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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 549 (#2)

HaRRicH | Posted 5/25/2008 9:00:14 PM | message detail
I encourage you!
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ZFS | Posted 5/25/2008 9:49:15 PM | message detail
ULTRA-BRAWLFEAR mode.

Summer Contest 2008 here we come

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6.12.2008 -- Sneak Out
swirIdude | Posted 5/25/2008 9:57:52 PM | message detail
Guys you're not supposed to let him back out of his promise that easily!
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HaRRicH | Posted 5/26/2008 1:02:34 AM | message detail
...for kicks, where would you rank Grey Fox if he made a contest at this point? He was well-liked in MGS1, exposed to the SSBB-community as an Assist Trophy, and I think he'll be in MGS4 too (confirm or reject this HM!). I think it was therealmnm who was preaching he would have decent strength years ago, and now he's got better reason to have said strength...

...and to push it a bit further, name any MGS bosses you would take in a contest over Grey Fox.
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 5/26/2008 1:03:44 AM | message detail
I'd still take Ocelot over Gray Fox
and Liquid
uhh that's it.
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ZFS | Posted 5/26/2008 1:44:17 AM | message detail
Nah. Fox isn't in MGS4 -- spoilers spoilers he died at the end of MGS1 spoilers spoilers -- but he's no doubt a popular character. I don't think he could take Liquid or Ocelot, but he should be able to beat any other 'bosses' from the series. I know I'd take him over the others.

As for the Assist Trophy status, I'm not sure how much that would actually help him, but I guess it can't hurt. And although it may not be a direct result of Brawl, I have noticed that there's been an influx of new people playing the Metal Gear games, especially around here. Things like that are bound to help.

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6.12.2008 -- Sneak Out
voltch | Posted 5/26/2008 2:51:16 AM | message detail
Mantis/Wolf/ocelot/Boss/Vamp are the ones I'd pick ahead of Gray Fox,but Imagine the original Fox in full MGS4 style graphics.
So far the most we've seen is Null/Ninja,he needs a real boost i say.
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For some reason I never know what to put here.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 5/26/2008 6:11:08 AM | message detail
so... is there anything to take from today's poll at all?
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--GENO ALLIANCE--
Supporters of Geno in Super Smash Bros. Brawl - http://thegenoalliance.ytmnd.com/
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/26/2008 7:44:46 AM | message detail
Personally I'd take the all the numbers with a pinch of salt. I reckon people that play PS1 & 2 games on their PS2 are voting PS3 because it's the closest option. People that emulate are being thrown into that number as well.

That's probably only a major part of the DS and PS3 numbers though. Emulation of GC and Xbox isn't exactly big yet. PC probably has a few votes because of non-DOS games as well. I can't believe 10% of GFAQs plays DOS games on a regular basis.

Then of course throw in the "I don't play Xbox games but I like my 360" votes. Obviously the same will apply to the other formats as well.
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So no. Not really.
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/26/2008 9:07:45 PM | message detail
I think it was therealmnm who was preaching he would have decent strength years ago, and now he's got better reason to have said strength...

I've said it before, too. And whoever thinks Vamp beats Gray Fox is crazy. Maybe my hatred for the guy is blinding me, but come on...

*goes back into Octocamo*
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
Mac Arrowny | Posted 5/26/2008 9:21:29 PM | message detail
Vamp's a major character in MGS4, isn't he?
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ZFS | Posted 5/26/2008 10:48:51 PM | message detail
Yep. Looks like it.

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6.12.2008 -- Sneak Out
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/26/2008 11:23:11 PM | message detail
Doesn't matter. The day the MGS fanbase sides with Vamp over Gray Fox is the day that...

Uhhh...

...

...Something really bad happens.

(Curse my inability to make analogies.)
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
HaRRicH | Posted 5/27/2008 2:26:21 AM | message detail
I'd take Grey Fox over two Vamps, personally...if that was possible or mattered.

I don't dislike Vamp like lots of people, but come on -- that's Grey Fox's match. MGS1 > MGS2, GF > Vamp in both coolness and importance to the story-line, and SSBB can only help GF if it does anything at all to him. MGS4 would have Vamp incredible to beat GF, and even then I doubt enough Vamp-haters would play it to change minds.
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 5/27/2008 2:35:40 AM | message detail
Grey Fox should be the third most popular character in the series after Snake and Liquid. Not saying that he is, but he should be.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/27/2008 6:47:27 PM | message detail
Other than the Snakes and Ocelot, I can't imagine anyone else in the series being stronger than Gray Fox, as long as he gets the ninja picture. If he gets some old school Metal Gear crap, it's over for him.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
Ngamer64 | Posted 5/28/2008 1:57:21 PM | message detail
Rumor has it SB is making a fairly major announcement in the next two days.

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MarioSuperstar | Posted 5/28/2008 3:02:31 PM | message detail
.. this isnt a joke is it? if not, where did you hear this from?
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--GENO ALLIANCE--
Supporters of Geno in Super Smash Bros. Brawl - http://thegenoalliance.ytmnd.com/
HaRRicH | Posted 5/28/2008 4:09:14 PM | message detail
Well, we know that SB is bringing back Ask GameFAQs with his next update and he mentions some other new features will come...perhaps they are contest-related, though that's speculation at this point and who knows how big/important they really are.
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redrocket | Posted 5/29/2008 2:56:17 PM | message detail
What about Grey Fox VS The Boss?

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MarioSuperstar | Posted 5/29/2008 3:18:23 PM | message detail
gray fox, easily.
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--GENO ALLIANCE--
Supporters of Geno in Super Smash Bros. Brawl - http://thegenoalliance.ytmnd.com/
MarioSuperstar | Posted 5/29/2008 3:18:42 PM | message detail
also does anybody think mega man is still on the decline?
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--GENO ALLIANCE--
Supporters of Geno in Super Smash Bros. Brawl - http://thegenoalliance.ytmnd.com/
Xcarvenger | Posted 5/31/2008 3:51:21 AM | message detail
Rumor has it SB is making a fairly major announcement in the next two days.

umm
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 5/31/2008 4:06:32 AM | message detail
lol maybe... today?
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--GENO ALLIANCE--
Supporters of Geno in Super Smash Bros. Brawl - http://thegenoalliance.ytmnd.com/
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2008 7:13:02 PM | message detail
Mega Man has no reason to be on the rise, other than an odd demographic change (which COULD happen. It's unpredictable). The only thing he can really hope for is to remain static.

After watching Squall hang in there with Sonic in the contest last year and watching Vincent knock out Crono, I'd like to see Vinny or Squall take on the Blue Bomber. It'd be close.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/31/2008 7:17:33 PM | message detail
I'm sure next Contest we see both Crono and MM lose to non-NNers's if they're given the chance. They just aren't got holding strength and will probably slip to high Midcarders if the contests last long enough.
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Sad but true.
ZFS | Posted 5/31/2008 9:16:01 PM | message detail
Nice poll today.

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6.12.2008 -- Sneak Out
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 5/31/2008 9:18:36 PM | message detail
Got PS3?
Yes, I got one in the past year 16.67% 459
Yes, I've had mine for a year or more 9.55% 263
Not yet, but I'll get one for MGS4 11.22% 309
No, they're just too expensive 26.65% 734
No, I don't want one right now 35.91% 989
TOTAL VOTES 2754

As of right now, that's a 40% boost in ownership from MGS4. That's not bad at all.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/31/2008 9:19:02 PM | message detail
I'd pick Vincent over Crono and/or Mega Man. Totally called the NN cracking last year, and good riddance to it.

~*ST*~
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2008 9:27:42 PM | message detail
Meh, I don't consider that legitimate cracking of the Noble Nine. And you don't even have to ask why when you look at what won the contest.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/31/2008 9:30:39 PM | message detail
NN backers have come up with every excuse under the sun to defend their awful stats, I swear. L-Block winning can be considered a joke, but I don't see how Crono would beat Vincent 1v1, 1v3, 5235623452v325234523542 or whatever other contest format gets thrown up. CT falls a little more each year.

~*ST*~
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 5/31/2008 9:31:30 PM | message detail
NN backers have come up with every excuse under the sun to defend their awful stats, I swear. L-Block winning can be considered a joke, but I don't see how Crono would beat Vincent 1v1, 1v3, 5235623452v325234523542 or whatever other contest format gets thrown up. CT falls a little more each year.

Dude, did you miss Samus putting 57% on Mario in 2k5?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2008 9:33:21 PM | message detail
I haven't been around for the last 9 months. I honestly don't care about stats or the Noble Nine or whatever at the moment. I just don't deem it legitimate until Crono or Mega Man loses a one on one battle. It's like saying we would consider Clinkeroth broken because Snake beat Sephy during the Battle Royale. That's ridiculous because we know Snake doesn't stand a chance one on one. Sure, there don't seem to be any problems with Vinny beating Crono like Snake beating Sephy with Cloud involved has, but you never know.

(Yes, I know Clinkeroth was broken before it ever became official because of Cloud/Mario, but bear with me).
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
Xuxon | Posted 5/31/2008 9:38:13 PM | message detail
It doesn't matter what would happen. The fact is, nobody from the noble nine has been beaten by someone outside it in a 1v1 match yet. With your logic, you could argue the noble nine was broken in 2004 with Snake.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 5/31/2008 9:43:41 PM | message detail
On the topic of the Noble Nine, does anyone else sense a significant Samus boost from Brawl? I mean, Samus did beat Sonic back in 2k2 on basically Melee and Super Metroid, and Brawl hype turned Snake from the clear bottom of the barrel Noble Nine into at worst #6, with a huge gap between him and the other three. >_>
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 5/31/2008 9:43:54 PM | message detail
NN backers have come up with every excuse under the sun to defend their awful stats, I swear.

Maybe I'm forgetting them, but the only excuse I remember hearing over and over again was "4-way battles don't count" and sometimes "4-way battles don't count if the person in first is still a Noble Nine member". IIRC this was brought up long before Vincent outranked Crono so it wasn't just an excuse people made up after Crono failed to take second. While I have doubts Crono could beat Vincent, the Noble Nine stands until they lose in a one on one match.
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ZFS | Posted 5/31/2008 9:45:24 PM | message detail
No. Samus has been in the spotlight too much in these past few years for that to happen. This isn't like back when her last appearance was on the N64, or her last game on the SNES.

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6.12.2008 -- Sneak Out
MarioSuperstar | Posted 5/31/2008 9:49:19 PM | message detail
eh, samus can receive a small boost but nothing like like snake. shes already an SSB veteran.
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--GENO ALLIANCE--
Supporters of Geno in Super Smash Bros. Brawl - http://thegenoalliance.ytmnd.com/
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/1/2008 12:01:51 AM | message detail
Snake is going to be a ****ing beast next character contest. Not only is he in Brawl, but he's one of the best characters. EVERYONE uses him.

~*ST*~
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__Mega64__ | Posted 6/1/2008 10:08:54 AM | message detail
I don't know, I don't really see how Brawl can boost him anymore than it already has boosted him. He already had the hype, and he's definitely still going to be a powerhouse considering how big MGS4 is, but I'd still take Samus over him. I don't see how he can boost any higher.

Should be interesting to see Sonic in a 1v1 contest where he probably won't suck it up as badly. Or maybe he'll continue to flop.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 6/1/2008 2:29:38 PM | message detail
Honestly, I think Ike will get quite a boost from Brawl. Whenever I play Free for All Brawls on Wi-Fi, Ike is easily the most used character I find.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 6/1/2008 2:34:18 PM | message detail
How strong are you talking, Leon? Like...name some characters of note you'd take Ike over. >_>
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RPGuy96 | Posted 6/1/2008 2:34:33 PM | message detail
Ike also had Radiant Dawn come out since the last contest.

...Okay so Brawl is probably a bit more important than that.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 6/1/2008 2:35:46 PM | message detail
Ike also had Radiant Dawn come out since the last contest.


...Okay so Brawl is probably a bit more important than that.


I'd go so far as to say being announced on a website is more important than Radiant Dawn
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H__RR____H | Posted 6/1/2008 3:23:46 PM | message detail
Noble Nine/Ulti: it's not broken because they haven't lost what they became famous for. As someone else who predicted Vincent > Crono and would probably take Vincent > Crono and Mega Man for one-on-one matches this year, neither Crono nor Mega Man lost the same kind of match the Noble Nine was known to win. Save going crazy about how it's broken until probably afew months from now...THEN brag about it.

Squall: for some reason, I'm oddly excited to see him in a one-on-one match again. He would REALLY have me interested if he didn't lose to Sonic after Sora dropped from the poll, but hey...what-evs. Still a fun prospect. I'd still take Vincent over him, but a Crono/Squall match would be great.

PS3/MGS4: the PS3's stock will rise a lot, and MGS4 will be owned by most of them here eventually...but I'm curious to see how soon and if it's enough. Assuming MGS4 is well-received, I think I'd have to give Solid the edge against Samus now, but I still don't care for the idea that Solid > Mario this year (despite its truth).

Ike: Ike, off of purely website-hype and FE:PoR, lost to both Duke Nukem and Gordon Freeman while they were in the same poll last year (and, to exaggerate it a bit more, still had another PC-character in as well). That said, given how often people use him in SSBB and FE:RD, I would take Ike to beat Duke or Gordon with 55% or more.

Sonic: He'll free himself from Crono/Mega Man/Vincent/Squall, but he's not touching Solid/Samus/Mario...so I wouldn't expect Sonic to be interesting unless he can now SFF Nintendo characters.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 6/1/2008 6:47:05 PM | message detail
Well, if you put Ike in the same fourpack this year, I'd take him to win it with ease now. As far as one-on-one matches go...That's a bit tough. I haven't looked at the stats in a while.

Well, the measuring stick around here seems to always be whether the guy can beat Ness or Kefka, and I say Ike can.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/1/2008 6:48:45 PM | message detail
And before I take Snake over Samus, I want to see how well MGS4 sells. And even if every single person who said they are going to buy a PS3 for MGS4 does so before the contest, that's still only around a third of the site who can play the game. Snake's role in Brawl is one of the best, but we'll see how much that helps him.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
ZFS | Posted 6/1/2008 6:50:40 PM | message detail
Snake over Samus isn't even a match that I need to think about. She beat him with 53% two years ago. Just by being as good as he is in Brawl can swing that deficit and then some by itself. No need to even mention MGS4.

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6.12.2008 -- Sneak Out
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/1/2008 6:53:03 PM | message detail
Well, I'm still hesitant because everything in the 2006 contest pointed to Snake beating Samus, and he still lost fairly easily. I mean, the match is his for the taking, but...I'm just cautious. I'd love to see the rematch and like to see him take on Mario, too.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
ZFS | Posted 6/1/2008 7:04:59 PM | message detail
The way I see it anything he might have lost to Samus back then by only being in a trailer would be remedied now thanks to people getting hands-on time with him. It doesn't hurt that when you hear discussions about who the best Brawl character is Snake's name pops up. I dunno, it's hard for me to see Snake losing to Samus.

Mario's a bit different...there's a lot to argue for him winning there. That's where MGS4 would have to come into play.

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6.12.2008 -- Sneak Out
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