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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 531

Lady Ashe | Posted 10/24/2007 7:45:50 AM | message detail
And uh, am I the only one who thinks that tomorrow's match will look exactly like today's?

Poor Yunie, and poor my bracket. :'(
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/24/2007 7:46:46 AM | message detail
yes.

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/24/2007 7:47:58 AM | message detail
yes i am comparing master chief to link.

the only lock in the finals is snake coming last imho
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/24/2007 7:48:02 AM | message detail
I think Ganon, Luigi, and Yuna all have a very realistic shot at advancing. I have Luigi, and I'm feeling better about it than in the first round. If he fails, though, I'll definitely cheer for Yuna.

I might even vote for her!
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/24/2007 7:56:18 AM | message detail
WHOAMG TIE!
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/24/2007 7:56:47 AM | message detail
crono keeps trying to get away and then vincent's all like "get over here"

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
Mumei | Posted 10/24/2007 7:57:12 AM | message detail
So, after this hour ends, can I get an update for the hourlies.

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
Paris | Posted 10/24/2007 8:00:40 AM | message detail
Vincent ahead by 5 votes. This match is SO over!
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Questions concerning my username and/or identity will be ignored.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:02:36 AM | message detail
Vincent's percentage is higher than Crono's!

Whooooooo!
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<_<
Yeah I'm done.
Haste_2 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:05:38 AM | message detail
You know, even though Link is looking to hit 47%... when you think about it... the 51% last round isn't bad in comparison, as surely the vast majority of Zelda's 8% was stolen from Link. Replace Zelda was some other weakling who'd get 8% and Link might have had more like 53-54%.

I think the best proof a character being hurt by LFF despite SFFing another is DK/Kirby/Kratos/L-Block. Kirby barely looked only a little than DK the previous round despite SFFing DK pretty hard. Anyway, this might be something in Cloud's defense this round, too, since Auron was in the way.

Something about today's match... if you do the math, there's no way Crono and Vincent aren't LFFing each other... either that, or Link is absolutely off the scale in strength in this format (around 65% on BL).

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:08:16 AM | message detail
around 65% on BL

Cloud over Link!

...

...

Yeah. Glad I never even considered that upset.
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And yes, I know there is almost certainly LFF. That figure is insane.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/24/2007 8:08:59 AM | message detail
65% on BL sounds good to me.

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
Mumei | Posted 10/24/2007 8:10:01 AM | message detail
In the Battle Royale, look how much Link went up after Samus left (27.41% to 34.91%; up 7.5% when Samus had gotten 7.74% in the first match) or after Mario left (34.91% to 42.68%; up 7.77% when Mario had received 11.18% in the second match).

Zelda is from the same game as him; I'd bet on more than 80% of her votes heading his way.

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/24/2007 8:10:43 AM | message detail
crono stop taking the lead back, its not cool
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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
Mumei | Posted 10/24/2007 8:11:10 AM | message detail
I can has updated hourlies please?

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/24/2007 8:11:12 AM | message detail
CRONO COUNTER!
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/24/2007 8:11:51 AM | message detail
Epic match, I hope that the ASV won't ruin another nailbiter.

To bad that I won't be around to see the last 9 hours of the match, oh well...



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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Kyle Bowen: Ignore me then and dont be an ass when I post. It solves everything.
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/24/2007 8:12:08 AM | message detail
In 2005, Crono actually beat Vincent with the ASV.

Also, would someone PLEASE tell me how I "didn't know what I was talking about" in the last topic? Just point out a logical flaw, and fine.
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Ask Heroic Mario about your bracket.
I am a ToS fanboy and I love Kratos/Lloyd yaoi
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/24/2007 8:13:05 AM | message detail
because it doesn't matter and nobody gives a damn.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/24/2007 8:15:38 AM | message detail
Only 1 vote.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Kyle Bowen: Ignore me then and dont be an ass when I post. It solves everything.
Janus5000 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:22:58 AM | message detail
In 2005, Crono actually beat Vincent with the ASV.

Also, would someone PLEASE tell me how I "didn't know what I was talking about"


Let's start with Crono not winning the ASV two years ago.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:24:38 AM | message detail
Only 1 vote.

2 now, but the other way.
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*Goes to count lead changes*
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:26:42 AM | message detail
And 5 lead changes so far.
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Until the next update I imagine ...
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:27:23 AM | message detail
Yeah. 6 while I was typing.
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Typical.
Too many posts!
red sox 777 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:27:42 AM | message detail
Come on Crono.......it looks like they're probably going to go about even until the ASV.....Crono/Vincent 2005 says that goes to Vincent, but narrowly- only a few hundred votes probably. How many can Crono rally in the last hour?

And, again- this is very different from Frog/Axel. Axel's best time is the ASV, Vincent's best time is the early morning- when he was winning hours from Sonic and Tifa was demolishing Samus. Crono's about equally bad in both- it's hard to tell often because typically the character that wins the day vote is bad at the pre-dawn hours too.

This match is probably Vincent's, but I refuse to give up hope just yet. Crono's day vote looked better this year than last, let's see a day vote showing like in Mario/Crono 2004!

Also, a prediction: 3-4 PM goes roughly even- Vincent doesn't really begin his gains until 4 PM. Crono held up alright in that first hour of the ASV against both Vincent in 2005 and Auron last year.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 211/304 -- T-792 (53 way)
Bracket: Link > Crono -- Vote: Crono!
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/24/2007 8:27:43 AM | message detail
Crono's a lot worse with the ASV now than he was before 2k6.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
Luis_Sera89 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:30:50 AM | message detail
lol Crono just wont roll over and die


Keep it up you mute, you!
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"Eet's game time..."
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/24/2007 8:33:18 AM | message detail
Funny how Vincent should have had the lead about three hours ago according to you guys, while all he has done is to decreased Crono's big lead.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Kyle Bowen: Ignore me then and dont be an ass when I post. It solves everything.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/24/2007 8:34:08 AM | message detail
Vincent should have had the lead10 hours ago imhhhhhho
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Link/Vincent/Crono/Zero - Bracket: Link > Vincent - Vote: Link (263/314)
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:34:31 AM | message detail
21 votes makes this the largest lead for nearly an hour.

I'm feeling a little like I was in Ammy/Ada, except this time I know there'll be a blow out.
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Plus this is far shorter.
;_;
Keno316 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:36:31 AM | message detail
Something about today's match... if you do the math, there's no way Crono and Vincent aren't LFFing each other... either that, or Link is absolutely off the scale in strength in this format (around 65% on BL).


Psht! Crono and Vincent LFF and Link SFF Zero to oblivion, please!

...>_>
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/24/2007 8:36:32 AM | message detail
Vincent should have had the lead10 hours ago imhhhhhho

No you are already way to far ahead of everyone else. >_>

And finally Crono is trying to run away with the lead.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Kyle Bowen: Ignore me then and dont be an ass when I post. It solves everything.
__hiei__ | Posted 10/24/2007 8:38:40 AM | message detail
Crono needs to start building a lead again.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/24/2007 8:39:21 AM | message detail
this isn't even about my bracket

This is about calling a Day 1 MEGATON upset correctly. The thought of that fills me with such joy and happiness that not even super-duper steel pants can't contain.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Link/Vincent/Crono/Zero - Bracket: Link > Vincent - Vote: Link (263/314)
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/24/2007 8:42:07 AM | message detail
hey hows ganon > mc followed by ganon > dante working out for you
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:42:27 AM | message detail
This is about calling a Day 1 MEGATON upset correctly. The thought of that fills me with such joy and happiness that not even super-duper steel pants can't contain.

No offence Molatar, but 28% of the gurus called it PLUS me.

And I'm **** at contests, despite all the knowledge people throw at me.
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Current score: 214
transience | Posted 10/24/2007 8:42:42 AM | message detail
this was never even really considered an upset. everyone gave Vincent every chance in the world here - it's not like this is something that's shocking people.

still gonna hunt out everyone who called this 10 minutes into the match
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"i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/24/2007 8:44:57 AM | message detail
Ganon winning tomorrow would make it the greatest day in contest history.

Not that that'll happen...but I'd cry tears of joy if it did.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/24/2007 8:46:24 AM | message detail
this was never even really considered an upset. everyone gave Vincent every chance in the world here

And yet you had to give Crono the edge in your crew analysis, I really hoped that all of you would go for Vincent and I would be able to laugh at you all. No instead I look like a fool who thought that Zero would give Vincent a fight for the third place.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Kyle Bowen: Ignore me then and dont be an ass when I post. It solves everything.
Keno316 | Posted 10/24/2007 8:46:27 AM | message detail
Luigi standing triumphantly over Ganon's dead body and they both go down on a ship and MC and Yuna advancing would make tomorrow awesome...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Master Moltar | Posted 10/24/2007 8:47:56 AM | message detail
No offence Molatar, but 28% of the gurus called it PLUS me.

well hay how many people had it Day 1, everyone just jumped in once they saw i went with it and started the Believe train.

hey hows ganon > mc followed by ganon > dante working out for you

silence non-believer, ganon will silence the haters awful sprite or not

this was never even really considered an upset. everyone gave Vincent every chance in the world here - it's not like this is something that's shocking people.

True, bububububut DAY 1
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Link/Vincent/Crono/Zero - Bracket: Link > Vincent - Vote: Link (263/314)
transience | Posted 10/24/2007 8:49:04 AM | message detail
52 people had it - that's not an upset, bud. :)
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"i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage
transience | Posted 10/24/2007 8:49:25 AM | message detail
well it's an upset, but not some monumental thing
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"i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/24/2007 8:49:45 AM | message detail
You should be more proud that you got Ryu in round 4 instead of Bowser.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Kyle Bowen: Ignore me then and dont be an ass when I post. It solves everything.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/24/2007 8:50:24 AM | message detail
I'm talking Day 1 since the bracket came out, 10 minutes after the bracket submissions were open!
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Link/Vincent/Crono/Zero - Bracket: Link > Vincent - Vote: Link (263/314)
transience | Posted 10/24/2007 8:50:56 AM | message detail
indeed. even I had Vincent in my bracket for a couple of weeks, and I never pick the guy.
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"i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage
transience | Posted 10/24/2007 8:51:11 AM | message detail
(then again, I also had Ryu to round 4 for a while!)
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"i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage
Ayvuir | Posted 10/24/2007 8:51:34 AM | message detail
Why did i ever think Bowser would make it through 3 rounds... ;_;

Go Vincent!!!
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Board 8 RPG:Dream Walker - http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=38120129
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/24/2007 8:52:09 AM | message detail
well hay how many people had it Day 1, everyone just jumped in once they saw i went with it and started the Believe train.

Many of the people on the board didn't change their brackets after day 1 so that they'd have more of a chance of getting on the leaderboard. Link > Vincent was never that crazy.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
Ayvuir | Posted 10/24/2007 8:52:24 AM | message detail
Also can i just ask does nobody agree with me when i say Vincent has a solid chance of beating Crono 1 on 1?
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Board 8 RPG:Dream Walker - http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=38120129
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