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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 528

MadGamer_11 | Posted 10/21/2007 8:34:26 PM | message detail
Auron>Ryu.

*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

RPguy's Hourly Poll Updates:
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/contest.html

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php
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"To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/21/2007 8:35:31 PM | message detail
Ridiculousity!
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/21/2007 9:13:03 PM | message detail
HADOOUKEN begs to differ
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GSB International Champion
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/21/2007 9:13:16 PM | message detail
cloud > link
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/21/2007 9:13:43 PM | message detail
Link > Ryu > L-Block > Cloud
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Oracle Prediction: ~ Baby Eater 45.21% - Ryu 22.29% - Alcoholic 21.91% - Marcus 10.59% ~ Status: ?
charmander6000 | Posted 10/21/2007 9:13:49 PM | message detail
Go Ryu!!!
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 50: Cloud > Bowser Points: 189/272
Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/21/2007 9:14:07 PM | message detail
Master Moltar hax confirmed!
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
RockMFR 5 | Posted 10/21/2007 9:14:08 PM | message detail
Boston > Cleveland
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Are you just going to eat peaches?! o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/21/2007 9:14:13 PM | message detail
We'll see how Cloud's percentages look at the end of the day, but if this keeps up (and it will), I'll be willing to concede that Cloud has a damn good shot at taking the title this year.
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CB6 - 202/272; Oracle - 33rd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
creativename | Posted 10/21/2007 9:14:16 PM | message detail
Cloud's competition here is pretty tight, plus there's the possibility that a shared fanbase with Auron will hurt both their percentages. If he breaks 45% here I wouldn't mind calling his chances equal to Link. If he breaks it significantly, I'd even call him the favorite.

At 45% I think he'd still be an underdog to Link, but if he break 50% he'd have to at least temporarily become the favorite over Link.

I don't think he can do that, though it is possible with the huge board anti-vote, and him being at 43% already. But I don't think he'll gain as much as in his last two matches.
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ZFS | Posted 10/21/2007 9:14:34 PM | message detail
cloud > link confirmed

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"Ha! No spoony bard could spin a sweeter tale!"
RPGGamer0 | Posted 10/21/2007 9:14:34 PM | message detail
Ryu ftw.

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Metal Gear Solid OOOOWWWWWWNS!
transience | Posted 10/21/2007 9:15:12 PM | message detail
stop hyping cloud > link unless you want to be horribly disappointed in two weeks

yeah i went there
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xyzzy
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/21/2007 9:15:14 PM | message detail
Wow, Auron is doing horribly. Time to boot him out of the "Square near-elites"


Now we have


Squall
Sora
Tifa
Vincent


My how their numbers have fallen.
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Victory
Future winner of the Summer 2007 Contest
MadGamer_11 | Posted 10/21/2007 9:15:21 PM | message detail
Ya I really think Cloud>Link has a big chance of happening this year...lol Cloud..
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"To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 10/21/2007 9:15:38 PM | message detail
As much as I like Cloud, I just don't think he'll ever beat Link again barring a FFVII-2 of course or the impossibility of him being in Super Smash Brothers [insert name] .

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII and Super Smash Brothers: Brawl
Warsola | Posted 10/21/2007 9:15:43 PM | message detail
Squall would be doing FAR worse than Auron is.
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And if we armed them all with two swords, we'd have four times the votes!
HaRRicH | Posted 10/21/2007 9:15:47 PM | message detail
I'm crossing my fingers...let's just keep in mind Auron has KH2 on his side and that Ryu's from Street Fighter...we WILL see some kind of role-reversal. If Ryu keeps making gains like that, there won't be a lead-change...but there will be a very large difference between how they are now and at 3:00 tomorrow evening.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/21/2007 9:15:55 PM | message detail
50% from Cloud would be CRAZY. I took him at 45% to be very optimistic, and-

*looks at update*

...ohhh dear people are going to start hyping it
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
ZFS | Posted 10/21/2007 9:15:55 PM | message detail
stop hyping cloud > link unless you want to be horribly disappointed in two weeks

yeah i went there


Get that line of thought outta here!

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"Ha! No spoony bard could spin a sweeter tale!"
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/21/2007 9:16:05 PM | message detail
Cloud's only expected to have ~40% here =/
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Feel my truth.
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/21/2007 9:16:06 PM | message detail
Wow, Auron is doing horribly. Time to boot him out of the "Square near-elites"


Now we have


Squall
Sora
Tifa
Vincent


My how their numbers have fallen.


I have as many points as you do now.
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OH JEEZE!
Hate.
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/21/2007 9:16:21 PM | message detail
hey hochi what happened to spf lol
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/21/2007 9:16:24 PM | message detail
Points have doubled again so even scoring half points is damaging. 4 people on the Top 50 didn't score a perfect, 4 people on the Top 50 have fallen off. RyanYeung, E_Gadd, X_and_Zero and FuzzyPickles26 did not have Samus > Mega Man as yesterday's winners.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/21/2007 9:16:47 PM | message detail
This also proves Cloud will beat Link. But how did Cloud boost? I've told you my reasoning, tell me yours
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Victory
Future winner of the Summer 2007 Contest
ZFS | Posted 10/21/2007 9:16:55 PM | message detail
Very nice. Cloud nearly gained another percent there. Given the anti-FF7 vote that tends to last toward the beginning of these matches, he may just stand a shot at breaking 50% here. That's probably being a bit optimistic, admittedly, but this is a great start for him.

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"Ha! No spoony bard could spin a sweeter tale!"
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/21/2007 9:17:27 PM | message detail
Ain't no hyping, just being realistic!

Then again, Link could go and pull 45+ on Crono and friends and the Cloud train crashes into a mountain.
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CB6 - 202/272; Oracle - 33rd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
MadGamer_11 | Posted 10/21/2007 9:18:12 PM | message detail
Wow, Auron is doing horribly. Time to boot him out of the "Square near-elites"


Now we have


Squall
Sora
Tifa
Vincent


My how their numbers have fallen.



Auron has def not dropped at all. He's getting major SFF from Cloud. He dominated Bowser and Ryu last match. Also, I would easily take Auron>Tifa. lol female bracket.
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"To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/21/2007 9:18:17 PM | message detail
Aitch Emm's position and mine have been reversed from last year

...well not really, seeing how I realllly want Cloud to pull the upset

whyyyyyy stop hyping it
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
creativename | Posted 10/21/2007 9:18:18 PM | message detail
Wow, Auron is doing horribly. Time to boot him out of the "Square near-elites"

Don't start losing cool points now hochi, you've been doing so well!
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Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 10/21/2007 9:18:48 PM | message detail
Auron being here doesn't necessarily hurt Cloud's actual percentage. If there's significant SFF between the two in favor of Cloud, it could actually help (see Link/Zelda match earlier). The LFF should still make him look worse in comparison to Ryu and Fenix though.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/21/2007 9:18:49 PM | message detail
HYPEHYPEHYPEHYPE

Now boarding: Cloud > Link

Hop on while you can!
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Cloud/Marcus/Auron/Ryu - Bracket: Cloud > Ryu - Vote: Auron (231/272)
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/21/2007 9:18:54 PM | message detail
From Karma Hunter Posted 10/22/2007 12:18:17 AM #029
Aitch Emm's position and mine have been reversed from last year

...well not really, seeing how I realllly want Cloud to pull the upset

whyyyyyy stop hyping it


snake > cloud in the finals imho
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
transience | Posted 10/21/2007 9:19:08 PM | message detail
I thought 45% was about what should be expected; anything more would be impressive, anything less slightly disappointing. Cloud would have to put up a CRAZY percentage -- I'm talking 55% -- before I started to consider Cloud > Link. I'll never count it out, but it's just false hope.
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xyzzy
HaRRicH | Posted 10/21/2007 9:19:41 PM | message detail
Wow, Auron is doing horribly. Time to boot him out of the "Square near-elites"


Now we have


Squall
Sora
Tifa
Vincent


Squall only got 25% against Cloud head-to-head in 2k4, and Auron's duking it out with Ryu and Fenix as well. Auron's still just as high up there as Squall.
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Seginustemple | Posted 10/21/2007 9:19:55 PM | message detail
I would be astonished if Link got above 40% in his next match. A NNer and two NN-breakers? Not gonna happen, I don't care who you are.

Marcus looks like a doofus <_<
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/21/2007 9:20:10 PM | message detail
Then again, Link could go and pull 45+ on Crono and friends and the Cloud train crashes into a mountain.

No. Cloud is doing great despite being drained by LFF from Auron. Link is facing 2 Square mid-carders and one high-end fodder/low-midcarder. If Link DOESN'T break 45% in that match I'll be surprised and he'll probably lose to Solid Snake.
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Victory
Future winner of the Summer 2007 Contest
creativename | Posted 10/21/2007 9:20:26 PM | message detail
Then again, Link could go and pull 45+ on Crono and friends and the Cloud train crashes into a mountain.

This is why I said if Cloud breaks 50% here, he'd have to temporarily be the favorite over Link. Link can always hit back in that "Anything you can do I can do better!" way.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/21/2007 9:20:36 PM | message detail
^5 hochi IMHHHHO
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 10/21/2007 9:20:40 PM | message detail
*agrees with Tranny*

Cloud > Link is not possible people! ..

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII and Super Smash Brothers: Brawl
Master Moltar | Posted 10/21/2007 9:20:48 PM | message detail
...55% confirmed
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Cloud/Marcus/Auron/Ryu - Bracket: Cloud > Ryu - Vote: Auron (231/272)
ZFS | Posted 10/21/2007 9:20:56 PM | message detail
THERE AIN'T NOT GETTIN' OFFA THIS TRAIN!


cloud makes this contest fun

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"Ha! No spoony bard could spin a sweeter tale!"
smitelf | Posted 10/21/2007 9:20:59 PM | message detail
Cloud's only expected to have ~40% here =/

40% would have been reeeally low. Over 46% will impress me; over 50%, and I'll swing my baggage onto the Cloud > Link train, but I don't think that will happen.
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/21/2007 9:21:03 PM | message detail
Already a 48% update. Cloud might be scary today
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/21/2007 9:21:16 PM | message detail
From Seginustemple Posted 10/22/2007 12:19:55 AM #036
I would be astonished if Link got above 40% in his next match. A NNer and two NN-breakers? Not gonna happen, I don't care who you are.

uhhh what
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/21/2007 9:21:17 PM | message detail
Man this pisses me off

I got 204 right now >_> 8 AWAY FROM THE DAMNED LEADERBOARD
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GSB International Champion
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 10/21/2007 9:21:19 PM | message detail
zero=high end fodder?
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"When the going gets tough, the tough get Skies of Arcadia!"- ganondorf287
transience | Posted 10/21/2007 9:21:26 PM | message detail
uhh

well marcus fenix is rising and i guess that's cool
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xyzzy
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/21/2007 9:21:29 PM | message detail
So um... when wil Cloud stop being a FRICKIN' PERCENTAGE SKYROCKET
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Oracle Prediction: ~ Baby Eater 45.21% - Ryu 22.29% - Alcoholic 21.91% - Marcus 10.59% ~ Status: ?
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/21/2007 9:21:34 PM | message detail
45% against Auron, Ryu, and Marcus or 51% against Vincent, Zelda, and Bidoof

googogo
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Feel my truth.
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