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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 555

Master Moltar | Posted 8/21/2008 2:48:59 PM | message detail
whoopz i meant sonic

thought so

doesn't stop the snake train though all aboard
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Moltar Status: =D
Brawlin' - 4339-2157-7264
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/21/2008 2:49:11 PM | message detail
I'm lovin the banner this year!
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Zylo the wolf | Posted 8/21/2008 2:49:19 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
RPGuy96 | Posted 8/21/2008 2:49:35 PM | message detail
...And after arguing against Snake quite a bit, I have him in the finals over Sephy. D'oh.
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Mustache...and green...
ZFS | Posted 8/21/2008 2:50:01 PM | message detail
doesn't stop the snake train though all aboard

woo

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Kept you waiting, huh?
RPGuy96 | Posted 8/21/2008 2:50:27 PM | message detail
Er, making the finals over Sephy. I don't have Snake/Sephy as my two winners. <_<
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Mustache...and green...
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 8/21/2008 2:51:45 PM | message detail
poor Tifa, stuck in first round with sephy...
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NoobPwn3rBillio - "When has anyone ever called you a 360 fanboy."
ZFS | Posted 8/21/2008 2:51:57 PM | message detail
Finished filling it out the first time - who else has a repeat final? woo BLOCKFEAR

Might want to rethink that one.

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Kept you waiting, huh?
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/21/2008 2:52:28 PM | message detail
Whoa

The bracket isn't too bad, but there are 2 really huge wildcards in MMX and Zack. MMX could be anywhere between Ryu and Mega Man himself, and Zack could be fodder or Sora-level.

my head hurts, will post thoughts as I go through it
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Master Moltar | Posted 8/21/2008 2:53:47 PM | message detail
repeat final with modified ending let's go
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Moltar Status: =D
Brawlin' - 4339-2157-7264
voltch | Posted 8/21/2008 2:53:48 PM | message detail
banner clearly gives FFVII characters an advantage.
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Del Boy:He who dares, wins!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/21/2008 2:54:17 PM | message detail
This is probably old at this point, but there are way too many ****ing joke characters.
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/21/2008 2:55:19 PM | message detail
I have a repeat finals, but with Link > Cloud.
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
Brawl FC: 4253-3155-6697
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 8/21/2008 2:57:21 PM | message detail
Believe me. Zack will be strong.
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NoobPwn3rBillio - "When has anyone ever called you a 360 fanboy."
SFF_potential | Posted 8/21/2008 2:59:29 PM | message detail
i think Zack will struggle to break the fodder line, unless his pic makes it obvious he's from FF7
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Luigi will win Character Battle VII!
http://img294.imageshack.us/img294/4524/luigibrawltz7.jpg
Lady Ashe | Posted 8/21/2008 2:59:35 PM | message detail
Crono/Vincent rematch, and the winner makes it to the finals.

Assuming L-Block doesn't repeat, that is.
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http://backloggery.com/embok/sig.gif
voltch | Posted 8/21/2008 2:59:53 PM | message detail
why couldn't RE5 come tomorrow,Chris/Squall/sora/yoshi would have been cool but we are now stuck with Fox.
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Del Boy:He who dares, wins!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 8/21/2008 3:00:48 PM | message detail
Zack looks like Cloud, with the same sword. That alone will make him do very well, imo.
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NoobPwn3rBillio - "When has anyone ever called you a 360 fanboy."
Yesmar | Posted 8/21/2008 3:00:52 PM | message detail
I think people might be overestimating Weighted Companion Cube. It is totally not the same as L-Block. Everybody has played Tetris and got the joke. Only a small fraction of that from GameFAQS have even played Portal. I don't even have the Cube making it past Donkey Kong. L-Block wouldn't have been able to pull that off at the beginning of last year, so I don't think the Cube can either.
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You need to meet someone at a garden, or a movie or something. Somewhere classy. Like a cooking recipe message board or something.--True Godhand/Curt
Zylo the wolf | Posted 8/21/2008 3:03:57 PM | message detail
Zack looks like Cloud, of course he's strong.

I think Shadow proved that when not so many had played SA2, yet he almost doubled Wario.

I think he'l make it out of the division. All that can stop him is Shadow, and that shouldn't be a tough opponent for a Cloud clone with a recent game.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. EC > Me
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/21/2008 3:04:04 PM | message detail
Division 1:

First of all, goddamn you Zack. Also, do Lucario and Marth hurt eachother enough to let Altair (another semi-wildcard) and/or Kefka through? I've got Link > Zack for the finals

Division 2:

Liquid Snake/Roxas could be interesting, but L Snake is the safe bet. Geno/Phoenix should be interesting, but I have a feeling Phoenix will take it in another bout of Board 8 retardedness and SMRPG SFF. A very interesting match is Mario's fourpack. Does he hurt Zelda enough for Knuckles to squeak by? Or does he hurt Knuckles too? Maybe Knux will pull a Shadow here. The later rounds here are going to be a pain in the ass, because MMX definitely has a good shot of winning the division. It all depends on his strength and his ability to resist Mario SFF. Toughest call in the bracket for me.

Division 3:

Boring division. Samus > Vincent. Frog/KOS-MOS looks like it'll be a great one though.

Division 4:

Kratos and Kirby are one thing, Crono and Ryu are totally different. I can't see L-block advancing past round 2, and I can see him losing in round 1. Only other comment is poor Diddy. He'll take second to Alucard in round 1then get screwed by Pikachu in the second round. Only question is whether or not he hurts Pikachu enough for Alucard to take 1st

Division 5:

First match could be trouble, but I'm confident in Tidus > DK. Other than that, poor Zero gets screwed again by SFF, though it should be interesting to see how he stands up to Mega Man again. It's a good thing Teedus is the fourth option in the finals, otherwise we might have had another NN upset.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Pyrostormer | Posted 8/21/2008 3:05:32 PM | message detail
stingers' upset picks of the year (with explanations):
round 1
marth > niko (don't get why people have marth > kefka after kefka lost to vercetti, but whatever)
mario > knuckles (knuckles and zelda were already close enough, nintendo SFF kills her)
scorpion > gordon (...i dont get why this is an upset but apparently the bracket aim chat disagrees with me. someone explain this to me please)
L-Block > meta knight (MK has brawl, is considered one of the best characters in Brawl, and beat peach last year while Ryu barely beat auron with cloud SFF. it's definitely a huge upset pick but meh, I could see it happening)
pikachu > arthas (most people have pikachu > ike in the bracket chat, iirc. which strikes me as odd, arthas did pretty well against KOS-MOS considering all of the diablo SFF he had, and KOS-MOS literally finished right below Ike in the stats. now that arthas is the one WITHOUT SFF, and ike is the one with it, I think he could win it.)

round 2
niko > marth (seriously, marth and lucario are both only loved because of brawl and will SFF like crazy. Niko is like chief in that his core fanbase is always gonna vote for him. he takes this easily imho)
l. snake > luigi (luigi/bowser sff is crazy. l. snake isn't that weak. he takes it.)
vincent > GlaDOS (i'm actually kind of unsure about this one. can someone give me a good reason scorpion would take it so i can change this please...or gordon i guess but lol gordon)

round 3
mario > mmx (dunno if this is an upset really, but i just want to mention that mario/luigi should be funny)
chief > dante (chief outperformed sonic last year...in this format he's really good. dante is a bit stronger with dmc4 and chief is a bit weaker with halo 3 not being as popular but he can still take this)

quarters
link > mmx (mario is mario. he can't win against link. mmx however, kinda can.)
samus > vincent (idk, i like vincent more then crono here)

semis
link > mmx (seriously i think i love mmx too much but samus also fails to link sff and vincent just cant beat mmx)
snake > cloud (seriously. cloud/sephy sff is major (cloud-sephy split 56-44 in 2k4), and snake is much stronger with brawl/mgs4. if anyone is a clinkeroth breaker, it's snake)

the final
mmx > snake

~*01010010 01001111 01000010*~
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Xenosaga is way better then any crappy game you enjoy.
http://img146.imageshack.us/img146/3592/1182804410526mu7.jpg
ZFS | Posted 8/21/2008 3:07:35 PM | message detail
Snake over Sephiroth is one thing, Snake over Cloud is another.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2923&num=4

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Kept you waiting, huh?
MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/21/2008 3:07:36 PM | message detail
why are you talking about Altair? you should worry more about Kefka.
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*is Dranze*
Explicit Contest is my lord.
Pyrostormer | Posted 8/21/2008 3:08:14 PM | message detail
Frog/KOS-MOS looks like it'll be a great one though.

naah. sadly, frog will take this pretty easily. frog/ganon are split far apart enough that the sff wont be too big, and kos-mos placed below pre-brawl Ike last year. she's not great. whereas frog beat axel and put up a...somewhat decent show against scorpion.

~*01010010 01001111 01000010*~
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Xenosaga is way better then any crappy game you enjoy.
http://img146.imageshack.us/img146/3592/1182804410526mu7.jpg
ZFS | Posted 8/21/2008 3:08:33 PM | message detail
Not that I wouldn't *love* seeing it, but you gotta have some limits !

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Kept you waiting, huh?
TheArkOfTurus | Posted 8/21/2008 3:10:29 PM | message detail
"scorpion > gordon (...i dont get why this is an upset but apparently the bracket aim chat disagrees with me. someone explain this to me please)"

Gordon isn't strong, Half-Life and Bioshock have a damn good chance of sharing a fanbase, Balthier is the only RPG character there, and, while weak, was at least good enough to make it to round 2 last year (and I'd argue that he looked better than Freeman in the first place.)
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Our eyes were removed
For our own safety. 3823-8286-6059
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 8/21/2008 3:12:01 PM | message detail
Do you guys think Hogger can actually advance past round 1? He was put in a Fodder match...

Dante
Laharl
Hogger
Ramza

the "lulz" factor i think might get him to advance...
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NoobPwn3rBillio - "When has anyone ever called you a 360 fanboy."
Pyrostormer | Posted 8/21/2008 3:12:25 PM | message detail
HM, you let your best buddy Snake down in his time of need?

...I thought you were a fanboy.

~*01010010 01001111 01000010*~
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Xenosaga is way better then any crappy game you enjoy.
http://img146.imageshack.us/img146/3592/1182804410526mu7.jpg
Pyrostormer | Posted 8/21/2008 3:12:56 PM | message detail
no albion there is absolutely no chance of hogger winning

no sarcasm there either

dante > ramza is a "lock"

~*01010010 01001111 01000010*~
---
Xenosaga is way better then any crappy game you enjoy.
http://img146.imageshack.us/img146/3592/1182804410526mu7.jpg
MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/21/2008 3:13:45 PM | message detail
I'm picking Laharl because I pick him every year to pull some sort of upset and he never does!
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Demyx is better than Axel.
Just like Explicit Content is better than me for winning the Guru contest.
voltch | Posted 8/21/2008 3:13:45 PM | message detail
if shadow bottles it then i fear for Sonic,but he's in Brawl and has new games.
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Del Boy:He who dares, wins!
XxSoulxX | Posted 8/21/2008 3:14:28 PM | message detail
Do you guys think Hogger can actually advance past round 1? He was put in a Fodder match...and will finish in last place.

How does that make you feel?
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Good Times,
Great Memories
ZFS | Posted 8/21/2008 3:14:32 PM | message detail
a fanboy who knows how these things work

imho

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Kept you waiting, huh?
paraboxx | Posted 8/21/2008 3:15:57 PM | message detail
...okay, I've got Zack Fair making it to the finals.

Maybe I shouldn't be working on this bracket right now.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/21/2008 3:16:49 PM | message detail
Division 6:

Sora/Fox/Yoshi/Squall should be good, but if Squall can almost beat Sonic with Sora in the poll, he should have no trouble with Yoshi even without Fox there. The finals are a different story though. I have a feeling Cloud is going to decimate poor Squall. I guess karma for Squall/Tidus

Division 7:

Kain/Raiden should be good. Raiden sucked enough last year that there's a good chance at this, although in reality, MGS4 will probably out-do FF4DS. And our first complete mystery character, who the hell are Hogger and Siegfried? Kirby might be able to pull a Pikachu in the finals for this one.

Division 8:

Shame Marcus Fenix got wasted here, I would have liked to see what he could do with GeoW2 releasing mid-contest. Ocelot/Jill again? Should be interesting to see how much Sephy hurts Tifa, but I'm confident in Kratos taking second there. If Tifa manages to advance though, we'll be seeing Sonic > Sephy in the finals.

Finals:

Ryu in a great position to advance over Vinny/Crono. Zero couldn't do it last year, but Ryu is a lot more independent and shouldn't be hurt by Samus nearly as much. Tere's where it gets messy. Link/Samus/Mario/Ryu. Ryu pulled a big upset off last year due to being against 3 Nintendo characters, can he do it again and advance with Link? And what have we here. If Squall advances with Cloud, could we have a huge upset with Snake/MM over Cloud? If not, looks like we'll be seeing a final match of Link > Cloud > Snake > Ryu


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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 8/21/2008 3:17:03 PM | message detail
and will finish in last place.

Starcraft fans rallied around their own. Warcraft fans are as rabid (didn't work for Arthas only cuz he split SFF with Diablo, and STILL nearly beat Kos-Mos)
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NoobPwn3rBillio - "When has anyone ever called you a 360 fanboy."
trannyscience | Posted 8/21/2008 3:17:07 PM | message detail
I have a hard time getting myself up for this bracket. let's count the Smash characters..

Wario, Link, Marth, Lucario, Luigi, Bowser, Mario, Zelda, Samus, Ganondorf, Falco, Falcon, Diddy, Ike, Pikachu, DK, Olimar, Dedede, Pit, Snake, Yoshi, Mewtwo, Ness, Kirby, Lucas, Nana, SANDBAG. that's just insane. I might have missed one. sure, some of those are legitimate, but holy god. the better question is what character DIDN'T make it. Game and Watch? ROB?

as for analysis, I just have one thing to say..

Mario / Mega Man X / Knuckles / Mudkip

and if he wins

Mario / Luigi / Bowser / Mudkip
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xyzzy
Master Moltar | Posted 8/21/2008 3:19:30 PM | message detail
kipFAQs has arrived

(mmx will save us i believe)
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Moltar Status: =D
Brawlin' - 4339-2157-7264
ZFS | Posted 8/21/2008 3:20:00 PM | message detail
seeing Snake grouped with the smash crew is no good


Mario / Luigi / Bowser / Mudkip

watch out princess peach / daisy

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Kept you waiting, huh?
trannyscience | Posted 8/21/2008 3:20:15 PM | message detail
Link/Mega Man woo

Sonic characters sucking in this format woo

Mudkip with a guaranteed 20-25% woo
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xyzzy
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/21/2008 3:20:36 PM | message detail
Oh crap, didn't even see Niko there. That changes everything. Marth > Niko then Niko > Marth due to Lucario SFF. Niko just needs to be as strong as Vercetti was to do this.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Pyrostormer | Posted 8/21/2008 3:20:41 PM | message detail
cloud/sephy split their vote by 12.72%.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2925&num=4

cloud/snake split their vote by 12.22%

so if we use that we can assume snake > sephy

furthermore

12.22+12.72 = 24.94%

that is not enough to get first place.

BUT

brawl/mgs4 add on 5% to that because brawl is #1 and mgs 4 is the 4th and 4+1=5

that would be 29.94%

and snake wins!

also that logic is 100% infallible

don't even bother countering it it's impossible sorry

~*01010010 01001111 01000010*~
---
Xenosaga is way better then any crappy game you enjoy.
http://img146.imageshack.us/img146/3592/1182804410526mu7.jpg
Pyrostormer | Posted 8/21/2008 3:21:59 PM | message detail
BT what are you talking about

Ryu is out round 1 fool

L-Block/MK represent

~*01010010 01001111 01000010*~
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Xenosaga is way better then any crappy game you enjoy.
http://img146.imageshack.us/img146/3592/1182804410526mu7.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/21/2008 3:22:10 PM | message detail
So uhh Link > L-Block is my Final

Good? Bad? Can Niko scramble his way to the Quarterfinals? I mean he's got some terrible competition and GameFAQs is diggin the 360 lately
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/21/2008 3:22:32 PM | message detail
Mudkip couldn't even win with Ganondorf and Luigi killing eachother. He has no chance against Mario and Mega Man X.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Zylo the wolf | Posted 8/21/2008 3:23:22 PM | message detail
Sorry guys Mudkip got no chance, he's no Bidoof!

Seriously Mudkip lost against Ganondorf and Luigi, when they were facing each other. Now he's up against the 4th strongest character and the wild card of the year.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. EC > Me
Pyrostormer | Posted 8/21/2008 3:23:54 PM | message detail
L-block might get to round 2 but no way he's making it past round 3

l-block won't be nearly as strong as last year foreal :/

~*01010010 01001111 01000010*~
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Xenosaga is way better then any crappy game you enjoy.
http://img146.imageshack.us/img146/3592/1182804410526mu7.jpg
trannyscience | Posted 8/21/2008 3:24:11 PM | message detail
I'm sure Mega Man X will totally do better against Mario than Mega Man did when he got absolutely smashed by Link
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xyzzy
KamikazePotato | Posted 8/21/2008 3:24:39 PM | message detail
Is Sackboy the first character to ever get into a contest before his game was released?

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Brawl FC: 4296-2658-3681 (KP)
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