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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 527

Sonic_Factor | Posted 10/20/2007 10:09:43 PM | message detail
I'd hardly call it a lock, considering how many think Link sffed MM in 2k(forgot year). Zero will most likely suffer from that..especially since him/mm tend to be viewed as strong nintendo supported characters. Also, many of Crono's votes are from nintendo fans as well..that's pretty much why he is one of the strongest characters in the morning vote.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/20/2007 10:10:31 PM | message detail
Buster Shot To The Face'd
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/20/2007 10:10:32 PM | message detail
Monster gain for MM there
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/20/2007 10:10:35 PM | message detail
There are very few upsets that actually materialize due to the pic it would seem, most seem to come up short. Those that are typically debated (fare ranging from Link/Cloud to Ocelot/Pac-Man) are ones where the pic isn't lingered on too much...
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/20/2007 10:10:43 PM | message detail
uh oh
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CB6 - 186/256; Oracle - 32nd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
Keno316 | Posted 10/20/2007 10:11:01 PM | message detail
Random Samus is RANDOM!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/20/2007 10:11:06 PM | message detail
Scooby Doo: "HUH!?"
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Oracle Prediction: ~ SMAUS ARNA 34.05% - Blue Bomber 30.28% - Boshi 19.05% - Skorupi 16.62% ~ Status: OK
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2007 10:11:10 PM | message detail
Once again, Link SFF's Zero, but Mega Man fails to do so? I can't see that happening, especially since Link will be getting his LoZ sprite.

TuRtLe
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205/256 in the contest. Next pick: Samus > Mega Man
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/20/2007 10:11:11 PM | message detail
Also Scorpion cut.
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CB6 - 186/256; Oracle - 32nd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/20/2007 10:11:15 PM | message detail
What started the whole CT = godly sprite round thing? Magus overperforming on LoZ Link? Frog overperforming on Solid ****? Crono beating Mario in the lowest votal match they had?

How about all of the above
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Lopen | Posted 10/20/2007 10:11:27 PM | message detail
Samus is running out of energy tanks. Proof that Mega Man E-TANK > Samus's energy tanks. No stamina, this girl.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
creativename | Posted 10/20/2007 10:11:47 PM | message detail
Zero isn't even going to push for 20%.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2007 10:11:48 PM | message detail
Heh, think I'll go to bed on that positive update.

TuRtLe
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205/256 in the contest. Next pick: Samus > Mega Man
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/20/2007 10:12:16 PM | message detail
I'm loving how all of these crazy swings are ALL due to Samus' wildly changing votes.

ficklefickleficklefickle
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/20/2007 10:12:26 PM | message detail
Both Samus and Yoshi are falling.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
ZFS | Posted 10/20/2007 10:12:41 PM | message detail
That one stings.


73 vote cut imminent

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"Ha! No spoony bard could spin a sweeter tale!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/20/2007 10:12:44 PM | message detail
We haven't seen votals this crazy since Phoenix!
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
JonPen1416 | Posted 10/20/2007 10:13:02 PM | message detail
Magus vs Big Boss would obviously be a match that could have been decided due to a pic factor. I don't see any way Big Boss wins that with a Magus sprite vs a Big Boss sprite.
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"Even beasts know when to give up." ~Raphael Sorel
Master Moltar | Posted 10/20/2007 10:13:09 PM | message detail
Night vote has arrived.

Enjoy it while you can!
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Mega Man/Yoshi/Samus/Scorrpion - Bracket: Samus > Mega Man - Vote: Yoshi (215/256)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2007 10:13:18 PM | message detail
My point was that CT's impressive sprite round matches were all the result of their opponents dropping the ball. Vincent "overperformed" on Crono during the sprite round, or as I consider it, performed exactly as he should have.

TuRtLe
~~~
205/256 in the contest. Next pick: Samus > Mega Man
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Kaxon | Posted 10/20/2007 10:13:33 PM | message detail
I disagree, I got my money on MM taking the day vote. OH SHAP WUT!

I don't know who wins the day vote, but Yoshi doesn't seem that relevant, since MM doesn't have to have a better day vote than Yoshi... just better than Samus.
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red blue green
smitelf | Posted 10/20/2007 10:13:39 PM | message detail
I dunno, things aren't looking good for Mega Man right now. He'll be hemorrhaging throughout the day.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/20/2007 10:14:12 PM | message detail
I could easily see MM holding up well in the day due to Yoshi LFFing Samus.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
Lopen | Posted 10/20/2007 10:14:18 PM | message detail
I love how Mega Man and Scorpion beat the crap out of Samus and Yoshi in tandem... it's like two treats at once!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 10/20/2007 10:15:27 PM | message detail
On the topic of matches decided by the picture, I've gotta go with FFX/SSBM. FFX would've taken that easy without it being the entire cast of Nintendo vs. Tidus.
creativename | Posted 10/20/2007 10:15:44 PM | message detail
Crono shouldn't really benefit from the sprite round much. It matters a lot more for Magus and Frog IMO.

I don't know who wins the day vote, but Yoshi doesn't seem that relevant, since MM doesn't have to have a better day vote than Yoshi... just better than Samus.

I think Yoshi could gobble up some of that Mega Man percentage. And normally, Samus would hold up better in the day.
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FFDragon | Posted 10/20/2007 10:15:53 PM | message detail
Scorpion gobbling up percentage.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2007 10:15:55 PM | message detail
Food for thought: Samus dropped during the day in her matches with Ganondorf and Mario. Mega Man held up fairly well against Sonic's day vote and made his comeback during the afternoon/evening vote.

TuRtLe
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205/256 in the contest. Next pick: Samus > Mega Man
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/20/2007 10:16:14 PM | message detail
Patterns say that MM gets a monster update next time!
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2007 10:16:23 PM | message detail
Vincent's expectations were hardly reliable, though- 2005 was his first contest, and the next year he beat Ganondorf and got 48% on Sonic. Auron's fourpack has also looked very good this year. And, of course, Mario shifted about 7% on Crono in one year going from facing him in the sprite round to the finals.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 179/256 -- T-474 (42 way)
Bracket: Samus > Megaman -- Vote: Megaman
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/20/2007 10:16:28 PM | message detail
On the topic of matches decided by the picture, I've gotta go with FFX/SSBM. FFX would've taken that easy without it being the entire cast of Nintendo vs. Tidus.

At first glance, that sounds sort of silly...but when you think about it for a second, it makes sense.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2007 10:16:54 PM | message detail
From KamikazePotato
I could easily see MM holding up well in the day due to Yoshi LFFing Samus.

That doesn't make any sense. Why would Yoshi have any impact on Samus' trends? She would still get the same amount of votes in relation to Mega Man.

TuRtLe
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205/256 in the contest. Next pick: Samus > Mega Man
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
smitelf | Posted 10/20/2007 10:17:14 PM | message detail
If Yoshi and Scorp manage to take away Samus's day vote advantage, the match is Mega Man's.
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creativename | Posted 10/20/2007 10:17:25 PM | message detail
On the topic of matches decided by the picture, I've gotta go with FFX/SSBM. FFX would've taken that easy without it being the entire cast of Nintendo vs. Tidus.

Wow, I totally forgot about that.

Yeah, that's what I always thought as well. That picture was just ridiculous.

In retrospect though, knowing now how dominant the Smash series is on this site, it's amazing that FFX should've beaten it.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/20/2007 10:17:58 PM | message detail
No way does FFX even come close in a rematch though.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2007 10:18:05 PM | message detail
Vincent's 2k5 match perfectly predicts what he got against Sonic. Unless you think Sonic and Mega Man both boosted in 2k6 for some reason.

TuRtLe
~~~
205/256 in the contest. Next pick: Samus > Mega Man
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/20/2007 10:18:09 PM | message detail
I'm not sure where all this day vote confidence in Samus is coming from. She's better than Mega, sure, but it's not by a crazy margin or anything. She's one of the tamer Ninty day votes - Mega Man doesn't need a 2000 vote lead or anything like that to have a chance, I don't think.
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/20/2007 10:19:57 PM | message detail
...but these trends are so odd that it's hard to say, I guess. I think I'd still call Samus the favorite, for some obvious reasons and then some.
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2007 10:20:13 PM | message detail
I still don't get how Yoshi would affect Samus' day vote. His increasing during the day would hurt Mega Man just as bad proportionally.

TuRtLe
~~~
205/256 in the contest. Next pick: Samus > Mega Man
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/20/2007 10:20:24 PM | message detail
That doesn't make any sense. Why would Yoshi have any impact on Samus' trends? She would still get the same amount of votes in relation to Mega Man.

In matches with SFF, overall vote trends turn upside down. Take Zelda in her match with Link in it. Usually her morning is her best time by far and her night is the weakest. In that match is was completely reversed, since people that favor Zelda over Link are apparently more numerous in the night and as a result, Link took less from her at the time causing her to be the best overall at night.

Of course, that's a pretty extreme case and it seems like something like that would only effect the person on the losing end. But the fact remains that it CAN affect trends in some rare cases.

I can't really say this will be one of those cases though... it doesn't seem major enough. I think the pic had a better chance of screwing with her
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ZFS | Posted 10/20/2007 10:20:59 PM | message detail
No way does FFX even come close in a rematch though.

FF10 would hold up pretty well even today, but it doesn't come close to winning, no.


But that's more of SSBM increasing dramatically, for whatever reason.

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"Ha! No spoony bard could spin a sweeter tale!"
FFDragon | Posted 10/20/2007 10:21:03 PM | message detail
nom nom nom scorpion eating more votes nom nom nom nom
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Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE!
The revenge was swift and sweet (Metal Gear Solid 2)
Lopen | Posted 10/20/2007 10:21:06 PM | message detail
Mega Man/Scorpion alliance confirmed.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/20/2007 10:21:30 PM | message detail
Scorpion cutting Yoshi!

Oh and MM is doing something too I guess
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
creativename | Posted 10/20/2007 10:21:30 PM | message detail
I'm not sure where all this day vote confidence in Samus is coming from. She's better than Mega, sure, but it's not by a crazy margin or anything. She's one of the tamer Ninty day votes - Mega Man doesn't need a 2000 vote lead or anything like that to have a chance, I don't think.

I agree, and Mega Man doesn't need a 2000 vote lead, but it's not like his lead will be anything close to that anyway.

And if not for the pic maybe influencing it, it would make sense for Samus to do better in the day. Her day history is better than Mega's.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/20/2007 10:22:02 PM | message detail
Time for an epic 73 Samus cut.
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CB6 - 186/256; Oracle - 32nd
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/20/2007 10:22:08 PM | message detail
MM and Scorpion are working together to bring down Nintendo.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
Seginustemple | Posted 10/20/2007 10:22:22 PM | message detail
Woo, take third Scorpion! You got this!
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2007 10:22:47 PM | message detail
I still think Mega Man holdiing up decently to Sonic during the hedgehog's best time makes it seem as though Samus won't be doing too much with the morning vote.

TuRtLe
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205/256 in the contest. Next pick: Samus > Mega Man
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2007 10:26:09 PM | message detail
Samus cut, Yoshi gain

Go Yoshi! Boo Samus

TuRtLe
~~~
205/256 in the contest. Next pick: Samus > Mega Man
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
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