GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 565
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/17/2008 8:44:17 PM | message detail |
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Cloud is just A BLOND-HAIRED ZACK ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Ulti and MMX's Contest Site (some offensive language)*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ~*TRE's poll listing (every poll!)*~ http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html ~*aprosenf's poll script*~ http://web.mit.edu/adamrose/Public/allpolls.txt ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms, Percentages For Dummies, and Odd Matches*~ http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. |
| Midget_Fetish | Posted 9/17/2008 8:46:31 PM | message detail |
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zack with 99.5% tonight --- The more I learn, the more I realize I don't know anything at all. |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/17/2008 8:47:17 PM | message detail |
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Zack Fairplay --- Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP) |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2008 9:06:10 PM | message detail |
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BOISE ZACK FOR THE WIN --- The Straight Up G WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:06:41 PM | message detail |
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The updater's running, incidentally. --- Mustache...and green... |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:06:54 PM | message detail |
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zack zack zack zack --- sig |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/17/2008 9:06:55 PM | message detail |
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Zack UNfair --- Arsenal FC 3-0-1 Pts: 9 Pos: 3rd | Where there are RKOs St. Louis Rams (0-2) Next Game: @SEA | There will always be ExThaNemesis |
| transience | Posted 9/17/2008 9:06:58 PM | message detail |
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Cecil Harvey 17.17% 310 Jade Curtiss 8.08% 146 Wario 36.49% 659 Zack Fair 38.26% 691 TOTAL VOTES 1806 --- xyzzy "Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/17/2008 9:07:27 PM | message detail |
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Even if Zack wraps things up in second place and in the low-30s, I'm
very happy with him against Shadow right now. This ain't your
granddad's Wario, and Zack is dealing with a big fanbase split. --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| ZFS | Posted 9/17/2008 9:07:32 PM | message detail |
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Need to see this next update. --- let's mosey |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:07:33 PM | message detail |
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Bobby Heenan: This is unfair to Zack Flair! --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 9:07:47 PM | message detail |
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whats the updater url? I forget --- Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario Vote for Arthas Menethil in Character Battle VII!! |
| MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:07:49 PM | message detail |
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I still have faith Wario will win this in the end, but wow... this is pretty exciting stuff ;>_> --- For your health. http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve! |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/17/2008 9:07:51 PM | message detail |
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If Zack can keep this up, I'm feeling mighty fine about taking him out of the division. ...he could stand to do a bit better for beating Mario and X in the round afterward though !! --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| UItimaterializer | Posted 9/17/2008 9:07:54 PM | message detail |
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This looks like Squall/Luigi 2003 all over again, but I have Zero faith whatsoever of Zack getting out of round two. --- MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN! Now Playing: Final Fantasy 4 DS, Spore ~*ST*~ |
| WishFulfillment | Posted 9/17/2008 9:08:04 PM | message detail |
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how is anyone trying to spin this as bad for Zack right now? He's doing
better right now than the majority of the board expected him to do.
he's looking really good to get out of the division with Link now. of
course it's only 5 minutes into the poll, but spelling his doom is just
stupid. --- wish fulfillment every day |
| HaRRicH | Posted 9/17/2008 9:08:07 PM | message detail |
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I still think Wario's going to pull ahead, but...this is a solid start for Zachery. --- NRT winners: Pokemon R/B/Y, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2 http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=44623118 |
| MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/17/2008 9:08:32 PM | message detail |
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So instead you have faith in Shadow the Hedgehog after how horrible Sonic characters did in this format last year? --- Demyx is better than Axel. Just like Explicit Content is better than me for winning the Guru contest. |
| Janus5000 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:08:42 PM | message detail |
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Zack was pulling some mad stuff at the end of that last update. *holds breath* --- http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg Stay a while and breathe me in. |
| MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:09:02 PM | message detail |
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I have 93% faith in Zack getting out of round 2 based off this I just have to hope Niko is more impressive for my third round pick. --- For your health. http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve! |
| Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 9:09:07 PM | message detail |
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Hmmm, guess I overestimated Cecil. Pretty pitiful showing. Doubt Zack keeps this up, but we'll see. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| Biolizard28 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:09:07 PM | message detail |
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It's way too early to be saying anything about Zack's strength, but he's doing pretty damn well. --- Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism. http://img175.imageshack.us/img175/7315/ocelotpartycd1.gif |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/17/2008 9:09:10 PM | message detail |
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Wario had better go into Power Hour mode soon! --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2008 9:09:16 PM | message detail |
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Spoilers: Wario is overperforming thanks to being the first match and the only Nintendo character >_> --- The Straight Up G WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/17/2008 9:09:36 PM | message detail |
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I flipped flopped atleast 6 times over Zack/Wario today. Come on, Zack! --- [Multiple Scorgasms] Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2008 9:09:39 PM | message detail |
| As much as I'm loving him doing exactly as expected, I'm a bit disappointed I called one wildcard right. I was hoping for some major upset here. |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:09:42 PM | message detail |
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You know this is the stats topic when people are making Round 3 predictions off five minutes of the first match. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:13 PM | message detail |
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See what I mean? --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| Xcarvenger | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:13 PM | message detail |
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intense --- Xcarvenger: http://img514.imageshack.us/img514/9123/chocobo34kg4.jpg For all your board 8 needs: www.board8.wikia.com |
| RPGGamer0 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:14 PM | message detail |
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Who wins the after school vote? --- A surveillance camera!? http://img.imgcake.com//lastcalvin&hobbes.jpg |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:26 PM | message detail |
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wario comin back --- Moltar Status: =D Cecil/Jade/Wario/Zack - Bracket: Wario > Zack - Vote: Wario (0/0) |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:27 PM | message detail |
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Cecil Harvey 17.43% 573 Jade Curtiss 7.69% 253 Wario 37.2% 1223 Zack Fair 37.68% 1239 TOTAL VOTES 3288 Wario keepin' it close! --- http://i169.photobucket.com/albums/u205/MapleMasta/IkeClimbers2.jpg |
| MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:28 PM | message detail |
| That's not Wario overperforming... that's Wario
performing. He'd be over/under performing if there was some other
Nintendo character here affecting him. Without another Nintendo
character this is just pure Wario. --- For your health. http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve! |
| transience | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:36 PM | message detail |
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50/50! let's do this this basically comes down to finding out if Zack is a known quantity when the sun rises. --- xyzzy "Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:46 PM | message detail |
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Oh god, Cecil. =( Yay Wario though! --- Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP) |
| RPGGamer0 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:48 PM | message detail |
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Cecil Harvey 17.43% 573 Jade Curtiss 7.69% 253 Wario 37.2% 1223 Zack Fair 37.68% 1239 TOTAL VOTES 3288 --- A surveillance camera!? http://img.imgcake.com//lastcalvin&hobbes.jpg |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:48 PM | message detail |
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Wario: CONGRATULATIONS....I WANT MY REMATCH --- The Straight Up G WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| ffmasterjose | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:49 PM | message detail |
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Zack ain't no Balthier, that's for damn sure. --- 0/0 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VII NP: Wario > Zack Fair |
| Biolizard28 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:50 PM | message detail |
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Wario's keeping it close. Power Hour activate? --- Biolizard28: The cream of Fire Emblem fanboyism. http://img175.imageshack.us/img175/7315/ocelotpartycd1.gif |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:10:52 PM | message detail |
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Wario cut --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls Character Battle 2008: Points 0/0 Today's Match: Wario > Zack Fair |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/17/2008 9:11:02 PM | message detail |
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Well now... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1LlUAAOxy8 --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/17/2008 9:11:34 PM | message detail |
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I called Wario taking the night vote but as the poll goes along Zack will pull away. --- [Multiple Scorgasms] Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario |
| Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 9:11:35 PM | message detail |
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Well, I will say this, if Wario doesn't start moving soon I'm thinking
Zack has this. Zack probably takes the day vote, Brawl be damned. This
is FF7 we talkin about, and it's Wario. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| UItimaterializer | Posted 9/17/2008 9:12:05 PM | message detail |
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RPGGamer0 | Posted 9/17/2008 10:10:14 PM (#030) Who wins the after school vote? I would assume the Brawl character, but who knows. And Zack > Shadow? If Zack and Wario are even, then Zack and Shadow shouldn't really be close. Wario/Shadow was just an embarrassing match for the fat guy. --- MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN! Now Playing: Final Fantasy 4 DS, Spore ~*ST*~ |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/17/2008 9:12:17 PM | message detail |
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Man what if they're 50/50 all day long hahah. Also HAHAHAHA Jade and Cecil. --- Arsenal FC 3-0-1 Pts: 9 Pos: 3rd | Where there are RKOs St. Louis Rams (0-2) Next Game: @SEA | There will always be ExThaNemesis |
| ZFS | Posted 9/17/2008 9:12:25 PM | message detail |
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Power Hour activate? Hopefully. If Zack holds him off during a "power hour," I'd say that's good! --- let's mosey |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/17/2008 9:12:29 PM | message detail |
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...What? Zack is not taking the Day Vote against a Nintendo character in Brawl. --- Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP) |
| MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:12:38 PM | message detail |
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Based off this match so far I'm going to make a bold prediction: Jade Curtiss will be 128 in the x-stats for the second year in a row. --- For your health. http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, Steve! |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/17/2008 9:12:54 PM | message detail |
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zack power hour more like zack power contest let's do this --- sig |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/17/2008 9:13:04 PM | message detail |
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Shadow shouldn't really be close. Wario/Shadow was just an embarrassing match for the fat guy. See this is silly. This was back in 2003, Shadow has VERY noticably declined since then, unless you think he'd pull 45% on Mario still... and it's pretty obvious that Wario's a whole new breed since 2003. Especially with Brawl. --- Arsenal FC 3-0-1 Pts: 9 Pos: 3rd | Where there are RKOs St. Louis Rams (0-2) Next Game: @SEA | There will always be ExThaNemesis |
