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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 542

ZFS | Posted 11/1/2007 9:07:11 PM | message detail
Well, we saw the exact same thing with Mario last round. It didn't take too long for him to start collapsing. Samus, and to a much lesser extent Link, should follow that same pattern here. Sick board vote, but the FF7 guys will make some big strides soon.

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"With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man."
Seginustemple | Posted 11/1/2007 9:07:44 PM | message detail
That's a bit odd unless Samus > > Mario

Uh, hell yeah?
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
BDawg | Posted 11/1/2007 9:07:45 PM | message detail
Uh....well, clearly Snake was the one SFFing Samus and Mario, not Link...
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Should I start running now?
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/1/2007 9:08:11 PM | message detail
Yeah, Samus is going to fall off here, but this is awesome anyway.

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
XxSoulxX | Posted 11/1/2007 9:08:56 PM | message detail
It's ****ing Mario!
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EvilPrinny | Posted 11/1/2007 9:09:21 PM | message detail
So much for Cloud beating Link, eh Hochi? L Block has a better chance
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trannyscience | Posted 11/1/2007 9:09:30 PM | message detail
most of you know better, but just in case -- don't overreact to Link's domination here. we all knew this was coming. Sephiroth has a particularly bad board vote, way worse than Cloud ever could. Samus might beat him, but he sure won't end at freaking 11%.
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"The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter
BDawg | Posted 11/1/2007 9:09:39 PM | message detail
Apparently it's ****ing Samus! Seriously though those are some god awful pics.
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Should I start running now?
trannyscience | Posted 11/1/2007 9:10:37 PM | message detail
Link > Samus would be pretty hilariously awesome

epic Snake/block battle for second
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"The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/1/2007 9:11:10 PM | message detail
Samus holding up better than Link aww yeah
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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
ZFS | Posted 11/1/2007 9:11:42 PM | message detail
There we go. Cloud's already jumping up a percent.

Sephiroth's hurting, but he should be expected to take longer to recover. I still think he places ahead of Samus pretty easy here.

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"With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man."
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/1/2007 9:12:00 PM | message detail
Now that update made more sense. Although still, doesn't look like Sephiroth will be impressing today. No way he finishes ahead of Samus, bad board vote and all
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:12:01 PM | message detail
Alright, FFVII is over 36% now. Is 10% improvement from here too much to hope for?
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hochiminh155 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:12:07 PM | message detail
Anyone find it strange that Cloud is SFFing Seph to the ground while Link is failing to SFF Samus? TP made Link lose his SFF powers and it made Cloud gain new SFF powers
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:13:39 PM | message detail
It could be that Nintendo fans have finally realized that Link has no chance of losing until the final.
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CP724 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:14:06 PM | message detail
Yes, TP gave Cloud SFF powers against Sephiroth.
BDawg | Posted 11/1/2007 9:14:09 PM | message detail
Well, the quarterfinals match opening was pretty messed up, otherwise I would bring up the fact that Vincent+Seph were accounting for more percent at this point against Link+Mario.
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Should I start running now?
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/1/2007 9:14:22 PM | message detail
or y'know, that Link just doesn't SFF Samus that hard. They have faced off before, and Samus held up fine.

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/1/2007 9:14:48 PM | message detail
Oh yeah well I already brought it up! =D
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
creativename | Posted 11/1/2007 9:14:52 PM | message detail
L-Block is going to be doubling Cloud early in the finals, possibly approaching tripling.
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Seginustemple | Posted 11/1/2007 9:15:27 PM | message detail
TP made Link lose his SFF powers and it made Cloud gain new SFF powers

Yeah, Hochi's right guys. Twilight Princess TOTALLY made Cloud more popular, ever since uhhh.....uhhh.....uhhhh....aww hell I can't even think of a good joke reason why TP would boost Cloud.
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/1/2007 9:15:33 PM | message detail
GO SAMUS GO SAMUS GO
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trannyscience | Posted 11/1/2007 9:16:00 PM | message detail
27% to Link's 38% there. that's a bit more believable.
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"The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter
ZFS | Posted 11/1/2007 9:16:32 PM | message detail
Okay. Maybe Sephiroth won't beat Samus easy!

Liking Cloud over 25% and Link under 40%, though!

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"With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man."
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:16:43 PM | message detail
15 minutes into the third match of the Battle Royale (which, coincidentally, also had four characters and three of them appear in this match), Snake led Sephiroth by 264 votes.

Samus leads by 492 votes here.
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/1/2007 9:16:46 PM | message detail
Everybody did poorly today. As a result only 5 people fell off the Top 50 today. dragoncrazer, syntaxerror7, smitelf, shadow8021 and IAmAnAlt did not have L-Block > Solid Snake as yesterday's winners.

4 people on the Top 50 scored half points and rose in rank. PortugalTheMann, One_winged_ange, Shadow_Bunny and ProfessorMaeda had something close to L-Block > Solid Snake as yesterday's winners.

41 people scored quarter points and stayed on the Top 50. bokoboko42, KirbyKhan, Gyrating Grandma, frozenflame264, HunterKiller47, X_and_Zero, HaRRicH, ooBlack_Roseoo, LeonhartFour, Chickenshack, HeroicLuigi, LegendaryGeno, Ultimaphazon, Kettchup, PaGz_GF, LeahTsu, MnMZero, Warning_Cmexy, BDawg250, alphawindow, TheColderWar, dlcb1, cykoatom, JustForFun1988, Wiikku, Shaggy_Heru, alpha_door, Final_Eclipse, TexasAggie, Dranze, Gaddswell, Haste_2, The_Lady_Ashe, BeautyQueenEtna, Consolesonlyalt, Ngamer64, miaminole21, Thunderjeep, THEVinceYoung, Lukejalil and Buzzoro had something vagely similar to L-Block > Solid Snake as yesterday's winners.

Not a single person in the Top 50 scored full points yesterday.
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creativename | Posted 11/1/2007 9:18:33 PM | message detail
Sephiroth will struggle to get 15%-16% here looks like. My fears have been realized for him.

Samus I don't see dropping below 18%.
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Seginustemple | Posted 11/1/2007 9:19:00 PM | message detail
Link's looking to achieve about the same percent as last round although Vincent and Mario are replaced with Cloud and Samus....

Vincent >= Cloud confirmed
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
trannyscience | Posted 11/1/2007 9:19:06 PM | message detail
I was waiting for that. Snake > Sonic was that much of a favourite, huh?
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"The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/1/2007 9:19:39 PM | message detail
I've been waiting two years to see Samus > Sephiroth...it's great to see it finally happening.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:19:41 PM | message detail
Actually, I was looking at Cloud's column rather than Snake's. Snake only led by 221 votes at the 15 minute mark.
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Mustache...and green...
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BDawg | Posted 11/1/2007 9:20:01 PM | message detail
Good, I was gonna be kinda pissy if I dropped more spots from my Snake>Sonic pick as opposed to my awful Ganon>Chief pick.
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Should I start running now?
Haste_2 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:20:14 PM | message detail
Do you think there's anybody currently in the Top 50 that has L-Block this far on their bracket? I guess we won't know until next round...

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Keno316 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:20:21 PM | message detail
Hmmmmm...at this point, Cloud winning in the finals on his own strength is next to impossible. Right now, everything lies on the Wild Card we call L-Block and his ability to siphon 29% of the vote...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
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Lopen | Posted 11/1/2007 9:20:32 PM | message detail
What an odd result here...

I didn't expect Sephiroth to get hurt more than Samus. But then again, it's FF7 against Nintendo here, SFF hurts FF7 much more. I just figured Cloud and Seph would be splitting closer to evenly. Luckily for Cloud that's not the case.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
hochiminh155 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:20:50 PM | message detail
Come on Cloud, this performance, as they say in the trade, is not gonna' cut the mustard
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The_Ocelot2 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:20:55 PM | message detail
Good thing I had Sonic>Snake
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Go Ducks Go!
trannyscience | Posted 11/1/2007 9:21:15 PM | message detail
heh, Cloud's performance would look pretty good right now if Samus wasn't crushing Sephiroth.
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"The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:21:23 PM | message detail
I had a very teeny tiny feeling that this might happen, but I dismissed it in like two seconds. Samus > Sephiroth is the sweetest result of this contest by far.
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BDawg | Posted 11/1/2007 9:21:30 PM | message detail
Yeah that's the stuff is Cloud is gonna rise to heaven then Seph should get in on the donations.
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Should I start running now?
creativename | Posted 11/1/2007 9:22:06 PM | message detail
I did think that same-game SFF would be greater than Nintendo-SFF here, but I went optimistic and predicted 20% for Sephiroth and 16% for Samus. Looks like the result will be close to a flip of that.
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Haste_2 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:22:22 PM | message detail
I can't BELIEVE how poorly Sephiroth is doing... though maybe he'll catch up to the point where he can match his proportion to Cloud last year. I'm not sure about that, though. Really good job by Samus, too. Despite Link being there, Samus isn't dropping in percentage much.

Link still has more votes than Cloud and Sephiroth combined, despite Samus being there (as of now), heh.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
ZFS | Posted 11/1/2007 9:22:53 PM | message detail
Cloud's doing a great job right now, I think, for as early as it is. He shouldn't have a whole lot of trouble hitting 30% in this one and holding it. Sephiroth probably won't end up looking as good, but he should end up being pretty close to Samus at least. A shame too, because he's the second best character in this poll!

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"With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man."
charmander6000 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:23:21 PM | message detail
Wow wasn't expecting Sephiroth to do so bad, even if this is just the first few updates.
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Match 61: Link > Cloud Points: 317/512
Lopen | Posted 11/1/2007 9:23:56 PM | message detail
Should L-Block make the finals, Cloud still has a good chance to beat Link, I think. I think L-Block hurts Link the most by far out of any potential final entrant.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
Master Moltar | Posted 11/1/2007 9:24:38 PM | message detail
Samus > Sephiroth one on one THIS IS PROOF
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Cloud/Samus/Link/Seph - Bracket: Link > Cloud - Vote: Samus (399/524)
paraboxx | Posted 11/1/2007 9:24:40 PM | message detail
I know it's early, but...why is Cloud treating Sephiroth like Sephiroth treated Vincent?

...this makes Vincent (and Crono) look really, really bad, doesn't it?
trannyscience | Posted 11/1/2007 9:25:36 PM | message detail
woo Link's lead is bigger than Sephiroth's vote total
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"The idea of rallying for Solid Snake against a Tetris block is both disgusting and necessary. *goes*" -Karma Hunter
Keno316 | Posted 11/1/2007 9:25:40 PM | message detail
The key thing in the finals is gonna be L-Block messing up everybody's board vote. A lot of the FF7 anti votes are likely to be mixed in with L-Block's crazy board vote, which limits the amount that goes to Link. Therefore, Link doesn't explode as much in the start and remains within Cloud's reach as L-Block slowly dies down...


...Or, L-Block starts with over 50% and never loses the lead. >>
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
creativename | Posted 11/1/2007 9:26:14 PM | message detail
Cloud should have no problem hitting 28%, probably 29+%, good shot at 30%.

However with Samus doing so well and Link still dominating anyway, it looks pretty bad for Cloud>Link.

Cloud is going to have to rely on LLLF - L-block Leeching Link Factor - to win :)
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