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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 551

LeonhartFour | Posted 7/20/2008 7:56:39 PM | message detail
Have you noticed that every poll in which GTA has done well for itself is from 2004 or earlier (that is, BEFORE the Nintendo Boost)? And rallying or not, GTA still lost to Warcraft. I really doubt it would've lost a few years ago.

The fact that LoZ:TP "only" did 5% better against them than SMG against its opponents shows me just how much stronger LoZ:TP is than SMG.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2995

Yeah, not much. And all of the SFF arguments for TP work just as much for Galaxy. You can give the extra 4.5% of Wind Waker completely to TP if you want, but I doubt it'd get all of it.

Interesting to see that Mario Galaxy still beat San Andreas cleanly even with all of the Nintendo LFF going on in that poll.

Man, I'm glad you brought up the TP/Galaxy comparisons. That poll speaks more for me than any other argument will. GTAIV isn't going to be much stronger than San Andreas, if at all.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
HaRRicH | Posted 7/20/2008 8:09:05 PM | message detail
Ngamer: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=44323314

I tried to get a lot of extra signs for you while you were gone by encouraging people to get it to 240 before you back back. The above topic has all the names of the petition you last had on the wiki, plus the rest of the signs of the last topic and the new current signs. It was made to be temporary until you came back.
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I love RPGGamer0. He's so awesome!
HaRRicH | Posted 7/20/2008 8:23:58 PM | message detail
Have you noticed that every poll in which GTA has done well for itself is from 2004 or earlier (that is, BEFORE the Nintendo Boost)?

Although GTA:LS won a PSP-GotY, I know your point. Still, there aren't enough polls of GTA games to really say too well -- there haven't been many related polls to it in the past four years.


And rallying or not, GTA still lost to Warcraft. I really doubt it would've lost a few years ago.

I mean, probably if it was soon after GTA:SA's release. If you mean before that though...a series of just GTA3, GTA:SA, and the largely-ignored 2D games would have lost to WC anyway unless WoW wasn't out then either.
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I love RPGGamer0. He's so awesome!
LeonhartFour | Posted 7/20/2008 9:17:01 PM | message detail
there haven't been many related polls to it in the past four years.

Well, there was the one I just pointed out about Galaxy beating San Andreas...
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
Ngamer64 | Posted 7/20/2008 9:58:58 PM | message detail
You're the man HaR!

As to this argument, though, I think Leon's got you there. There were two games (FFX/SA) in that GotD lineup that should have been able to run SFF free and had no excuse to not put up solid numbers. One impressed, and one flopped pretty hard.

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Hot Content: thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
He isn't a killer. He just wins - thoroughly.
Yesmar | Posted 7/20/2008 10:44:15 PM | message detail
I think GTA still had some push left in 2005. San Andreas almost broke the Top 10 in the Top 100 Games List, and Vercetti was just as strong as ever that year.

But yeah, I don't know what happened after that. Part of me wants to say that GTA Vs. Warcraft is an anamoly, but Vercetti really sucked it up in his match this past year.
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You need to meet someone at a garden, or a movie or something. Somewhere classy. Like a cooking recipe message board or something.--True Godhand/Curt
voltch | Posted 7/20/2008 11:58:20 PM | message detail
I still think GTA IV revitalised the franchise,after SA we kept seeing bad things for the series,I mean CJ losing to Ness was a surprise.

but GTA IV seems more like a fresh start,it got more publicity(at least in the UK) than any other GTA game i can remember,it's been well received,high sales and a main character who is far more likeable than CJ.

Vercetti's drop in power is understandable but I think GTA IV would get hammered by SMG but i'd still put it over recent big name FPS games.

But we need to get GTA IV's main character in a contest setting,if he does well it'll be racistFaqs all over again if CJ was the only to not do well at some point in his history from that franchise.
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Day Brawl was supposed to arrive by mail:02/07/2008
Day I got a refund and bought the game in a retail store:17/07/2008
Zylo the wolf | Posted 7/21/2008 2:08:48 AM | message detail


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=776


A poll where one FF game and a Zelda game gets the least votes, man things have changed.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. EC > Me
Edmond Tan | Posted 7/21/2008 5:50:46 AM | message detail
May I ask where I can access your contest analysis?
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"Cold water sinks and cold water rise" - A classmate, when asked about convention currents.
"Make up your damn mind" - My science teacher.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/21/2008 6:17:37 AM | message detail
The Wiki

~*ST*~
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MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN!
Now Playing: FF12, Crisis Core
LeonhartFour | Posted 7/21/2008 7:33:29 AM | message detail
Vercetti was just as strong as ever that year.

That performance against Kefka was pathetic (Most people on the board expected Vercetti to win that one easily, if you'll recall), and Crono got 70% on him, compared to the 66% Mega Man got on him in 2003. He'd dropped between then, I'd say.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
_Yonex_ | Posted 7/21/2008 8:45:30 AM | message detail
GTA hasn't got any more popular between SA and IV because the only games it produced were PSP games. The people who bought the PSP games were mainly those who had a keen interest in the games already, it rarely got any new fans because of that. Therefore, we have seen Vercetti flop recently, but with GTAIV I still think that the series has become popular again and we might see an unpredicted number of votes for it.

Also, when does GTAIV come out for PC, if ever?
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Look at this sig hard enough and you will find the combination to the lock.
voltch | Posted 7/21/2008 8:55:34 AM | message detail
Ray Liotta just keeps on dropping then.
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Day Brawl was supposed to arrive by mail:02/07/2008
Day I got a refund and bought the game in a retail store:17/07/2008
H__RR____H | Posted 7/21/2008 12:03:38 PM | message detail
Ah, overlooked your last argument...killer point. I still think GTA4 > GTA:SA and that GTA:SA wouldn't do so well in a multi-poll like that now -- I figure GTA games don't stand the test of time like many others do...but it's no excuse for it to not compare to an SFF'd SMG or RE4 at the least. Point taken, SMG > GTA4...

...but I still can't stress enough I think we've seen two of the strongest upcoming new games since we've started having GotY-polls. How many people consider SSBB stronger now than SSBM ever was? SSBB has been arguably the most hyped game this site has ever seen; remember the upcoming-Wii-title poll from last year, when it had like ~60% over SMG, MP3, and some others? Who remembers the super-easy predictions that SSBB would destroy SMG on its way to becoming GotY last year before the release date was pushed back? Couple that with MGS4 getting killer reviews, sounding like it's the best MGS game to date, and selling pretty amazing for a PS3 game (definitely more than I thought it would at this point)...just saying, GTA4 has been shafted at looking too good this year. I still don't think SMG is a terribly safe bet, but I'll give it the benefit of the doubt now.
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Lobby Hero
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H__RR____H | Posted 7/21/2008 12:06:16 PM | message detail
Anyway, gotta argue about something else you said.....


Yeah, not much. And all of the SFF arguments for TP work just as much for Galaxy. You can give the extra 4.5% of Wind Waker completely to TP if you want, but I doubt it'd get all of it.

I doubt LoZ:TP would completely absorb LoZ:WW too, but Link showed through the Battle Royale in 2k6 that he'll take most of the Nintendo support when other Nintendo factors are removed...

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2562
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2563
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2564

...Samus has 7.74% on the first day. When she lost, Link rose 7.5% while Mario oddly dropped 0.41%. Mario had 11.18% on the second day. When he lost, Link rose 7.77% -- still well over half of Mario's support...

...games =/= characters and such, but if Link can do that with supporters of Mario and Samus, then I can see LoZ:TP doing something similar to that with supporters of LoZ:WW and MP. It's not unreasonable since LoZ:TP can relate to fans of those two games more than SMG does and people argued that LoZ:WW would be weaker now that LoZ:TP is out. It doesn't hurt that LoZ:TP shares the Gamecube with those two titles either, though that's likely a mute point. Assuming that this theory's the case, if Link can take 15.27% of the 18.92% other Nintendo mascots had, then LoZ:TP could arguably take 8+% of the 10.82% that the 2002/2003-GotY's had. Let's be generous and say LoZ:TP only got 7% of it though and SMG got 2%, then spread the last 1.82% evenly to the other three games...

2001: Final Fantasy X 25.36%
2004: Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas 14.55%
2005: Resident Evil 4 18.83%
2006: Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess 23.86%
2007: Super Mario Galaxy 17.4%

...instant huge separation, and fully using the Link-example would suggest an even bigger difference between LoZ:TP and SMG while giving the other games a little bit less. This says LoZ:TP when LFF'd by another A+-Wii game can still compete with FFX, something I question SMG could do with FFX without being sandbagged by another Nintendo game. I've heard legit talk of LoZ:TP beating several of the site's top games ranging from FF3/6 to LoZ:LttP, but I never heard discussion of SMG doing it or even being on that same edge of doing so as games like FFX, and this example based off of what Link did to Mario and Samus backs that up.

I just don't think you can say SMG and LoZ:TP are near the same level by any means, and I don't really think their GotY-competition was either. I'd probably take Gear > Halo 3, FF12 certainly would beat Halo 3 and could fight with CoD4 one-on-one (probably just off of brand-name), FF12/Gears have almost no similar fanbase whereas CoD4/Halo 3 debates arose since their releases, and LoZ:TP beat FF12/Gears by 5% more than SMG beat CoD4/Halo 3. Those are huge reasons to say LoZ:TP is well above SMG by GotY-polls alone, then the example above backs this up...and, lastly, did anybody ever really expect SMG to be as strong as LoZ:TP since they were even announced? I just think this has been a non-issue all along since I understood the consensus was LoZ:TP >> SM64/SMW > SMG.
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Lobby Hero
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H__RR____H | Posted 7/21/2008 12:26:04 PM | message detail
One other thing about GTA4/MGS4 then I'd kinda like to drop it -- I catch myself see-sawing between SMG and GTA4 now:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3135

26.91% of the site has a PS3 on June 1st. On June 30th, 26.78% say MGS4 has been the best game so far this year. Is it fair to say GTA4 is a sign of a downward spiral when its 360-owners probably-nearly-alone has 25.25% and SSBB has 35.45% and it seems the PS3-community is united with MGS4? I said this before -- take this poll before MGS4 came out, and things could have been looking much differently for GTA4.
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
H__RR____H | Posted 7/21/2008 12:26:56 PM | message detail
...and man, I spend a lot of time arguing lately.
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
ToadYoshi | Posted 7/21/2008 12:46:04 PM | message detail
well Harrich, that is what this board is for.
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Jinjo for Summer Contest 2008
voltch | Posted 7/21/2008 12:47:57 PM | message detail
can't argue with those numbers you provided,guess i thought too highly of GTAIV mostly due to all the topics that appeared on this board and it topping gamerankings and topping the FAQ list.
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Day Brawl was supposed to arrive by mail:02/07/2008
Day I got a refund and bought the game in a retail store:17/07/2008
H__RR____H | Posted 7/21/2008 12:50:18 PM | message detail
Haha, that or complaining. Depends on the subject.
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/21/2008 4:36:43 PM | message detail
-A site-wide contest. Yes there will be one. No, it's not ready and I don't know when it will be. When it's ready, it will be announced. I don't have an answer so please stop asking. It will be announced when it's ready.

Yes!!
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*is Dranze*
Brawl FC: 4081-5169-8762
swirIdude | Posted 7/21/2008 4:46:02 PM | message detail
-A site-wide contest. Yes there will be one. No, it's not ready and I don't know when it will be. When it's ready, it will be announced. I don't have an answer so please stop asking. It will be announced when it's ready.

Duke Nukem Forever vs Too Human confirmed.
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SSBB FC: 4425-1156-3590
The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls ~MajinUltima
HaRRicH | Posted 7/21/2008 5:26:40 PM | message detail
DNF has it in the bag.

FACT or FICTION: Duke Nukem would clearly boost from DNF's release.
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I love RPGGamer0. He's so awesome!
Ngamer64 | Posted 7/21/2008 8:03:23 PM | message detail
Hooray! Not only does SB confirm a site-wide bracket Contest for this year, he also shied away from just referring to it as "the next Character Battle," so the possibility of our long-awaited Games is at least still on the table. Super duper.

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Hot Content: thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
He isn't a killer. He just wins - thoroughly.
Ngamer64 | Posted 7/21/2008 8:16:49 PM | message detail
Although the one thing I don't like is his "omg you guys are soooo annoying" attitude when all he would have needed to do is take 10 seconds to sticky a B8 topic with that same content back in April when I originally asked him about it.

But anyways... for the guy asking to see match writeups, yes, we have every past match on its own page along with full stats and graphs and analysis of the results over on the wiki. That's all inside the

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Matches

category.

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Hot Content: thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
He isn't a killer. He just wins - thoroughly.
ZFS | Posted 7/21/2008 8:18:36 PM | message detail
Doesn't sound like it's any time soon, but nice to see some kind of update.

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Where there are cardboard boxes, there will always be Solid Snake.
voltch | Posted 7/22/2008 12:55:52 AM | message detail
The contest will be released just in time for DNF.
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Day Brawl was supposed to arrive by mail:02/07/2008
Day I got a refund and bought the game in a retail store:17/07/2008
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 7/22/2008 1:13:32 AM | message detail
DNF?
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The Straight Up G
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
HaRRicH | Posted 7/22/2008 1:15:09 AM | message detail
Duke Nukem Forever.
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I love RPGGamer0. He's so awesome!
_Yonex_ | Posted 7/22/2008 4:50:26 AM | message detail
Yes!!
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Look at this sig hard enough and you will find the combination to the lock.
Ngamer64 | Posted 7/22/2008 2:01:15 PM | message detail
ATTN: HM

I was gone last week... did you make a topic for the NPD sales results from June? I'd certainly think you would have, what with MGS4's strong sales and it moving so many PS3s, but I can't find it on the board here anywhere. Think you could re-post the results along with those lifetime sales and top software lifetime sales that you have been keeping up to date?

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Hot Content: thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com
He isn't a killer. He just wins - thoroughly.
Yesmar | Posted 7/22/2008 3:51:15 PM | message detail
I don't know if that update really makes me feel any better. How much time does it take to put together nominations?
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You need to meet someone at a garden, or a movie or something. Somewhere classy. Like a cooking recipe message board or something.--True Godhand/Curt
ZFS | Posted 7/22/2008 4:02:56 PM | message detail
Yeah. I made one last week. Must've purged.

Hardware
1) Nintendo DS -- 783,000
2) Wii -- 666,700
3) PlayStation 3 -- 405,500
4) PlayStation Portable -- 337,400
5) Xbox 360 -- 219,800
6) PlayStation 2 -- 188,800

Software
1) Metal Gear Solid 4 (PS3) -- 774,600
2) Guitar Hero: On Tour (NDS) -- 422,300
3) Ninja Gaiden 2 (360) -- 372,700
4) Wii Fit (Wii) -- 372,700
5) Wii Play (Wii) -- 359,100
6) Battlefield: Bad Company (360) -- 346,800
7) Mario Kart Wii (Wii) -- 322,400
8) Lego Indiana Jones (Wii) -- 294,500
9) Lego Indiana Jones (NDS) -- 267,800
10) Lego Indiana Jones (PS2) -- 260,300

-- MGS4's sales here don't include the bundles. Adding those in gets you a million sold for the month.

2008
1) Wii -- 3.46 million
2) Nintendo DS -- 3.17 million
3) PlayStation 3 -- 1.60 million
4) PlayStation Portable -- 1.47 million
5) Xbox 360 -- 1.33 million
6) PlayStation 2 -- 1.26 million

Lifetime
1) PlayStation 2 -- 42.30 million
2) Nintendo DS -- 20.76 million
3) PlayStation Portable -- 11.98 million
4) Wii -- 10.82 million
5) Xbox 360 -- 10.44 million
6) PlayStation 3 -- 4.83 million

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Where there are cardboard boxes, there will always be Solid Snake.
XIII_rocks | Posted 7/22/2008 4:11:42 PM | message detail
I'm not sold on Allen's regime yet anyway, he's going to need to really give me good contest to prove me wrong.

Sadly, I don't think he cares about them even as much as Ceej did. If we get one, I'm prepared for a crap bracket tbh.
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How much wood could a woodchuck chuck if a woodchuck could chuck wood?
"You're...the ****!" - Otacon to Snake, MGS4
MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/22/2008 4:24:46 PM | message detail
hmm. didnt he make last years? it wasn't all that bad i guess.
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*is Dranze*
Brawl FC: 4081-5169-8762
HaRRicH | Posted 7/22/2008 10:05:08 PM | message detail
So...women have increased by nearly 2% here. There means only one thing...

...yoshifaqs is coming.
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Well then who's on first? Yes. I mean the guy's name. Who. The guy on 1st. Who. The 1st baseman. Who. Who is on first! That's his name. That's who's name? Yes.
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 7/22/2008 10:08:34 PM | message detail
Yoshifaqs more like Peachfaqs
MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/22/2008 10:11:19 PM | message detail
call me weird but i actually find that the best argument if one would argue for a yoshi boost.
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*is Dranze*
Brawl FC: 4081-5169-8762
voltch | Posted 7/23/2008 2:24:09 AM | message detail
more women?you mean CuteFaqs is coming?
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Day Brawl was supposed to arrive by mail:02/07/2008
Day I got a refund and bought the game in a retail store:17/07/2008
H__RR____H | Posted 7/23/2008 8:11:39 AM | message detail
Ha...nevermind that Yoshi had SSBB (and improved with a third jump) and MKW (where I would argue he is most popular) this year: Yoshi's now got 0.71% more women on his side!



More seriously, turned out I was wrong about the 1.5% boost in women according to this:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2949

Not that I'm gonna take that kind of boost seriously right now, but will say to my experience that I can't think of any women that play games and do not adore Yoshi. This ranges from women who love Yoshi's Story to LoZ:MM to Rock Band. I don't think this is going to show in any contest polls...but Yoshi might increase his lead in a Mario-poll again. =P
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
nintendogirl1 | Posted 7/23/2008 8:29:54 AM | message detail
I would argue against the blatant stereotyping...

But I loves me some Yoshi.
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>_<
Yesmar | Posted 7/23/2008 8:57:24 AM | message detail
I've always thought an increase in female voters would help out Squall, since he's probably the closest we have to TJF in guys.
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You need to meet someone at a garden, or a movie or something. Somewhere classy. Like a cooking recipe message board or something.--True Godhand/Curt
MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/23/2008 9:42:59 AM | message detail
and MKW (where I would argue he is most popular)
in MKW alone? that's false. daisy and funky kong trounce yoshi.
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*is Dranze*
Brawl FC: 4081-5169-8762
_Yonex_ | Posted 7/23/2008 11:28:52 AM | message detail
Yeah, Funky Kong is extremely popular in MKW. Much more than Yoshi.
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Look at this sig hard enough and you will find the combination to the lock.
Big Bob | Posted 7/23/2008 11:52:21 AM | message detail
Pfft, everybody knows Baby Daisy is top tier.
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Someone's trying to kill me!
I hate it when people do that.
HaRRicH | Posted 7/23/2008 3:40:16 PM | message detail
No no, I mean the series in general is where I figure Yoshi gets most of his popularity. SMW is the only thing that could compete with that to my experience.
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Well then who's on first? Yes. I mean the guy's name. Who. The guy on 1st. Who. The 1st baseman. Who. Who is on first! That's his name. That's who's name? Yes.
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/23/2008 9:04:22 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3188

100% makes it the game owned by the largest percentage of users, right?

<_<
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What do you think of the planetarium? The beautiful twinkling of eternity that will never fade, no matter when. All the stars in all the sky are waiting for you
HaRRicH | Posted 7/23/2008 9:08:07 PM | message detail
tetris eat your heart out

look out noble nine kefkas coming like a hurricane

umaro 2k8
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Well then who's on first? Yes. I mean the guy's name. Who. The guy on 1st. Who. The 1st baseman. Who. Who is on first! That's his name. That's who's name? Yes.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/23/2008 9:09:55 PM | message detail
From H__RR____H Posted 7/23/2008 11:11:39 AM #190
Ha...nevermind that Yoshi had SSBB (and improved with a third jump)

Brawl Yoshi is the worst one yet.

~*ST*~
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MY BROTHERS WILL NOT HAVE DIED IN VAIN!
Now Playing: FF12, Crisis Core, Final Fantasy 4 DS
HaRRicH | Posted 7/23/2008 9:39:06 PM | message detail
Perhaps the case, but I know a lot of people didn't like him for not having a third jump in SSB/M. Yoshi's not a good fighter so I don't expect a lot from him SSBB-wise, but he's a bit easier to casually play now.
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Well then who's on first? Yes. I mean the guy's name. Who. The guy on 1st. Who. The 1st baseman. Who. Who is on first! That's his name. That's who's name? Yes.
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