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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 538

transience | Posted 10/30/2007 10:07:51 PM | message detail
but that morning vote is killer. go look at Dante/Yoshi -- within ten minutes, the comeback was completely thwarted.
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"i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/30/2007 10:11:37 PM | message detail
You know, MC is looking like he will not meet last round's percentage. He really isn't that impressive, he's gotten lucky with all the PSX and Nintendo LFF going on in his matches.
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Victory
Future winner of the Summer 2007 Contest
creativename | Posted 10/30/2007 10:12:39 PM | message detail
He's been both impressive, and lucky.
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hochiminh155 | Posted 10/30/2007 10:13:57 PM | message detail
I'm not impressed with him right now. Take out Pikachu and he's losing badly to Luigi.
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Victory
Future winner of the Summer 2007 Contest
Lopen | Posted 10/30/2007 10:15:30 PM | message detail
Pika's a bit more frontloaded than Ganondorf, and Dante's night vote is superior. Master Chief is a bit lower than last round, but I don't think he'll come up as far lower as the numbers imply.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/30/2007 10:16:16 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/30/2007 10:16:26 PM | message detail
Dante you tease
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This story is not an end yet.
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Lopen | Posted 10/30/2007 10:17:58 PM | message detail
I still say significant Nintendo "LFF" is a myth. Everyone who keeps insisting it exists, please ask yourself how much of the site you're trying to split. I'm not convinced Luigi gets more than a percent or two more without Pika here.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/30/2007 10:19:29 PM | message detail
Luigi with 45% of the vote plz.
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CB6 - 322/438; Oracle - 33rd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
Lopen | Posted 10/30/2007 10:27:41 PM | message detail
Huge MC gain, huge Dante gain... these are the kinda updates that make me feel all tingly inside.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
EvilPrinny | Posted 10/30/2007 10:27:58 PM | message detail
MC will get 33-34% once the day is done with
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/30/2007 10:28:09 PM | message detail
That's just the laxitives.
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CB6 - 322/438; Oracle - 33rd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
Lopen | Posted 10/30/2007 10:30:38 PM | message detail
Lopen doesn't do laxitives, man. On the rare event, nothing beats pru--

... what the hell no. This is dumb okay.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
MasterOfHunters | Posted 10/30/2007 10:31:49 PM | message detail
Will there be Link vs. Cloud 1on1? Or does the contest end after Link/Cloud/Snake/Sonic?
Janus5000 | Posted 10/30/2007 10:32:22 PM | message detail
two stalls at once what
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/30/2007 10:33:05 PM | message detail
Chief dominates at the expense of everyone.

This is acceptable.
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CB6 - 322/438; Oracle - 33rd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
creativename | Posted 10/30/2007 10:35:43 PM | message detail
Pika's a bit more frontloaded than Ganondorf, and Dante's night vote is superior. Master Chief is a bit lower than last round, but I don't think he'll come up as far lower as the numbers imply.

But it's because of that though that MC probably won't rise as much from right now as he did last match. Most of the night vote is still coming up. Chief might rise a similar amount as last match, but he'll be lower when he starts to rise. Also, Pikachu will hurt his day vote, and Ganon's day vote in the last match I think was worse than it usually is; also Dante isn't quite as bad as Yuna in the day, though he'll struggle in this match. So I think Chief will be lower in the morning than he was last match (pretty likely), and also he won't rise 4.5 points in the day (more debatable).

I still say significant Nintendo "LFF" is a myth. Everyone who keeps insisting it exists, please ask yourself how much of the site you're trying to split. I'm not convinced Luigi gets more than a percent or two more without Pika here.

Well obviously Nintendo LFF in general is not a myth :) But in this particular match the extent of Luigi/Pikachu LFF is questionable.
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creativename | Posted 10/30/2007 10:36:43 PM | message detail
Will there be Link vs. Cloud 1on1?

No, the Final Four is the last match.
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transience | Posted 10/30/2007 10:40:12 PM | message detail
I'd like to see one anyway.

though I've been thinking, and the possibility of Luigi being in the final isn't impossible if he holds on here (and I think he will). if that happens, it'd be the most pointless final ever.

same goes for Squall, by the way.
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"i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/30/2007 10:41:15 PM | message detail
Link/Cloud/Master Chief/L-Block finals needs to happen.
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CB6 - 322/438; Oracle - 33rd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
creativename | Posted 10/30/2007 10:43:35 PM | message detail
I would love to see Luigi in the final, but I don't think it can happen. He'll probably finish 7-11 points behind Chief today, don't think there's any way he could make that up. And one of Snake, Sonic, L-Block or Squall will also make it ahead of Luigi. So really there's no way for that to happen.
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transience | Posted 10/30/2007 10:44:21 PM | message detail
well, if we see Snake/Squall/Luigi/Chief, Luigi sticks out like a sore thumb.
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"i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage
Lopen | Posted 10/30/2007 10:44:33 PM | message detail
Well obviously Nintendo LFF in general is not a myth :)

Huh? No man, that's exactly what I meant. Obviously how? Which matches have really shown rock solid evidence of it doing anything? Mega Man vs Samus r3 vs r4 is the best evidence I can see, but that's shaky.

There are poll results to support its existence, but there are poll results to support pretty much any ridiculous factor you wanna throw out there. I'm just thinkin logically, it doesn't make much sense to me for a company that a good 95%+ of the site has had exposure to to have a significant split.

And under 100!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
Link The Hylian | Posted 10/30/2007 10:50:55 PM | message detail
Is it possible for there to be any SFF between Snake and Squall next round? It could possibly help Sonic if there is.

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EvilPrinny | Posted 10/30/2007 10:57:16 PM | message detail
Minimal SFF if any... I don't see those two hurting eachother that much, though
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ZFS | Posted 10/30/2007 10:59:56 PM | message detail
It's possible, but I don't think we're going to see anything significant there. Snake/Squall might be hurt a bit, but it's nothing that knocks them out of the running from first and second.

The only combination I couldn't see coming out of there is Squall > Snake.

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"With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man."
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/30/2007 11:15:52 PM | message detail
Master Suck
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CB6 - 322/438; Oracle - 33rd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
Draco1214 | Posted 10/30/2007 11:22:54 PM | message detail
And Dante leads!
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The Real Truth | Posted 10/30/2007 11:30:32 PM | message detail
And now for Dante to pick up a reasonable lead during the night.
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The Real Truth | Posted 10/30/2007 11:31:44 PM | message detail
What would annoy me is if it some how ended up being Snake/Dante/Squall/Chief next round. Honestly, this format is retarded.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/30/2007 11:32:37 PM | message detail
Why? Because we see different characters make it to the semifinals than we always do?
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CB6 - 322/438; Oracle - 33rd
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Draco1214 | Posted 10/30/2007 11:33:43 PM | message detail
Why? Because we see different characters make it to the semifinals than we always do?

LIKE PIKACHU?

augh that rat
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Draco1214 | Posted 10/30/2007 11:37:20 PM | message detail
Wow, if Dante keeps gaining like that, he won't have anything to worry about when the day vote comes.
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Lopen | Posted 10/30/2007 11:39:29 PM | message detail
I didn't think I'd see the day when I was happy to see Master Chief's lead getting cut.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
The Real Truth | Posted 10/30/2007 11:41:51 PM | message detail
KleenexTissue50
Posted 10/30/2007 11:32:37 PM
message detail Why? Because we see different characters make it to the semifinals than we always do?


No, because Master Chief will advance and could actually have a chance at taking first over Snake if that happens. Oh and Squall and Dante are my two favorite characters, so watching them get knock out by Chief would be annoying.
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The Real Truth | Posted 10/30/2007 11:42:12 PM | message detail
knocked*
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ZFS | Posted 10/30/2007 11:42:33 PM | message detail
Hah, wow. Dante's kicking ass right now.

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"With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man."
Lopen | Posted 10/30/2007 11:43:10 PM | message detail
Hahaha, forget Luigi, Dante wants him some of that chief...!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
Keno316 | Posted 10/30/2007 11:57:10 PM | message detail
So...how big a lead before the morning should Dante need to get to feel safe?
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/31/2007 12:07:24 AM | message detail
Come on Mama Luigi!
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Kyle Bowen: Ignore me then and dont be an ass when I post. It solves everything.
Gaddswell | Posted 10/31/2007 12:07:25 AM | message detail
There's the SSBB update effect. Luigi just completely reversed Dante's momentum and even cut 20 from Chief!
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/31/2007 12:08:45 AM | message detail
Luigi just completely reversed Dante's momentum and even cut 20 from Chief

In other words, Dante continues to increase his lead in the next update?
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Kyle Bowen: Ignore me then and dont be an ass when I post. It solves everything.
Gaddswell | Posted 10/31/2007 12:12:18 AM | message detail
There's that Dante increase. Luigi still tied Chief though. >_>
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Who the hell do you think you are getting off being so egotistical like that? - hochiminh155
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Lopen | Posted 10/31/2007 12:16:41 AM | message detail
I think he's already safe. The thing to consider is, Dante was cutting before the real night vote even started. And now he's just flattening him.

BOLD PREDICTION: The best Luigi manages with the day vote is a stall and small cuts!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
paraboxx | Posted 10/31/2007 12:21:58 AM | message detail
Whoa. Now here's a surprise.

I was rooting for Pikachu (for the lulz, to use the vernacular), but I picked Dante. Seeing him turn things around like this at least gives me something to be happy about.

...for the moment, at least.
There's still plenty of hours to go.
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/31/2007 12:31:03 AM | message detail
Go. Luigi. Also, XD at the Mario is Missing pictures in the background of some of the match pics. You guys rule.

Woo user created pics!
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hochiminh155 | Posted 10/31/2007 12:32:53 AM | message detail
Dante has lost this. This is Dante/Yoshi all over again. Dante is increasing his lead way too slowly, it won't even by 1000 by morningfall.
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/31/2007 12:35:08 AM | message detail
Dante has lost this. This is Dante/Yoshi all over again. Dante is increasing his lead way too slowly, it won't even by 1000 by morningfall.

You do realize that Dante have only had the lead for a little more than an hour but his lead is above 300 votes right? That' s far from slow.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Kyle Bowen: Ignore me then and dont be an ass when I post. It solves everything.
Keno316 | Posted 10/31/2007 12:38:27 AM | message detail
He's also climbing pretty hard now and he's cutting into MASTER ****ING CHIEF'S lead!
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*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/31/2007 12:38:41 AM | message detail
Everyone said it with me:

PIKACHU IS YELLOW
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