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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 538

KamikazePotato | Posted 10/30/2007 6:25:35 PM | message detail
*Waits for match pics to be posted to see if one of mine was chosen*
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/30/2007 6:26:18 PM | message detail
come back 10 minutes before the match imo
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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/30/2007 6:27:10 PM | message detail
Oh, and since that last post took me upwards of a half hour to type, I'll gently remind anyone that has issues with my perspective that I won't be able to defend anything significant for awhile. :D
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/30/2007 6:27:38 PM | message detail
kk

btw if it's either of these:

http://img369.imageshack.us/img369/6582/mcvlvpvdfixig1.png
http://img151.imageshack.us/img151/6333/mcvlvpvdver2fixkk3.png

It's mine
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/30/2007 6:27:57 PM | message detail
god damn kh and i thought i was bad
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/30/2007 6:28:18 PM | message detail
Oh, and since that last post took me upwards of a half hour to type, I'll gently remind anyone that has issues with my perspective that I won't be able to defend anything significant for awhile. :D

So...L-Block>Snake next round is a lock, right? I mean Blocky seems to get stronger every round, so...
---
The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/30/2007 6:29:09 PM | message detail
uhh snake isn't even placing what are you talking about
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/30/2007 6:33:41 PM | message detail
Pics are up...and he only chose 6...and not any of mine...;_;

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-1.jpg

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-2.jpg

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-3.jpg

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-4.jpg

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-5.jpg

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-6.jpg

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-7.jpg

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-8.jpg
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
ZFS | Posted 10/30/2007 6:34:46 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-1.jpg
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-2.jpg
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-3.jpg
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-4.jpg
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-5.jpg
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-6.jpg

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"With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man."
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/30/2007 6:35:13 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-6.jpg

YES!!!!!!!
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/30/2007 6:35:38 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-1.jpg

mc > pika guaranteed
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/30/2007 6:35:45 PM | message detail
WTF it's not even the deadline for submitted images. Maybe that's why there's only 6. Maybe the next 2 will be selected within the next couple hours
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/30/2007 6:36:16 PM | message detail
Pedo luigi made it!

Well, his eyes anyway
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
FFDragon | Posted 10/30/2007 6:36:28 PM | message detail
I'm voting for Palette Swap.
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Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE!
The revenge was swift and sweet (Metal Gear Solid 2)
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/30/2007 6:37:39 PM | message detail
I swear to god, Pikachu looks like such a ****ing piece of **** in those pictures. If "pikachus" were real, I'd tell animal lovers to shove it as I run them over with my pick up truck (the pikachus, not the animal lovers).
Keno316 | Posted 10/30/2007 6:37:52 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-1.jpg


Is it the beagle Luigi?


Luigi placing CONFIRMED!!!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Master Moltar | Posted 10/30/2007 6:37:53 PM | message detail
god dammit what the hell too early augh augh
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Seph/Mario/Link/Vincent - Bracket: Link > Seph - Vote: Mario (343/428)
Lopen | Posted 10/30/2007 6:38:35 PM | message detail
Hey guys, check it!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-5.jpg

That's mine!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
Keno316 | Posted 10/30/2007 6:38:45 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-5.jpg


...Hopefully, Ash being in the pic will screw Pikachu over...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
cyko | Posted 10/30/2007 6:44:52 PM | message detail
that first pic is awful. i think Lopen's pic is actually my favorite out of the bunch.

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I support the following SC2K6 characters:
L-Block, Phoenix Wright, Magus, Agent J, Vincent Valentine, Miles Edgeworth, HK-47, Zero, Kefka
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/30/2007 6:45:34 PM | message detail
Luigi being backed up by Mario in a picture?
*looks at today's match*

uhhh Luigi with 89 percent
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/30/2007 6:46:06 PM | message detail
The first pic is awesome. <_<

Lopen's is neat too but I don't like that thing there with MC. Since I don't know what it is and boo spoilers. =/
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/30/2007 6:46:13 PM | message detail
Damnit I didn't even know he was allowed to use less than 8!

*Cries over being snubbed*
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
trannyscience | Posted 10/30/2007 6:46:59 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-1.jpg

what is that dante

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-2.jpg

haha Luigi

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-3.jpg

man, none of these Dantes look good. Pikachu fades into that background.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-4.jpg

best one so far -- clear, unlike the others.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-5.jpg

fair. like this one too.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-6.jpg

it's cool, but I like pictures that don't have a theme or a ton of effort put into them. when you have to really stare at the picture to figure out what's going on, something's wrong.


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xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
Lopen | Posted 10/30/2007 6:52:59 PM | message detail
Lopen's is neat too but I don't like that thing there with MC. Since I don't know what it is and boo spoilers

Cortana is not a bloody spoiler...!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
ZFS | Posted 10/30/2007 6:57:26 PM | message detail
Ashe thinks everything is a spoiler!



halo spoilers

its a first person shooter

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"With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man."
Master Moltar | Posted 10/30/2007 6:59:01 PM | message detail
wake me when you need me
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Seph/Mario/Link/Vincent - Bracket: Link > Seph - Vote: Mario (343/428)
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/30/2007 6:59:23 PM | message detail
oh. not a spoiler then.

it just doesn't look like cortana at all to me then. i thought it was something from halo 3
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 10/30/2007 7:00:48 PM | message detail
Match LIX: Master Chief vs Luigi vs Pikachu vs Dante

Past Matches

Round 3

Master Chief - 35.42%
Luigi - 23.48%
Ganondorf - 22.47%
Yuna - 18.63%

Pikachu - 33.79%
Dante - 30.43%
Leon Kennedy - 23.85%
Amaterasu - 11.93%

Analysis

Last round Master Chief was able to ride the wave and comfortably came in first; this round however will be his first challenge. Getting the better picture and random variation was able to let Luigi sneak second place. After losing to Leon by 9% Pikachu was able to turn around and defeat Leon by 10% and easily got first over Dante, was this Capcom SFF?

Anybody could get first in this match though if I had to pick a favorite it would be Master Chief. Out of the four characters he’s probably the strongest in this format plus he has Halo 3 on his side. Halo also the types of fans that would vote him over anyone so in my opinion he would have a harder time dropping in percent plus he has the most diverse fanbase among the characters.

Next on the strength ladder is Dante though by looking at his performance last round one would be surprised by that statement. I’m not sure if his performance was because of Leon or the picture, but Dante was performing just people were expecting of him until last round. Had Leon beaten Dante or did much better than what he was expected it may have been one thing, but that didn’t happen so while I think Dante is the favorite to take second it really is one of those shaky prediction.

Luigi was able to surprise the board and was able to outlast Ganondorf and this round he is expected to do much better against Master Chief. However I think Master Chief was able to get a big enough percent last round to not be in danger of losing to Luigi. Luigi has another problem and that’s Pikachu. Sure Pokemon seem to be unaffected when involved in SFF match, but Pikachu has been in SSB which probably accounts for at least some of his strength. Mewtwo was able to hold out pretty well against Bowser though we don’t know Mewtwo’s true strength.

The surprise of the round will probably get last though if he wants to freak out the board again I wouldn’t be surprised. Not only is Pikachu the weakest of the four, but he has Luigi there taking away some of his strength. Back in 2k3 we saw Fox SFF Pikachu though that was back when Pokemon was hated so it could be different now, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Pikachu fails to get 10% here.

I have no idea how this match will turn out and for most people only one of the top two is actually in the poll. Personally I want to see Pikachu in the top two just to see the reaction of the board and also Luigi just to see him outlive his brother for more than just a day.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Ganondorf > Master Chief

charmander6000’s Prediction: Master Chief - 30.63%, Luigi - 27.28%, Dante - 24.85%, Pikachu - 17.24%

---
The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 58: Link > Sephiroth Points: 269/416
Lopen | Posted 10/30/2007 7:02:11 PM | message detail
You'd be surprised how hard it is to find a passable Cortana picture on the Internet. I wasn't entirely satisfied with it either, but it's far and away the best one out there that I came across.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
satai_delenn | Posted 10/30/2007 7:02:50 PM | message detail
man, none of these Dantes look good

If they'd picked mine, we'd have gotten the badass DMC4 Dante with the sword! Nobody even used the best Dante picture there is, which is the one on the cover of DMC3 with the moon. Bah.

Also why would anyone use Viewtiful Dante? Urgh. Hate.
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My Contest Hero: Riku
Currently playing: Aria of Sorrow, Silent Hill 2, Super Mario RPG
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/30/2007 7:04:23 PM | message detail
He looks cute! >=/

not that it was me i have no talent with anything even mildly art related.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/30/2007 7:06:46 PM | message detail
Nobody even used the best Dante picture there is, which is the one on the cover of DMC3 with the moon. Bah.

I used it but of course mine wasn't picked.

SBAllen anti-Dante?
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
Lopen | Posted 10/30/2007 7:08:01 PM | message detail
Nobody even used the best Dante picture there is, which is the one on the cover of DMC3 with the moon

Really? That's your favorite? I've always been partial to the one in my pic actually. (S'why I used it!)
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
Agent M | Posted 10/30/2007 7:09:29 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-59-2.jpg

lol I just submitted one with better pictures of pikachu and dante.... but he put them up early? Ah well can't complain... it's there in the first place!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/30/2007 7:12:10 PM | message detail
Pedo Luigi is win.
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CB6 - 290/406; Oracle - 33rd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
Seginustemple | Posted 10/30/2007 7:27:17 PM | message detail
Squall

This is the only character that I'm 100% certain that Cloud would like to have. Remember when Squall pull those "respectable" 24% on Cloud? Squall wouldn't hurt Cloud in the finals, it work in the other way. If Squall somehow miraculously makes it to the finals, then Link is in a tight spot unless the 4th opponent is Luigi or Pikachu.
ADVANTAGE: Cloud


Um, explain to me how Squall being in hurts LINK'S chances? He's going to be siphoning votes from Cloud's fanbase, not Link's.
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/30/2007 7:31:26 PM | message detail
Squall would hurt Cloud's chances. Whoever posted that needs to be barred from the stats topic
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Victory
Future winner of the Summer 2007 Contest
Master Moltar | Posted 10/30/2007 7:39:36 PM | message detail
Quarterfinals: Match 59 – Master Chief vs. Luigi vs. Pikachu vs. Dante

Moltar’s Analysis

Master Chief - Powered by: GAME FUEL!!
Round 1 – 45.69% vs. Yuna, Tommy and PaRappa
Round 2 – 43.78% vs. Yuna, Alucard and Liquid Snake
Round 3 – 35.42% vs. Luigi, Ganondorf and Yuna

Chief…doesn’t look as unstoppable as before.

Luigi - Since when is the brother of Mario supposed to do well?
Round 1 – 45.96% vs. Mudkip, Pit and Tingle
Round 2 – 28.11% vs. Ganondorf, Mudkip and Vergil
Round 3 – 23.48% vs. Master Chief, Ganondorf and Yuna

Luigi is able to turn the tables on Ganondorf.

Pikachu - what the hell gamefaqs
Round 1 – 36.62% vs. Tidus, Issac and Serge
Round 2 – 24.14% vs. Leon, Vivi, Tidus
Round 3 – 33.79% vs. Dante, Leon and Ammy

Pikachu beats Dante and Leon…that didn’t even feel right to type.

Dante - Had a dark soul himself, got filled with Volt Tackle
Round 1 – 49.19% vs. Amaterasu, Little Mac and Matt
Round 2 – 43.41% vs. Amaterasu, Ada and Balthier
Round 3 – 30.43% vs. Pikachu, Leon and Ammy

I figured this would be crazy pre-Contest, but what what what is going on? Ganondorf not a lock? Dante not a lock? Master Chief a lock?!?!?! Pikachu??!?!!??!?!?!!?!!?!?

Well, the only thing that I can say is (mostly) certain is that Chief takes first. Nothing has been able to touch his fanbase yet. He looked vulnerable last round, but, his after-school vote got him up to decent levels.

Second place? Ha ha, good luck with that. Luigi has a chance now that we will be able to see what he can do without Ganondorf holding him back, Dante has a chance because he isn’t being held back by Leon anymore, as well as being the lone Sony character here. Even Pikachu has a chance because you people keep voting for him.

Since I’m one to refuse to let trends die, I will say Pikachu does not advance once again. Yeah, I’ve been predicting it since Round 2, but it’s got to happen eventually! Someone has to go down with Pikachu though, and I’m guessing that will be Luigi. Sure, Ganon isn’t here, but Pikachu is Nintendo too. Most splits have been devastating so far, and we’ve already seen what it can do to Luigi.

The only thing holding Dante back from second place is if Chief steals the casual vote from him, resulting in some kind of SFF. I wouldn’t put too much stock into it, as Dante hasn’t really crumbled to any uber-casual characters before (this contest). Still, this group is so darn crazy I don’t know what will happen for sure.

Moltar’s Match Pic: http://img523.imageshack.us/img523/2127/gfaqsmcluigipikadantecoan9.png (darn you early deadline)

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Ganondorf > Dante

Moltar’s Prediction is: MC: 33% - Dante: 27% - Luigi: 20% - Pikachu: 20%



Ulti’s Analysis

What a great match we have here. Pretty much anyone could take first or second place, so I'm stuck using the foolproof ULTI ELIMINATION PROCESS™.

-Dante lost to Pikachu last round. He doesn't deserve to advance, so screw him.
-No way in hell does Pokemon not see the ass end of SFF from a Mario character. Pikachu had a great run, but this is Luigi he's up against.

Which leaves Master Chief, who has KILLED it in this format, and Luigi, who should be screwed over by Pikachu enough to be stuck in second place.

Ulti's Prediction:
Master Chief [36.00%]
Luigi [28.00%]
Pikachu [19.00%]
Dante [17.00%]
Master Moltar | Posted 10/30/2007 7:39:54 PM | message detail
Heroic Mario’s Analysis

We're hitting the final stretch of the contest here; from this match on it's nothing but one good match after another. Coming into this one, the most logical choice would be Master Chief > Dante, though some would be skeptical after Dante's poor showing against Pikachu thanks to splitting the fanbase with Leon. But with Pikachu here there's no telling what could go wrong. With Luigi having advanced over Ganon, though, it seems like a good bet that Pikachu is going to be hindered more than usual, to the point of probably not even being competitive – which is a good thing!

Despite Pikaturd managing to win last round, I'm feeling good about taking Dante to win this one. At the start of the contest, I was a bit skeptical of how much of a fanbase he would have supporting him, but he's proven his worth to me by taking care of Leon without much trouble, although it was more of the fanbase favoring him than anything, which is just as impressive if you ask me. Sure, he lost to Pikachu, but there's no doubt in my mind that if you take away Leon, Dante is going to kill him. You have to figure that Dante is at least equal to Leon's strength – and we saw what happened to the rat when he couldn't take advantage of any “LFF.”

That said, overcoming Master Chief isn't going to be all that easy. He's done well in this format, for sure, but I'm starting to question how well he holds up against actual competition. For the two rounds he looked great, he was up against some rather questionable opponents. Last round, I didn't think he was too impressive, either.

He didn't do poorly, but he certainly came back down to earth. Here, he's up against a stronger group of characters who aren't weak, or being held back by significant “LFF.” Dante, who is undoubtedly the stronger of the two in a normal contest, should be able to take advantage of that. If it wasn't a widespread thought before, I think this match should lower everyone's expectations of what the Chief is capable of doing – and stops that crazy talk about placing second in the finals darn you lopen stop that

But for all I think that Dante and Chief are the likely two to move on, I wouldn't count out Luigi. I have him splitting the votes with Pikachu to take a distant third here, but it wouldn't be surprising in the least to see him completely SFF the Pokething and end up slipping by in second, over either Dante or Master Chief. I do think that's a bit unlikely, though, because Pokemon does look like it gets solid support each round regardless of the opponents. Still, if anyone is going to SFF Pokemon, it's something from Mario.

At any rate, I'm feeling pretty good about Dante > Chief. It may be not the most popular pick, or even the most likely, but after a disappointing showing last round, Dante should come out impressing. He isn't going to blow the Chief out or anything, but this should dispel the talk about the Chief making the finals or having a shot at doing anything against noble niners.
time to set this bandwagon on fire

Dante – 32%
Master Chief – 28%
Luigi – 22%
Pikachu – 18%


Bracket: Ganon > Leon (whoops)
Vote: Dante
Master Moltar | Posted 10/30/2007 7:40:46 PM | message detail
Yoblazer’s Analysis

May as well trudge through this sure-to-be-painful analysis. In our first of two bat**** days of quarterfinal matches, we have Master Chief, Dante, Pikachu, and Luigi ready to do battle. They seem to me like "two sets of two." Luigi and Pikachu are obviously very similar and will appeal to more or less the same fanbase, I also feel that Master Chief and Dante will share a not-too-insignificant overlap as well. Many people refute this, and site Dante/Leon as a completely different situation from Dante/Chief mainly because Dante and Leon have shared a system. To this, I respond with "Yes, I'm sure that Pikachu/Dante/Leon match would have been completely different had RE4 never made it to the PS2. Yes, really. I promise. Really. I swear it would have been the complete opposite. Scout's honor."

If I seem a bit better, it's because I hate Pikachu and would love to see Luigi throttle his little rodent ass. And, in all honesty, I feel that that may very well happen. Luigi didn't do very well against Mudkip, but I feel that Mudkip is substantially different from Pikachu, and that Pikachu certainly can fold against tougher Nintendo competition. If this happens, I'd say Luigi has an excellent shot at moving on.

Conversely, I can't see Dante holding out so well against Chief as to secure his second place finish. He'll do better than Yuna, sure, but she got roughed up badly against the combination of Luigi/Ganondorf, and that was despite being blessed with the most advantageous split there is, 50/50. While I would never argue with a Luigi/Pika combo being more powerful than Luigi/Ganon, I also wouldn't argue that it would end up as a 50/50 split, so Dante will have more work to do in order to catch up to Luigi. Of course, if it indeed ends up being a 50/50 Nintendo split, I'll probably lose enough favor with the board to get shut out by the jp in a user contest.

Despite all this, I still remain somewhat confident. If Leon were here, I'd give Luigi the win. With Pika**** in his place, I'll have to settle for a respectable second place. AH WELL WEE GEE TIME ONCE AGAIN OH YA OH YA.

Master Chief - 31%
Luigi - 27%
Dante - 25%
Pikachu - 17%



Lopen’s Analysis

Master Chief may have disappointed to start last match, but truly, he did not end up disappointing in the end. He undershot my prediction by a good 6%, but I haven't given up hope. It seems I'd been filled with a bit too much believe for my own good. The basis for Master Chief's strength is that he won't go below a set amount... and he hasn't hit near that amount yet. Granted, he hasn't really faced the strongest of competition to put him in danger of being there yet. Anyway, I don't see Master Chief losing any ground in this match (INVINCIBLE). Dante is significantly stronger than Yuna, but Pigman is significantly stronger than Pikachu. Seems about the same match, percentagewise for him and Luigi. (The Chief might even gain some!)

Pikachu I think will shy away now that he's finally up against some straight up Nintendo competition. Rat's got some strength, there ain't no doubt anymore... even if he has had a lucky path, but I don't think SFF will be kind to him in the slightest. A fitting end, for the rat, to get hosed by SFF after it had treated him so well every round. Look for him to take fourth in a big way here.

Now the question remains... Luigi or Dante? Now you've heard me say before that I don't think Nintendo SFF in these polls will tax the SFFer much, because the Nintendo fanbase is just so large. However, in a one vs one match between Luigi and Dante, I believe Dante is the slight favorite regardless of rats running interference. And now, without any reverse QXGJPFF to hold him back (I can't believe he was hurt from this factor!) from Leon, he's as good as we remember him.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/30/2007 7:41:01 PM | message detail
Now let's see some ass kickin with the power of GAME FUEL!! And hell, pizza too for some Dante ass kickin while we're at it.

Lopen's prediction:
Master Chief - 35.42%
Dante - 25.07%
Luigi - 23.48%
Pikachu - 16.03%



Karma Hunter’s Analysis

Note to all before I begin: I am typing this on a cell phone. It will literally take over an hour just to fully type out.

plz be kind k

oh and wtf @ today's match I'm not sure if it dooms Link or ensures his victory argh

MASTER CHIEF

(when you can't make bold tags, revert to good ol' caps I say)

Beats Luigi/Ganon comfortably, but looks scarily mortal in the process. Could he be upset today? Let's look at the prospects...

LUIGI

Pulls off a scintillating upset over Ganondorf utilizing the latter's weakness in SFF and the worst picture of the villain's career. Could even look primed to upset MC without SFF holding him back, except...

PIKACHU

In retrospect, a spiritual brother of MC, riding a negation of antivotes and fanbase splitting all the way to the quarterfinals. Now his luck runs out, as he and Luigi look to screw themselves over Ninty style. If Pika advances, even I might have to doubt Mewtwo's status as top Pokedawg.

oh yeah requisite augh

DANTE

What was once a contested showdown between the two premier mature Capcom reps turned into a debacle as that very connection allowed Pikachu to slaughter them. Dante was left the survivor, and he seeks revenge today...

For the ease of my mind and my fingers, I'm mostly counting Pika out here. Great run, but unless Luigi falters and we see some wacky MC/Dante SFF, he just doesn't have a prayer.

Luigi's chances aren't as slim, but they're not good. MC's win was a comfortable one last round, and he *needed* that lack of SFF. Pika's not as strong as Ganny, but he'll be infinitely more resistant to SFF. Have I said "augh Pokemon" yet?

I could actually see Dante taking first before that, pitiful last round and all. He's likely the strongest character in the match indirectly, and he shouldn't be restrained here. MC gets his typical benefits, but they haven't made him invincible. In fact, that upset's so sexy... nah, Lopen should already have that covered.
Wait... he has MC over Cloud, right? Well, that covers it... it's upset time.

Karma Hunter's Vote: Dante. Calling an upset for the character I like most? Oh yeahhhhh
KARMA HUNTER'S KRAZY PREDICTION: Dante with 29.5, Master Chief with 29, Luigi with 23, Pikachu with 18.5

Upset Probability: 80 percent

All that effort for a no hope upset? aw yeah

That was kinda satisfying... :)


Transience’s Analysis

the first of two truly unpredictable days. let's get to it.

Master Chief

had an impressive performance last round, but wasn't quite up to the insane standards he had set for himself in rounds 1 and 2. Master Chief has gone from "likely finalist" to "likely semi-finalist" -- not bad for a guy who lost in the first round last year, but still, below expectations (or at least, my expectations). he seems to be a heavy favourite to take first place in this poll, but with so many unknowns, who knows?

Luigi

perhaps he shouldn't be here. who can say? Pigondorf probably hurt Ganon, but it's possible that Luigi would have beaten him anyways. Ganondorf doesn't have the greatest track record in Nintendo vs. Nintendo matches, after all.

anyway, Luigi was looking good to advance here for about eight hours. unfortunately, this happened:
Master Moltar | Posted 10/30/2007 7:41:49 PM | message detail
Pikachu

one of the truly shocking results in contest history, Pikachu went from losing to Leon by 11,000 votes to beating him by 13,000. what the hell? Pikachu is either a zillion times stronger than when we last saw him, got the luckiest bracket placement in contest history, or is the most nonlinear thing we've ever seen.

I would put my money on all three.

Dante

well, Dante beat Leon -- arguably his most impressive accomplishment over the past five years. that said, watching him lose to Pikachu is pretty embarrassing, boost or not. Dante's supposed to be going 50/50 with Yoshi, not Pikachu. with Leon out of the way, Dante looks as independent as he'll ever be in this format.. but who knows?


now, to analyze this mess. it's hard to argue against the Chief. he seems like a lock to get at least 25% of the vote, and he can probably pull a little bit more with Luigi and Pikachu splitting votes. he's not a lock, but I'd be floored if he didn't at least place.

second place is where the mess begins. let's start with the Nintendo guys. Luigi trailed to Mudkip for like eight hours before finally passing him. yeah, joke contestant, and yeah, Ganondorf was in the poll... but that's still embarrassing. add in that Bowser couldn't SFF Mewtwo at all and Luigi is in trouble. it's possible that Nintendo fans will abandon Pikachu for Luigi -- I mean, it's Pikachu -- but I guarantee that yellow rat gets enough support to hold Luigi back.

as for Pikachu, I've given up trying to analyze that thing. his match last round makes no sense -- the only explanation that even makes an iota of sense is that Vivi and Tidus held Pikachu back. there's no way he should have ended up that strong. I supported the idea of Dante and Leon splitting votes, but I didn't think it would be significant at all. Pikachu just flat-out astounded me last round, and because of that, I'm unwilling to write him off here. it's tough to see him place when he's being held back by Luigi AND Dante doesn't have Leon to contend with. that said, absolutely nothing has SFFed Pokemon in this contest -- it's like it's an independent fanbase from Nintendo. the match with Metroid also kinda confirms that, and if Pikachu is indeed up there in strength with Dante now, who knows?

now, Dante. he's arguably the strongest character in this poll, at least in a one-on-one setting. he got closer to Yoshi than Luigi ever did, he's got nobody to hurt him here and he's a pretty big fan-favourite. there's an argument to be made that Dante and Master Chief may hurt each other -- they're both "badasses" or some such. I'm not buying it though. soon we'll have Luigi / Master Chief SFF because they're both green. augh.

I think Dante will start out this poll with the lead, but will slowly lose momentum until school lets out. he better build up a big lead, because a poll of Master Chief, Luigi and Pikachu is going to be brutal. I think he'll hold onto second place -- all logic points to that being the case. unfortunately, this contest has been far from logical.

bring on the block

Luigi, Pikachu
probably hurt each other
Dante advances

transience's prediction: Master Chief with 31.78%, Dante with 27.44%, Luigi with 23.11%, Pikachu with 17.67%



Guest’s Analysis - Kleenex

This is the match everyone's talking about this round, right? I mean, who the hell thought this would happen. Master Chief was a gimmie for all the people who know what they're talking about (GAME FUEL and such), and Dante was almost assured a spot here. But Pikachu and Luigi? What's this all about. Earlier today I did my Oracle predictions for this match, and now I'm realizing that taking this match was probably a terrible idea as I haven't a damn clue what's going to happen here. But hey, let's give it a shot.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/30/2007 7:42:11 PM | message detail
Now, Chief may have floudered a bit last round, but he's still probably the most likely to take first place here. Why? Luigi and Pikachu are probably going to SFF each other a bit. Though...if Link/Mario is any sign of things to come...maybe not. Augh. There's also Dante to consider. Could be beat the Chief? Sure. Why not? I actually wouldn't be at all surprised. Then again, he did lose to Pikachu last round, but that was probably because of Leon...

*cough*

Ok, that's enough rambling. Master Chief's got first today. He's shown that he's probably the strongest guy in this 4-pack (at least in this format), and unless something crazy happens, I'm taking him to win it by a pretty safe margin. The real question is who takes second (as it seems to be for a lot of these matches). Before Pikachu's match, I'd say Luigi had second - maybe even 1st - rapped up. But now that the rat's here, he's going to cause some damage to the Green Man. How much? That depends. If Mario/Link today (yesterday?) is any indication, it could be bad. Bad enough to Dante to pull in a second place. It's not like Dante should be very far behind anyway. And with three AWESOME DAY VOTES, Luigi's not going to be able to make enough of a dent if he's already behing. Pikachu's probably out of the running here.

Kleenex's Prediction: Master Chief (28.45%) > Dante (27.05%) > Luigi (23.16%) > Pikachu (21.34%)



Crew Consensus: MC > Dante, but Dante > MC and MC > Luigi are also represented.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/30/2007 7:47:45 PM | message detail
lol behing
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CB6 - 290/406; Oracle - 33rd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/30/2007 7:51:15 PM | message detail
wow this batch of pics suck.

I only like 4 and 5.

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/30/2007 7:52:58 PM | message detail
actually 3 isn't bad either

still.

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hungry like the wolf
Heroic Yuna | Posted 10/30/2007 7:54:09 PM | message detail
how can you not like 1 palette swap and electric rat for the win
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Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/30/2007 7:55:42 PM | message detail
all 1 does is succeed in making everyone look bad and me hating pikachu even more (which i guess is good, never can hate him enough)

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
Lopen | Posted 10/30/2007 7:55:52 PM | message detail
Hey as long as you like 5 it's good...!

(I'll get outta shameless self promotion mode soon, don't worry!)
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
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