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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 539

Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/31/2007 12:36:27 AM | message detail
Vote for Mama Luigi!


*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

RPguy's Hourly Poll Updates:
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/contest.html

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Kyle Bowen: Ignore me then and dont be an ass when I post. It solves everything.
Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/31/2007 12:37:22 AM | message detail
Papa Luigi would like to have a word with Mama Luigi!
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
Gaddswell | Posted 10/31/2007 12:39:20 AM | message detail
http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/3503/luiginm6xc2.png
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Who the hell do you think you are getting off being so egotistical like that? - hochiminh155
http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y69/unown_pnoi/brawlhypeclubheader.jpg
Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/31/2007 1:10:46 AM | message detail
Dante > Luigi > Pikachu > Master Chief that update...
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/31/2007 1:15:28 AM | message detail
While Masterchief is way to far ahead to lose to these guys, I can't see him winning over Snake, Sonic, Squall or the L-Block on saturday. Then again 80% of all things I predict in these topics usually turn out to be wrong.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Kyle Bowen: Ignore me then and dont be an ass when I post. It solves everything.
Lopen | Posted 10/31/2007 1:39:57 AM | message detail
You know, people say Master Chief has had such an easy path out of his division, but he really hasn't. His division had stiffer competition than a lot of the noble nine's. Sonic, Snake, and Cloud all had an easier path getting outta their division than Master Chief.

35% against these guys or last round isn't a joke. Better looking than what Sonic or Snake did last round, let me tell ya.

And jeez, Dante is really tearing things up now. Loving this. Might be breathing down Chief's neck before the ASV.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
EvilPrinny | Posted 10/31/2007 1:58:01 AM | message detail
Dante has second place for sure. I don't think Luigi can take it back at this point
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XBL Gamertag: Albion Hero (http://profile.mygamercard.net/Albion%20Hero)
Currently Playing: Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion, Madden 2008, Dead or Alive 4
SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/31/2007 2:00:49 AM | message detail
Yeah I think this calls Chief out for sure. He's not able to challenge the big guns with attempts like this.
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I didn't think that a N9, even if he's Crono, would lose to Vincent....And I'm not a furry, damnit!
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 10/31/2007 2:11:29 AM | message detail
MC is being SFF'd by Nintendo fans...you dont' seriously believe there are THAT many xbox fans on this site? Many are wii60 fans who vote for MC.
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Playing: CRYSIS Demo| Phoenix Wright 3
XBGamerTag: RivieraPhantom
Gaddswell | Posted 10/31/2007 2:12:50 AM | message detail
I think Dante has this. That was a huge cut on MC's lead.
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Who the hell do you think you are getting off being so egotistical like that? - hochiminh155
http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y69/unown_pnoi/brawlhypeclubheader.jpg
RPGGamer0 | Posted 10/31/2007 2:26:01 AM | message detail
I sure hope Dante wins; that'd be hilarious.

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Metal Gear Solid OOOOWWWWWWNS!
SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/31/2007 2:28:46 AM | message detail
Since when does Master Chief have a strong board vote?
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I didn't think that a N9, even if he's Crono, would lose to Vincent....And I'm not a furry, damnit!
Gaddswell | Posted 10/31/2007 2:39:38 AM | message detail
Dante's lead over Luigi finally greater than MC's lead over Dante.
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Who the hell do you think you are getting off being so egotistical like that? - hochiminh155
http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y69/unown_pnoi/brawlhypeclubheader.jpg
Figlar20000 | Posted 10/31/2007 2:45:51 AM | message detail
Lord_Yggdrassil is right! I'm one of those Wii people who voted Chief because I occasionally play some Halo with friends :)
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021578-888548 - Puzzle League
Gaddswell | Posted 10/31/2007 3:25:30 AM | message detail
Looks like Pikachu's definitely holding Luigi's morning vote back. This match is over.
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Who the hell do you think you are getting off being so egotistical like that? - hochiminh155
http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y69/unown_pnoi/brawlhypeclubheader.jpg
linkhatesganon | Posted 10/31/2007 3:34:23 AM | message detail
Dante has no chance to end first.....MC has a killing day vote (does this mean kiddies play Halo? o____0). And anyway, better Dante ends 2nd to earn the more points I can ^___^
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Onimimi's film rules!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/31/2007 4:07:09 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/31/2007 4:07:46 AM | message detail
Time. | Chief ....| Luigi ....| Pikachu | Dante
01:00 | 29.88% | 25.28% | 21.02% | 23.83%
02:00 | 31.05% | 23.97% | 19.57% | 25.42%
03:00 | 29.41% | 23.57% | 17.76% | 29.26%
04:00 | 27.65% | 24.25% | 19.55% | 28.55%
05:00 | 25.82% | 23.78% | 18.75% | 31.65%
06:00 | 26.57% | 21.90% | 20.45% | 31.09%
07:00 | 27.47% | 24.68% | 20.79% | 27.05%

Dante in a pretty commanding position. If Luigi loses the first hour of the morning vote by that much I doubt he makes much progress in the next hour or ASV
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
Ayvuir | Posted 10/31/2007 4:08:41 AM | message detail
Kiddies obviously do love a bit of halo.

I'm surprised in a way pikachu isn't doing better
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Board 8 RPG:Dream Walker - http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=38120129
SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/31/2007 4:16:16 AM | message detail
If Leon was here instead of Pikachu would Luigi be winning right about now?
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I didn't think that a N9, even if he's Crono, would lose to Vincent....And I'm not a furry, damnit!
swirIdude | Posted 10/31/2007 4:20:58 AM | message detail
Maybe, but I'd still expect Luigi to get dropped in the ASV thanks to MC, so Dante could still pass him
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Number of people who have responded to my post with only prepositions: 38
National Shoddy Battle League: 1-0
Who Cares? | Posted 10/31/2007 4:50:22 AM | message detail
*Wakes up hoping Dante has a decent sized lead on Luigi & checks result*

OH YEAH! And wow, Dante's not too far away from Chief either...thank goodness the ASV will kill any shot he has of grabbing 1st, I need the full 16pts for Dante finishing 2nd. Thank you yellow rat for screwing up Luigi's chances! :P
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Current Points: 359 -- 7th on Leaderboard
11/17/07: The day Street Fighter 4 became a reality!
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/31/2007 4:51:44 AM | message detail
God damn Pikachu

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Can anyone give me the dimensions of their Wii box?- Mershiness
adamjaxe- Stop measuring your presents....
LordOfDabu | Posted 10/31/2007 4:53:28 AM | message detail
Dante with the Halloween vote!
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Hello world
Draco1214 | Posted 10/31/2007 4:59:20 AM | message detail
Wow, it's Luigi's best time and Dante still refuses to stop.
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Currently Playing: Fire Emblem Path of Raidance (replay), Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/31/2007 5:09:01 AM | message detail
stop the stalling please it hurts me
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/31/2007 5:17:25 AM | message detail
Hey creativename. In case you haven't noticed it yet, the second picture for today's match was updated... so maybe you want to upload both pics to your gallery. ^_~

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-2.jpg
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/31/2007 5:19:34 AM | message detail
again, what the hell is that luigi.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
Master Moltar | Posted 10/31/2007 5:35:46 AM | message detail
MC in first?

Dante commanding overnight to take second?

Dante holding second during Luigi's morning vote?

WHOOOOOOOOO YES!!!!

http://i24.tinypic.com/2sba2qu.gif
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
MC/Luigi/Pikachu/Dante - Bracket: Ganon > Dante - Vote: Dante (375/460)
Haste_2 | Posted 10/31/2007 5:40:45 AM | message detail
Still not eliminated, at least! Sonic power!

FYI today, Luigi is doing better in relation to MC this round than last round (even at this time). Luigi having stronger ties to Ganondorf than to Pikachu seems to be confirmed, as expected.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Kyle Bowen | Posted 10/31/2007 6:08:42 AM | message detail
tag. KB
voltch | Posted 10/31/2007 6:29:36 AM | message detail
Question:Is this match really weak for this stage of the contest?
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*shakes fist at his own bracket*
MasterOfHunters | Posted 10/31/2007 6:32:06 AM | message detail
I am just glad my favorite character (Dante) has gotten so far this year. Hopefully he doesn't disappoint in the semis, provided Luigi is dead in the water.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/31/2007 6:35:54 AM | message detail
Luigi is dead if he couldn't even win the morning vote.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/31/2007 6:40:29 AM | message detail
You're forgetting, today it's pedo Luigi. And obviously pedo Luigi doesn't come outside until the kids get ouf of school
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/31/2007 6:46:27 AM | message detail
...XD
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/31/2007 6:52:10 AM | message detail
Also, it's kind of odd that this Master Chief match was probably the easiest to predict match this round, when originally it seemed like the hardest
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/31/2007 6:52:42 AM | message detail
Oh yeah, there's still tomorrow which is like 100% wildcard for 2nd IMO
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
Consolesonlyalt | Posted 10/31/2007 7:33:11 AM | message detail
Oh yeah, there's still tomorrow which is like 100% wildcard for 2nd IMO

You consider Snake a surefire 1st? Because I can really see Sonic finishing first. In fact, the only thing I don't really see happening is L-block making 1st or 2nd. The rest is up for grabs.

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344/448. Today : Master Chief > Leon. Tomorrow : Sonic > Snake
consolefreak | Posted 10/31/2007 7:34:38 AM | message detail
Also, scoring 16 points today is above-average, right?
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348/448. Today : Master Chief > Ganondorf. Tomorrow : Sonic > Snake
*One_Winged_Ange*
linkhatesganon | Posted 10/31/2007 7:35:45 AM | message detail
I hope so, as I'm also scoring 16.

Oh, and L-block could still surprise. It has got all the rounds around 30%, no matter the rivals =/
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linkhatesgannon is awesome. Stop hatin - RenoTurk11
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/31/2007 7:36:07 AM | message detail
Eh, the cookie was Ganondorf > Dante. It's average.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/31/2007 7:36:09 AM | message detail
I'm confident enough that Snake not taking first would be somewhat of a surprise, but I certainly don't discount it as a possibility. Sonic taking first actually seems like the least likely outcome to me, what with Sonic characters suffering from the format, and the fact that he showed he pretty much would have lost to Squall already if it wasn't for Sora. Brawl is the only thing that's giving me any confidence whatsoever. If it wasn't for that I might even put him as the clear favorite for last
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
linkhatesganon | Posted 10/31/2007 7:37:12 AM | message detail
Ashe, that's in gurus. I was talking about GF predictions
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linkhatesgannon is awesome. Stop hatin - RenoTurk11
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/31/2007 7:37:51 AM | message detail
The Guru cookie scores 16 points today.

FYI today, Luigi is doing better in relation to MC this round than last round (even at this time). Luigi having stronger ties to Ganondorf than to Pikachu seems to be confirmed, as expected.

That, or it means that Pikachu's weaker than Ganondorf.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/31/2007 7:38:07 AM | message detail
Predicting a match at all is above average when compared to GameFAQs as whole.
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/31/2007 7:38:33 AM | message detail
*as a whole
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/31/2007 7:40:52 AM | message detail
I'm feeling good about Snake. He managed to beat L-Block relatively comfortably despite a terrible picture (honestly, the fact that some people were borderline praising it had me scratching my head). He should be fine with his standard array of badass pics.

While I still think L-Block is capable of a shocker, I'll go with Snake>Sonic as the safe choice and because I really don't feel like thinking too hard.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/31/2007 7:48:33 AM | message detail
The picture was good relative to what we expected. It was still terrible. <_<
Haste_2 | Posted 10/31/2007 8:24:54 AM | message detail
Sonic and Snake might hurt each other a bit due to both being in SSBB... it makes me wonder even more tomorrow, especially about Sonic. I think Snake's comfortably enough the others popularity to ensure first place regardless, though.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
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