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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 546

RockMFR 5 | Posted 11/4/2007 7:02:58 AM | message detail
L-Block will not go down so easily.
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beLieve o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
Heroic Yuna | Posted 11/4/2007 7:05:09 AM | message detail
From Zylo the wolf Posted 11/4/2007 9:28:16 AM #044
People who picked Sonic > Snake and Cloud > Link not only picked the better character to win, but they also took a huge risk.

Neither of which say anything at all about their predicting ability. EC should still have came in second place though. =/
~~~
hochiminh155 successfully defied ZELDAfear. He is truly a greater man than I.
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Sykolan | Posted 11/4/2007 7:17:01 AM | message detail
*looks at Snake's totals*

I feel sorry for him. A Noble Niner doesn't deserve this. :(
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Pokemon Diamond FC: 0215-7322-4653
SHAPED LIKE A BOOT TO KICK YOUR ASS! VOTE L-BLOCK!
RockMFR 5 | Posted 11/4/2007 7:17:06 AM | message detail
L-Block is now up 10000 on Cloud.
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beLieve o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/4/2007 7:19:10 AM | message detail
Time . | Link . . . | Cloud . | L-Block . | Snake
01:00 | 24.93% | 19.07% | 45.40% | 10.60%
02:00 | 27.53% | 22.40% | 38.32% | 11.75%
03:00 | 27.61% | 23.07% | 36.93% | 12.39%
04:00 | 25.53% | 24.27% | 37.00% | 13.20%
05:00 | 26.59% | 25.22% | 34.27% | 13.92%
06:00 | 28.46% | 26.45% | 32.43% | 12.65%
07:00 | 28.00% | 27.36% | 29.88% | 14.76%
08:00 | 31.92% | 27.53% | 26.88% | 13.68%
09:00 | 32.50% | 25.09% | 28.88% | 13.52%
10:00 | 33.09% | 25.08% | 29.16% | 12.67%
11:00 | 32.42% | 24.93% | 30.82% | 11.84%

RPGuy96
Posted 11/4/2007 12:52:24 AM
#194 Hmmm...L's first hour yesterday 46.41% and he stabilized around 32% in the day. He's looking to be under that today, perhaps around 44-45%. L stabilized at 32% in the day yesterday, but Link/Cloud/Snake are better in the day than Snake/MC/Dante, even given MC's day vote. So L could conceivably be pushed down to 28-30% during the day.

Link should be at 26%, Cloud at 19%, and Snake at 11% at the end of the first hour, and by morning Link should be around that percentage. (Cloud and Snake probably get all of L-Block's percentage during the night.) L probably falls to 36% of the vote by morning - a 10% lead in this match at that time will amount to around 5000 votes.

There will be at least 100k votes left. If Link gets 4% more of them than L-Block (32% to 28%)...he only makes up 4000 votes. Jeeze, all that and he still loses. <_<


I was actually pretty close! But Link needs a fairly insane 37.54 votes/5 minutes to come back. And Cloud did not win a single hour vs Link, and only took three updates, by a grand total of 14 votes.
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Mustache...and green...Only Explicit Content is more badass than Luigi!
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Osfan | Posted 11/4/2007 7:21:44 AM | message detail
Looks like there is one man left that can put an end to this contest. To end it the way we all knew it would end L.... yeah right

Clearly its the Jay Solano! So who would take that match the L-Block or the Jay Solano? I'll take Solano with 55% of the votes in a nail biter...
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L-Block may seem like a winner but even it couldn't rally enough to beat EC in this year's Guru Contest! Congrats
Mumei | Posted 11/4/2007 7:25:00 AM | message detail
I'm thinking Link's going to lose ~3000.

Still, after that night vote, I'm happy to wake up to see the lead down. I was afraid I'd see some 10,000 vote lead and be sad. =(

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
chaosarcher07 | Posted 11/4/2007 7:32:54 AM | message detail
You know Link, cutting 40 votes and then letting him gain them back over a few updates isn't going to help you much.

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http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=6054&group=4&game=6&diff=4
Jack White | Posted 11/4/2007 7:33:29 AM | message detail
I think with the way things are at the moment L-block could beat Jay Solano even if it was just a board match like last time. :(
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Moo
Wii Code: 6251 7149 4961 5489
Mumei | Posted 11/4/2007 7:33:40 AM | message detail
Bah.

I hate random spikes. <_<

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
charmander6000 | Posted 11/4/2007 7:50:36 AM | message detail
We should suggest to SB to have a L-Block vs Link match just for a fun match.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 63: Link > Cloud Points: 397/640
__Mega64__ | Posted 11/4/2007 7:58:18 AM | message detail
Yeah, so much for that Link comeback, huh?
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Save the box, save the world.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/4/2007 7:58:44 AM | message detail
If Lopen didn't have to go and make that terrible Link > MC pick, you could say he got screwed just as much as those with the bracket scoring system, as he did with L's run. But he did, so there's no point!

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/4/2007 7:58:56 AM | message detail
Shut up, Mega. Don't ****ing jinx it.

And tranny already suggested a board 1v1 between the top 2. There was a petition and everything.
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"ExTha, bandwagon sports fan since '88. Link > Sephiroth
Proud supporter of trash like France and Arsenal.
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/4/2007 8:01:58 AM | message detail
And I still think Link has this easily, considering the whole extra hour thing.

He should be able to cut all the way up until midnight.
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"ExTha, bandwagon sports fan since '88. Link > Sephiroth
Proud supporter of trash like France and Arsenal.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/4/2007 8:03:21 AM | message detail
considering L is still stalling Link pretty frequently, and even winning outright updates of his own, I'd be inclined to say no.

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/4/2007 8:04:38 AM | message detail
L-Block has this easily. Link has been at work for hours, and he hasn't even cut 1000 votes. That, and it looks like L-Block has rebounded judging by that last hour.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... Explicit Content pwn me... in the Guru Contest!
RockMFR 5 | Posted 11/4/2007 8:04:40 AM | message detail
L-Block's percentage went up !!
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beLieve o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
Tai | Posted 11/4/2007 8:06:28 AM | message detail
Every time Link cuts in the lead, L-Block suddenly surges by a lot. It's clear some stuffing is going on.
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New England Patriots: 8-0 Next: @ Indianapolis Colts (Sun 4:15 PM)
wavedash101 | Posted 11/4/2007 8:08:49 AM | message detail
I dont doubt there is stuffing going on for both of them
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Mumei | Posted 11/4/2007 8:11:56 AM | message detail
I believe stuffing is going on (lead goes from 5770 to 5726, L-Block spikes from 229 to 305 and 286. Drops back down to 256, then Link wins that update and it shoots back up to 280, 276, 302... and just now he spiked from 257 to 337 and 320.)

I'm sure there's stuffing... but I'm equally sure that nothing will be done, so whatever.

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
EggDragon2001 | Posted 11/4/2007 8:13:23 AM | message detail
Christ, guys, whenever there is a close or important match, people always accuse of stuffing. Give it a rest.
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*is chubtoad*
Early to bed, early to rise, gives a man a small ***** size
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/4/2007 8:14:19 AM | message detail
...not quite.

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
__Mega64__ | Posted 11/4/2007 8:15:45 AM | message detail
Yeah, people only accuse vote stuffing in close matches when things aren't going their way.
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Save the box, save the world.
sephsblade | Posted 11/4/2007 8:16:00 AM | message detail
It's always vote stuffing except when Link does it!

Oh right not talking to me SORRY
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"When you're less emotionally mature than Aeris, you know you have problems."- Mac Arrowny on Sephiroth
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/4/2007 8:16:08 AM | message detail
Pretty sure it's just mass rallying. But at this rate, L-Block wins by "only" 3000 votes. Woohoo.

~*ST*~
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PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/4/2007 8:17:21 AM | message detail
...and what rate is that?

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
wavedash101 | Posted 11/4/2007 8:17:29 AM | message detail
does Link increase or decrease from the morning vote to the ASV on weekends?
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru]
__Mega64__ | Posted 11/4/2007 8:20:32 AM | message detail
Yeah, so much for Link coming back now that L-Block's increasing its lead.
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Save the box, save the world.
Larbeight | Posted 11/4/2007 8:21:52 AM | message detail
Ok this is suspicious. The last 6 or so updates have seen L-Block jump up about 100 votes an update will everyone else stays the same. Seems odd and out of nowhere.
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RockMFR 5 | Posted 11/4/2007 8:22:46 AM | message detail
lol now l-block's just running up the score
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beLieve o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
Tai | Posted 11/4/2007 8:23:54 AM | message detail
I was kidding when I said that there was some stuffing.

L-Block owns the house. He doesn't need stuffing. He just hast that many worshippers.
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New England Patriots: 8-0 Next: @ Indianapolis Colts (Sun 4:15 PM)
__Mega64__ | Posted 11/4/2007 8:25:46 AM | message detail
Hahahahaha!

Where's your precious day vote now, Link? Where is it? Oh, right, it got stolen by a Tetris block !!
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Save the box, save the world.
TheRye | Posted 11/4/2007 8:26:14 AM | message detail
Up 200 votes in 20 minutes... whoa
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The Rye - The one and only...
**The lone L-Block nominator on Board 8**
Mumei | Posted 11/4/2007 8:27:55 AM | message detail
This is the only time I've even said a word about stuffing in a match, in here or in private.

Speaking of vote stuffing has become the peccatum mutum here. It's ridiculous. I thought it looked suspicious, I commented on it. Of all the characters that could be accused of stuffing like this, you'd put L-Block, with all of its bandwagoning, above reproach? Give me a break.

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/4/2007 8:28:32 AM | message detail
Isn't Mega64 a board reg, or do I have the wrong person?
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... Explicit Content pwn me... in the Guru Contest!
Tai | Posted 11/4/2007 8:32:36 AM | message detail
Hmm, what's with that vote cut? Link thinks he hasa chance? I laugh!
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New England Patriots: 8-0 Next: @ Indianapolis Colts (Sun 4:15 PM)
__Mega64__ | Posted 11/4/2007 8:39:10 AM | message detail
Isn't Mega64 a board reg, or do I have the wrong person?

I've been off and on since 2003.
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Save the box, save the world.
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/4/2007 8:41:29 AM | message detail
I can't check out the board for more than a minute without coming back here. It really does blow today.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... Explicit Content pwn me... in the Guru Contest!
__Mega64__ | Posted 11/4/2007 8:42:55 AM | message detail
It's not about who wins, it's about the battle to that victory.
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Save the box, save the world.
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/4/2007 8:43:43 AM | message detail
Yeah, this is the worst the board has ever been. I attribute it to the insane number of people that never post here, walking in to tell us why the contest is turning out the way it is.
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"ExTha, bandwagon sports fan since '88. Link > Sephiroth
Proud supporter of trash like France and Arsenal.
__Mega64__ | Posted 11/4/2007 8:44:55 AM | message detail
I attribute it to the insane number of people that never post here, walking in to tell us why the contest is turning out the way it is.

L-Block is only winning because of that damn "rock-n-roll" music!
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Save the box, save the world.
wavedash101 | Posted 11/4/2007 8:46:07 AM | message detail
Violence in vidya games brought us to this! Repent!

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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru]
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/4/2007 8:46:16 AM | message detail
omg you l-block voters are all stupid five year olds who want a gimmick to win link deserves it because he defeated Sauron and destroyed the one ring, and that's why this contest is ending this way tomorrow.
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"ExTha, bandwagon sports fan since '88. Link > Sephiroth
Proud supporter of trash like France and Arsenal.
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/4/2007 8:46:39 AM | message detail
Back up to 6,000!!!
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"ExTha, bandwagon sports fan since '88. Link > Sephiroth
Proud supporter of trash like France and Arsenal.
wavedash101 | Posted 11/4/2007 8:47:45 AM | message detail
FRODO, THROW THE BLOCK IN THE FIRE! DO EET NOW!

NO THE BLOCK IS MINE!

NUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU!
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru]
__Mega64__ | Posted 11/4/2007 8:48:18 AM | message detail
6000 barrier unbroken!
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Save the box, save the world.
Tai | Posted 11/4/2007 8:50:54 AM | message detail
Link ran out of energy. He's had it.

Crown L-Block's......oh wait he doesn't have one..

CROWN HIS BOOT!
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New England Patriots: 8-0 Next: @ Indianapolis Colts (Sun 4:15 PM)
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/4/2007 8:51:09 AM | message detail
And things aren't much better in here. FFX time.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... Explicit Content pwn me... in the Guru Contest!
HaRRicH | Posted 11/4/2007 8:51:45 AM | message detail
DAMMIT LINK!!!!!

Man, for as cool as it was for me to get half-points on Ness > Alucard and Leon > Dante, I would have rather got no points for those than only get a quarter of the points for Solid > Sonic (twice) and Link > Cloud. There goes my prize money...and even if I'm tied for some of the top positions, my tie-breaker's not fantastic!


...DAMMIT LINK!!!!!
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Explicit Content tapped my ass faster than Morse code during the Guru Challenge...
...and his score is the only thing higher than he is.
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