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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 530

chocoboslayer | Posted 10/23/2007 9:34:34 PM | message detail
Ok, nub question time:

What in the blue hell is LFF?
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Lady Ashe | Posted 10/23/2007 9:35:35 PM | message detail
looks like hm stopped vote stuffing
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:35:49 PM | message detail
Whoa, Link really fell off there.
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Bracket: Samus > Megaman -- Vote: Megaman
Iubaris | Posted 10/23/2007 9:35:51 PM | message detail
Whoa, lol link.
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Bracket: 214/304; Oracle: 70th
creativename | Posted 10/23/2007 9:35:58 PM | message detail
I wish we were back in 2002 when the board actually liked Link. =(

I love Link.

I think I pretty much always vote Link, even when I'm actively rooting against him. For instance, I think I've always voted Link over Cloud, though I'm rooting for Cloud to win.

I might vote Crono here though, I can't decide yet. Chrono Trigger fanboy and all.
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Keno316 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:35:58 PM | message detail
And Crono steals from Link...
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__hiei__ | Posted 10/23/2007 9:36:10 PM | message detail
big update for Crono now.
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/23/2007 9:36:11 PM | message detail
From chocoboslayer Posted 10/24/2007 12:34:34 AM #151
Ok, nub question time:

What in the blue hell is LFF?


SFF.
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/23/2007 9:36:27 PM | message detail
Crono's lead on Sonic at this time: 661
Crono's lead on Vincent: 494

This was Crono's best update on Sonic all match, except for the second one. Don't you love when trends are so similar?
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/23/2007 9:36:30 PM | message detail
excuse me Crono WTF r u doing
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/23/2007 9:36:50 PM | message detail
Hey, I'm about to sit through a contest where Link is going to probably have the most comfortable final win he's had since 2002 with two Brawl characters in the match. I'll allow myself the luxury of being vocally dissatisfied!
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/23/2007 9:37:06 PM | message detail

This was Crono's best update on Sonic all match, except for the second one.


Good stuff!
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Link/Vincent/Crono/Zero - Bracket: Link > Vincent - Vote: Link (263/314)
chocoboslayer | Posted 10/23/2007 9:37:31 PM | message detail
Crono is making me happy.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/23/2007 9:37:31 PM | message detail
Time .| Sonic ....| Vincent
01:00 | 53.81% | 46.19%
02:00 | 51.50% | 48.50%
03:00 | 50.22% | 49.78%
04:00 | 49.97% | 50.03%
05:00 | 51.11% | 48.89%
06:00 | 50.52% | 49.48%
07:00 | 53.73% | 46.27%
08:00 | 54.23% | 45.77%
09:00 | 52.04% | 47.96%
10:00 | 53.44% | 46.56%
11:00 | 51.83% | 48.17%
12:00 | 51.46% | 48.54%
13:00 | 51.41% | 48.59%
14:00 | 50.06% | 49.94%
15:00 | 52.67% | 47.33%
16:00 | 53.26% | 46.74%
17:00 | 53.82% | 46.18%
18:00 | 52.69% | 47.31%
19:00 | 53.47% | 46.53%
20:00 | 53.30% | 46.70%
21:00 | 51.36% | 48.64%
22:00 | 50.26% | 49.74%
23:00 | 48.82% | 51.18%
00:00 | 47.38% | 52.62%

For reference
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hochiminh155 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:37:44 PM | message detail
So, how is Link going to hit 45% at this rate? He NEEDED to get that and it looks like Link dropped the ball once again.
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Janus5000 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:37:52 PM | message detail
hey guys remember when dante was doing really good against vincent in the first hour, and im pretty sure he was leading him for a little while before losing like 53-47.

remember when Dante dropped less than a % from the 1 hour mark to the end of the match

I do

granted Dante should have a worse board vote than Crono and a worse night vote but still
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fluffyflyingpig | Posted 10/23/2007 9:37:56 PM | message detail
DaruniaTheGoron
Posted 10/23/2007 9:34:15 PM
message detail This match took way too long to come. Now BT can shut the hell up about Zero.


This man speaks the truth.

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YoAriel33 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:38:14 PM | message detail
XD @ going update-by-update despite an entirely different contest format and two completely different opponents.

I MEAN GO VINCENT.
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smitelf | Posted 10/23/2007 9:38:18 PM | message detail
...Vincent/Squall? Vincent/Crono? Weren't those close?

I thought that the weird Vincent/Squall result was due to a tug-of-war over the fact that Squall is significantly stronger head-to-head, yet Vincent benefits from SFF because he's a FFVII character. Vincent/Crono likewise (or so I thought, but this result seems to indicate that Crono SFFs/LFFs Vincent, which doesn't make much sense to me).

I didn't think it would happen, though of course I'm not shocked or anything. I just figured Vincent/Crono had pretty non-overlapping fanbases, and that Link/Crono would overlap almost as much.

Well, I guess it wasn't crazy to think there was no LFF; I'd forgotten about the weirdness associated with Vincent and no (apparent) SFF in the past.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/23/2007 9:38:41 PM | message detail
So, how is Link going to hit 45% at this rate?

Ooh, I know! The day vote!

Man hochi you're always testing me making sure I'm on the ball and everything
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
creativename | Posted 10/23/2007 9:39:12 PM | message detail
Night vote arriving soon :)

Vincent will skyrocket with the night vote.

Maybe this won't be definitive LFF by the end after all. Link might finish this below where he's at now (though with Link, you never know).
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Master Moltar | Posted 10/23/2007 9:39:23 PM | message detail
XD @ going update-by-update despite an entirely different contest format and two completely different opponents.

I MEAN GO VINCENT.


silence non-believer
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Link/Vincent/Crono/Zero - Bracket: Link > Vincent - Vote: Link (263/314)
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/23/2007 9:40:27 PM | message detail
hm started stuffing again
~~~
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Master Moltar | Posted 10/23/2007 9:40:27 PM | message detail
UH OH CRONO
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Link/Vincent/Crono/Zero - Bracket: Link > Vincent - Vote: Link (263/314)
Keno316 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:40:38 PM | message detail
And Link just takes it back...damn greedy hog!
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ZFS | Posted 10/23/2007 9:41:08 PM | message detail
aww yeah vincent going to make his move

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Ngamer64 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:41:16 PM | message detail
cocopuffs, LFF is

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/LFF

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PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/23/2007 9:41:22 PM | message detail
oh god yes thank you sweet beautiful hope

too bad i have to go to bed at like 1 tonight, and can't stay to watch vincent mount an epic comeback

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Iubaris | Posted 10/23/2007 9:41:26 PM | message detail
And... Link steals back. >_<
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Bracket: 214/304; Oracle: 70th
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/23/2007 9:41:38 PM | message detail
This looks like an interesting point to go to sleep at. Go Vincent!
~~~
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hochiminh155 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:41:42 PM | message detail
So if Link continues his trend of losing .3% and then gaining.2%... what will he be at by morning-come?
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Majin Lou | Posted 10/23/2007 9:41:47 PM | message detail
Vincent stall GO GO GO
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creativename | Posted 10/23/2007 9:41:54 PM | message detail
Actually I take back what I said about Link maybe finishing lower than now, I forgot that Link will get the lion's share of the %age that Crono will inevitably drop.
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smitelf | Posted 10/23/2007 9:41:56 PM | message detail
I'm not worried about Link at this point. He'll probably go up a little in the day, assuming his picture doesn't make him pull a Big Boss (unlikely, IMO). As long as he doesn't drop from where he is now by the end of the match, he'll still look like the favorite for his match against Cloud.
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/23/2007 9:41:56 PM | message detail
Crono's lead on Sonic at this time: 672
Crono's lead on Vincent: 507

This was Crono's worst update for a long time against Sonic, too. Don't look for this stall to continue.

<3 identical trends.
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ZFS | Posted 10/23/2007 9:43:31 PM | message detail
mac what in the world are you doing

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Seginustemple | Posted 10/23/2007 9:43:37 PM | message detail
So if Link continues his trend of losing .3% and then gaining.2%... what will he be at by morning-come?

Dear god....if this keeps up, Link could end up with well under -12% of the vote!
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creativename | Posted 10/23/2007 9:43:58 PM | message detail
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/LFF

I still say that the Battle Royale with Cloud/Sephiroth should be the textbook example here :) (despite that fool Snake being in the way)
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Keno316 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:44:24 PM | message detail
I'm not sure...but considering that was a 2 man match and this a is a 4 man match....you'd have to AT LEAST cut the lead on Sonic in half to measure appropriately.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Legendary Curt | Posted 10/23/2007 9:45:03 PM | message detail
Hey guys, assuming an identical trend, but taking into consideration the format of the match...what does Vincent have a chance at coming back from? Around 1500 - 1750 to win by 100 - 200 votes?
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creativename | Posted 10/23/2007 9:45:27 PM | message detail
So if Link continues his trend of losing .3% and then gaining.2%... what will he be at by morning-come?

To humor this, that -.1% every 10 minutes, so -.6% every hour, so say -3.6%. Of course, Link will drop like 1% at most, and might be higher by then because of Crono's dropping.
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Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 10/23/2007 9:46:00 PM | message detail
As was mentioned earlier, Sonic also won by 2000 votes. I still think Crono has this, but it's not completely over yet.
__hiei__ | Posted 10/23/2007 9:46:43 PM | message detail
Vincent falls again,Crono rises Again

meh,this is over.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/23/2007 9:46:55 PM | message detail
Crono's lead on Sonic at this time: 746
Crono's lead on Vincent: 556

Right on target. Sonic's next stall was right at 2, after the lead had doubled from what it is this point. Let's see if trends stay identical.
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Iubaris | Posted 10/23/2007 9:50:40 PM | message detail
Ovar?
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Bracket: 214/304; Oracle: 70th
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/23/2007 9:50:57 PM | message detail
Crono's lead on Sonic at this time: 849
Crono's lead on Vincent: 615

Huge update for Crono last time, and this time too.
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Janus5000 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:51:12 PM | message detail
Vincent drops in percentage.

Don't celebrate prematurely... Don't celebrate prematurely... Don't celebrate prematurely... ah hell with it owned
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somdude04 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:51:35 PM | message detail
So... is Sephiroth>Link next round possible due to the SFF/LFF Link will get?

GJ
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Janus5000 | Posted 10/23/2007 9:51:58 PM | message detail
No.
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paraboxx | Posted 10/23/2007 9:51:59 PM | message detail
This whole "identical trends" thing is getting downright creepy.

...strike that. The word I'm really looking for is asinine. The whole thing suddenly stinks of "rigged".
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