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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 525

PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/19/2007 3:52:58 AM | message detail
Sora > Aeris now larger than Aeris > Lara.

aww yeah.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/19/2007 4:48:37 AM | message detail
Sora making small cuts on Squall

aww yeah
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caps
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/19/2007 5:21:22 AM | message detail
Lara making cuts on Aeris.

aww yeah
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/19/2007 5:57:02 AM | message detail
BOLD PREDICTION: Lara and Aeris finish within 1.5% of each other.
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/19/2007 6:00:12 AM | message detail
BOLD BUT SOMEHOW DUR PREDICTION

Someone makes a AerisXLara pic because of this match, and another SoraXSquall Slash will be written.
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Hi
WhakkoJacko | Posted 10/19/2007 7:17:43 AM | message detail
I guess Lara is a percentage beast, but never really able to threaten seriously.
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i dont like haley scarnato
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/19/2007 7:24:54 AM | message detail
Hmm...

I wonder how close Sora'll come to Squall. At beast, probably about 1000-1500 votes away. Squall's no day flopper, but he's still weak with it like all non-KH Square characters. Sora's an ASV beast.

INTERESTING SIDE NOTE: Of all of the round 2 match pictures, everyone eligible has been given their SSBB/KHII look EXCEPT FOR SQUALL(And also Yuna, but that's for an actual reason. Squall doesn't have one.). Discuss.
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Ask Heroic Mario about your bracket.
I am a ToS fanboy and I love Kratos/Lloyd yaoi
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/19/2007 7:26:58 AM | message detail
SB hates Squall. =O
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/19/2007 7:28:19 AM | message detail
Except KH versions look terrible. So SB loves Squall and Yunie.

^5 SB imho
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/19/2007 7:35:27 AM | message detail
Uh, Lara's doing worse than most expected her too. How is this impressing?
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/19/2007 7:42:02 AM | message detail
So Aeris went nowhere over night, and now she's looking to fall into the 20.xx% range?

Oh wow, Sora. You've grown.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Squall/Aeris/Sora/Lara - Bracket: Squall > Sora - Vote: Squall (199/240)
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/19/2007 7:46:02 AM | message detail
moltar why is a threesome involving riku and kairi the first thing i though of after you said that
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/19/2007 8:01:37 AM | message detail
Heh. Yeah, that "boobs on legs", personality-less bint is truly awful, isn't she?

It's true, Aeris does indeed suck.

And lol aeris

You managed to make a debateable match a complete flop-fest.

TuRtLe
~~~
189/240 in the contest. Next pick: Squall > Sora
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Warsola | Posted 10/19/2007 8:15:45 AM | message detail
Squall's no day flopper, but he's still weak with it like all non-KH Square characters.

um....Cloud kinda tore Link apart during the day last year, now I'm going to take a stab in the dark and say Cloud probably has a more loyal KH voter base than Squall....but Squall should safely hold off Sora from making any real gains. Maybe Sora will cut a thousand into Squall at most.
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And if we armed them all with two swords, we'd have four times the votes!
Tales | Posted 10/19/2007 8:29:02 AM | message detail
Yay for having Aeris in the semi final -_-

I love Sora and KH but I didn't think he would stand a chance against Squall and Aeris. I really thought Aeris was the number 1 FF character.
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/19/2007 8:45:54 AM | message detail
um....Cloud kinda tore Link apart during the day last year

INCORRECT

Time | Cloud . . | Link
01:00 | 42.48% | 57.52%
02:00 | 43.81% | 56.19%
03:00 | 45.87% | 54.13%
04:00 | 47.74% | 52.26%
05:00 | 48.85% | 51.15%
06:00 | 49.02% | 50.98%
07:00 | 48.11% | 51.89%
08:00 | 47.77% | 52.23%
09:00 | 44.22% | 55.78%
10:00 | 43.72% | 56.28%
11:00 | 44.18% | 55.82%
12:00 | 44.59% | 55.41%
13:00 | 45.32% | 54.68%
14:00 | 45.09% | 54.91%
15:00 | 46.17% | 53.83%
16:00 | 45.68% | 54.32%
17:00 | 47.51% | 52.49%
18:00 | 47.83% | 52.17%
19:00 | 47.44% | 52.56%
20:00 | 48.48% | 51.52%
21:00 | 48.13% | 51.87%
22:00 | 48.68% | 51.32%
23:00 | 49.13% | 50.87%
00:00 | 50.39% | 49.61%

Remember that it was a weekend, so the day vote typically starts in the morning and tapers off between 4 and 6. And from 9-4, Link was whipping Cloud almost as badly as his ridiculous Power Hour.
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Mustache...and green...
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/19/2007 8:49:47 AM | message detail
It only looks like Cloud did better during the day because of his terrible board/night vote

TuRtLe
~~~
189/240 in the contest. Next pick: Squall > Sora
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
red sox 777 | Posted 10/19/2007 8:51:00 AM | message detail
Nonetheless the power hour was so strong for Link that he more or less lost percentage the whole day, with an interlude from 8 AM to 1 PM where he gained percentage Cloud gained back and more afterward.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 167/240 -- T-460 (55 way)
Bracket: Squall > Aeris -- Vote: Aeris
BDawg | Posted 10/19/2007 9:39:29 AM | message detail
I just hope Link can resume his power hour domination now that he doesn't have a ridiculously stuffed joke in his pack anymore. It was unnatural this round seeing Link gain the entire time like an anti-voted FFVII character.
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Should I start running now?
ZFS | Posted 10/19/2007 9:47:34 AM | message detail
Squall's no day flopper, but he's still weak with it like all non-KH Square characters.

What? Final Fantasy characters aren't weak with the day vote. Few excel, but the majority of them have either good, or at least average, day votes. Sora is one of the select few with an unnaturally good day vote, but Squall isn't going to fall apart because of that. There shouldn't be any meaningful comeback later.

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"Ha! No spoony bard could spin a sweeter tale!"
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/19/2007 9:51:38 AM | message detail
Aside from the females who, for some reason, all seem to have terrible day votes, the only notably bad FF day vote character is Kefka. Even Vivi who's probably the second worst didn't really collapse all that badly in his matches
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/19/2007 10:18:56 AM | message detail
Nonetheless the power hour was so strong for Link that he more or less lost percentage the whole day, with an interlude from 8 AM to 1 PM where he gained percentage Cloud gained back and more afterward.

Frog lost percentage on Master Chief during the first night and the during school vote - during both periods he built his lead by about 1100. Did he lose them to Master Chief because he lost percentage? Of course not!
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/19/2007 10:21:59 AM | message detail
Winning or losing the day vote is a silly term, since you could have Master Chief go up against Cloud, and he'd do way better with the day than the night. Doesn't mean he won anything, just means his day vote doesn't suck as bad as his night vote.

TuRtLe
~~~
189/240 in the contest. Next pick: Squall > Sora
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/19/2007 10:27:10 AM | message detail
Got a better term for it?
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/19/2007 10:31:54 AM | message detail
We've always (or at least always since I've been here) taken "winning the X vote" to mean doing better relative to your opponent. Link won the Power Hour and day votes against Cloud and lost the night and evening votes in that sense. It doesn't matter if he was gaining percentage or not.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 10/19/2007 10:48:06 AM | message detail
Time | Cloud . . | Link
01:00 | 42.48% | 57.52%
02:00 | 43.81% | 56.19%
03:00 | 45.87% | 54.13%

04:00 | 47.74% | 52.26%
05:00 | 48.85% | 51.15%
06:00 | 49.02% | 50.98%
07:00 | 48.11% | 51.89%
08:00 | 47.77% | 52.23%
09:00 | 44.22% | 55.78%
10:00 | 43.72% | 56.28%
11:00 | 44.18% | 55.82%
12:00 | 44.59% | 55.41%
13:00 | 45.32% | 54.68%
14:00 | 45.09% | 54.91%

15:00 | 46.17% | 53.83%
16:00 | 45.68% | 54.32%
17:00 | 47.51% | 52.49%
18:00 | 47.83% | 52.17%
19:00 | 47.44% | 52.56%
20:00 | 48.48% | 51.52%
21:00 | 48.13% | 51.87%
22:00 | 48.68% | 51.32%
23:00 | 49.13% | 50.87%
00:00 | 50.39% | 49.61%

Well, Link's final percentage was 53.93%, so the bolded hours are the ones where he exceeded that. Cloud did "win" the afternoon slightly; he just lost the morning. But the reason it doesn't feel like Link won the day vote is because Cloud's percentage was substantially higher at the end of the match than at 8 AM and typically the day vote winner is able to increase his percentage over the period from the beginning of the morning vote (or the before school vote on school days) to the end. I mean, how many examples are there of the opposite happening? I can only think of Link/Cloud 06, FF/LoZ, FF/SMB, and Starcraft.

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Character Battle VI -- Points: 167/240 -- T-460 (55 way)
Bracket: Squall > Aeris -- Vote: Aeris
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/19/2007 12:29:55 PM | message detail
Dead stats topic is dead. <_<
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
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swirIdude | Posted 10/19/2007 12:33:09 PM | message detail
Dead stats topic got dead because some freak stabbed it, so it is dead.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Haste_2 | Posted 10/19/2007 12:39:55 PM | message detail
Ms. Pac-Man won the day vote against Mega Man. Deal with it!

Wow, Aeris.... it's hard to imagine Lara hurting Aeris, so I guess it is Sora's fault. SFF reversal?! Dunno. It doesn't seem right given the past, but let's pretend the past never happened. Aeris has a terrible role in KH and a non-lead role in FF7, while Sora is the lead in KH. It would reasonable to say those who might vote Aeris because of KH would vote for Sora in a heartbeat. However, Squall is a lead himself and his role is a whole lot better in KH, so neither Sora nor Squall would SFF each other... (I wouldn't believe what I just said for a second)

Better yet, let's picture the voter's preferences. Last round a certain number had an opinion of Squall > Aeris and Aeris > Squall. This round... a lot higher percentage of the Aeris > Squall voters would vote Sora over both than the percentage of the Squall > Aeris voters would vote for Sora! Weird.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Luis_Sera89 | Posted 10/19/2007 12:47:05 PM | message detail
BTW, Bowser didn't get his Brawl pic.
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"Eet's game time..."
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/19/2007 1:09:23 PM | message detail
Nice performance by Sora.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
WhakkoJacko | Posted 10/19/2007 1:13:06 PM | message detail
Lara is pushing for a comeback here, having won the last four updates against Aeris. >_>
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i dont like haley scarnato
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/19/2007 1:18:45 PM | message detail
Squall below 34% for the first time since the first hour.

and lol aeris
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/19/2007 1:21:11 PM | message detail
No one wants to talk about how Sora is totally beating down Squall right now?
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caps
WhakkoJacko | Posted 10/19/2007 1:21:25 PM | message detail
...Crap. <_<
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i dont like haley scarnato
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/19/2007 1:21:39 PM | message detail
Gotta love this ASV explosion. At 2:00 Squall's lead on Sora was 263 higher than Sora' lead on Aeris. Now Sora's lead on Aeris is 1109 higher than Squall's lead on Sora.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
Lopen | Posted 10/19/2007 1:21:59 PM | message detail
Rip his head off, Sora!

Er... I mean... lecture him about the greatness of teamwork for a few hours and convince him to give up some of his lead.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/19/2007 1:23:03 PM | message detail
O_o

Holy crap at that update. If this match was closer Sora might be scaring Squall right now.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
HaRRicH | Posted 10/19/2007 1:48:00 PM | message detail
With Aeris gone and having a Noble Niner next round, how will Sora do compared to Squall with Sonic and Sub-Zero?
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PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
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Haste_2 | Posted 10/19/2007 1:54:00 PM | message detail
If Sora was as strong as he was last year he would be winning this poll.

Hm... as for tomorrow... I'd expect Gordon to beat Duke Nukem head-to-head. Duke Nukem won. Thus, logically I could say that Duke Nukem will beat Gordon by an even larger amount tomorrow with heavier competition. ...well, if that DOES happen, I'd feel even better about saying Nightmare and Shadow the Hedgehog both might be stronger in a traditional match than even their Round 1 performances indicate.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/19/2007 1:55:32 PM | message detail
If Sora was as strong as he was last year he would be winning this poll.

Sora last year is still weaker than Squall.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/19/2007 2:00:01 PM | message detail
If Sora was as strong as he was last year he would be winning this poll.


Sora got 45% on Mega Man who got 46% on Snake. Squall got 43% on Snake.

The only surprise here is how well Sora seems to have held up despite:

A) Being in the same poll with a top tier Final Fantasy character
B) Kingdom Hearts no longer being new or relevant.

The only other conclusion we can draw from this match is Wesker did indeed boost relative to his 2k5 performances.

TuRtLe
~~~
189/240 in the contest. Next pick: Squall > Sora
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Haste_2 | Posted 10/19/2007 2:01:04 PM | message detail
Sora of that year is stronger than Squall when Aeris comes in...

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/19/2007 2:02:04 PM | message detail
Sora of that year is stronger than Squall when Aeris comes in...

So Aeris wouldn't affect Sora too? That makes no sense.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
Haste_2 | Posted 10/19/2007 2:04:40 PM | message detail
Compare Lara Croft and Sora today, and then compare them in Round 1. Sora's barely being affected by LFF, if at all. Also, I think Sora would've done at least 5-6% better today if it was done last year...

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/19/2007 2:09:55 PM | message detail
Considering Squall and Aeris are in Sora's games, I doubt that.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/19/2007 2:14:32 PM | message detail
Or Lara is getting hurt by being a worthless piece of crap in a poll with 3 decently strengthed characters.

I mean, look what happened to Shadow and Nightmare

TuRtLe
~~~
189/240 in the contest. Next pick: Squall > Sora
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Haste_2 | Posted 10/19/2007 2:22:00 PM | message detail
Good thing we have next round to get a better idea on what's going, then! I just doubt Sora is that close to Squall in strength... I don't think Sora was as close to Squall as the stats suggest last year (either that or Sora dropped like CRAZY this year), and I think Squall would beat Sora worse than this normally. I mean, Sora couldn't even come -close- to doubling Lara Croft, and that was a Lara who struggled to beat Wesker.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/19/2007 2:22:54 PM | message detail
I know now, without a doubt, that Kingom Hearts...is PANCAKES!
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/19/2007 2:23:36 PM | message detail
Believe.
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CB6 - 170/240; Oracle - 31st
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