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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 561

LeonhartFour | Posted 9/9/2008 5:03:56 PM | message detail
Random change of topic: What does everyone think of the Sephiroth/Tifa/Nana/Ratchet match? Does everyone have Tifa advancing? Or do you think Nana/Ratchet will oust her? If so, which one?
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/9/2008 5:09:26 PM | message detail
Nana and Ratchet are just too weak. Simple as that.

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Master Moltar | Posted 9/9/2008 5:37:55 PM | message detail
That match will mirror Seph's Round 1 match last year, with Tifa being Peach, Nana being MK and Ratchet being CATS

book it
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ZFS | Posted 9/9/2008 5:38:25 PM | message detail
Get Nana outta here.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 9/9/2008 5:38:37 PM | message detail
If either has a chance of ousting Tifa, it would be Ratchet. But I don't think Ratchet is strong enough
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Lopen | Posted 9/9/2008 5:39:11 PM | message detail
You're booking Nana

I'm afraid I have to resign from the AC, sir
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therealmnm | Posted 9/9/2008 5:39:43 PM | message detail
lulz Ratchet
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Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X
Lopen | Posted 9/9/2008 5:42:33 PM | message detail
The amount Tifa will get SFFed by Sephiroth is being a bit overrated methinks. I really think that Kratos will have to work a bit to beat her. Not saying it's ever in doubt but I don't think he's going to obliterate her. And forget that fodder crap.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/9/2008 5:42:49 PM | message detail
I'd give Ratchet a better shot than Nana, seriously. Who gives a crap about Nana, even if she is Smash Bros.? No one's even going to get the "joke," if it can be called such a thing. This is basically measuring what percentage of the site will vote for Smash Bros., no matter what.

Or how few people have played Ice Climbers.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
ZFS | Posted 9/9/2008 5:44:49 PM | message detail
I think people are going to be surprised at how well Tifa does here, despite Sephiroth being with her the entire way through. Tifa will take her first match with ease and - win or lose - she'll have a very close second round with Kratos. Book that !

(come on upset)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/9/2008 5:49:07 PM | message detail
I think Kratos has that second round match easily.

Nana, not so much.
therealmnm | Posted 9/9/2008 5:56:54 PM | message detail
I'd give Ratchet a better shot than Nana, seriously. Who gives a crap about Nana, even if she is Smash Bros.? No one's even going to get the "joke," if it can be called such a thing. This is basically measuring what percentage of the site will vote for Smash Bros., no matter what.

Have you forgotten how incredibly weak Ratchet is? At least Nana has the advantage of being the only Nintendo character plus being a Smash character. I don't see how she's a "joke". She's one half of "Ice Climbers", who are playable characters. It won't take a joke to get her votes. Only whether or not Ice Climbers have any fans. I mean, you could have said the same thing about Master Hand...
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Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/9/2008 5:58:53 PM | message detail
I'm well aware of how weak Ratchet is, but I still give him a better shot than Nana. I don't see the appeal at all. Honestly, I was scared of Master Hand against Kuja back then, but I see no reason to worry about Nana at all.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
therealmnm | Posted 9/9/2008 6:01:39 PM | message detail
So you actually think Ratchet would beat Ice Climbers (which is essentially what votes for Nana would be for).

Why am I arguing this? *leaves*
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Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X
HaRRicH | Posted 9/9/2008 6:02:46 PM | message detail
While Tifa may not be on Vincent's level, Tifa has less in common with Seph so maybe she wouldn't be SFF'd quite as bad as Vincent was last year. From there, check this:

--Replace Link (~36.5% in Seph/Mario/Link/Vincent) with Nana (one of the Ice Climbers and isn't known by her name).
--Replace Mario (~22% in Seph/Mario/Link/Vincent) with Ratchet (lost to Thrall by 2.3% last year).


Although Nana and Ratchet won't be sharing fanbases, the standard to pass into the next round is FAR lower. Sephiroth is going to absorb all sorts of percentage since he's the only NN'er and two of them are fodder, as he's done before:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2871

We can probably agree that neither Nana nor Ratchet would outdo Peach's performance, and there is a lot of room for Tifa to grow with the new percentage left behind from Link/Mario. Tifa wouldn't lose much more to Sephiroth than Vincent did, either, so you gotta decide how close Tifa is to Vincent and how much of Link/Mario's ~58.5% she can get. If Tifa could have matched Vincent's performance last year, can Tifa get 6+%? If Tifa would have come close to Vincent's performance last year, can she get 7+%? If Tifa wouldn't come close to matching Vincent, can she get 8+%?

I think Tifa would have come pretty close to what Vincent did in S/M/L/V, and I think it's reasonable that she gets 7+% there. That's12% of what's left for grabs; for a playable character in the game that built this site and up up big numbers on Sonic and especially Samus (anomaly or not!), those are odds I'll bet on despite Sephiroth.
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NRT winners: Pokemon R/B/Y, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=44623118
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/9/2008 6:08:49 PM | message detail
While Tifa may not be on Vincent's level, Tifa has less in common with Seph

Based on what exactly?
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
HaRRicH | Posted 9/9/2008 6:12:47 PM | message detail
Their look and style of characters both suggest cool mysterious men, mainly. While that's not deep, their labels are similar and Seph/Tifa would have a hard time finding more similarities than that.
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NRT winners: Pokemon R/B/Y, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=44623118
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/9/2008 6:13:32 PM | message detail
Tifa is up against competition she can realistically quadruple. Ryu couldn't even beat the stronger Auron by much with Cloud in the poll; Sephiroth is supposed to sap Tifa enough to lose to these two?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/9/2008 6:15:18 PM | message detail
Well, Tifa and Seph have a closer storyline connection. Tifa has trends that are different from any other FFVII character we've seen so far. She's the only one with a stronger night vote than a day vote.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
ZFS | Posted 9/9/2008 6:15:43 PM | message detail
Tifa seems more capable of holding up against Sephiroth than someone like Vincent. She'll still lose a large chunk of votes to him for sure, but Vincent seems more susceptible to lose his fans to Sephiroth than Tifa. For everyone reason people like Vincent, Sephiroth's got it and then some. Tifa's a bit different - she should be able to keep more of her fans. Not a bad thought, but not something that's a guarantee either.
ZFS | Posted 9/9/2008 6:18:35 PM | message detail
Yeah. Tifa ain't losing to fodder like Ratchet and Nana. They won't even get close.

Kratos is another matter, but given how Auron nearly managed to get by Ryu with Cloud in the poll gives me some hope there. Sephiroth is no Cloud, and I wouldn't quite put Kratos on even ground with Ryu while I'd put Tifa at or a little above Auron's level. Gotta deal with direct FFVII instead of cross generation or whatever, but I think everything ends up balancing out. Looking forward to this match.
therealmnm | Posted 9/9/2008 6:20:11 PM | message detail
I still don't think Vincent got SFF'd by Sephiroth much. I point again to Sephiroth's percentage relations to Mario and Link not being off at all. If Vincent suffered from anything, it was from having 3 much stronger characters in the poll.
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Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/9/2008 6:20:14 PM | message detail
Sephiroth and Vincent were up against very strong competition in that poll, so I think there may have been some sort of unified effort by the Square fans to get their stronger entrant through. Replace Mario and Link with, say, Wario and Fox, and I very much doubt that Vincent performs as poorly relative to Sephiroth.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/9/2008 6:21:09 PM | message detail
And yes, like mnm says, he was the odd man out in a poll with three powerhouses.
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trannyscience | Posted 9/9/2008 6:21:17 PM | message detail
Auron's at least equal with Tifa, I'd say, and I'd put Kratos at Ryu's level and feel pretty comfortable, and then you've got *much* more overlap between Seph/Tifa and Cloud/Auron.... yeah. I'm more looking forward to seeing New Ocelot out of that sixteen-pack. nothing else strikes me as being too interesting.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/9/2008 6:22:54 PM | message detail
I point again to Sephiroth's percentage relations to Mario and Link not being off at all.

And Link and Mario did nothing to each other? I don't think so.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
ZFS | Posted 9/9/2008 6:24:25 PM | message detail
Well, I wouldn't take Kratos to beat Ryu one-on-one quite yet. I think it'd be close - 52/48 kinda match - and while that's not much, every little bit counts. FFVII SFF instead of FFVII/FFX SFF will be harder, but Sephiroth isn't Cloud - he doesn't have the same kind of vote stealing power. I think it all balances out to what you had with Auron/Ryu - a close match that Tifa can definitely win. Kratos should be the favorite there for sure, but given what I've seen in here, I think some people will be surprised, whether or not Tifa wins.
therealmnm | Posted 9/9/2008 6:30:15 PM | message detail
And Link and Mario did nothing to each other? I don't think so.

Sephiroth still looks to give Mario a 60/40 beating. It's not that far off. People talk like Vincent got SFF'd into the ground. That's simply not the case.
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Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/9/2008 6:31:31 PM | message detail
It just says to me that Link/Mario LFF and Seph/Vincent LFF was relatively equal, so it was as if there was none. We've already seen in the past that Link/Mario LFF does exist.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/9/2008 6:32:49 PM | message detail
I'm of the opinion that people tend to overrate LFF, given last year, which is probably happening here. That also leads people to pick things, like, say, Liquid Snake over Bowser.
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Mustache...and green...
therealmnm | Posted 9/9/2008 6:39:04 PM | message detail
But by talking about Vincent getting SFF'd by Sephiroth, you're saying that Vincent got a lower percentage than he should normally as a direct result of Sephiroth being in the poll. If anything, shouldn't that mean that Sephiroth should have benefited from Vincent, especially with Link/Mario LFF. Yet, Sephiroth's percentages compared to Link and Mario aren't too far off from what their strength levels are. Nothing really says that Vincent suffered from Sephiroth alone in that poll.
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Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/9/2008 7:26:06 PM | message detail
Hey, HM?

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v625/Ngamer/08contestpics/vh7vrr.jpg

Just wanted to let you know that this is the wrong size. It's supposed to be 140 x 75, not 145 x 70.

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Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP)
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/9/2008 9:13:41 PM | message detail
I'd say Nana is about as strong as pre-Brawl Pit, possibly even weaker. I know stats from last contest are pretty useless, but Vincent's raw value (where he got like 7% in his loss) completely destroys pre-Brawl Pit. Plus I don't think the Tifa/Samus match was a *complete* fluke. Tifa will get SFFd pretty badly, but enough to lose to Nana? I don't see that one.

~*ST*~
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HaRRicH | Posted 9/9/2008 11:26:39 PM | message detail
I think Tifa in Round Two will be very interesting. Everything that should be said has been said to my knowledge, so...should be good. I'm taking Kratos, but it'll be fun to see what happens.
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NRT winners: Pokemon R/B/Y, Star Fox 64, Donkey Kong Country 2
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=44623118
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/10/2008 4:41:23 AM | message detail
People are making me want to take Tifa here...Must...resist urge...to change bracket.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
transience | Posted 9/10/2008 4:45:25 AM | message detail
if Nana's as strong as pre-Brawl Pit I'd laugh. if Nana got 18% against anybody that isn't fodder I'd probably laugh, in fact.

go ahead, pick Tifa!
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/10/2008 4:48:05 AM | message detail
so what would have Crono done in Vincent's spot in that match?
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Explicit Contest is my lord.
_Yonex_ | Posted 9/10/2008 4:56:33 AM | message detail
Just in case some of you havn't seen it yet. I'm holding a Perfect Bracket Contest to see who can keep a perfect bracket going the longest.

Sign up here:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=45275448

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how rude
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/10/2008 5:36:02 AM | message detail
I mean picking Tifa over Kratos in round 2.
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
H__RR____H | Posted 9/10/2008 6:12:44 AM | message detail
I'm still mad Aeris isn't in Tifa's position.
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Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/10/2008 7:20:28 AM | message detail
Is there anyway the sc2k5.com site url could be changed to something that doesn't involve video games? My company computer has gamefaqs and sc2k5.com blocked by a firewall.

sc2k5.com was the only way for me to check what was going on with a match during work hours! And now they took that away from me. =(

Someone help me cheat the system!

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
charmander6000 | Posted 9/10/2008 7:27:42 AM | message detail
That was the same for me in high school last year.
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Character Battle 2008: Points 0/0
MnMZero | Posted 9/10/2008 7:32:09 AM | message detail
Someone help me cheat the system!

Get a PDA phone... <_<
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Proud Supporter of Zero
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/10/2008 8:10:28 AM | message detail
Nope, phones are not allowed inside my working area. The whole base is a restricted area.

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
transience | Posted 9/10/2008 8:12:12 AM | message detail
speaking of which, does creative know we've got a contest? and is he ready to handle updates?
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
MnMZero | Posted 9/10/2008 8:18:13 AM | message detail
Nope, phones are not allowed inside my working area. The whole base is a restricted area.

Base? Where do you work? If you don't mind me asking... Are you contractor or government?
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Proud Supporter of Zero
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/10/2008 8:32:12 AM | message detail
Schriever AFB. Military worker.

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
MnMZero | Posted 9/10/2008 8:40:28 AM | message detail
Oh, okay. I'm civilian navy. Just making sure we weren't on the same network. Sucks for you. <_<;
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Proud Supporter of Zero
Ngamer64 | Posted 9/10/2008 8:57:58 AM | message detail
Well sc2k5.com is the same thing as gamefaqscontests.com, so you could watch poll results from either site. But if they're both blocked, uh... well, feel free to continue IMing me as you've done in the past, I'll let you know what's going on.

No need to worry about creative, he knows about the Contest and will be setting things in motion for the updater as well as predicting alongside me in the Oracle this season.

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He isn't a killer. He just wins - thoroughly.
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/10/2008 9:22:05 AM | message detail
I'm still mad Aeris isn't in Tifa's position.

That was my first reaction to seeing Tifa in that spot, too. Now I won't be able to say, "Man, Sephiroth's killing Aeris here!"
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Squall Leonhart's Path to the CBVII Championship
Round 1: CATS, Nathan Drake, Yoshi
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