GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 543
| swirIdude | Posted 11/2/2007 2:08:48 PM | message detail |
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It's all about the L-Block! *Creativename's websites* Everything you could ever imagine: http://www.GameFAQsContests.com http://www.sc2k5.com http://www.sc2k4.com Sortable Table for Every Contest Match: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19 *Extrapolated Standings* Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11 Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left): http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ *Solarshadow's Sites* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html *Old Stats topics* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note) 2003-2004 Off-Season: http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note) Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL. Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm *Match Pictures* All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones! http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php *Miscellaneous* Creativename's Page of Links: http://sc2k4.com/links.php UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language): http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language): http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches: http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm All Time Top 10 Lists: http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm RPguy's Hourly Poll Updates: www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/contest.html HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 TRE's poll listing (every poll!): http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html Aprosenf's Poll Script: http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt GameFAQs' Top 100 Games http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10 Manual Poll Updater: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php L-Block > Link > Cloud --- L-BLOCK! National Shoddy Battle League: 1-0 |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 11/2/2007 2:10:31 PM | message detail |
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ugh. It's L-block this and L-block that. But nobody's saying WORSHIP this or Jericho that! --- I didn't think that a N9, even if he's Crono, would lose to Vincent....And I'm not a furry, damnit! |
| Luis_Sera89 | Posted 11/2/2007 2:11:21 PM | message detail |
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OMG too early --- "Eet's game time..." |
| Pondos | Posted 11/2/2007 3:23:51 PM | message detail |
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Now we can post here. --- Yo, stop calling L-Block an inanimate object. Sonic, Squall, and Snake don't even move unless you help them along. L-Block moves on his own. -Bolt Thrower |
| Pondos | Posted 11/2/2007 3:24:29 PM | message detail |
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Tomorrow will go L-Block>Snake. The PS2 fanboys will be split 75-25 between Snake and Dante, in favor of Snake. Nintendo fanboys will go about 20% Snake and 80% L-Block. Master Chief will get the Microsoft vote. So Master Chief will beat Dante. But it won't matter, because they'll both lose to Snake, who will lose to L-Block. L-Block 37% Snake 35% Master Chief 17% Dante 11% --- Yo, stop calling L-Block an inanimate object. Sonic, Squall, and Snake don't even move unless you help them along. L-Block moves on his own. -Bolt Thrower |
| Corrik | Posted 11/2/2007 3:26:10 PM | message detail |
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I predict Master Chief > L Block. --- Currently playing WoW on Gurubashi: Main = Corrik Xbox Live GT = "Corrik" |
| Heroic Yuna | Posted 11/2/2007 3:26:21 PM | message detail |
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my eyes they are bleeding ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| swirIdude | Posted 11/2/2007 3:35:47 PM | message detail |
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Mine too. --- L-BLOCK! National Shoddy Battle League: 1-0 |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 11/2/2007 3:45:42 PM | message detail |
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woo --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg |
| Merc25 | Posted 11/2/2007 3:51:51 PM | message detail |
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Time for the completely inaccurate baseless contest prediction. I think think it will be a 3-way dead heat for 1st. L-Block, the monster we made-------------------------------------- 28.8% Solid Snake, the one we love----------------------------------------- 29.3% Master Chief , Believe in the Green one---------------- 28.7% Dante, a master of poetry he is not but of swords and guns- 13.2% I also believe that 300 or less will separate 1st and 3rd. red(Dante) and green(MC) at war = a bloody Christmas battlefield. --- If you read this signature, then you have wasted your time. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6BEsZMvrq-I |
| Heroic Yuna | Posted 11/2/2007 3:53:55 PM | message detail |
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From Merc25 Posted 11/2/2007 6:51:51 PM #010 Time for the completely inaccurate baseless contest prediction. I think think it will be a 3-way dead heat for 1st. L-Block, the monster we made-------------------------------------- 28.8% Solid Snake, the one we love----------------------------------------- 29.3% Master Chief , Believe in the Green one---------------- 28.7% Dante, a master of poetry he is not but of swords and guns- 13.2% I also believe that 300 or less will separate 1st and 3rd. red(Dante) and green(MC) at war = a bloody Christmas battlefield. So you expect 50000 total votes? ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/2/2007 3:54:42 PM | message detail |
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maths --- CB6 - 338/512; Oracle - 32nd http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg |
| Merc25 | Posted 11/2/2007 3:55:55 PM | message detail |
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So you expect 50000 total votes? did I or did I not say completely inaccurate baseless --- If you read this signature, then you have wasted your time. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6BEsZMvrq-I |
| Keno316 | Posted 11/2/2007 3:56:47 PM | message detail |
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L-Block 37% Snake 35% Master Chief 17% Dante 11% Lawl, L-Block over 30%... --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants* |
| creativename | Posted 11/2/2007 4:08:43 PM | message detail |
| Who posted that? L-Block could get over 30%, this
is an easier fourpack than last round. But 37% is virtually out of the
question. It's not certain he'll even end the first hour that high. But
that's probably a for-fun prediction anyway :) Chief's best hope is that L-Block truly is static and gets his 28%, and that Snake/Dante split enough for Chief to juuust squeeze by L-Block. Now normally I would call hoping for a Snake/Dante split to be silly, however while Snake/Dante shouldn't overlap any abnormal amout, they should very likely overlap more than Dante/Chief and Snake/Chief. Since Chief should have very little overlap with Sony characters. One would actually expect pretty much any two characters to overlap more with each other than Chief and anybody. But, I don't think that's a very significant factor. It does give hope to Chief though. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Seginustemple | Posted 11/2/2007 4:11:15 PM | message detail |
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The block betta not end up above 30%.... --- If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula |
| paraboxx | Posted 11/2/2007 4:15:44 PM | message detail |
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Here's something fun and useless about L-Block that just occured to me. Remember how, before the contest, people were talking about first- and second-place characters swapping places between rounds? Like Ryu and Bowser, for example, or Master Chief and Yuna. The only time this wound up happening is with freaking Snake and L-Block. Yeah. |
| MoogleKupo141 | Posted 11/2/2007 4:17:15 PM | message detail |
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L-Block ---29 Master Chief --- 26.45 Snake --- 25.55 Dante -- 19 --- OH JEEZE! Hate. |
| Heroic Yuna | Posted 11/2/2007 4:17:48 PM | message detail |
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From paraboxx Posted 11/2/2007 7:15:44 PM #017 Here's something fun and useless about L-Block that just occured to me. Remember how, before the contest, people were talking about first- and second-place characters swapping places between rounds? Like Ryu and Bowser, for example, or Master Chief and Yuna. The only time this wound up happening is with freaking Snake and L-Block. Yeah. Don't forget Link and Cloud. ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| paraboxx | Posted 11/2/2007 4:19:16 PM | message detail |
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Oh yeah. But that match hasn't happened yet, so. |
| Link The Hylian | Posted 11/2/2007 4:20:49 PM | message detail |
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I predict that Snake and L Block advance again next match, with MC in a close third and Dante dead last. --- "The PS2 had 12,000,000 pre orders. To give you an idea of how many people that is that's over half of the world population." - DifferentialEquation |
| BesaidGuy | Posted 11/2/2007 4:26:09 PM | message detail |
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With Sephiroth in the poll, that's going to be difficult, but I
think if Cloud can get within 5% of Link here he would be a big
favorite to take it to the fairy boy next round. After Link's inability to really SFF Mario last round, it should be interesting to see what happens here between him and Samus. Personally, I think Samus is going to fall apart here. I'm not sure that I buy Link has “lost” his ability to SFF Nintendo competition, and there's a good chance that Mario had some reason to overperform last round with Galaxy right around the corner – if you believe that matters. That said, I wouldn't be too surprised if she did manage to hold up relatively well. Link might have to start worrying then. Link – 35% Cloud – 30% Sephiroth – 25% Samus – 10% lol HM --- Leader of the Master Chief Bandwagon Believe |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/2/2007 4:27:47 PM | message detail |
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he'll predict Cloud for first tomorrow, too, just because CLOUD IS COOLER AND PEOPLE SHOULD VOTE THAT WAY --- "The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter |
| paraboxx | Posted 11/2/2007 4:30:13 PM | message detail |
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Also, in going back over the previous topic, I've noticed several people whose theories/predictions have been repeatedly blown out of the water continuing to spout new
theories/predictions as if they were incontrovertible truths. Rather
than calling you out, asking you why you keep making fools of
yourselves, asking everyone else in the topic why you allow this sort of behavior, and/or smacking you all repeatedly, I've decided to simply join in. 1) Dante will get 12% tomorrow; 2) Master Chief will not get over 25; 3) Snake and L-Block will have another battle for first, which Snake will (sadly) win before dawn; and 4) There is no way in hell Cloud will beat Link in the final. I'm tempted to say the same about L-Block beating either of them...but I'm far too much of an L-Block fanboy for that. |
| creativename | Posted 11/2/2007 4:39:50 PM | message detail |
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My average expectations for Chief are around the 25% range tomorrow,
but I think he's more likely to get 27%-28+% then to fall to 22%-23%
and under. He should be much more in contention than Sonic, but it'll be a real struggle. My guess is he'll be down 2K-6K votes by the time he starts steamrolling the day vote. Anything over 3K would be pretty difficult to turn around - with the format, it's much harder to swing a particular deficit since you're getting like 30% of the vote rather than 60% of the vote. L-Block will probably be getting 30% or upper 20's throughout the day, so Chief would probably need like regular mid 30's hours to turn around a big deficit...and I don't see how he can do that when he's only the 2nd strongest non-L-Block character in the poll. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Master Moltar | Posted 11/2/2007 4:48:59 PM | message detail |
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Also, in going back over the previous topic, I've noticed several
people whose theories/predictions have been repeatedly blown out of the
water continuing to spout new theories/predictions as if they were
incontrovertible truths. Rather than calling you out, asking you why
you keep making fools of yourselves, asking everyone else in the topic
why you allow this sort of behavior, and/or smacking you all
repeatedly, I've decided to simply join in. Someone's learning what it means to be a respected stats topic regular! --- Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe Cloud/Samus/Link/Seph - Bracket: Link > Cloud - Vote: Samus (399/524) |
| creativename | Posted 11/2/2007 4:49:47 PM | message detail |
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So wait, do you actually believe these things or are just saying random
stuff? Because I could see you believing 3 and 4, don't know about the
other stuff. 1) Dante will get 12% tomorrow; 2) Master Chief will not get over 25; 3) Snake and L-Block will have another battle for first, which Snake will (sadly) win before dawn; and 4) There is no way in hell Cloud will beat Link in the final. Dante should collapse, I could easily see him under 15%, but 12%? That would be truly horrible. I'd almost be inclined to say he really was getting outright SFFed by Snake if that happened, because that would be an even greater collapse than your weakest character usually pulls. Chief's probably even money to get 25%. 3 is probably true - if Snake wants to win he better be right there before dawn, because lord knows he's not making much inroads the rest of the day. It's funny though...I think Snake will win here, but to do so, he needs to take the lead (or close to) by morning. Yet I have trouble seeing L-Block leading for such a "short" period of time. Cloud has a chance, especially with L-Block wildness and this contest's unpredictability...but I'm almost tempted to say Link>L-Block is more likely that Cloud>Link, as disgusting as that is. I don't think that's actually true though - I don't think L gets his standard 29%-30% in the final. Too much competition. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/2/2007 4:49:49 PM | message detail |
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Moltar, as usual, is 100% correct. I'm seeing some Link./Sephiroth SFF here - I mean think about it he looked bad in the battle royale too and oh god Samus my world help someone fix it --- "The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter |
| greatone10 | Posted 11/2/2007 4:55:35 PM | message detail |
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Remember how, before the contest, people were talking about first-
and second-place characters swapping places between rounds? Like Ryu
and Bowser, for example, or Master Chief and Yuna. The only time this wound up happening is with freaking Snake and L-Block. That may have been the only time it happened between first and second, but there were a few more instances of one character finishing above a character that beat it last round. Alucard/Liquid, Snake/Riku, Gordon/Duke. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. This line waiting for Guru results, because not enough people have played the Mario RPGs. |
| paraboxx | Posted 11/2/2007 5:01:03 PM | message detail |
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Dante should collapse, I could easily see him under 15%, but 12%? That would be truly horrible. True, but we've certainly seen worse. Vincent comes to mind, though he had a damn good excuse. I don't believe it with a passion, I'm not going to defend it to the death (or at all)...but I do believe it. Chief, meanwhile, folds like cheap laundry against stiffer competition (Snake) and an even more loyal fanbase (Block). Book it, as they say. |
| dethfdddddh | Posted 11/2/2007 5:07:16 PM | message detail |
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Speaking of "zombie theories", has the stats topic made any conclusions about the following recurring anomalies: West Division Factor 20XX Factor Devil Division Factor Sonic/Megaman against Snake? --- Rufus Shinra had Darknation eat me for lunch in the Guru contest. |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/2/2007 5:13:17 PM | message detail |
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oh, god. WDF - lol 2002 is the general consensus, I think, though you can probably point to Mario's side of the bracket as being the anomaly, if you want to go that route. 20XXDF - dear god, I don't even remember what this is.. *looks* oh, is that Snake/Frog/Mega Man shooting Snake in the face? or MM/Tidus? I lean towards it all being legit.. unless this is MM/Link, in which case I think that was proven by MM/Yoshi. I don't know what this is anymore. DDF - a myth. if 2006 didn't disprove it, Vincent/Crono this year did. now, Dream Division Factor? very real. Sonic/MM vs. Snake - I think MM overperformed simply because I'm hesitant to accept stat values otherwise. the easier conclusion there is to throw 2k6's stats out the window, but if I had to point to an anomaly, it'd be MM doing too well on Snake, or Sonic doing too poorly. --- "The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/2/2007 5:14:09 PM | message detail |
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well, 20XX being legit except for Frog/Snake, of course. Snake just sucked that year, and CT did great. and then there's the picture. --- "The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter |
| ZFS | Posted 11/2/2007 5:16:13 PM | message detail |
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CLOUD IS COOLER AND PEOPLE SHOULD VOTE THAT WAY Tran gets it! --- "With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man." |
| Gooper Blooper | Posted 11/2/2007 5:21:25 PM | message detail |
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It's all "legit". It happened right here on GameFAQs in a character battle. Doesn't get any more legit than that. --- GameFAQs Character Battle 2007: Vote for L-Block! Where there's smoke, they pinch back. |
| Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 11/2/2007 5:39:03 PM | message detail |
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DDF - a myth. if 2006 didn't disprove it, Vincent/Crono this year did. I thought DDF was the over performance of Vincent against Crono, likely due to AC releasing just before the match, which over rated the rest of the division. Not sure how Vincent/Crono would disprove that. Knuckles and Magus bombing would seem to support it. |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/2/2007 5:43:07 PM | message detail |
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well, yes, but it was the reason for the overperformance - the AC leak days before the match - that ceased existing in 2007. also, 2006 didn't have Knuckles or Magus, but it did have Dante (who looked legit), Squall (who looked pretty good when compared to Sonic's performance on Snake), and Vincent (who, again, looked pretty good when compared to Sonic). if there's something there, it's really hidden. to be honest, the best excuse for Knuckles and Magus is the overperformance on Squall. --- "The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter |
| Lopen | Posted 11/2/2007 6:03:23 PM | message detail |
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Thank you to EC for being the only one that doesn't take my stuff strictly literal. No, I don't literally mean voter floor. I just mean he's going to have a helluva hard time getting driven really low. No I don't literally mean 30%. It's an estimate. Yes, I could see MC getting high 20s in the finals. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 11/2/2007 6:05:19 PM | message detail |
| Well, Vincent and Squall should have looked good. Vincent still had AC along with DoC. Squall had KH2. And I'd say the only reason Dante looked good was Yoshi vs. Solid ****. |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/2/2007 6:06:38 PM | message detail |
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yeah, you can say that. Dante (2006c) VS Dante (2005c) Dante has a strength of 36.43. Dante has a strength of 32.73. Dante wins with 55.08% of the vote! A win of 11,800 with 116,185 total votes cast. but even when you adjust him down, he looks about the same. --- "The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter |
| ZFS | Posted 11/2/2007 6:07:42 PM | message detail |
| At this point I'd be surprised if Master Chief
even made the finals, but if he did I could see him, at best, getting
20%. He isn't hanging with Cloud and Link. --- "With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man." |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 11/2/2007 6:08:27 PM | message detail |
| If Master Chief has a fanbase that could give him a high 20's result against Link, Cloud, and L-Block/Solid Snake, then his core fanbase plays Halo and only Halo. If they play Halo and only Halo, they have no reason to be here. I'm expecting Chief to look pretty bad today, and sadly, we won't get to see how he'd look in the finals. |
| Lopen | Posted 11/2/2007 6:19:10 PM | message detail |
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If Master Chief has a fanbase that could give him a high 20's result
against Link, Cloud, and L-Block/Solid Snake, then his core fanbase
plays Halo and only Halo Uh huh. That's clearly exactly what it means. And I suppose the people who get Link really high in any given match play Zelda and only Zelda. I'm tired of arguing this anyway. If Chief flops tomorrow, you can all laugh at me and EC and all the other MC supporters and say we were wrong, but quit saying there's condemning evidence to the contrary when there really isn't. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/2/2007 6:22:22 PM | message detail |
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no, Link is legitimately strong. stretch him 15 ways and he'll lose a lot of votes, no doubt about that. meanwhile, we've seen Master Chief for years, and he's yet to get to that elite level. maybe he is this year, who knows?, but the argument you're using is that his fanbase is sickly loyal, and we just haven't seen evidence of that at all. it's all belief. which is cool, but tough to argue. --- "The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter |
| creativename | Posted 11/2/2007 6:23:06 PM | message detail |
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Thank you to EC for being the only one that doesn't take my stuff strictly literal. If you don't actually mean what you say, you probably shouldn't say what you say, know what I'm saying ;) Yes, I could see MC getting high 20s in the finals. This is just...madness! (even if Chief wears Spartan etc...) Or do you actually mean "high teens" and high 20's is not literal :) --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| smitelf | Posted 11/2/2007 6:28:30 PM | message detail |
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Wow, people sure are predicting Dante to do badly. MC isn't that much
stronger than he is. I guess it depends on if Snake manages to beat
Dante down or not. But MC get 25%? I'd be surprised. Snake and, apparently, L-Block are in a different league. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! "I just happen to think you are an idiot. Why must it be so personal?" - Sir Chris |
| Lopen | Posted 11/2/2007 6:35:39 PM | message detail |
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but the argument you're using is that his fanbase is sickly loyal,
and we just haven't seen evidence of that at all. it's all belief. The evidence is in the format and how well he's doing. A good reason to do so well in four way polls is being resistant to having your fanbase torn apart so easily. Yeah, he's dropped, but as I've said before stick L-Block against weaker opponents and he'd have started way higher and had a subsequent drop too. What do you think it is that's buffing him up? Entirely the benefit of removed anti-votes? Halo 3 is doing that much? --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| ZFS | Posted 11/2/2007 6:49:03 PM | message detail |
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The evidence is in the format and how well he's doing. A good reason
to do so well in four way polls is being resistant to having your
fanbase torn apart so easily. Yeah, he's dropped, but as I've said
before stick L-Block against weaker opponents and he'd have started way
higher and had a subsequent drop too. Squall had a similar thing going for him, too. His first three rounds were 35%, 33%, and then 31% -- and that's with a good chance of him being hindered by other characters. When he was stuck up against two Snake, Sonic and L-Block, he pulled in just above 20%. You could say it's a bit different for Squall since there where Square characters in the poll, but I don't see how that could possibly be skewed as something favorable for him. There may not be anything to show that Master Chief absolutely cannot do it, but it's a very good bet that he doesn't have a minimum percentage of 28% that will vote for him over every single character without fail. The stronger Chief's competition, the more and more he comes down in percentage. You can still make the argument, but it's understandable why people think it's a bit crazy. --- "With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man." |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/2/2007 6:52:10 PM | message detail |
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either way, every single character who's gone up against a "joke character" has come away with a bad percentage. even Link. for Master Chief to pull this out today, he's got to go from Luigi/Pikachu to Snake/Block and not lose any percentage. (this is, of course, assuming L will never fold - it sure looks that way, though) he has a chance, but not a great one. I'd put it at 30% that he tops the Block, and another 5-10% that he'll beat Snake due to "LFF" or whatever --- "The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter |
| Lopen | Posted 11/2/2007 6:52:42 PM | message detail |
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What Squall did compared to expectations is nothing
compared to what Master Chief did. I understand why people are
skeptical of my arguments, but really. Hell, if anything Squall did
just about what was expected I think. I don't believe Oracle
consensuses were too far off for him on any of his matches. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
