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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 566

The Mana Sword | Posted 9/18/2008 11:06:02 AM | message detail
Looks like Jade's shooting for sub-6%. This is awesome. Go Luke.
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Kleenex - Not on his computer.
Yesmar | Posted 9/18/2008 11:10:37 AM | message detail

If I wasn't so lazy, I'd make this into a website. Maybe someone can convince NGamer or cn to do that.


It's not exactly the same thing, but I have a board where I archived the Hourly Updates for 2005 + some extras.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/gentopic.php?board=572228

I'm currently working on Sp2004, but feel free to use this board as an archive for any Hourly Update materials.
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You need to meet someone at a garden, or a movie or something. Somewhere classy. Like a cooking recipe message board or something.--True Godhand/Curt
Yesmar | Posted 9/18/2008 11:21:41 AM | message detail
And here's some hourly updates for Zack/Wario in case anyone's interested:

Time | Wario Zack
01:00 | 46.05% | 53.95%
02:00 | 41.63% | 58.37%
03:00 | 41.60% | 58.40%
04:00 | 39.61% | 60.39%
05:00 | 40.12% | 59.88%
06:00 | 39.84% | 60.16%
07:00 | 45.84% | 54.16%
08:00 | 44.08% | 55.92%
09:00 | 45.55% | 54.45%
10:00 | 44.37% | 55.63%
11:00 | 42.70% | 57.30%
12:00 | 42.89% | 57.11%
13:00 | 41.58% | 58.42%
14:00 | 41.62% | 58.38%

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You need to meet someone at a garden, or a movie or something. Somewhere classy. Like a cooking recipe message board or something.--True Godhand/Curt
voltch | Posted 9/18/2008 11:43:04 AM | message detail
so has Zack finally gotten some respect over the course of the day?
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Del Boy:He who dares, wins!
greatone10 | Posted 9/18/2008 11:51:14 AM | message detail
Zack has my respect as far as being a legit contender, but it remains to be seen whether he beats Shadow or escapes this division.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
DpObliVion | Posted 9/18/2008 11:57:24 AM | message detail
Zack is slowing down with the after-school vote! Time for Wario to start his comeback!



<_<

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NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!!
Character Battle VII *PRINTABLE BRACKET* - Look in my profile for links. GO SONIC
__hiei__ | Posted 9/18/2008 11:58:52 AM | message detail
Watch Shadow do another Shadow-Mario and get like 30% tommorow >_>
greatone10 | Posted 9/18/2008 12:00:52 PM | message detail
I think Wario's motorcycle has two flat tires...
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
UItimaterializer | Posted 9/18/2008 12:12:12 PM | message detail
The Guilty Gear rushdown style has failed Wario big-time!
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MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN!
Now Playing: Final Fantasy 4 DS, Spore ~*ST*~
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 9/18/2008 12:14:35 PM | message detail
Cecil Harvey 17.07% 14376
Jade Curtiss 6.08% 5125
Wario 33.22% 27984
Zack Fair 43.62% 36745
TOTAL VOTES 84230

Jade's still dropping....At this rate, he'll fall below 6% before the poll is over.
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/18/2008 12:29:18 PM | message detail
people.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Contest4Way.ods

um.. my openoffice wont open this for some strange reason. i just get a bunch of strange text.
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*is Dranze*
Bracket: Wario > Zack | Vote: Wario
Lopen | Posted 9/18/2008 12:31:25 PM | message detail
Called Jade at 5.45 here. This shouldn't really be that surprising... it was pretty clear this pack was at least a little stronger than Balthier/Ada/Frank West
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/18/2008 12:37:11 PM | message detail
Grr, no one's even giving Zidane a chance (besides red sox).

For good reason, but humor me for another 8 hours.

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Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP)
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/18/2008 12:39:48 PM | message detail
Oh, and I sent my Guest Analysis for the match in way before this match, so I had Luke pegged at 6%. Is there any way I can change that?

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Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP)
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/18/2008 12:40:31 PM | message detail
Zack has my respect as far as being a legit contender, but it remains to be seen whether he beats Shadow or escapes this division.

This is the big question, though after seeing Zack build up such a fine lead I think he has a shot of beating Shadow.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/18/2008 12:41:22 PM | message detail

KamikazePotato (#063)
Grr, no one's even giving Zidane a chance (besides red sox).

For good reason, but humor me for another 8 hours.



Too busy debating Midna/Axel Steel sorry.
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i am false
Xuxon | Posted 9/18/2008 12:41:41 PM | message detail
i always thought zidane had a decent chance. not enough to pick him, but enough that i wouldn't really be surprised. i know i'd take 10-1 odds betting for zidane at least.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/19, before Captain Crow
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/18/2008 12:42:51 PM | message detail
Oh yeah, and at this rate Zack beats Shadow easily. Link is far, far more likely to hurt Shadow than Zack, and if Zidane is there I doubt he stands a chance.

Really, this Wario is probably a little stronger than the one we saw last year (as we expected). Zack is just performing way better than expected.

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Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP)
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/18/2008 12:45:57 PM | message detail
um.. my openoffice wont open this for some strange reason. i just get a bunch of strange text.

Probably the browser doesn't recognize the MIME type and tries to open it as text? Right click save as and see if that works.
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Mustache...and green...
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/18/2008 12:56:43 PM | message detail
okay, got it open.

but what's the incoming column for? how am i going to be able to paste over it?
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*is Dranze*
Bracket: Wario > Zack | Vote: Wario
HaRRicH | Posted 9/18/2008 1:05:13 PM | message detail
Zack isn't beating Shadow easily unless Link hurts him...and even then, it could still be close if Zack's fairly reliant on his pic and benefits from apathetic votes.
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NRT winners: Pokemon R/B/Y, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=44623118
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/18/2008 1:07:30 PM | message detail
Paste updates from cn's updater in the Votes sheet.
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Mustache...and green...
ZenOfThunder | Posted 9/18/2008 1:14:06 PM | message detail
http://img162.imageshack.us/img162/9301/captainmacmillanfu3.png
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
ZenOfThunder | Posted 9/18/2008 1:16:43 PM | message detail
Oh, and to whomever was asking around about Axel: I went around school asking the Guitar Hero freaks if they knew who Axel Steel was off the top of their heads. Only a few knew who he was, and only two could describe him. The ones that did know him say they never use him or just don't like him.

Just throwing that out there.
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/18/2008 1:16:51 PM | message detail
Midna/Axel Steel is way more interesting than Zidane/Shadow. Think of it this way, Shadow got 14% against Cloud and 2 of the strongest non-Nobles. Zidane barely got 19% against Alucard Liquid Snake and Ness.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/18/2008 1:17:46 PM | message detail
Sorry, he barely got 14% against 3 of the strongest non-Nobles.
ZenOfThunder | Posted 9/18/2008 1:17:52 PM | message detail
Err, that sentence should being with "and to whomever was supporting Axel." Whoops.
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg
voltch | Posted 9/18/2008 1:26:29 PM | message detail
is Axel Steel some kind of cover character?
i just can't picture the face,i mean i never played GTA4 but Nikos face is easily remembered as is say Altair's.
But anyone think Steel will pull a CJ?Popular game with very weak characters.
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Del Boy:He who dares, wins!
HaRRicH | Posted 9/18/2008 1:26:40 PM | message detail
I asked my room-mate the same thing the other day and he was able to name probably the majority of GH characters off the top of his head...and he's not particularly good at it or plays it a lot.

He's not big on Axel Steel, but he still named him first too. I dunno what to really think about it.....
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NRT winners: Pokemon R/B/Y, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=44623118
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/18/2008 1:27:37 PM | message detail
http://news.cnet.com/i/bto/20071025/Axel_Select.gif
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Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
Vote for Arthas Menethil in Character Battle VII!!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/18/2008 1:27:51 PM | message detail
Axel isn't really going up against any competition though. I wouldn't put him much higher than the fodder line, but that's more than enough to put away 2 of the weakest characters from last year's bracket.
V for Vendetta | Posted 9/18/2008 1:29:44 PM | message detail
I freaking put Wario > Zack, even though that's not what my gut told me

bah it all

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V(tm)
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/18/2008 1:34:30 PM | message detail
If Zack can get over 43%+ here, I think it's safe to say he's not ENTIRELY pic reliant. He can get a good chunk of votes on name value alone.

Also, looks like Zack's still doin' good with the day vote, while Cecil and Jade are bombing, as expected. Wario's actually still going up because Cecil and Jade are bombing that badly.

I asked this in the last topic, but I don't think anyone replied to it: Does anyone think Mario and the L-Block could old school LFF each other? What about Pac-Man and the Block? Or can only another joke entry LFF it?
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
Ultimaphazon | Posted 9/18/2008 1:35:11 PM | message detail
Damn this topic.
i had Zack going to the quarters when I first filled out the bracket, but I changed it, because almost everyone seemed to think that was a stupid pick. I still have him beating Shadow next round, so if he is as strong as he currently looks, I'll at least get some points.

But I'm sure glad I switched to Nero > Olimar.
Brawlfear seems to be the most overrated factor ever.
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/18/2008 1:35:27 PM | message detail
Next match pic info:


http://img337.imageshack.us/img337/8120/2ndmatchjf4.png

Alternate Link pic: http://img204.imageshack.us/img204/3145/link2ns0.png
Alternate Shadow pics: http://img145.imageshack.us/img145/5391/shadowthehedgehog2qf0.png
http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/4595/shadowthehedgehog3tc6.png
Alternate Luke pic: http://img180.imageshack.us/img180/6664/lukefonfabreqb7.png

The Link, Shadow, and Zidane pics were all made by me. The Luke pic was made by SuperAngelo and the alt Luke pic was made by Who Cares?

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Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP)
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/18/2008 1:37:14 PM | message detail
But I'm sure glad I switched to Nero > Olimar.
Brawlfear seems to be the most overrated factor ever.


I'm still not sold on either Nero or Olimar. Obviously, Olimar stands to gain a lot from Brawl, but I don't hear many people talk about him. Nero is basically the DMC4 Raiden. He might serve as a mini-Dante proxy since they look very much alike, but who can say?
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/18/2008 1:38:50 PM | message detail
Olimar is NOT going to gain a lot from Brawl. People forget that to gain from Brawl you have to be liked and used in Brawl.

Snake will gain. Ike will gain. Meta Knight will gain. Olimar? Not so much.

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Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP)
Xuxon | Posted 9/18/2008 1:38:59 PM | message detail
it's already done

http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb7/cb7-02.jpg
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/19, before Captain Crow
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/18/2008 1:39:53 PM | message detail
XFD it's the exact mock pic

Yay for me getting three pics in one match!

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Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP)
voltch | Posted 9/18/2008 1:40:39 PM | message detail
Still we need Zack to go up against another FF character to see how independent CC is from FFVII.
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Del Boy:He who dares, wins!
Xuxon | Posted 9/18/2008 1:40:57 PM | message detail
i was really hoping my link pic would make it <_<

oh well, maybe i can use it for next round
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/19, before Captain Crow
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/18/2008 1:45:39 PM | message detail
Olimar will gain simply for the sake of exposure and because he was very low before Brawl. I'm not saying he'll break the fodder line or anything, but he won't be as weak as he was in SC2K3 either.

Nice match pic. Looks vaguely familiar.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 9/18/2008 1:46:33 PM | message detail
Axel isn't really going up against any competition though.

I could say the same for Midna, as Axel Steel's even weaker, I'm sure.
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/18/2008 1:58:41 PM | message detail
And Zack's lead over Wario breaks the 10,000 vote mark!
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
KronicYouth | Posted 9/18/2008 2:06:51 PM | message detail
What % does Shadow have to get tomorrow for you to start considering him the favorite over Zack?

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can you dig it?
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/18/2008 2:07:13 PM | message detail
30.
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve!
ZFS | Posted 9/18/2008 2:07:53 PM | message detail
Not buyin' that Zack is pic reliant at all -- never have. Giving him a face shot won't make him weaker, I don't think.

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let's mosey
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/18/2008 2:08:00 PM | message detail
Well, I have him pegged at the mid 16% range...if Shadow can break 20% there, I'd feel better about having him beat Zack.

Don't think it'll happen though.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
Xuxon | Posted 9/18/2008 2:08:09 PM | message detail
18
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/19, before Captain Crow
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/18/2008 2:08:12 PM | message detail
21%+.

Don't think he's going to get nearly that much.

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Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP)
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