GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 537
MadGamer_11 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:07:22 PM | message detail |
Ummm.....Squall>Sonic? *Creativename's websites* Everything you could ever imagine: http://www.GameFAQsContests.com http://www.sc2k5.com http://www.sc2k4.com Sortable Table for Every Contest Match: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19 *Extrapolated Standings* Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11 Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left): http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ *Solarshadow's Sites* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html *Old Stats topics* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note) 2003-2004 Off-Season: http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note) Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL. Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm *Match Pictures* All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones! http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php *Miscellaneous* Creativename's Page of Links: http://sc2k4.com/links.php UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language): http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language): http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches: http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm All Time Top 10 Lists: http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm RPguy's Hourly Poll Updates: www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/contest.html HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 TRE's poll listing (every poll!): http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html Aprosenf's Poll Script: http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt GameFAQs' Top 100 Games http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10 Manual Poll Updater: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php --- "To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 10/28/2007 9:08:12 PM | message detail |
no --- Hi. Hello. Howdy. |
Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/28/2007 9:08:15 PM | message detail |
ZOMG SMAUS --- Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination. The cream of Chocobo fanboyism. |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2007 9:36:12 PM | message detail |
--- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
Materia Master | Posted 10/28/2007 9:36:35 PM | message detail |
lulz. --- Ippo is the only character who's wussiness is inversely proportional to the size of his wang. - kiro blaze |
Keno316 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:36:39 PM | message detail |
Between Mario being in the poll and Sephy/Vincent potentially
splitting, drawing conclusions on Link in tomorrow's match won't be as
reliable. --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants* |
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:36:49 PM | message detail |
Samus ended up at or better than her power hour in all her previous
matches (remember, NPH doesn't exist anymore, as it was originally
defined). Ryu simply doesn't have much to give here, though Mega Man's
definitely a power hour+ kinda guy. I think Cloud will end up at 40-42%
with the lion's share of that coming from Mega Man. --- Mustache...and green... www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg |
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:37:09 PM | message detail |
If Seph + Vincent tomorrow = 45%, then Link is done --- Hochiminh155's Trail to Victory Future winner of the Summer 2007 Contest |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:37:10 PM | message detail |
Cloud > Link Believe! And Cloud would beat Sonic worse than he did in 2003 now! --- 8/22/03. 10/24/07. Remember Crono. |
Seginustemple | Posted 10/28/2007 9:37:23 PM | message detail |
actually I think their packs are pretty comparable, Sephiroth>Samus Mario>Mega Man Vincent>Ryu Ehh, Link's is still a bit stronger, but yeah, the SFF there should be interesting. I wonder how badly Vincent does with Sephy getting the FF7 badass vote... --- If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula |
transience | Posted 10/28/2007 9:38:16 PM | message detail |
yeah, this is probably a 40-30-20-10 match, maybe a bit lower for Mega Man. next --- "i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage |
creativename | Posted 10/28/2007 9:38:53 PM | message detail |
Between Mario being in the poll and Sephy/Vincent potentially
splitting, drawing conclusions on Link in tomorrow's match won't be as
reliable. Yeah this is what I was getting at. How much Link beats Sephiroth vs. how much Cloud beats Samus by might be more relevant than a direct %age comparison. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Blackapino1984 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:40:08 PM | message detail |
Isn't this Ryu's first divisional final appearance? --- DS name: Blackapino JUS FC: 2234-2602-1576 Pearl FC: 3050-4072-8060 |
transience | Posted 10/28/2007 9:40:09 PM | message detail |
honestly, there is no way to gauge the two prior to the final. even the clinkeroth match won't be able to tell us much. this format is nasty like that. --- "i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage |
creativename | Posted 10/28/2007 9:40:35 PM | message detail |
I really don't think Samus will maintain 30% here. While normally she
finishes higher, I don't think this is entirely normal right now. Sephiroth>Samus Mario>Mega Man Vincent>Ryu Not with SFFed Mario and possibly SFFed Vincent. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
transience | Posted 10/28/2007 9:40:51 PM | message detail |
the best we can do, I guess, is to compare this match to
Link/Vincent/Crono/Zero and go off which performance we think is the
more impressive. those are the two matches that are the most "legit". --- "i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage |
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:42:30 PM | message detail |
Looks like Cloud will breach 37% by the end of the NPH. Link and his fruity booty stars have a tall order tomorrow --- Hochiminh155's Trail to Victory Future winner of the Summer 2007 Contest |
transience | Posted 10/28/2007 9:42:53 PM | message detail |
47 trannyscience 282 Link 48 transience_002 282 Link hah. --- "i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage |
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:43:17 PM | message detail |
Samus >>> Crono MM >= Vincent Ryu >>> Zero --- Hochiminh155's Trail to Victory Future winner of the Summer 2007 Contest |
creativename | Posted 10/28/2007 9:43:41 PM | message detail |
By "possibly SFFed Vincent", I mean more "possibly more SFFed than
Mario". Certainly Vincent will get SFFed. Though it's hard to say
who'll get it worse, Mario or Vincent. I think Mario might hold up better than in the Battle Royale though. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Seginustemple | Posted 10/28/2007 9:43:52 PM | message detail |
Not with SFFed Mario and possibly SFFed Vincent. Possibly? I'd bet just about anything Sephy SFF's Vincent there.... It'll be interesting to watch. --- If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2007 9:44:14 PM | message detail |
I really don't think Samus will maintain 30% here. While normally
she finishes higher, I don't think this is entirely normal right now. Whatever X's percent is at the end of the first hour, X's percent will end lower than that if present in a match with Y. Where X equals anyone but Cloud and Sephiroth and Y equals Cloud or Sephiroth --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 10/28/2007 9:44:38 PM | message detail |
I don't think you can compare Cloud's opponents here to Link's at all. Link is going up against two characters from the same game
and a Mario that he absolutely destroyed in the BR last year. I
wouldn't be surprised at all to see Link beat out his percentage from
last round. Mario will probably do a little better than Zero, but I'd
consider Crono+Vincent over Sephiroth+Vincent against Link in this
format. Tomorrow's match really doesn't tell us anything. |
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:53:26 PM | message detail |
Oh my God.. did you see that Cloud jump? It seems I was wrong when I
said Cloud would breach 37% by the end of the NPH... he's doing it 10
minutes before!!! --- Hochiminh155's Trail to Victory Future winner of the Summer 2007 Contest |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2007 9:53:58 PM | message detail |
I think Cloud makes 38% before the end of the hour IMOIMO --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
creativename | Posted 10/28/2007 9:54:58 PM | message detail |
I think Cloud makes 38% before the end of the hour IMOIMO What are you, dyslexic or something buddy?? You mean 83% right! --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2007 9:55:16 PM | message detail |
i know i do --- Explicit Content. hungry like the wolf |
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2007 9:57:05 PM | message detail |
are you ready for a 45.92% percentage gain --- Explicit Content. hungry like the wolf |
Seginustemple | Posted 10/28/2007 9:57:49 PM | message detail |
There's over 200 updates left...if Cloud can shoot up .5 every single time.... dear god.... Cloud wins with over 140% of the vote.... --- If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2007 9:58:31 PM | message detail |
1.53% 1.35% 96.69% 0.53% That's the the next update looks like. I was a little generous to Ryu though --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2007 10:02:07 PM | message detail |
Uh, only a .08% gain for Cloud Stupid vote stuffing cheaters ruining the contest --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2007 10:02:51 PM | message detail |
4chan hates cloud confirmed --- Explicit Content. hungry like the wolf |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 10/28/2007 10:03:46 PM | message detail |
that mad eme lol TNA, mainly becaus square fans are some of the worst
at that. Still, MM is in the poll..his fans imo are the worst vote
stuffers around --- Hi. Hello. Howdy. |
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/28/2007 10:05:40 PM | message detail |
Oh man, looks like I gave Ryu far too much credit. Looks like even some
of the most hardcore fans will fold in the face of three Noble Niners. --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2007 10:07:13 PM | message detail |
Of course they will... now if they're taking in a constant supply of GAME FUEL, they can hold up like a real champ. --- Explicit Content. hungry like the wolf |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 10/28/2007 10:07:58 PM | message detail |
Holy **** Cloud just omnislashed MM in the face on that one --- Hi. Hello. Howdy. |
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/28/2007 10:08:03 PM | message detail |
Heh, great point, actually. I wonder what Chief would be getting here. --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2007 10:09:16 PM | message detail |
Something between 100% and 10000% --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2007 10:09:40 PM | message detail |
Closer to 1000 imo --- Explicit Content. hungry like the wolf |
Blackapino1984 | Posted 10/28/2007 10:10:03 PM | message detail |
I believe this is Ryu's first divisional final appearance. That's fine
with me and it's definately a step in the right direction. I'm going to keeping an eye on SF4 hype and anything related to it. Hopefully a few more of these things can push Ryu into the next tier not noble nine material but, up there with the like of Vincent, Auron, Squall, Ganondorf, etc. I would definately be happy with that. --- DS name: Blackapino JUS FC: 2234-2602-1576 Pearl FC: 3050-4072-8060 |
Iubaris | Posted 10/28/2007 10:12:40 PM | message detail |
Oh snap, 40% update. --- It's iubaris, not Lubaris. Bracket: 246/384; Oracle: 67th |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/28/2007 10:13:49 PM | message detail |
And Cloud with a 40% update. --- 8/22/03. 10/24/07. Remember Crono. |
creativename | Posted 10/28/2007 10:17:16 PM | message detail |
Oh man, looks like I gave Ryu far too much credit. Looks like even
some of the most hardcore fans will fold in the face of three Noble
Niners. The hardcore fan thing with Ryu isn't actually true, and I figured it would be shown in this match. It's just that he doesn't have much SFF overlap with most characters, so he looks good in matches where it's there. It isn't because of this "hardcore fanbase" everything kept throwing out. Ryu should look better by the finish than he does now though. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
creativename | Posted 10/28/2007 10:18:45 PM | message detail |
I think Cloud finishes with 39%-40.5% here. With Samus looking this good though, it isn't look as great for Cloud as otherwise, as has been discussed. If she falls under say 27% or so it would look great, but that probably isn't going to happen. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2007 10:23:03 PM | message detail |
cloud b hitin' dat 41 percentz --- Explicit Content. hungry like the wolf |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 10/28/2007 10:30:06 PM | message detail |
damn mm fans, die and stop vote stuffing! --- Hi. Hello. Howdy. |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/28/2007 10:30:15 PM | message detail |
cloud b hitin' dat 35 percentz --- CB6 - 258/384; Oracle - 33rd http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg |
Christmas_Eve | Posted 10/28/2007 10:33:00 PM | message detail |
Cloud is broken. --- Kobe is the best etc. |
Keno316 | Posted 10/28/2007 11:13:25 PM | message detail |
Well...Cloud's doing...alright...but I expected more. Unless the
day-vote somehow becomes a miracle booster...I think Cloud won't even
get to 40% ...and the train loses steam. --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants* |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2007 11:15:10 PM | message detail |
Cloud has gone 35 minutes without increasing his percent. If he goes another 35 minutes he can break the record! --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |