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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 549 (#2)

MarioSuperstar | Posted 6/1/2008 7:21:31 PM | message detail
not to burst anybody's bubble but i actually do go to a lot of smash forums and well.. snake 'being the best brawl character' is kinda exaggerated. he's popular of course but he's not as talked about anymore than say, ike.
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*is Dranze*
Brawl FC: 4081-5169-8762
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/1/2008 7:28:25 PM | message detail
Well, no one said that Snake was the most popular character used in Brawl. If you go to, say Smash Boards, Sonic and Ike are easily the most discussed characters there. But tier-wise, Snake is near the top.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
H__RR____H | Posted 6/2/2008 12:02:32 PM | message detail
I'm the token guy who won't accept _____ > Ness, I know, but I'd still take Ness over Ike. I figure it'd be close, but I'll stick with SSB-longevity there. If Ike's stock keeps improving though, it won't stay that way for long.
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
MarioSuperstar | Posted 6/2/2008 12:50:10 PM | message detail
i always wondered if being in ssb longer accounted for a lot. i'm starting to think it does.
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*is Dranze*
Brawl FC: 4081-5169-8762
MarioSuperstar | Posted 6/2/2008 12:59:26 PM | message detail
ugh. end of the week?!
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*is Dranze*
Brawl FC: 4081-5169-8762
Ngamer64 | Posted 6/2/2008 1:36:42 PM | message detail
All last year I cringed at these polls because SB was running them to death, but this set I've actually been looking forward to, as it's been over 5 months since our last update.

That means its time for another edition of the always-exciting Trend Watch.

The PS3 now has a GameFAQs Market Share of 26.29%. In the 5+ months since Christmas, that's an improvement of 4.90% - a very impressive trend no matter how you slice it. Sure, as of December the PS3 only had half the 360's userbase and roughly 1/3 of the Wii's so it was going to be much easier to grow, but regardless its clear that the system is no longer a joke by any stretch.

Things might change some before the final bell, but as of right now the Wii is sitting at 59.30%. If that number holds, it will be a an improvement of 2.40% since Xmas. Solid growth, to be sure, but given the way that Brawl was tearing the whole site apart in those hype polls, I can't help but be a little bit underwhelmed.

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He isn't a killer. He just wins - thoroughly.
H__RR____H | Posted 6/2/2008 3:03:18 PM | message detail
For what it's worth, that number is still growing...plus Nintendo's in the toughest position to grow since it's in first.



3/18/02 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=834

It's still interesting to see just how successful the PS2 was in comparison to this though -- when the PS2 was about as old as the Wii is (I think a little younger, even), the PS2's ownership was at 63.13%. There's something to be said about the PS2 not having true console-competition (well, Dreamcast.....) for a year and that it followed the PS1 as opposed to the Wii competing with the PS3 and that it followed the Gamecube, but the fact remains.


5/14/03 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1257

A wild thing to me is that the Gamecube broke 60% quicker than the Wii. I'm sure there are fun theories to be made here.


5/16/03 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1259

Last, it's fun to see that the Xbox was more successful on GameFAQs at this point in its life than the PS3 is now by a few percent, but that many people want to get a PS3 for MGS4 and seem much more likely to buy it if it drops in price than people did for the Xbox. More fun comparisons between these two will come in future months and years, I'm certain.
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
MarioSuperstar | Posted 6/2/2008 3:16:20 PM | message detail
A wild thing to me is that the Gamecube broke 60% quicker than the Wii. I'm sure there are fun theories to be made here.

probably the fact that the wii is so damn hard to get.
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*is Dranze*
Brawl FC: 4081-5169-8762
ZFS | Posted 6/2/2008 3:52:06 PM | message detail
Should be good seeing what the PS3 ownership jumps to here in a week.

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6.12.2008 -- Sneak Out
H__RR____H | Posted 6/3/2008 12:40:29 PM | message detail
Uh...unless the ASV kicks into gear for the 360 soon, it looks like it may have grown even less than the Wii. The last poll I saw showed the 360-ownership at 47.76%, yet the 360 still hasn't broken 50% yet today.

Worldwide sales and the games released since the last poll completely justify the Wii increasing more here than the 360, to be fair, but I would think the 360 would have broken 50% by now. What are the next big games for the 360?
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
H__RR____H | Posted 6/3/2008 12:45:00 PM | message detail
...and one other thing: the "No, I don't want one right now" option for the 360 has gone up by over a percent since the last poll. Interesting.....
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
nintendogirl1 | Posted 6/3/2008 12:56:04 PM | message detail
Yeah, I was just looking at those figures:

Do not want numbers:
Wii: Down 3.22%
PS3: Down 9.10%
360: Up 1.23%

Clearly big things for the PS3. Massive shift, showing it's no longer the joke it was.
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Not bad for the Wii either.
voltch | Posted 6/3/2008 1:46:41 PM | message detail
which,major character do you see getting snubbed after nominations?
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For some reason I never know what to put here.
Xuxon | Posted 6/3/2008 4:49:23 PM | message detail
ASV? School's out pretty much everywhere isn't it?
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/18, Dhoulmagus defeated (35 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
Ngamer64 | Posted 6/3/2008 5:07:12 PM | message detail
Yeah, NOW, but they weren't 4 hours ago when he said that.

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He isn't a killer. He just wins - thoroughly.
Xuxon | Posted 6/3/2008 5:08:27 PM | message detail
No, I mean now as in, summer time.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/18, Dhoulmagus defeated (35 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/3/2008 7:25:37 PM | message detail
I'm the token guy who won't accept _____ > Ness, I know, but I'd still take Ness over Ike. I figure it'd be close, but I'll stick with SSB-longevity there.

Brawl is popular enough that I don't think Ness being in three installments really matters that much. I mean, I probably would've taken Ness over Ike last year, and I would've taken him to win that fourpack against Duke, Gordon, and Guybrush if he were there instead, but...

Ike is one of (if not the) most popular characters in Brawl, and Ness...isn't. I almost never see anyone online playing as Ness. And I'll take the Fire Emblem series over the Mother series every time. Fire Emblem's stock is on the rise.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
Ngamer64 | Posted 6/3/2008 11:13:16 PM | message detail
Oh, that makes more sense. Yeah, I guess most schools would have let out by now. But now it's time for the new edition of Trend Watch!

Well, take back what I said about the Wii disappointing slightly! Not only did it improve on its standing throughout the evening, eventually finishing with a growth of 2.92% over the 5 month period, but that number looks even better now that the returns on the 360 have come in.

The 360 managed an important milestone, as it can now claim to be owned by over half the site (an accomplishment the original Xbox never came close to). That being said, its growth since Xmas was not very impressive; the console is up only 2.46% despite having plenty more room to expand than the Wii. Although to be fair, being beaten by the Wii isn't quite so bad considering that Brawl and Mario Kart were released during the period while pretty much all of the 360's big guns were also seen on the PS3.

I'll return with updates on the DS (any maybe the PSP as well?); until then remember that all these numbers and more can be found at Got Console!

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Got_Console

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He isn't a killer. He just wins - thoroughly.
voltch | Posted 6/3/2008 11:30:42 PM | message detail
So is Ike now some kind of potential midcarder?
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For some reason I never know what to put here.
H__RR____H | Posted 6/4/2008 10:21:45 AM | message detail
Potential...but I think many of us are on wait-and-see mode with him. At the least, I'm still cautious; Marth became really popular in SSBM after the game was out for years, and he still lost to DK last year in a format I figure actually favored him (and Ike, while I'm at it)...

...Ike VS Marth, who do you guys have?
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
H__RR____H | Posted 6/4/2008 11:05:34 AM | message detail
Looking back at Marth's match, he lost to DK pretty badly actually -- by 7.01%. Then they both lost to Kratos as well (though Kratos was expected to win). For a hardcore character in a game big on both hardcore and casual gamers in a format built for hardcore characters, Marth didn't really do anything...and if you want to discount the format, that's fine -- I still doubt you would take Marth > DK, and I would take DK with over 55% one-on-one.

Would Ike really do much better at this point? We know he wasn't really worth anything last year, and we've seen Marth's support here...is Ike casual-bait enough to surpass a highly-backed fighter (with SSB-tenure, if that matters) from the same series?
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
MarioSuperstar | Posted 6/4/2008 11:15:50 AM | message detail
depends on how popular ike's games are compared to marth's.
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*is Dranze*
Brawl FC: 4081-5169-8762
H__RR____H | Posted 6/4/2008 11:20:58 AM | message detail
Well, Ike's games are more recent to my understanding than Marth's...but would it really come down to their FE games when considering how popular they are in SSBM/B? It's fine if it does, but IF it does then I'm easily taking DK > Ike and would still probably take Ness > Ike too.
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
MarioSuperstar | Posted 6/4/2008 12:23:21 PM | message detail
well.. i dunno really. usually with the lower characters i just look at what they have outside of SSB if i can't find a huge difference between them. if their fanbase splits in SSB, then it may as well come to who's more loyal/popular outside of it.
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*is Dranze*
Brawl FC: 4081-5169-8762
RPGuy96 | Posted 6/4/2008 2:30:34 PM | message detail
Of Prince Marth's two released games, both are from the early 90s (one NES, one SNES), only one was fan translated, and that happened after the contest (by yours truly, no less). Ike's seen two Fire Emblem releases on the Gamecube and Wii, both of which were officially released on America. Marth's got Melee and Ike doesn't, of course, but with the presumably high player rates of Brawl and Ike's popularity in it that may not be a catastrophic disadvantage. I'd wager Ike's more popular in the more casual Fire Emblem fanbase solely because so few have played Marth's actual games (and for those who have, he's not an especially strong unit in them, whereas Ike excels in his two games).

It basically comes down to the advantage of being in Melee vs the advantage of being in recent, domestically released Fire Emblem games. That looks really lopsided in favour of Marth unless you think being in Brawl wipes out much of the Melee advantage.
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Mustache...and green...
MarioSuperstar | Posted 6/4/2008 2:39:45 PM | message detail
well i think hardcore ssbm fans would vote for both regardless, so i don't really know if being in one game prior really matters.
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*is Dranze*
Brawl FC: 4081-5169-8762
Xuxon | Posted 6/4/2008 3:25:46 PM | message detail
Marth is about as hardcore as Daisy. He basically amounts to the quick guy with the long sword who happens to be in two of the most popular games. That said, I'd easily take Ike or Ness over him. Ike vs Ness I'm not too sure about.
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DQVIII LLG - level 1/6/10/18, Dhoulmagus defeated (35 attempts)
Brawl FC: 0344-9611-6716
H__RR____H | Posted 6/4/2008 3:53:59 PM | message detail
Well, SSBM was/is huge and N's SSBB-site/numbers suggested GameFAQs is arguably more partial to the game's faster fighters than other SSBB-communities on the internet (not to mention that this is a gaming website and Marth is still considered high-tier), so I doubt Marth lost much/any popularity from SSBM if it did get wiped by SSBB.


Granted, Ike's more enjoyed in SSBB from the numbers we got, but Marth still holds his own within SSBB specifically and was definitely a favorite in SSBM. Ike's two games likely don't hold a candle to what Marth has from SSBM, and Ike has to hope to be THAT much more popular in SSBB than Marth and/or SSBB overwrites SSBM's popularity THAT easily. Given SSBM is a Top Ten game on GameFAQs and SSBB has been out for almost three months, I don't think SSBB's overwriting SSBM anytime soon...replace, sure, but not like what SSBM did to SSB. The numbers from our GameFAQs-sample on N's site says this about Ike/Marth:

MATCH-UPS
Rank Name Votes
8 Ike 121
11 Marth 68

TOP FIVE
Rank Name Points
1 Ike 134
7 Marth 85

Ike obviously has Marth's number there for SSBB-popularity, but I have to wonder if it (coupled with his two games) is enough to overturn what Marth built from SSBM.



Hmm...this would be a good match, I think. It would be a good test to see how much SSB-longevity is worth. At any rate, if I'm right that this is a good match, then Ike's still not going to amount to a whole lot because he likely wouldn't be able to beat the likes of Donkey Kong or even Ness.
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
Ngamer64 | Posted 6/5/2008 1:28:13 AM | message detail
I don't know how closely you have have been following the rollout of My Games, but it's a pretty neat feature IMO; you can read more about it at our "official" topic if you're interested:

http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=43474590

But anyways, one good thing that's going to be happening regardless is that we'll be heading into this next Game Contest with some potentially useful new info. With My Games you can not only select a game as "owned," but also apply a quick 1-10 rating if you'd like, and since the feature went public a few days back, the result of those ratings has been made available on each game's main page.

So to give us some basic idea of how many GameFAQs users own (and care enough about to rate) some of the bigger games on the site, I took a quick scan of the current Top 50 and noted how many votes each title had. Here are

GameFAQ's Most-Owned Games ('4 days into My Games' edition)
1 GTA4 1339
2 Brawl 1235
3 Poke D/P 675
4 CoD4 584
5 Kart Wii 492
6 Halo 3 475
7 FF12 341
8 FFX 331
9 TWEWY 322
10 Zelda TP 316
11 Persona 3 311
12 Oblivion 305
13 Mass Effect 284
14 KHII 253
15 FF7 241
16 Rock Band 224
20 GTASA 221
17 OoT 205
18 FF7:CC 204
19 KH 195
21 Zelda PH 190
22 FF9 181
23 FF8 179
24 WoW 176
25 FFIII (DS) 158
26 Poke MD 137
27 FE:RD 136
28 Monster 2 134
29 Lost Ody 127
30 FFT:TWotL 109
31 FFCC:MLaaK 100
32 Poke FR 99
33 Poke E 97
34 GoWII 78
35 Diablo II 77
36 Wii Fit 66
37 MapleStory 59
38 Bleach 5 28
39 Neverwinter 2 16

Anything multi-platform was combined, and stuff like Diamond and Pearl were combined, but keep in mind I didn't go off the Top 50 to add in, for instance, all the people who own the original version of FF3 etc etc.

Pretty screwy numbers in terms of how top-heavy they are, but I'm sure that will even out some as people continue completing their gaming collections.

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He isn't a killer. He just wins - thoroughly.
H__RR____H | Posted 6/5/2008 11:40:08 AM | message detail
FF12 > LoZ:TP confirmed


More seriously, look how many games from the past year pop up on that. At least fourteen of the top forty there are from the last year...then again though, it's probably bound to be a bit biased against older games at this point. Give it time and it'll even out a lot more, but still...hmmm.
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
H__RR____H | Posted 6/5/2008 11:47:40 AM | message detail
Also, it looks like Sony is coming out of this series of "Got ___?" as the most improved. The PS3 gained a lot of ground in the past five months (more than any other game system), shows even more promised ownership with MGS4's release, the PSP has increased steadily, Blue-Ray's slowly becoming more popular, and FF13 will now be without question the most anticipated announced game on GameFAQs by this time next week.

I still believe the PS3 is out of the question for first place in this console race, but it's actually looking like Sony is digging itself out of its seemingly-cemented grave for now.
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/5/2008 3:58:45 PM | message detail
How do you see total numbers like that?

~*ST*~
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Your weapons are forfeit to me!
Now Playing: FF12, Castlevania: Circle of the Moon, Zelda: Twilight Princess
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/5/2008 3:59:14 PM | message detail
From LeonhartFour Posted 6/1/2008 10:28:25 PM #402
Well, no one said that Snake was the most popular character used in Brawl. If you go to, say Smash Boards, Sonic and Ike are easily the most discussed characters there. But tier-wise, Snake is near the top.

Smashboards doesn't mean a damn thing, most Smash players are tier whores.

~*ST*~
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Your weapons are forfeit to me!
Now Playing: FF12, Castlevania: Circle of the Moon, Zelda: Twilight Princess
TRE Public Account | Posted 6/5/2008 4:02:29 PM | message detail
How do you see total numbers like that?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/console/wii/home/928518.html

"From 1290 users"
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Socii sunt mihi. qui olim viri fortes rivalesque erant. Saeve certando pugnandoque sprendor crescit.
ZFS | Posted 6/5/2008 4:08:54 PM | message detail
The 'My Games' rating thing is kinda cool. More people are probably willing to throw a rating toward a game than they are to sit down and write a review.

Metal Gear Solid -- 9.3 (104 users)
Metal Gear Solid 3 -- 9.1 (89 users)
Metal Gear Solid 2 -- 9.0 (97 users)

woo mgs

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6.12.2008 -- Sneak Out
Mac Arrowny | Posted 6/5/2008 5:03:15 PM | message detail
Anyone seen any games rated higher than Chrono Trigger's 9.5?
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All you love is a lie.
Brawl FC: 4253-3155-6697
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/5/2008 5:53:11 PM | message detail
Operation Shadow has a 9.6

~*ST*~
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Your weapons are forfeit to me!
Now Playing: FF12, Castlevania: Circle of the Moon, Zelda: Twilight Princess
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/5/2008 7:52:38 PM | message detail
Smashboards doesn't mean a thing, most Smash players are tier whores.

Yeah, because Sonic is top tier.

Wait...
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/5/2008 7:59:00 PM | message detail
He's not top tier, but he's still very good.

~*ST*~
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Your weapons are forfeit to me!
Now Playing: FF12, Castlevania: Circle of the Moon, Zelda: Twilight Princess
MarioSuperstar | Posted 6/6/2008 5:14:46 PM | message detail
well there goes our chances of knowing anything about contests.
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*is Dranze*
Brawl FC: 4081-5169-8762
Ngamer64 | Posted 6/6/2008 5:36:39 PM | message detail
Eh, he'll be doing another Ask GameFAQs soon and encourages everyone to keep sending questions, so we could certainly hear some info next week.

Speaking of, which, SB announced in his post that as of an hour or so ago there were "1563 people sharing their collection publicly."

Of those 1563, 1495 own a copy of Brawl and have given it a rating; that's 95.65% ownership amongst My Games users! And with an overall rating of 9.0 despite all those thousand+ reviews, it's pretty safe to consider Brawl a serious threat if we're able to get a Game Contest for the Summer (as we've all been doing already).

The 360 version of GTA4 is now at 1144, which comes out to 73.19% ownership.

EDIT - Ehhh, I take that back, it appears that although only 1500 are making their collections public, ratings for games are including even private lists. So there's probably more like 2000 total My Games users so far, 1495 of whom own Brawl, for 78%ish ownership. Still, quite a showing for a non-multiplatform title.

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He isn't a killer. He just wins - thoroughly.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 6/6/2008 5:46:38 PM | message detail
Games in the Top FAQ Pages list on the front page get a big advantage over the rest.
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All you love is a lie.
Brawl FC: 4253-3155-6697
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/6/2008 7:39:44 PM | message detail
He's not top tier, but he's still very good.

That's not what I hear. All I've heard about Sonic is his low priority and lack of strong kill moves.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
HaRRicH | Posted 6/7/2008 12:43:28 AM | message detail
Yeah, I hear the same thing about our Blue Blur. I was also really anticipating his appearance and have been really disappointed by him. He's still enjoyable, but...not very.
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 6/8/2008 8:37:35 AM | message detail
Anyone seen any games rated higher than Chrono Trigger's 9.5?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/console/saturn/home/573960.html

Aw yeah Treasure classic on an underrated system.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. EC > Me
Mac Arrowny | Posted 6/8/2008 11:21:36 AM | message detail
That's only a 9.4...
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All you love is a lie.
Brawl FC: 4253-3155-6697
H__RR____H | Posted 6/8/2008 11:47:51 AM | message detail
It probably changed soon after it was linked.
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Lobby Hero
http://img251.imageshack.us/img251/3079/lobbyheroauditionflyerssv6.jpg
voltch | Posted 6/9/2008 11:58:07 AM | message detail
Any word on if Chrono Trigger will ever be ported?
Europe never got to see such a game,shame,we could have given some monies to Squaresoft instead of emulating.
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For some reason I never know what to put here.
H__RR____H | Posted 6/9/2008 12:04:24 PM | message detail
It always feels like it's rumored or on the edge of a port, but I don't think anything official has ever been said about it.
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Lobby Hero
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 6/9/2008 12:13:53 PM | message detail
That's only a 9.4...

Yeah I was looking at the average review, sorry :(
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. EC > Me
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