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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 561

Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/10/2008 9:30:13 AM | message detail
Well sc2k5.com is the same thing as gamefaqscontests.com, so you could watch poll results from either site.

No, they're both blocked.

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/10/2008 9:31:02 AM | message detail
Unfortunately, ebuddy.com is blocked too so I can't use AIM at work. =(

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
transience | Posted 9/10/2008 9:31:40 AM | message detail
how about meebo?
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/10/2008 9:33:05 AM | message detail
Haven't tried it! I'll see if it works tonight.

I hope it does.

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[Multiple Scorgasms]
Score: 0/0 Today's Pick: Zack Fair > Wario
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/10/2008 1:27:40 PM | message detail
But by talking about Vincent getting SFF'd by Sephiroth, you're saying that Vincent got a lower percentage than he should normally as a direct result of Sephiroth being in the poll. If anything, shouldn't that mean that Sephiroth should have benefited from Vincent, especially with Link/Mario LFF. Yet, Sephiroth's percentages compared to Link and Mario aren't too far off from what their strength levels are. Nothing really says that Vincent suffered from Sephiroth alone in that poll.

That makes no sense. For sake of argument, and given the strengths of the characters, we'll say Nintendo beats Square 60-40 (as opposed to the actual 58-42). Link and Mario split their pie a bit more ovenly due to them both being stronger, and Vincent got plowed because A) He share more with Seph than Link and Mario share with eachother and B) He is much weaker than the other 3 to begin with.

So seeing that Seph tripled Vincent, and Seph is probably getting at least 45% in that round 2 match, that means Tifa will probably get around 15%. Kratos managed 20% against Snake, L-block and Riku, definitely stronger competition with less SFF. Give me Mario/Luigi then Mario/Peach and we'll see who gets beat into the ground more despite Luigi sharing way more in common with Mario. Tifa is farther below Auron than Kratos is Ryu (I'd let Auron go 55-45 Tifa as opposed to Ryu probably 53/47 Kratos) and she shares more with Seph than Auron does with Cloud.

This seems like a no-brainer to me.
ZFS | Posted 9/10/2008 1:32:04 PM | message detail
Well, you keep insisting that Tifa is comparable to Peach so this isn't surprising
MnMZero | Posted 9/10/2008 2:05:42 PM | message detail
Tifa is farther below Auron than Kratos is Ryu

First of all how do you figure that Tifa is even below Auron, let alone further below Auron than Kratos is below Ryu?
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Lopen | Posted 9/10/2008 2:11:31 PM | message detail
It's true. To me, at least, Tifa has always looked better or at least just as good in these things. ZSS or not Tifa did pull 49% on Samus. There's nothing Auron has done in a fluke match or not that has looked way better than what Tifa could do.
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Ngamer64 | Posted 9/10/2008 2:23:52 PM | message detail
tranny beat me to it, but yes, meebo.com is the best place for clientless AIM (or other chat programs). If they don't have that blocked you'll be golden.

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He isn't a killer. He just wins - thoroughly.
MnMZero | Posted 9/10/2008 2:27:39 PM | message detail
Yeah, I don't know why Tifa is being treated like she is an Aeris or a Princess Peach. She's not. She was legitimately stronger than Auron in 2005 and has since had KH2 along side Auron as well as Advent Children and I guess an appearance in Crisis Core. Exactly why would Auron suddenly be able to beat her 55-45?
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Proud Supporter of Zero
Lopen | Posted 9/10/2008 2:28:23 PM | message detail
Another thing to consider is gtalk on gmail... allows you to log into AIM through it... though that might be similar to that thing you didn't use.

Anyway, honestly, this topic needs to disucss matches that are worth points. Samus/Crono/Vincent/Ryu and the subsequent Link/Mario/Samus/Vincent or Crono (or Ryu...!!) This is the thing giving me the biggest headache of the bracket.

I have Samus > Crono and then Link > Mario (SFF be damned, Mario held up commendably vs Link last year). I'd imagine the favorite here is Vincent through both? Or maybe Crono? Does anyone have Link > Samus ha ha.
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MnMZero | Posted 9/10/2008 2:32:04 PM | message detail
I have Samus > Crono and Link > Mario as well. I've already given my reasoning for Crono beating Vincent this time around. I could be wrong though. But I think Link not being in the poll dominating gives Crono a little bit of breathing room. Plus Ryu draws from multiple fanbases. It should be an epic duel.

As for the next round, Link and Mario's presence will crush Samus. There's more than enough there to get away from a Vincent or Crono, who are far weaker at this point.
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Proud Supporter of Zero
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/10/2008 2:38:13 PM | message detail
Both Mario and Samus held up reasonably well in the presence of Link last year (Mario more than doubled a Vincent hurt by Seph, and Samus beat a Seph hurt by Cloud). So while it's possible that Crono/Vincent can slip through the cracks into the finals, the latter two are so much weaker than the former two these days it seems unlikely.
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HotManGravy | Posted 9/10/2008 2:38:44 PM | message detail
as much as everyone is saying BRAWLFEAR I think we're in for a year the nintendo crew takes a step back from their recent dominance.

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ZFS | Posted 9/10/2008 2:40:54 PM | message detail
Yeah, I don't know why Tifa is being treated like she is an Aeris or a Princess Peach. She's not. She was legitimately stronger than Auron in 2005 and has since had KH2 along side Auron as well as Advent Children and I guess an appearance in Crisis Core. Exactly why would Auron suddenly be able to beat her 55-45?

Agreed. Not buyin' that Auron even beats Tifa, much less wins with 55%.

I think she's up there with Squall, or at least not too far off. She was impressive enough to be there back in 2005, and under normal circumstances, she would've been moreso in 2006 on the back of KH2 and AC. Not that this necessarily says anything this year because she's dealing with SFF the whole time, but any Peach comparison is just no good.
HaRRicH | Posted 9/10/2008 3:58:04 PM | message detail
as much as everyone is saying BRAWLFEAR I think we're in for a year the nintendo crew takes a step back from their recent dominance.

Well, it's not just SSBB...but also SMG and MKW; Nintendo's games hit hard after the last contest. Still, this made me want to look at something else. I don't think I've seen any comparisons of how systems have improved in ownership since last year. Without further adeu:

8/12/07 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2841
7/29/08 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3193

Wii -- from 48.11% to 57.44%
360 -- from 38.43% to 48.47%
PS3 -- from 15.3% to 31.58%


In that year-wide gap where both polls were within two months of the contest, the Wii grew the least. In that regard, I could see the fear of Nintendo being over-rated...but it's hard to keep growing as much as the rest when you're that far ahead, and SSBB's current-GotY status still scares me a lot. I dunno...the comparison's interesting, if nothing else.
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Master Moltar | Posted 9/10/2008 3:59:35 PM | message detail
If I do take Samus > Crono, then I'd go Link > Mario. Right now I feel pretty fine with taking Vincent again though. I definitely don't feel as confident about it as I did last year though.

Oh, and I forgot to put up the Guest sign-ups last night. I'll put them up in 2 hours (if I remember).
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Master Moltar | Posted 9/10/2008 6:15:38 PM | message detail
Guest sign-up topic for the Crew is up!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=45377284
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KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2008 6:59:09 PM | message detail
So is anyone taking GlaDOS over Falco?

I mean, if you are, you shouldn't. I'm taking GlaDOS and I know it has no chance of working. But is anyone seriously taking her?

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ZFS | Posted 9/10/2008 7:01:19 PM | message detail
I went with Glados for a while, under the impression that it was one of those joke characters. Then saw a picture of it and heard it's just a voice. Easy change to make there!

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KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2008 7:02:39 PM | message detail
Yeah, GlaDOS actually isn't a joke character, although people who haven't played Portal may not know that. Cube, yes, GlaDOS is legitimately a great villain.

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ZFS | Posted 9/10/2008 7:04:13 PM | message detail
Yeah. I've never played Portal. Figured Glados was like the Cube.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2008 7:05:13 PM | message detail
...In fact, now that I think about it, the Cube is almost guaranteed to do better than GlaDOS. That's kind of depressing.

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therealmnm | Posted 9/10/2008 7:06:50 PM | message detail
I didn't think Portal was well known enough to carry any jokes too far.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2008 7:07:39 PM | message detail
It's not, but the fact that people will recognize the Cube and won't recognize GlaDOS...yeah.

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trannyscience | Posted 9/10/2008 7:09:16 PM | message detail
Portal's fanbase is crazy though. people who know Glados *will* vote for her.
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MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/10/2008 7:09:55 PM | message detail
I won't ;>_>
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KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2008 7:10:40 PM | message detail
The problem is that they won't even know it's GlaDOS. She's a disembodied voice for 95% of the game, and her name is never said in-game.

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ZFS | Posted 9/10/2008 7:10:43 PM | message detail
http://kotaku.com/assets/resources/2008/04/glados_bondage.jpg

what's going on here

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let's mosey
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2008 7:22:03 PM | message detail
If you played Portal you would understand. Somewhat.

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Lopen | Posted 9/10/2008 7:23:27 PM | message detail
I still think GlaDOS has a chance. I have a feeling she'll get a good boost from Rock Band and she's got a rabid Portal fanbase as her backbone. I had her at first, and might go back.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 9/10/2008 7:24:06 PM | message detail
Play Portal. Now. Guaranteed you will vote for GlaDOS afterwards.

Like Yahtzee said, there is not one thing wrong with that game. It is, truly, a perfect game.
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Lopen | Posted 9/10/2008 7:25:37 PM | message detail
Hell I'm voting GlaDOS and I haven't played Portal. Still Alive is enough to give her my vote in that pack.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/10/2008 7:25:53 PM | message detail
I played Portal and loved it, and there's no way in hell I'm voting for Glados or CC in their matches.

HotManGravy
Posted 9/10/2008 5:38:44 PM
message detail
#464 as much as everyone is saying BRAWLFEAR I think we're in for a year the nintendo crew takes a step back from their recent dominance.


Nah, that'll be next year. This year will be similar to last year, with the difference being the 20 extra Brawl characters at the fodder line.
trannyscience | Posted 9/10/2008 7:26:32 PM | message detail
someone should submit that face from the end credits. wonder if he'd accept that.
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xyzzy
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/10/2008 7:26:51 PM | message detail
There was a face?
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trannyscience | Posted 9/10/2008 7:27:14 PM | message detail
sure, the little ascii face that sings at you.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2008 7:27:49 PM | message detail
I sorta kinda remember that, but that would probably do even worse.

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Lopen | Posted 9/10/2008 7:27:53 PM | message detail
Show me this picture. Certainly it must have more charisma than that machine.
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trannyscience | Posted 9/10/2008 7:28:12 PM | message detail
I disagree. it can't do any worse.
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xyzzy
XxSoulxX | Posted 9/10/2008 7:28:17 PM | message detail
someone should submit that face from the end credits. wonder if he'd accept that.

http://img292.imageshack.us/img292/6138/hugesuccesstn9.png
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XxSoulxX | Posted 9/10/2008 7:29:22 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RthZgszykLs
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MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/10/2008 7:29:41 PM | message detail
Was that uh... actually in the game? I know VGCats did a little video like that, but I don't think that was actually in the game ;>_>
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For your health.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 9/10/2008 7:31:29 PM | message detail
http://www.vgcats.com/comics/extras/stillalive.php
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MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/10/2008 7:32:28 PM | message detail
Yeah, that.
I don't see any face in the actual credits.
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ZFS | Posted 9/10/2008 7:33:08 PM | message detail
Ha. Glados has got no luck with this picture thing.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2008 7:40:53 PM | message detail
GlaDOS' picture should just be a link to a page of all her dialogue with Still Alive playing in the background.

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transience | Posted 9/10/2008 7:48:17 PM | message detail
oh, I guess there isn't a face. musta gotten it mixed up with the vgcats thing.
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
XxSoulxX | Posted 9/10/2008 8:14:04 PM | message detail
someone finish this
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/10/2008 8:14:28 PM | message detail
barack obama
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