lopen | Posted 9/20/2008 2:28:24 AM | message detail |
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Kefka's deficit with respect to Marth hasn't really been increasing.
Duke > Kefka today for the total nonsense result who's with me. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 2:29:11 AM | message detail |
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So much for Marth's recovery. He's got about two more hours until the weekend morning vote hits, right? --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| Seginustemple | Posted 9/20/2008 2:29:42 AM | message detail |
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Duke>Marth to heal my bracket imo --- Brawl FC: 0344-8961-0822 |
| Seginustemple | Posted 9/20/2008 2:34:07 AM | message detail |
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If Duke averages a 20 vote cut per update he'll still need an hour and a half to take the lead... The day vote will have to really suck for Marth, else Duke's doomed to second. --- Brawl FC: 0344-8961-0822 |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/20/2008 2:34:17 AM | message detail |
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Duke could end up making this match boring. He's making the lead
between him and Niko nearly unsurpassable and Marth is likely going to
own him in a few hours. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| Lightning Strikes | Posted 9/20/2008 2:35:31 AM | message detail |
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Well, today's match is definitely something. *sigh* Makes me wonder about what would have happened without Naked Kefka. Why do my favourite characters always spite me...? I swear, Isaac BETTER pull an upset tomorrow. Screw my bracket, I want him through. As for the actual match, Duke has really been all over the place. He's now a near lock for second, if not a lock. But he's not consistent enough to take first and hold it. Marth has been typical lesser nintendo character fare. Kefka's been very consistent, and he's lucky that it's a weekend. But his pic stops him from getting through. I mean seriously, WTF? But man, Niko is sucking it up here. --- The below statement is the most false thing in the world. http://i113.photobucket.com/albums/n237/Danielyoon10/B8sigbet.jpg?t=1221767288 |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/20/2008 2:37:45 AM | message detail |
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Lightning Strikes (#018) http://i127.photobucket.com/albums/p160/satai_delenn/kefka.jpg http://img296.imageshack.us/img296/1318/lettucekefkacopymn9.png Take your pick. You would think that with all the ports and remakes for FF6 that someone would draw a decent Kefka art. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| Djungelurban | Posted 9/20/2008 2:39:06 AM | message detail |
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If they only had released the Dissidia art for Kefka by now things would be different I'm sure... --- B.B. Hood for CB -09 The apples were too strong for him. |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/20/2008 2:45:06 AM | message detail |
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The one thing that surprised me is that no one tried this. It might have worked and it would be recognizable. http://www.videogamesprites.net/FinalFantasy6/Bosses/09%20-%20Kefka.gif --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/20/2008 3:18:46 AM | message detail |
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Duke could end up making this match boring. How can he make the match booring when he's pretty much the main reason its completely screwy right now? --- Warning, there is a bear right behind you. Ride Him. |
| SupremeArticle | Posted 9/20/2008 3:22:23 AM | message detail |
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i picked marth in first duke in second --- dun blame me fer bad grammar blame rap |
| Starion | Posted 9/20/2008 3:24:16 AM | message detail |
| I'm looking at the % per update graph at the poll updater site and those Duke spikes are ridiculous. Is this just an effect of the dead hour voting hours where the lower votes per update exaggerates the effect? |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/20/2008 3:24:34 AM | message detail |
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I just pretty much explained why, but I might as well explain further. He's making a run at Marth, but we can be certain that Marth will own the day, so this is pretty meaningless. Kefka ain't doing crap, and it's likely that Kefka takes fourth place during the day. Niko could make a run at Duke during the day if the casual voters turn out for him, but the more distance Duke puts between Niko, the less likely Niko can take the lead. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| ZFS | Posted 9/20/2008 3:28:58 AM | message detail |
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what the --- let's mosey |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/20/2008 3:30:19 AM | message detail |
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How would it have been any different if it was a High/Uber Carder or Fodderific Fodder? Probably wouldve been Boring and predictable thoughout the whole thing. --- Warning, there is a bear right behind you. Ride Him. |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 3:32:25 AM | message detail |
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Under a 100 votes now. Duke should have the lead about half an hour. About time Marth stalls the guy. --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/20/2008 3:32:56 AM | message detail |
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Just like how Shadow would own the morning on Zidane, right? I got
Marth > Duke and all that but considering how fast Marth is dropping
right now I don't think he's a lock to win this poll. The only boring thing about this match is that Duke almost got a +2000 lead on Niko, and Kefka was doomed from the beginning. So it's safe to say that Marth and Duke will advance, now it's just the order that is not certain. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. EC > Me |
| satai_delenn | Posted 9/20/2008 3:41:03 AM | message detail |
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Whoa. I come back from playing Crisis Core and Marth is about to lose his lead to Duke Nukem. What in the world. --- Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE! |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 3:42:21 AM | message detail |
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To think, last year, Duke beat pre-Brawl Ike by 1827 votes with Gordon
and Guybrush in the poll and he's close to post-Brawl Marth right now
with Kefka and Niko in the poll. I know the day hasn't showed up yet, but... Ike or Marth? >_> --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 3:47:38 AM | message detail |
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23 votes left... --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| ZFS | Posted 9/20/2008 3:48:27 AM | message detail |
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Man, Duke Nukem. who knew --- let's mosey |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 3:52:34 AM | message detail |
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12 votes.... Duke takin' the lead next update? --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| kfleong2000 | Posted 9/20/2008 3:53:17 AM | message detail |
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Is this on course to be the closest 4-way battle ever? --- Currently playing: Apollo Justice, F-Zero GX, SSBB No one lies on their deathbed wishing they spent more time in the office. |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 9/20/2008 3:53:36 AM | message detail |
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Niko's 2000 down already, he's not having a run at anything. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| rob29 | Posted 9/20/2008 3:53:45 AM | message detail |
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4chan. --- At the Title Screen press Up, Up, Down, Down, Left, Right, Left, Right, B, A, Start. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/20/2008 3:54:48 AM | message detail |
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Marth > Ike, at least 2007 Ike >_> Damn I just saw that I had Marth > Duke in the next round as well. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. EC > Me |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 3:57:13 AM | message detail |
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Duke with a 7 vote lead! --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| Seginustemple | Posted 9/20/2008 3:57:14 AM | message detail |
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Let's see how much cushion Duke can make before the day cuts in Martha's favor... --- Brawl FC: 0344-8961-0822 |
| Xcarvenger | Posted 9/20/2008 3:58:38 AM | message detail |
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Could this be a sign of what's to come? We know the Duke haven't got a game in 11 years, and with DNF floating around, I would imagine that most of his votes would be joke votes (and bracket votes). oh wait what, Duke Nukem 3D for 360 is coming out in US in 4 days? what is that? --- Xcarvenger: http://img514.imageshack.us/img514/9123/chocobo34kg4.jpg For all your board 8 needs: www.board8.wikia.com |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 9/20/2008 4:00:41 AM | message detail |
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There's Duke Nukem Trilogy hype floating around too. A lot of people were very impressed from the E3 video this year. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6K00DCK1l98 --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/20/2008 4:00:42 AM | message detail |
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Cmon people, did you really think Duke would still be fodder after they finally put out the Forever Teaser? --- Warning, there is a bear right behind you. Ride Him. |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 4:03:57 AM | message detail |
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Looks like he'll build a lead of ~200 before the day shows up. --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 9/20/2008 4:10:10 AM | message detail |
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He's almost at 100 already and showing signs of any slowdown, he'll be
several hundred ahead at least before Marth has any say in things. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| Kratos_42 | Posted 9/20/2008 4:13:21 AM | message detail |
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Dammit, I had Link/Niko winning their freakin' division! --- It's not always easy to distinguish between existentialism and a bad mood. |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 4:14:29 AM | message detail |
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Looks like I may have underestimated a little. But there's a slowdown! And doesn't the day vote being in an hour? It was around that time that Ness started pulling mid-upper twenties again. --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2008 4:17:59 AM | message detail |
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Yep, Duke's definitely slowing down. Update went Niko > Marth > Kefka > Duke --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 9/20/2008 4:18:09 AM | message detail |
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hmmm Niko won that update. --- Smurf. The cream of Sonic Fanboyism you're like some devious internet fiend- Majin |
| jonthomson | Posted 9/20/2008 4:21:12 AM | message detail |
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omg dukefaqs --- Jon Thomson - 1:10 pure 1:43 100% - HKP: 179 Obama '08 imo |
