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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 564

charmander6000 | Posted 9/17/2008 7:38:59 AM | message detail
While Zack does have the chance of making it out of the division, I must say that he's the most overrated character of this contest.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB7%20BOP.xls (Last Update: Sept. 13th)
Character Battle 2008: Points 0/0
transience | Posted 9/17/2008 7:40:49 AM | message detail
I am so bloody sick of talking about this guy

you'd think, y'know, Samus/Mario/Link/Vincent would get some talk, or Cloud/Sephiroth/Snake/Sonic(Chief) would, or Master Chief/Kirby/Dante/Riku would since they're worth way more points, but instead we talk about Zack 50 times a day. it's freaking Zack!
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/17/2008 7:41:03 AM | message detail
Anyone who has Wario > Zack is screwed from match 1

What? You think Cecil will advance?

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
neonreaper | Posted 9/17/2008 7:42:26 AM | message detail
Niko to round 4 is cute.

no ur
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Donny: They posted the next round for the tournament.
Walter: Donny, shut the f- when do we play?
MnMZero | Posted 9/17/2008 7:46:46 AM | message detail
I am so bloody sick of talking about this guy

you'd think, y'know, Samus/Mario/Link/Vincent would get some talk, or Cloud/Sephiroth/Snake/Sonic(Chief) would, or Master Chief/Kirby/Dante/Riku would since they're worth way more points, but instead we talk about Zack 50 times a day. it's freaking Zack!


vote tim
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Proud Supporter of Zero
neonreaper | Posted 9/17/2008 7:49:11 AM | message detail
vote tim
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Donny: They posted the next round for the tournament.
Walter: Donny, shut the f- when do we play?
transience | Posted 9/17/2008 7:49:42 AM | message detail
vote Tim
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
HaRRicH | Posted 9/17/2008 7:51:45 AM | message detail
Vote for Timothy.
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NRT winners: Pokemon R/B/Y, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=44623118
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/17/2008 8:01:40 AM | message detail
It's like Mario with his hair dyed orange!
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“Back in my day we used to actually play our videogames instead of watching them”- Vivi0198
Master Moltar | Posted 9/17/2008 8:03:51 AM | message detail
vote tie physics

Anyway, does anyone have any contests they want to promote? I've already entered the Oracle, PPC, CPO and Perfect Bracket topics. Anyone I'm missing?

(oh and bop and guru i'll do around lockdown time)
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Moltar Status: =D
Brawlin' - 4339-2157-7264
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/17/2008 8:13:38 AM | message detail
Cecil/Jade/Wario/Zack.

Wario wins.

Captain Falcon/Jade/Wario/Zack.

Zack wins.

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
TVontheRadio | Posted 9/17/2008 8:14:32 AM | message detail

trannyscience (#007)
newcomer

http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=nebKYFxXrLY



oh god i actually doubled up and almost coughed up my lungs
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all you need
Majin Lou | Posted 9/17/2008 8:17:04 AM | message detail
Hah.
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Warning: Character Battle VI contains Explicit Content.
Now pain, nothing but pain! ROSE OF PAIN!
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/17/2008 8:17:20 AM | message detail
Dante/Hogger/Ramza/Laharl reminds me of HK-47/Lloyd/Jak/Zero.


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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
HaRRicH | Posted 9/17/2008 8:33:20 AM | message detail
Soulja Boy just made a fan.

A fan that still won't buy his music, but hey...atta' boy, Soulja Boy.


Hilarious.
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NRT winners: Pokemon R/B/Y, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=44623118
RPGGamer0 | Posted 9/17/2008 8:58:37 AM | message detail
Dante/Hogger/Ramza/Laharl reminds me of HK-47/Lloyd/Jak/Zero.

What were you thinking? Because I think I'm thinking what you're thinking. >_>

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A surveillance camera!?
http://img.imgcake.com//lastcalvin&hobbes.jpg
linkhatesganon | Posted 9/17/2008 9:02:11 AM | message detail
Just that Dante will perform better

And huh how is screwed having Wario > Zack, you only loose two points if you are wrong (not likely)
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The Roman Empire called. They want all their words back. - Turn
SSBB FC code - 3007-9626-4713
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/17/2008 9:02:24 AM | message detail
People are hesitant to talk about later matches because we're not sure if L-Block, Sandbag, or whoever will be there instead.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 9:05:39 AM | message detail

And huh how is screwed having Wario > Zack, you only loose two points if you are wrong (not likely)


Cuz most people who have wario > Zack would have Link > Shadow in round 2 since Shadow doubled wario, and if he doubled wario, how would zack stand a chance of advancing? Meaning, their bracket is doomed from the start
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Married to Heroic Palmer!
HeroicTronBonne - "Albion, I would Love to do an account bet with you over Ike/Arthas. " Don't forget!
steve illumina | Posted 9/17/2008 10:01:56 AM | message detail
Its nearly ready friends and fans: the return of Steve Illumina Speaks: the satirical analysis that brings a new level of enjoyment to the greatest thread that ever was yarned: the stats thread!

Get your popcorn ready! :)
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Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8 & Elitist Analyst
AIM: Steve Illumina, Score 0/0, Go Rydia!
steve illumina | Posted 9/17/2008 10:26:48 AM | message detail
The people have waited long enough…

So I shall give them what they desire!

So without further adieu, I give to you…

Steve Illumina Speaks!

Welcome all my friends and fans, readers of new, and readers of old, to this, the first of the 2008 Contest Satirical Analyses! It is great to be back and to be wanted by the hundreds of you who have IM’d and emailed and snail mailed and shouted from the rooftops for me to return once more. So here I am, and I brought the analyses with me. So lets get started then!

Round 1, Division 1

“2 Palette Swaps vs An Unappreciated Hero vs A Girl No One Knows”

Steve’s Pick: The Palette Swaps: Zack & Wario
Newbie’s Pick: (Everyone’s Favorite!) Wario & Cecil
Nobody’s Pick: Jade & Cecil

Ceej gets things moving this year with a slightly tough to call first round bout between a group of wannabes in the form of Wario, Cecil, Zack and Jade. If only all of the first rounders were this slightly tough to call, we might have a challenge on our hands. But we would not want to show favoritism would we? Oh wait…there is favoritism in this bracket! More on that when the time comes!

Anyways, this battle of the palette swaps would have been even better had Palom or Porom been in there instead of Cecil. “But wait Steve!”, says a young newbie fan, “Isn’t Cecil a palette swap because he goes from dark to light?” To which I reply…”why yes he is!” So we got 3 swaps. As for Jade, well, since she is a nobody from a nobody game that is taking a spot away from a real character with a proven following like Bayou Billy, we will say for the sake of appeasement that she has a swap named Sade.

This one all comes down to what swap of the swap is most beloved. The ‘Theory of Swapability’ as I call it. Meaning very simply, the original character that is loved the most: so too shall his/her swap be adored in a 3/5 ratio! Layman’s terms you say? Well…every gamer everywhere knows full well that Zack is a Cloud clone, and we all know how much Cloud is worshipped by the Square Legions, so he gets the victory nod here. And Wario? Well, he is the swap of everyone’s favorite underachieving plumber Mario, the pride of the Nintendites. So he is an easy #2.

Poor Cecil…no love for FF4 around here, is there? Well there should be. FF4 is the FF that really put FF on the map for the longtime hardcore gamers like myself. Forget FF7, its 4 that really shined the light first into the genius that is Square. You know it, I know it, and the spoony bard knows it too! Cecil deserves better than a quick elimination on the first day, but alas, it is not meant to be. *sob sob*

And as for Jade. Who are you and why are you here? You, my dear sweetie, will be lucky to get 10% of the votes. Off to the loser’s bracket with ya!

Well kiddies that’s all the time we have for today! So until next time, keep your hands on your controllers and keep reaching for high scores!

~Steve~

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Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8 & Elitist Analyst
AIM: Steve Illumina, Score 0/0, Go Rydia!
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/17/2008 10:28:11 AM | message detail
Wait, Jade is a girl?
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i am false
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 10:28:28 AM | message detail
yes
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Married to Heroic Palmer!
HeroicTronBonne - "Albion, I would Love to do an account bet with you over Ike/Arthas. " Don't forget!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 10:29:06 AM | message detail
http://blag.ipood.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/jade2.jpg
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Married to Heroic Palmer!
HeroicTronBonne - "Albion, I would Love to do an account bet with you over Ike/Arthas. " Don't forget!
Midget_Fetish | Posted 9/17/2008 10:29:47 AM | message detail
I decided my bracket was too cookie cutter, so I jumped aboard the MC > Sonic upset train.

I think I've been listening to Lopen too much or something.
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The more I learn, the more I realize I don't know anything at all.
RPGGamer0 | Posted 9/17/2008 10:32:16 AM | message detail
Unfortunately, it's not the Jade from BG&E. =(

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A surveillance camera!?
http://img.imgcake.com//lastcalvin&hobbes.jpg
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/17/2008 10:53:40 AM | message detail
What were you thinking? Because I think I'm thinking what you're thinking. >_>

H-O-Double G-E-R.

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Wario > Zack Fair
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/17/2008 10:59:10 AM | message detail
**** IT! I'm going with Dante > Hogger in Rd 1.

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Wario > Zack Fair
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/17/2008 11:16:20 AM | message detail
Hogger is a recipe for disaster. My brother, who has devoted 2,000+ life-wasting hours to WoW, had no idea who Hogger was before I told him about it. Why would Hogger get a rally when Thrall didn't?
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 11:17:32 AM | message detail
Why would Hogger get a rally when Thrall didn't?

Because wow players don't care about thrall, hes a warcraft 3 character who does nothing but stand in a building 24/7 in wow. Hogger is a meme character who wow forums cared enough to get into the contest without a single b8 presence
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Married to Heroic Palmer!
HeroicTronBonne - "Albion, I would Love to do an account bet with you over Ike/Arthas. " Don't forget!
Samurai7 | Posted 9/17/2008 11:19:27 AM | message detail
I have several level 70s on both factions and had no idea who hogger was till I saw it discussed on this board.
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Conformity and rebellion...both ways are simple-minded--they are only for people who cannot cope with contradiction and ambiguity.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 11:20:13 AM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wHWyJT2QRMM
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Married to Heroic Palmer!
HeroicTronBonne - "Albion, I would Love to do an account bet with you over Ike/Arthas. " Don't forget!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2008 11:20:48 AM | message detail
I'm so ready for this contest to begin. Will I lose yet another account on an account bet? Will L-Block reign supreme? Will Zack make everyone on Board 8 collectively orgasm due to a stellar performance? Find out next team on Character Battle VII!

Oh....I almost forgot...DIDDY IS IN DA HOUSE
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/17/2008 11:25:28 AM | message detail
Hogger is up against Ramza and Laharl, BIG POWERHOUSES THERE!

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Wario > Zack Fair
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/17/2008 11:30:04 AM | message detail
I've never been this apathetic before a contest, honestly.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
transience | Posted 9/17/2008 11:32:46 AM | message detail
I'm into the contest and I can't figure out why. I guess it's because I want to see if we've got another joke contest coming or if we can restore "credibility".
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
transience | Posted 9/17/2008 11:33:34 AM | message detail
but I don't really care about my bracket this time. I've already given up on it and winning something this random doesn't even feel like an accomplishment, it feels like winning the lottery.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2008 12:09:38 PM | message detail
"Joke" contest that stirs things up and makes it exciting > "credibility"
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 12:13:14 PM | message detail
Eh, I don't think it's random. When I own up on this four way stuff two years in a row you'll see...!

Subtle gloating aside, I think I'm kinda looking forward to it. Insane Zack supporters like MichaelWClark have me looking forward to even the first match. Time to fall suck it down BHC.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/17/2008 12:13:17 PM | message detail
Less than 9 hours left

Prepare yourself

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Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP)
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/17/2008 12:13:41 PM | message detail
are the match pics up yet?
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Married to Heroic Palmer!
HeroicTronBonne - "Albion, I would Love to do an account bet with you over Ike/Arthas. " Don't forget!
transience | Posted 9/17/2008 12:15:28 PM | message detail
it's random in the sense that one missed pick changes the next three rounds. it's not like a one-on-one where each match is in a vacuum.

then there's the joke characters where putting a stronger character in the poll can actually help their chances. I mean, that's pretty silly. I'm cool with it, but it's silly for predicting.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 12:23:14 PM | message detail
Well, it just punishes early wrong picks more. No different than say, having a 1v1 bracket where Cloud and Link face off in round 1 (well okay it's different but it still costs you the same amount of points is my point). Be sure about your early picks.

Plus, honestly, I think the presence of SFF is being overrated in this bracket. I've got maybe four or five matches total where it actually changes the result. And I'm not very confident in any of them.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
transience | Posted 9/17/2008 12:26:39 PM | message detail
overrated or not, Magus being there with Auron probably ruins his chances of winning. Leon advancing past Riku probably gives Kirby an easy win. Sora beating Yoshi probably gives Mewtwo a win despite him being the weakest there.

woo
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 12:27:34 PM | message detail
Well, actually, never mind that I think I undershot that by quite a bit.

But to me, at least, most of these SFF matches are pretty interesting to call. I like that the X-Stats are basically worthless and you pretty much just have to intuit how much entrants will hurt each other. It's not like a 1v1 bracket where it's like "Mario vs Bowser boring next" And at the same time, I wouldn't say it's all guesswork, either, calling those matches.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
transience | Posted 9/17/2008 12:29:07 PM | message detail
they're interesting, no doubt. but I think it's more interesting to watch it play out than it is to try and predict what the right path all these wonky overlaps will lead to.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
satai_delenn | Posted 9/17/2008 12:29:59 PM | message detail
Samus/Mario/Link/Vincent

More like Samus/Mario/Link/Crono...!
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Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE!
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/17/2008 12:30:26 PM | message detail
I think in this format arguing too much is pointless. We really don't have enough experience with it to make any real 100% assumptions about anything.

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Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP)
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2008 12:32:18 PM | message detail
I also can't for the life of me figure out why so many have Dante and Leon advancing. If you think Dante gets screwed by Leon being there (and why wouldn't you) vs Kirby (Dante ~= Kirby) then he really shouldn't even get there (because Riku ~= Leon).
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/17/2008 12:33:20 PM | message detail
I'm still amazed that Vincent is a favourite to advance to the finals with Link according to the BOP.

Maybe it's just me, but X is the only one that could possibly stop Mario. Oh snap I forgot about the L-Block, yeah it will most likely beat Mario if it gets that far.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. EC > Me
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