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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 530

Haste_2 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:52:18 PM | message detail
Crono > Zero > Vincent. We allllll know Zero's just getting SFFed!

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Keno316 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:52:23 PM | message detail
So... is Sephiroth>Link next round possible due to the SFF/LFF Link will get?


Link doesn't do SFF much...he just makes his buddies look like crap.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/23/2007 9:52:47 PM | message detail
Crono declined in the next update last time. Let's see him do it again here. With the closer vote totals, we should be looking at a near stall.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
creativename | Posted 10/23/2007 9:52:59 PM | message detail
So... is Sephiroth>Link next round possible due to the SFF/LFF Link will get?

I think most of us would be shocked.

Mario could get destroyed there.
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ZFS | Posted 10/23/2007 9:53:12 PM | message detail
Yep. I'd said that about does it. Good show from Crono here. Always good to see he's still capable of winning the big ones.

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"Ha! No spoony bard could spin a sweeter tale!"
creativename | Posted 10/23/2007 9:53:55 PM | message detail
But, LFF has largely owned this contest, and Sephiroth>Link via Mario would be the capstone, the apex, the pinnacle.

It would be the infamous Mario Screw-job.
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__hiei__ | Posted 10/23/2007 9:54:16 PM | message detail
I'm pretty sure Mario will be last next round.

Seph > Link could be possible.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:54:37 PM | message detail
If the trends are identical Crono will win because his percentage of Crono/Vincent's votes is much higher right now. Vincent can swing the same percentage as Sonic- with the lower votals, he will be stalling instead of cutting.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 179/256 -- T-474 (42 way)
Bracket: Samus > Megaman -- Vote: Megaman
transience | Posted 10/23/2007 9:54:44 PM | message detail
Crono's going to hurt Sephiroth more than Link, though. if it was someone neutral, or Zero, I'd throw my support behind the idea.. but yeah.
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"i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:55:05 PM | message detail
Even I'd get a chuckle out of that. I mean, it's impossible to get mad at Mario!
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
somdude04 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:55:06 PM | message detail
AND it's what's keeping in the guru, and thus, in contention for the whole thing.

GJ
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smitelf | Posted 10/23/2007 9:55:14 PM | message detail
Vincent, you make me sad and confused.
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Keno316 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:55:40 PM | message detail
...OK...I'm scared...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
somdude04 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:55:45 PM | message detail
keeping me*

GJ
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Janus5000 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:55:45 PM | message detail
...That enough of a decline for you Mac? >_>
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:55:49 PM | message detail
Tied him there.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/23/2007 9:55:49 PM | message detail
Crono's lead on Sonic at this time: 878
Crono's lead on Vincent: 616

aww yeah i rule
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
TexasAggie | Posted 10/23/2007 9:56:14 PM | message detail
aww yeah vincent stall
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Contest pts: 219
Today: Sephiroth>Mario
Iubaris | Posted 10/23/2007 9:56:23 PM | message detail
O_O
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It's iubaris, not Lubaris.
Bracket: 214/304; Oracle: 70th
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/23/2007 9:56:25 PM | message detail
XFD Mac is seriously the anti-slowflake.

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
Keno316 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:56:28 PM | message detail
The fact Vincent's total just jumped up like that...I SMELL SHENANIGANS!!!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
ZFS | Posted 10/23/2007 9:57:45 PM | message detail
These stalls are always so misleading. Watch, next update Crono is over 700!

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"Ha! No spoony bard could spin a sweeter tale!"
__hiei__ | Posted 10/23/2007 9:57:46 PM | message detail
WTF vincent getting 22% out of nowhere.

He stole most of that from Zero though (poor Zero)
Iubaris | Posted 10/23/2007 9:57:49 PM | message detail
Mac, prediction for the next update?
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It's iubaris, not Lubaris.
Bracket: 214/304; Oracle: 70th
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/23/2007 9:58:07 PM | message detail
Link: Lol Cloud. Anything you can do, I can do better.
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
paraboxx | Posted 10/23/2007 9:58:11 PM | message detail
aww yeah i rule

...umm.

Sonic's next stall was right at 2, after the lead had doubled from what it is this point. Let's see if trends stay identical.
creativename | Posted 10/23/2007 9:58:25 PM | message detail
Mac, stop logging in as admin and manually inputting the vote totals pls thx

Crono's going to hurt Sephiroth more than Link, though. if it was someone neutral, or Zero, I'd throw my support behind the idea.. but yeah.

This is true. I do think that the Link/Mario overlap would be much much greater than the Sephiroth/Crono overlap - I think almost all of Mario's votes would go to Link in that match, while only a majority might go to Sephiroth - and in fact, just because Link is stronger, he might actually get most of Crono's votes. At best Sephiroths gets a clear, but not overwhelming majority.

Still can't see Sephiroth winning that match though. But the LFF should be more in his favor.
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/23/2007 9:58:27 PM | message detail
After this, Crono started to slow down on Sonic, and Vincent started to do better on Sonic as well. Shouldn't be any more huge gains from here on out, but the next update certainly won't be a stall.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/23/2007 9:58:39 PM | message detail
I'm so tempted to unblock BT for this match... but that'd just be wrong.

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Explicit Content.
hungry like the wolf
Master Moltar | Posted 10/23/2007 9:58:42 PM | message detail
I am on the edge of my seat

Not because of the poll, but because of this topic.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Link/Vincent/Crono/Zero - Bracket: Link > Vincent - Vote: Link (263/314)
creativename | Posted 10/23/2007 9:59:17 PM | message detail
Mac - Link or Cloud
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Iubaris | Posted 10/23/2007 10:00:29 PM | message detail
lolwut
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It's iubaris, not Lubaris.
Bracket: 214/304; Oracle: 70th
Janus5000 | Posted 10/23/2007 10:01:49 PM | message detail
After this, Crono started to slow down on Sonic, and Vincent started to do better on Sonic as well. Shouldn't be any more huge gains from here on out, but the next update certainly won't be a stall.

Erm... wouldn't this mean Vincent goes ape on Crono soon? <_<
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
creativename | Posted 10/23/2007 10:01:56 PM | message detail
SBAllen finally wakes up and kicks Mac out.

I'm so tempted to unblock BT for this match... but that'd just be wrong.

I don't think he's shown up yet.
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/23/2007 10:02:08 PM | message detail
Crono's lead on Sonic at this time: 942
Crono's lead on Vincent: 663

And with the end of the first hour, we see Crono's biggest gain for the rest of the night. There'll be other updates like this, but it definitely won't get worse. That's all from me.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
Keno316 | Posted 10/23/2007 10:03:29 PM | message detail
CHEATING!!!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/23/2007 10:04:18 PM | message detail
Erm... wouldn't this mean Vincent goes ape on Crono soon? <_<

Soon, yes. But Crono's still better than Vincent at night. We'll have stalling, and the occasional cut, so the lead won't get as big as it was over Sonic...the morning's when the hurt really begins.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
MasterOfHunters | Posted 10/23/2007 10:05:54 PM | message detail
What the heck Link, stop gaining %!
Iubaris | Posted 10/23/2007 10:05:55 PM | message detail
Let's go Link! 47% and save my terrible Oracle status!
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It's iubaris, not Lubaris.
Bracket: 214/304; Oracle: 70th
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/23/2007 10:05:58 PM | message detail
wtf link
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2007 10:06:20 PM | message detail
For comparison, Crono's lead on Zero at one hour last round: 742. That was with Crono getting over 38% of the vote at the time.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 179/256 -- T-474 (42 way)
Bracket: Samus > Megaman -- Vote: Megaman
Haste_2 | Posted 10/23/2007 10:06:39 PM | message detail
Apparently the power hour is the anti-Link hour.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Haste_2 | Posted 10/23/2007 10:08:00 PM | message detail
An hour into last round's poll, Link had 43.33%.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/23/2007 10:08:13 PM | message detail
Of course, I can't claim to predict the effects of Link on the match. >_>

Bold Prediction: four hours from now, Crono has a 1500 vote lead on Vincent. He doesn't go above that for the rest of the match.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
smitelf | Posted 10/23/2007 10:08:29 PM | message detail
From Haste_2
An hour into last round's poll, Link had 43.33%.

Dear God.
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redrocket | Posted 10/23/2007 10:09:17 PM | message detail
An hour into last round's poll, Link had 43.33%.

I <3 Bidoof.

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Seginustemple | Posted 10/23/2007 10:09:50 PM | message detail
An hour into last round's poll, Link had 43.33%.

That may seem crazy, but remember that Bidoof was getting most of his 4chan percentage right then, too. Take away Bidoof's stuffed percent and Link is higher.
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transience | Posted 10/23/2007 10:10:40 PM | message detail
Zero is just dying here.
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"i go by statisticss put them all in an arena sepphroth="why arent your hair and mustache the same color?!" BAM dead mario" -Rathalownage
creativename | Posted 10/23/2007 10:11:25 PM | message detail
An hour into last round's poll, Link had 43.33%.

As mentioned, that really means nothing.

Link can still rise to 45%-46% though, which would be beastly.
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MadGamer_11 | Posted 10/23/2007 10:11:28 PM | message detail
Lol at all those people who doubted Crono.
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