GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 524
| Lopen | Posted 10/17/2007 10:01:05 PM | message detail |
|
Ryu and Riku are no pushovers, but I still think Master Chief had the
stronger four pack by a good margin. Master Chief still lookin good to
take Snake out easy, especially after the day vote...!! --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| creativename | Posted 10/17/2007 10:03:07 PM | message detail |
|
I'm expecting Riku's ASV to be better than Ryu H. I don't think we
can expect any massive comebacks, as his ASV obviously won't be bad,
but I'd be willing to go as high as a 1,000 vote lead still being in
the realm of possibility. I know I'm gonna get a ton of hate for that. Riku doing better with the ASV sounds reasonable, though it should be close. I don't know if he can make up a 1,000 vote deficit though, especially when these guys will probably only be dealing with about 50K total votes between them. I don't think you'd get any hate for this though, everything you said was reasonable. This format can make anyone look like a dud. You could call Samus a dud based on her score in the battle royal last year. Yeah Nightmare is no dud, he'd do pretty solid in the 1-on-1 format. ...the worse it looks for the L-Block > Snake upset, though. Let's not get too greedy here :) 2nd for L-Block is quite satisfactory to me. If he gets doubled by Snake so what. In-game L plus Solid **** is probably the only L's only shot at looking decent relative to Snake. Snake wouldn't really alter Ryu's trends with relation to Riku. Snake's night vote would hurt Riku just as much as it hurts Ryu. This is not necessarily the case. In fact I don't think it is the case. Though we're talking about very minor differences. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/17/2007 10:05:40 PM | message detail |
|
Ryu and Riku are no pushovers, but I still think Master Chief had
the stronger four pack by a good margin. Master Chief still lookin good
to take Snake out easy, especially after the day vote...!! Er...what? Ryu and Riku would both stand a great chance at beating Yuna, and Nightmare might make for a decent upset pick against Liquid/Alucard. Especially ??F'd Liquid. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| creativename | Posted 10/17/2007 10:06:25 PM | message detail |
|
Snake wouldn't really alter Ryu's trends with relation to Riku. Snake's night vote would hurt Riku just as much as it hurts Ryu. Actually right now it's looking like you're right. I hadn't refreshed the last couple updates. but I still think Master Chief had the stronger four pack by a good margin. As HM would say..."what" --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/17/2007 10:06:48 PM | message detail |
|
Could Solid **** actually hurt L-Block's chances of placing next round?
If Snake really does badaSFF Kratos and whoever else crawls out of this
one, looking like a turd probably won't help him with that, and The
Block would be relying on its innate strength... --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/17/2007 10:07:06 PM | message detail |
|
I think a lot of people are still caught up on Yuna's 2k6 performance
when clearly, this year she is acting much more like her 2005 self. TuRtLe ~~~ 181/232 in the contest. Next pick: Snake > Riku BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| paraboxx | Posted 10/17/2007 10:09:13 PM | message detail |
|
Could Solid **** actually hurt L-Block's chances of placing next
round? If Snake really does badaSFF Kratos and whoever else crawls out
of this one, looking like a turd probably won't help him with that, and
The Block would be relying on its innate strength... ...dammit, Janus. That makes way too much sense. |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/17/2007 10:10:34 PM | message detail |
|
Hold off the sprite round for one more... Sonic > Snake confirmed! --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 10/17/2007 10:10:35 PM | message detail |
|
Yeah, the more awesome Snake looks, the better L-Block's chances are. --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| creativename | Posted 10/17/2007 10:11:32 PM | message detail |
|
Snake has other sprites though, right? I mean, no one actually believes we're going to see Solid **** again, right? --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/17/2007 10:11:34 PM | message detail |
|
Nonsense. If Snake performs like crap, there's just more votes to go
around. I don't believe in this "badass SFF". I just think L-block
(like other joke entrants) has a pretty unwavering group of supporters.
He should do pretty good next round despite the increased competition. TuRtLe ~~~ 181/232 in the contest. Next pick: Snake > Riku BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| Lopen | Posted 10/17/2007 10:12:45 PM | message detail |
|
Eh, I take Alucard to beat Hayabusa or Riku. I mean, you gotta
figure... Alucard only lost to Sora 55-45, he could probably get out of
that. Actually I dunno, maybe I'd take Hayabusa over Alucard... tough
call. AND OH YES 25% UPDATE NEED MORE. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/17/2007 10:13:48 PM | message detail |
|
On a happier note 25% UPDATE GO RYU KILL KILL KILL --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/17/2007 10:14:40 PM | message detail |
|
Before this contest I would have said Riku = Yuna > Alucard > Ryu H. Now it's more like Yuna > Alucard >= Ryu H. > Riku. Granted that's probably just the format screwing with me or something, and next year my bracket will make for epic lulz. Either way, MC > Snake. Believe. --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
| creativename | Posted 10/17/2007 10:14:45 PM | message detail |
|
I just think L-block (like other joke entrants) has a pretty unwavering group of supporters. Such as...? No "joke" entrant has ever acted in this manner, ever. Eh, I take Alucard to beat Hayabusa or Riku. I would not consider this at all. Alucard's fallen over the years. He could put up a fight, but I'm pretty sure he'd be a big dog against both these guys. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| paraboxx | Posted 10/17/2007 10:15:04 PM | message detail |
|
I don't believe in this "badass SFF". I just think L-block (like
other joke entrants) has a pretty unwavering group of supporters. He
should do pretty good next round despite the increased competition. Unless Riku really is getting 90%+ of Roxas' votes, Snake is SFFing Ryu right now. Other than badass SFF, he has very little reason to do so. I do agree with the unwavering support thing, though, so I'm not counting L-Block out under any circumstances. |
| Lopen | Posted 10/17/2007 10:15:31 PM | message detail |
|
But anyway, my post was kind of a joke anyway. Master Chief even being
considered to just do better on a raw level against Snake is not
something I was banking on... even if Snake ends up looking better I
still have confidence. The nature of MC's fanbase is he'll look better and better as the competition gets stronger. Look at round 2 vs round 1. Yeah, some of that is Halo 3, but more of that is his static fanbase I think. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/17/2007 10:15:39 PM | message detail |
|
epic stall is epic --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
| paraboxx | Posted 10/17/2007 10:16:46 PM | message detail |
|
Such as...? No "joke" entrant has ever acted in this manner, ever. CATS would probably behave in this manner, if he could ever get out of the first round. |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/17/2007 10:16:57 PM | message detail |
|
And you call yourself a fan of MC? You're nothing but a raunchy dog, Lopen. --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
| creativename | Posted 10/17/2007 10:17:26 PM | message detail |
|
Note that I think L might have some extra loyalty, however that would
have nothing to do with "jokiness", as no joke character has ever
displayed anything like that at all. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Lopen | Posted 10/17/2007 10:19:05 PM | message detail |
|
Er... I mean... MASTER CHIEF IS INVINCIBLE! --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 10/17/2007 10:19:33 PM | message detail |
| Huh, I think I actually passed about 18 people yesterday just by having Kratos in first. Looks like it'll be my first time on the leaderboard if Ryu can hold on. |
| creativename | Posted 10/17/2007 10:19:59 PM | message detail |
|
CATS would probably behave in this manner, if he could ever get out of the first round. People said this about CATS for years. Then his performance on Ansem shut them up. Likewise, this is why way more people talked about CATS>Peach rather than Meta Knight>Peach. That failed as well. Just shows how people cling to beliefs I guess, because this notion of CATS non-linearity has been disproven umpteen times. He's the textbook example for non-linearity, despite never showing it! --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Starion | Posted 10/17/2007 10:22:31 PM | message detail |
|
CATS would probably behave in this manner, if he could ever get out of the first round. Definitely not, even in this format. He doesn't have the nostalgia factor, sales number, casual recognizability factor, or multiple system appearances of L-block. --- 100% Frog Log Quest: Current Progress- 400 of 627 Completed: Jaster, Kisala, Deego |
| Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/17/2007 10:23:16 PM | message detail |
|
So this match is pretty much over...or is Riku going to do anything? --- GSB International Champion Masamune Masa/Hiko/HeroicTronBonne/Cory/Buddha |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/17/2007 10:24:52 PM | message detail |
|
It's pretty much over. Ryu is gaining too much with far too much of the
night vote left for Riku to withstand. Even if Riku makes a small cut
into the lead with the morning vote, the in school vote will probably
favor Ryu H, and that's going to be one massive ASV swing for Riku to
make when Ryu isn't bad with it either. --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
| paraboxx | Posted 10/17/2007 10:29:20 PM | message detail |
|
Dammit. (Again.) I forgot about CATS vs. Ansem. Nevermind. ...though, doesn't CATS' performance here actually support the idea of non-linearity? His percentage didn't really drop that much from what he usually gets in the 1v1 format. |
| Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 10/17/2007 10:29:31 PM | message detail |
| I think it's too close to say it's over. Ryu's definitely a big favorite though. At this point in the first round match, Riku ended up with about the same percentage that he has now, while Ryu gained a little. Roxas gained a little as well though. |
| Lopen | Posted 10/17/2007 10:30:55 PM | message detail |
| Yeah, actually, CATS did about what his pickers
expected against Seph in round 1. It's just that Seph sucked ass so
Peach and MK got more. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| Lopen | Posted 10/17/2007 10:32:04 PM | message detail |
|
Heh... Ryu's % is the only one that's not getting thrashed by Snake. Fight the machine, Hayabusa... fight it! --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| creativename | Posted 10/17/2007 10:35:29 PM | message detail |
|
This match isn't for sure done yet, but you'd be hard pressed to come
up with a scenario where Riku can come back. It's looking very safe for
Hayabusa. ...though, doesn't CATS' performance here actually support the idea of non-linearity? His percentage didn't really drop that much from what he usually gets in the 1v1 format. Last year, if you peg Samus at 40% on Link, CATS works out to 13%. This year, using Morgoth's formula and pegging Sephiroth at 43.5% on Link, CATS works out to 13.13%. So no. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/17/2007 10:40:28 PM | message detail |
|
In the past half hour, Ryu's lead over Riku has increased by 169 votes. Riku's lead over Nightmare has increased by 161. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/17/2007 10:42:13 PM | message detail |
|
CATS last year was behind Snake/Samus. What happens if you use a constant.... Sonic? Was that who he was against? TuRtLe ~~~ 181/232 in the contest. Next pick: Snake > Riku BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2007 11:05:39 PM | message detail |
|
Time .| Snake ..| Night .....| Ryu H ...| Riku 01:00 | 48.92% | 13.15% | 19.58% | 18.35% 02:00 | 50.27% | 12.59% | 20.32% | 16.83% There's already a difference of 3.5% between Ryu and Riku's night votes and we're not even fully into the night yet. The only time we see people make swings big enough to come back from that kind of thing is when a bad day vote character is matched with a good one. Or... alternatively a normal day vote character is matched with Master Chief >_> <_< --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2007 11:07:02 PM | message detail |
|
And then Riku makes a cut. Yeah... don't tell me Riku does better now --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| RPGGamer0 | Posted 10/17/2007 11:09:32 PM | message detail |
|
GOGO RIKU SAVE MY BRACKET! >_> --- Metal Gear Solid OOOOWWWWWWNS! |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2007 11:10:49 PM | message detail |
|
Another (tiny) cut? That's crazy talk --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/17/2007 11:11:25 PM | message detail |
|
I missed some MC discussion...and, this is redundant by now, but I'm
more scared of him than anything else in my bracket. I've already got
him in first place for every match up to when he faces Solid and Sonic
(alongside Ganon!), but not any further...and MC's as capable as
anybody to take a Noble Niner down in this bracket. Solid and Sonic are
going to split SSBB-hype (and if Ganon or even Luigi makes it there,
that hhurts their Nintendo support a bit more), MC's fanbase has been
long speculated to be the most independent and hardcore, he's got the
most recent huge game, and his match this round impressed me much more
than what Sonic did last year...and I'm reserving judgment on how it
compares to Solid's match today until later in the match. There's a sliver of a chance MC gets first that match. Not a chance I want to take, but I really wish I had him advancing to the championship..... --- PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580 |
| Lopen | Posted 10/17/2007 11:11:54 PM | message detail |
|
The second hour of the poll isn't really the night vote anyway. It's
closer to the power hour in trends than the night vote. Not sayin
Riku's gonna win the night vote, but the second hour shouldn't really
say much either way. However... even if he does start making a move... BOLD PREDICTION: X-Box day vote > KH day vote... watch it happen today. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| RPGGamer0 | Posted 10/17/2007 11:15:51 PM | message detail |
|
If the X-Box day vote > KH day vote, I'll eat my hat. --- Metal Gear Solid OOOOWWWWWWNS! |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2007 11:21:53 PM | message detail |
|
I think they're generally equal. Barring Master Chief who I think has
an absolutely unparalleled day vote. Although in the past Ryu H has
never really demonstrated the kind of great day vote that the others
have. Definitely not bad but not great either --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/17/2007 11:22:03 PM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| Lopen | Posted 10/17/2007 11:23:14 PM | message detail |
|
More like looking to end around 46%. The day vote will wreck him with KH and X-Box here. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| MasterOfHunters | Posted 10/17/2007 11:58:52 PM | message detail |
|
I agree. It's great to see Ryu finally kicking ass after getting fed to highcarders 3 years in a row. If Jill is playable in RE5... Jill > Ryu H easily. I say this with confidence, because Ryu is a dud no matter how many games he is featured in. |
| Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/18/2007 12:00:06 AM | message detail |
|
No way. Snake ends with 50%+. --- Our life is short and our days run; as fast away as does the sun. And as a vapour or a drop of rain; once lost can ne'er be found again. |
| Ngamer64 | Posted 10/18/2007 12:02:48 AM | message detail |
|
Little Mac makes his SSB debut in Brawl! Dang it all anyway, if only they'd announced this last month. --- The 2007 Guru Rankings! thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats = lol x-stats |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/18/2007 12:03:16 AM | message detail |
|
More like looking to end around 46%. The day vote will wreck him with KH and X-Box here. You speak as if Snake is bad with the day vote now. --- Currently Playing: Fire Emblem Path of Raidance (replay), Wild Arms 3, Persona 3 |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/18/2007 12:03:31 AM | message detail |
|
Time .| Snake ..| Night .....| Ryu H ...| Riku 01:00 | 48.92% | 13.15% | 19.58% | 18.35% 02:00 | 50.27% | 12.59% | 20.32% | 16.83% 03:00 | 51.35% | 12.29% | 19.10% | 17.26% Not even 2% difference that time. If the rest of the night is more like that then Riku has a fighting chance --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/18/2007 12:04:18 AM | message detail |
|
Little Mac is just an assist trophy. Not really all that big of a deal.
I believe he was already confirmed as an assist trophy a while ago
anyway --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
