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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 536

Master Moltar | Posted 10/28/2007 9:16:14 PM | message detail
Ryu tonight's Dojo update confirmed
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Samus/Mega Man/Cloud/Ryu - Bracket: Cloud > Samus - Vote: Samus (311/396)
Sonic_Factor | Posted 10/28/2007 9:16:15 PM | message detail
Then god exists >_>
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/28/2007 9:16:16 PM | message detail
A great performance today so missing perfect hurt. All 4 people on the Top 50 who didn't score perfect fell off. Consolesonlyalt, dragoncrazer, EdBellis and x4zndr4gonx did not have Sonic > Squall as yesterday's winners.
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paraboxx | Posted 10/28/2007 9:16:45 PM | message detail
Ouch, poor Ryu. I'm glad he made it this far too, but...down to 12% already? Damn. Things are going to look ugly for him before this is over.

(And before you start talking about "4th character collapse", no. That's been disproven like three days in a row now. This is all Ryu, sadly (but nonsurprisingly) enough.)

On another note - this is the first time Mega Man has gotten X for a poll pic, right? I still say that's a misrepresentation of character. Or something. I dunno.

Yoblazer via Master Moltar:
Sounds insane, sure, but Pikachu beat Dante. Remember that, cry, and don't be so quick to dismiss any "wild" theories about this contest.


Yoblazer just became my favorite user.
creativename | Posted 10/28/2007 9:17:16 PM | message detail
I think maybe Cloud's inevitable early increasing %age will come largely from Samus.

Samus is better in the day than Mega though so Cloud's inevitable day increasing might come more from Mega Man.
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PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2007 9:17:49 PM | message detail
Mega is already dropping harder than Samus.

aww yeah

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/28/2007 9:17:58 PM | message detail
I hope SF4 can give Ryu enough of a boost to own Bowser..he needs redemption! Doubt it since brawl=/

More like Galaxy! Biggest Mario game since SM64 will be big for Bowser...bank on it!
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
creativename | Posted 10/28/2007 9:19:30 PM | message detail
Ouch, poor Ryu. I'm glad he made it this far too, but...down to 12% already? Damn. Things are going to look ugly for him before this is over.

Actually they should get better before they get uglier, Ryu should have easily the best overnight/dead hours vote.
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creativename | Posted 10/28/2007 9:20:40 PM | message detail
For some reason I can't refresh the stats page despite hitting control+f5...what where the prediction percentages for the last match?
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2007 9:21:49 PM | message detail
Stats haven't been updated
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PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2007 9:22:33 PM | message detail
yes they have been... I saw them before.

It was something like

17.xx/38.xx
???/17.xx

I think, but I can't see it anymore.

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ZFS | Posted 10/28/2007 9:23:06 PM | message detail
Sonic the Hedgehog 17.32% / 38.12%
Squall Leonhart 8.67% / 17.53%

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"With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man."
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:23:12 PM | message detail
Correct Place:
22. 17.32% Sonic in Sonic vs Squall vs Sora vs Sub-Zero (Round 3)
60. 33.44% Squall in Squall vs Sora vs Aerith vs Lara (Round 2)

Total:
10. 26.20% Squall in Sonic vs Squall vs Sora vs Sub-Zero (Round 3)
45. 55.44% Sonic in Sonic vs Squall vs Sora vs Sub-Zero (Round 3)
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Mustache...and green...
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2007 9:23:15 PM | message detail
Well ok they were updated but he decided to change his mind
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2007 9:23:35 PM | message detail
WTF I can't see them. This is discrimination
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YoAriel33 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:23:40 PM | message detail
For some reason I can't refresh the stats page despite hitting control+f5...what where the prediction percentages for the last match?

Same problem.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
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octoinky | Posted 10/28/2007 9:23:59 PM | message detail
Yeah, that was about it. Very shocking #s, IIRC
creativename | Posted 10/28/2007 9:24:16 PM | message detail
Thanks guy

Well ok they were updated but he decided to change his mind

:)
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hochiminh155 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:25:24 PM | message detail
Holy crap, Cloud is a monster!

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RPGuy96 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:25:24 PM | message detail
Whoops, I missed the one for the correct place for Squall. HM pointed it out already, but:

08. 08.67% Squall in Sonic vs Squall vs Sora vs Sub-Zero (Round 3)
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paraboxx | Posted 10/28/2007 9:25:36 PM | message detail
Actually they should get better before they get uglier, Ryu should have easily the best overnight/dead hours vote.

I too expect Ryu to start rising in a little while. But with his day vote...

...although, Yuna did hold up better than I expected her to. Maybe he will wind up improving overall.
transience | Posted 10/28/2007 9:26:15 PM | message detail
hrm... I'm of two minds here:

a.) pretty good performance by Cloud. he may end up near 40%, which is pretty impressive;
b.) if Samus is this close (granted, it'll go down, but still)... how does he have a chance in hell against Link?
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:26:26 PM | message detail
From hochiminh155 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:25:24 PM
Holy crap, Cloud is a monster!

Monster failure!
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PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2007 9:27:04 PM | message detail
b.) if Samus is this close (granted, it'll go down, but still)... how does he have a chance in hell against Link?

Samus > Link indirectly imho

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Sonic_Factor | Posted 10/28/2007 9:27:54 PM | message detail
...
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Lady Ashe | Posted 10/28/2007 9:28:02 PM | message detail
And since Snake > Samus indirectly... Snake vs. Solano would be a great match as long as Solano doesn't get in Brawl. =o
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
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YoAriel33 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:28:08 PM | message detail
I agree with both points, transience. Cloud's final percentage will probably look fine, but Samus is already well on her way to an overperformance, especially if Mega Man and Ryu suffer more than she does throughout the day.

Now that I think about it (hindsight = 20/20, of course), it seems as though Cloud got opponents who were tailor made for him in the first three rounds.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
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PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2007 9:28:50 PM | message detail
Snake rSFFed Samus. She would beat him 60-40 if he wasn't such a cross-franchise leech whore.

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Materia Master | Posted 10/28/2007 9:28:56 PM | message detail
I loev how the pictures keep changing! shweetness!

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ZFS | Posted 10/28/2007 9:29:48 PM | message detail
Well, considering Samus won't end up being close at all by the end, I wouldn't really worry too much about the second point. There should be a rather significant gap between the two by the end.

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"With each passing day, the world finds new and exciting ways to kill a man."
red sox 777 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:29:54 PM | message detail
Cloud rose 4.31% from this time last round. As he's up against the NPH, he can probably outdo that this round.
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PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2007 9:30:02 PM | message detail
I don't know... I still think Cloud hits 40% easily here, and if Samus is at 30% or lower, I don't think it's so bad for Cloud.

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Sonic_Factor | Posted 10/28/2007 9:30:55 PM | message detail
I've always felt that Samus was very close if not = to sephiroth. At least 2k4+ years.
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Materia Master | Posted 10/28/2007 9:31:02 PM | message detail
All I want is for Link to lose. Preferably to Cloud.
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Ippo is the only character who's wussiness is inversely proportional to the size of his wang. - kiro blaze
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:31:08 PM | message detail
Cloud's going to end up near 40%. This is still NPH people. This is also the strongest Samus we've EVER seen. Link needs to break 45% tomorrow to even stand a prayer against the monster known as Cloud
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Seginustemple | Posted 10/28/2007 9:31:24 PM | message detail
Cloud will probably end up near 40%, about where he's predicted or slightly above, but Samus is doing good. Good enough to put LINKFEAR in the heart of the Cloudster.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2007 9:31:59 PM | message detail
Ouch Ryu :(
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This story is not an end yet.
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hochiminh155 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:32:16 PM | message detail
Holy frijole, did you see that? Did you all just see that Cloud spike? Wow, Cloud you are something else, let me tell you.

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PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2007 9:32:39 PM | message detail
Cloud is making monster leaps in % and it just hit 12:30. Usually FF7 characters don't take off until an hour into the match, yes? If so Cloud is looking absolutely fine.

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ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/28/2007 9:32:48 PM | message detail
Monster known as Cloud.... *sigh*

Hochiminh, you must not have been here for the past contests. As sickeningly as it is, Link defines MONSTER on this site, and no one else can really replicate what he does.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:32:55 PM | message detail
Haha oh man.
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Keno316 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:33:04 PM | message detail
Cloud's % per update are climbing per the 5 minutes right now. The Night should boost him up pretty close to 40%. And then its a question of where he goes from there.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/28/2007 9:33:45 PM | message detail
However, Cloud hitting like, 43% here would be friggin awesome.

*plays "Those who fight further"*
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ "This topic is pretty hot and exciting to read." - LusterSoldier
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creativename | Posted 10/28/2007 9:33:58 PM | message detail
Link needs to break 45% tomorrow to even stand a prayer against the monster known as Cloud

Gotta disagree with you on this one hochi. ...actually I think their packs are pretty comparable, though the LFF/SFF is unpredictable. I don't think we'll really be able to tell much by comparing the two, though let's just say that whoever does a little better has maybe an edge, though it also depends on how much they beat 2nd place by.
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__Mega64__ | Posted 10/28/2007 9:34:50 PM | message detail
Pfft, Pikachu would be breaking 40% by now.

I'm not impressed.
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creativename | Posted 10/28/2007 9:34:52 PM | message detail
Cloud is not hitting 43%.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2007 9:35:12 PM | message detail
Right

He's hitting 46%
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Because only you are in the infinity loop.
ZFS | Posted 10/28/2007 9:35:30 PM | message detail
43% with ease, yo!

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hochiminh155 | Posted 10/28/2007 9:35:38 PM | message detail
Cloud might even break last round's percent at this rate
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Materia Master | Posted 10/28/2007 9:35:41 PM | message detail
500 GET! (GOOD LUCK CLOUD!)
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Ippo is the only character who's wussiness is inversely proportional to the size of his wang. - kiro blaze
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