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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 565

Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 10:34:46 PM | message detail
Actually... I guess I'd still take Peach to win this match, thinking about it a little harder.

That depresses me.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 10:35:20 PM | message detail
http://www.mywii.com.au/img/gallery/full/LMQ2H9LQ.jpg

vs.

http://pressthebuttons.typepad.com/photos/uncategorized/happywario.jpg

right, fat man wins.. im sure
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Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
Vote for Arthas Menethil in Character Battle VII!!
Tai | Posted 9/17/2008 10:36:17 PM | message detail
Oh yeah, and I personally think Peach would flatten Wario on SFF.
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~^*-.pUt tHiS iN yOuR sIg iF yOu wAnT tO eNd tHe fLaMeWaRs iN iRaQ.-*^~
SSB Brawl Code: 0903-4850-3529
greatone10 | Posted 9/17/2008 10:36:39 PM | message detail
Peach wins that match. Do you really see Wario beating Jill Valentine?
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 10:37:32 PM | message detail
Yeah, I'd take Wario over Jill at this point (or in 2006). She's not what she used to be.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 10:38:36 PM | message detail
Would you take Wario > Ryu H?
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Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
Vote for Arthas Menethil in Character Battle VII!!
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 9/17/2008 10:39:02 PM | message detail
Votals Comparison
At the 01:35:00 Mark : this match is currently at 18009
Last year 01:35:00 Mark: 20312

Difference of 2303

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
greatone10 | Posted 9/17/2008 10:39:12 PM | message detail
I suppose I may not be the best person to suggest Jill as a yardstick seeing as though I have never predicted her correctly in any contest.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/17/2008 10:39:18 PM | message detail
At least now Cecil's pulling updates closer to Wario than Wario is to Zack.


.....I'll take what positives I can from this match. Woo Cecil. **** my bracket, I never do well anyways >_>
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i am false
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 10:40:38 PM | message detail
Would you take Wario > Ryu H?

Not a damn chance, but Jill's lost a step or two since her match with Arabusa, and more importantly Ryu Hayabusa has gained a dozen. Hayabusa beats Jill in a 60-40 at least today, I'm sure.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
voltch | Posted 9/17/2008 10:41:52 PM | message detail
oh yah,go zack!
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Del Boy:He who dares, wins!
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 9/17/2008 10:42:23 PM | message detail
And I'm guessing Jill's 27-vote loss to Peach doesn't help her case.
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/17/2008 10:44:35 PM | message detail
Hayabusa beats Jill in a 60-40 at least today, I'm sure.

oh Lopen, how we love you and your exagerations.

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Arsenal FC 3-0-1 Pts: 9 Pos: 3rd | Where there are RKOs
St. Louis Rams (0-2) Next Game: @SEA | There will always be ExThaNemesis
RPGGamer0 | Posted 9/17/2008 10:45:29 PM | message detail
Man, the stats topic sure is dead right now. You'd think the first match of the contest would have people talking. =(

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A surveillance camera!?
http://img.imgcake.com//lastcalvin&hobbes.jpg
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 10:45:35 PM | message detail
Ryu Hayabusa (2007c) VS Jill Valentine (2007c)

Ryu Hayabusa has a strength of 23.73.
Jill Valentine has a strength of 19.96.

Ryu Hayabusa wins with 57.94% of the vote!
A win of 21,200 with 133,444 total votes cast.

He's not off by much, actually.
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Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
Vote for Arthas Menethil in Character Battle VII!!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 10:46:11 PM | message detail
Man, the stats topic sure is dead right now. You'd think the first match of the contest would have people talking. =(

Most people it seems have gone to bed since its more of a blowout then thought
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Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
Vote for Arthas Menethil in Character Battle VII!!
hochimnih157 | Posted 9/17/2008 10:46:33 PM | message detail
I'm not going to step in and spoil who will win the Niko/Duke/Kefka/Marth match but I will say this - Jill would beat Wario with absolute ease. I don't think you guys fully grasp just how weak Wario actually is. Jill is high end fodder but Wario is sub-tier fodder
Ngamer64 | Posted 9/17/2008 10:46:43 PM | message detail
Eh, I'm not too concerned about us trailing last year's vote total to this point. In '07 the first match took place on September 3rd instead of here on the 18th, so there were probably plenty of younger voters still up and online because they didn't have school the next day. We also had fan favorites in action, as Yoshi and Knuckles are well-loved, plus Rikku was there to pull in the TJF and Square vote. I'm expecting vote totals to recover some as the day goes on, and especially as we move on to matches with higher tier characters.

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Hot Content: thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
He isn't a killer. He just wins - thoroughly.
Tai | Posted 9/17/2008 10:47:23 PM | message detail
Man, the stats topic sure is dead right now. You'd think the first match of the contest would have people talking. =(

School + Work would like to talk to you.

Speaking of that, I have a class at 11 AM. I probably should be heading to bed. See ya.
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~^*-.pUt tHiS iN yOuR sIg iF yOu wAnT tO eNd tHe fLaMeWaRs iN iRaQ.-*^~
SSB Brawl Code: 0903-4850-3529
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/17/2008 10:47:34 PM | message detail
Uh... Hayabusa 60-40ing Jill isn't an exaggeration. The ninja's come a long way, he was on Riku's level last contest. Jill lost to pre-MGS4 (and old man) Ocelot, who couldn't pull off a win against Marcus Fenix. Ryu H./Jill is a no-brainer today.
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/17/2008 10:48:10 PM | message detail
Jill needs her TJF pic to do anything.

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 10:48:43 PM | message detail
Jill is high end fodder but Wario is sub-tier fodder

Neither are fodder. Fodder are characters that never really win
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Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
Vote for Arthas Menethil in Character Battle VII!!
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 9/17/2008 10:49:41 PM | message detail
Speaking of that, I have a class at 11 AM.

Same here. I'll probably turn in at 1 AM.
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Isaac and Princess Kumatora for SSB4! SSBB Mains: Zelda, Peach, Lucas, Ness
Now we must duel, like two gleaming banjos on a moonlit stoop! -Dimentio, SPM
HaRRicH | Posted 9/17/2008 10:54:12 PM | message detail
They don't really win either. Jill's beaten Kirby in 2k2, Sheena in 2k6, and an SFF'd Midgar Zolom last year (for third place)...while Wario's beaten CF and Banjo last year (for second place). Beating Kirby in 2k2 hardly means anything for a number of reasons, too.
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NRT winners: Pokemon R/B/Y, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=44623118
transience | Posted 9/17/2008 10:55:05 PM | message detail
60-40 might be underestimating Ryu.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/17/2008 10:55:10 PM | message detail

He's not off by much, actually.


and again you're making the fatal mistake of using last year's x-stats.

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Arsenal FC 3-0-1 Pts: 9 Pos: 3rd | Where there are RKOs
St. Louis Rams (0-2) Next Game: @SEA | There will always be ExThaNemesis
hochimnih157 | Posted 9/17/2008 10:56:11 PM | message detail
Ryu H beats Jill with 58.66%
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 10:56:56 PM | message detail
and again you're making the fatal mistake of using last year's x-stats.

You're right, they underrate Ryu.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/17/2008 10:57:21 PM | message detail
Well there we have it

so sorry but you went over Lopen or should I say LoLpen
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turnturnturn your brain in
turnturnturn your brain in
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/17/2008 10:58:26 PM | message detail
sorry if i give no respect to that loser that got owned by Sora

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Arsenal FC 3-0-1 Pts: 9 Pos: 3rd | Where there are RKOs
St. Louis Rams (0-2) Next Game: @SEA | There will always be ExThaNemesis
UItimaterializer | Posted 9/17/2008 10:59:27 PM | message detail
The ignore button sure made Vietman alt-troller a lot less annoying.
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MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN!
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transience | Posted 9/17/2008 10:59:52 PM | message detail
uh Sora would own 80% of this bracket
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2008 11:00:17 PM | message detail
3/4 of the field would get owned by Sora. Did you see him last year and 2k6?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 11:00:24 PM | message detail
Zack = Regular Cloud
Cloud = Super Saiyan
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Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
Vote for Arthas Menethil in Character Battle VII!!
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/17/2008 11:01:17 PM | message detail
I guess I didn't. I always pegged him as a mid-carder.

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Arsenal FC 3-0-1 Pts: 9 Pos: 3rd | Where there are RKOs
St. Louis Rams (0-2) Next Game: @SEA | There will always be ExThaNemesis
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 11:03:05 PM | message detail
Personally I like setting Hayabusa = Riku and Jill = Ocelot

Jill Valentine (LopenNonsense) VS Ryu Hayabusa (LopenNonsense)

Jill Valentine has a strength of 21.72.
Ryu Hayabusa has a strength of 33.01.

Ryu Hayabusa wins with 67.10% of the vote!
A win of 39,026 with 114,105 total votes cast.

Roll that *****.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 11:04:49 PM | message detail
(Those were Riku's and Ocelot's values, by the way... I wasn't just pulling numbers out of my ass... even if Riku 2006 is almost certainly > Riku 2007)
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
ZFS | Posted 9/17/2008 11:07:48 PM | message detail
Man, thinking about it, I can see Zack making a killing next round. I always had him pegged higher than most would put his ceiling at, but I wouldn't be surprised if he's gettin' up there close to 25% next round -- though probably around 23 - 24%, if he gets that high. Might be best to wait to see how he does during the day, but he's wrecking this match with Cecil hanging around. Pretty impressive, I think.

(then again maybe not woo high on zack hype)

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let's mosey
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/17/2008 11:08:25 PM | message detail
hypetrain.gif
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CB7 Score: 2/4 - Damn you Zack.
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 11:09:25 PM | message detail
You know 25% next round effectively puts him way above 25% on BL. No chance, brother.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
ZFS | Posted 9/17/2008 11:10:11 PM | message detail
That's what we're aimin' for !

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let's mosey
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 11:11:42 PM | message detail
The higher you drag him the higher you drag Wario.

Wario for NN breaker believe.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
ZFS | Posted 9/17/2008 11:13:33 PM | message detail
All about Cecil holdin' Zack down

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let's mosey
HaRRicH | Posted 9/17/2008 11:13:51 PM | message detail
So...I'll ask this again now that we've FINALLY seen him in action at least part of once:

How do you think Zack Fair compares/competes with the other playable FF7 characters? Where's Zack on that totem pole now?
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NRT winners: Pokemon R/B/Y, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=44623118
transience | Posted 9/17/2008 11:14:30 PM | message detail
who knows. probably still firmly below Aeris, but who knows where.

wait til Link before placing Zack.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/17/2008 11:14:42 PM | message detail
I'm tellin' ya. Wario > Shadow straight up. Zack's at least guarantee'd a spot in the division finals now.

---
Arsenal FC 3-0-1 Pts: 9 Pos: 3rd | Where there are RKOs
St. Louis Rams (0-2) Next Game: @SEA | There will always be ExThaNemesis
creativename | Posted 9/17/2008 11:14:48 PM | message detail
I was incredibly unhyped for this contest, given the 4-pack format (which after last contest I'm very down on - despite the many exciting matches it made, it's just too much of a joke/luck of the draw-centric format), and also to a lesser extent that it wasn't a games contest.

However it's terrific to see that all the good old boys are back for this! :0)

And everyone's enthusiasm here is catchy, especially all the Zack love :) I filled out my bracket and had him making the division finals the first time I filled it out. Only made a few revisions on my bracket as I wasn't much into it, and I never thought about changing that pick - but I'm kinda surprised to see that most others had faith in Zack as well. I would've thought he'd be more of a dark horse.

BTW< I'm surprised at the omission of LFF (or whatever term people want to use for that) from the first post's "lingo" section - as it's no doubt a term/issue that's going to be coming up and be referenced a lot in this contest :)

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Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 11:15:18 PM | message detail
I still say Zack's below most of the playable cast. Maybe stronger than Cait Sith. I mean, this is impressive by my standards for Zack but he's not exactly blowing Wario out or anything.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
transience | Posted 9/17/2008 11:15:57 PM | message detail
he's going up 100 votes every 5 minutes. he's pretty much blowing Wario out. give him credit -- not that beating Wario is worth much, but he is doing that quite well.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 11:16:02 PM | message detail
I'm not sure if Aeris could do this tbh
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Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
Vote for Arthas Menethil in Character Battle VII!!
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