GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 524
| RPGGamer0 | Posted 10/17/2007 9:38:18 AM | message detail |
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L-Block to take the contest! http://vgmusic.com/music/console/nintendo/gameboy/Tatrisa.mid *Creativename's websites* Everything you could ever imagine: http://www.GameFAQsContests.com http://www.sc2k5.com http://www.sc2k4.com Sortable Table for Every Contest Match: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19 *Extrapolated Standings* Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11 Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left): http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ *Solarshadow's Sites* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html *Old Stats topics* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note) 2003-2004 Off-Season: http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note) Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL. Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm *Match Pictures* All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones! http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php *Miscellaneous* Creativename's Page of Links: http://sc2k4.com/links.php UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language): http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language): http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches: http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm All Time Top 10 Lists: http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm RPguy's Hourly Poll Updates: www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/contest.html HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 TRE's poll listing (every poll!): http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html Aprosenf's Poll Script: http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt GameFAQs' Top 100 Games http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10 Manual Poll Updater: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php --- Metal Gear Solid OOOOWWWWWWNS! |
| swirIdude | Posted 10/17/2007 9:39:05 AM | message detail |
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L --- Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe |
| Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/17/2007 11:30:40 AM | message detail |
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L --- GSB International Champion Masamune Masa/Hiko/HeroicTronBonne/Cory/Buddha |
| Warsola | Posted 10/17/2007 11:31:57 AM | message detail |
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sovietgamefaqs.ytmnd.com !!! L IS MY HERO! --- And if we armed them all with two swords, we'd have four times the votes! |
| transience | Posted 10/17/2007 12:47:29 PM | message detail |
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7 lines on Level 9 in Bastet eat it everyone are you serious remember when I got 3 and it was the record between us --- xyzzy |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2007 12:47:35 PM | message detail |
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And I do mean EVERYONE --- Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package. |
| Lady Ashe | Posted 10/17/2007 12:50:02 PM | message detail |
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hey kh you must have missed hochi's pre match comments. page nine(50ppp) in part 522. ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2007 12:51:43 PM | message detail |
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I would give up Metal Gear Solid 4 to see hochi stay on the board indefinitely ...okay that was a lie, but it's the rashly stated thoughts that count --- Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package. |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/17/2007 12:53:10 PM | message detail |
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My record is 1 I hate you KH --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/17/2007 12:53:38 PM | message detail |
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Kirby Kirby Kirby Kirby Kirby o lawd --- Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe Kirby/L-Block/Kratos/DK - Bracket: Kratos > Kirby - Vote: Kirby (187/224) |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2007 12:55:48 PM | message detail |
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Then my job here is done ketchup http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb6/cb6-46.jpg WOO SSBB Snake, I can feel Nintendo sucking the soul out of him and it feels SO GOOD also uh yeah Hayabusa wins http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb6/cb6-47.jpg My soul is chilled http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb6/cb6-48.jpg Brawl Sonic, Sub-Shredder, sad Gordon, AMAZING Duke wins all --- Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package. |
| BDawg | Posted 10/17/2007 1:03:00 PM | message detail |
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Kirby cannot stop the 4400....vote lead. --- Should I start running now? |
| paraboxx | Posted 10/17/2007 1:03:58 PM | message detail |
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So Street Fighter 4 was announced this morning. For me, and surely for a lot of other people, this is bigger than Sonic in Brawl. For people here on Gamefaqs, though...not so much. When Sonic was confirmed, this entire board exploded (to say nothing of the SSBB board). For SF4, I think there's like three topics. So I guess what I'm asking here is...does Ryu get any boost at all from this? Or was he already going to beat an SFFed Auron anyway? (And no, I'm not suddenly picking him to beat Mega Man or anything. I may believe in long shots, but I'm not stupid.) |
| swirIdude | Posted 10/17/2007 1:04:34 PM | message detail |
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Not much of a boost. If Auron and Ryu are close and Ryu wins, attribute it to that if you want. --- Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe |
| Lady Ashe | Posted 10/17/2007 1:05:37 PM | message detail |
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I honestly can't see him getting any boost at all. And this has nothing
to do with the fact that I want Auron to win so I'm not the only one
losing points. <_< ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| Big Bob | Posted 10/17/2007 1:06:01 PM | message detail |
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My max is 13 lines. --- "You're slowing going from Nixon to Mr. Burns." -Jon Stewart on Bush |
| smitelf | Posted 10/17/2007 1:06:56 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, this match is done. L-Block won't fall below 26%, and Kirby won't finish much higher than he is now. As for tomorrow: where does everyone see SFF/LFF/whatever happening? Snake and Riku? Snake and Ryu? Ryu and Nightmare? If Snake > Ryu happens, as seems likely, L-Block will have a hell of a shot next round. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
| Lady Ashe | Posted 10/17/2007 1:07:37 PM | message detail |
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My max is 1. On both the easiest mode and the hardest. And I can only get past the first twenty lines or so on Tetris DS. *hides* ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| swirIdude | Posted 10/17/2007 1:07:44 PM | message detail |
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Anyone behind Moltar (all of us) need Auron to advance ahead of Ryu! --- Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe |
| smitelf | Posted 10/17/2007 1:08:15 PM | message detail |
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I don't think he'll get a boost from a game that was just announced.
Brawl's a special case. He has a great shot against Auron, anyway. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2007 1:08:18 PM | message detail |
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I'm gonna give everyone in here one more chance to explain the connection between Nightmare and Ryu Hayabusa preferably one that wouldn't already exist between Nightmare and Solid ****ING Snake --- Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package. |
| swirIdude | Posted 10/17/2007 1:09:17 PM | message detail |
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3-way badass SFF Riku wins the poll. <_< --- Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe |
| smitelf | Posted 10/17/2007 1:11:00 PM | message detail |
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I'm gonna give everyone in here one more chance to explain the connection between Nightmare and Ryu Hayabusa They're both fighting game characters. Most of Ryu H.'s strength comes from Ninja Gaiden, not DoA, though, so if there's SFF, it won't be all that strong, IMO. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
| Lady Ashe | Posted 10/17/2007 1:11:23 PM | message detail |
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From Karma Hunter Posted 10/17/2007 4:08:18 PM #021 I'm gonna give everyone in here one more chance to explain the connection between Nightmare and Ryu Hayabusa Uhh, since when is smitelf everyone? ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| smitelf | Posted 10/17/2007 1:12:15 PM | message detail |
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Lady Ashe is just one of my many alts. I'm really just talking to myself here. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
| Lady Ashe | Posted 10/17/2007 1:12:17 PM | message detail |
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...Ryu H is in DoA? ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| smitelf | Posted 10/17/2007 1:13:36 PM | message detail |
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..Ryu H is in DoA? From what I've been told. I never knew, but then, I don't play DoA. I'm more of a Mortal Kombat fan. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
| Lady Ashe | Posted 10/17/2007 1:15:11 PM | message detail |
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Apparently he is. Huh. But I kindof think that the whole X-Box vs. three PS2 characters(One of which is magically now Nintendo as well) thing is more significant than that. ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2007 1:15:16 PM | message detail |
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They're both fighting game characters. Most of Ryu H.'s strength
comes from Ninja Gaiden, not DoA, though, so if there's SFF, it won't
be all that strong, IMO. If Hayabusa got anything significant from DoA these days on this site I'd be baffled. DoA's whole 'appeal' revolves around being the fighting franchise with having the most cheesecake in the industry, and Ryu H. is not a part of that (though they have been playing him up post-Xbox Ninja Gaiden). I'd expect Ryu H. to get more strength from his NES games than DoA. Uhh, since when is smitelf everyone? Since I became justifiably paranoid of everyone and everything, duh. --- Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package. |
| smitelf | Posted 10/17/2007 1:20:03 PM | message detail |
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But I kindof think that the whole X-Box vs. three PS2 characters(One
of which is magically now Nintendo as well) thing is more significant
than that. I don't see why there would be an X-Box advantage. Nightmare is on the Xbox too. I'd expect Ryu H. to get more strength from his NES games than DoA. I wouldn't go that far, but yes, obviously DoA is not the main source of his strength. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
| paraboxx | Posted 10/17/2007 1:20:04 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, I'm kind of doubting it'll make an obvious difference myself.
Maybe if Ryu's path didn't seem clear-cut already, it'd be easier to
tell. Ah well. *shrug* On another note, Sonic is pretty much the only character in that pic. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2007 1:22:10 PM | message detail |
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Nightmare is on the Xbox, but it accounts for the lowest proportion of
his strength. Soul Calibur = DC, Soul Calibur II = PS2/GC/Xbox (with
the popularity going GC > PS2 > Xbox, thanks Link), and Soul
Calibur III = PS2. As far as the Xbox goes, Nightmare has the least
presence there. --- Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package. |
| transience | Posted 10/17/2007 1:22:45 PM | message detail |
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I would. the NES games mean a lot more than freakin' DOA. --- xyzzy |
| transience | Posted 10/17/2007 1:23:20 PM | message detail |
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there's a reason we had a term for his DOA picture. that's like his version of ZSS. --- xyzzy |
| hochiminh155 | Posted 10/17/2007 1:25:01 PM | message detail |
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I've devised a formula that can tell us how each of the characters is faring Link: Expected Round 1: 80% Actual R!: 70% (Loss of 10%) Expected R2: 55% Actual R2: 51% (Loss of 4%) Average Loss: 7% Link is 7% weaker than last year. TP hurt him by about 7%. This is consistent with Zelda and Ganon. Ganon: Expected R1: 50% Actual R1: 49% (Loss of 1%) Expected R2: 40% Actual R2: 31% (Loss of 9%) Average Loss: 5% Zelda: Expected R1: 34% Actual R1: 29% (-5%) Expected R2: 12% Actual R2: 8% (-4%) Average Loss: -4.5% So we can conclude that TP did in fact hurt the Zelda characters (lol Midna for proof) and Link took the brunt of this drop with 7%. Contrast with Cloud Cloud: Expected R1: 55% Actual R1: 61% (+6%) Expected R2: 51% Actual R2: 56% (+5%) Average Gain: 5.5% So why has Cloud increased? I'm not sure. I still think it's a delayed KHII boost but if it isn't, then I have no clue --- Hochiminh155's Trail to Victory Future winner of the Summer 2007 Contest |
| transience | Posted 10/17/2007 1:25:41 PM | message detail |
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dear god never stop posting --- xyzzy |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2007 1:25:48 PM | message detail |
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I have a class in five minutes why do you do this to me hochi <3 --- Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package. |
| hochiminh155 | Posted 10/17/2007 1:35:49 PM | message detail |
| I think using this formula can tell us how the
next match will pan out. Of course, this forumla is better with more
than one match but let's see Solid Snake got 57%, expected to get 57%, so he has a net increase of 0% Nightmare was expected to get 22% and he got 22% so he also has a net increase of 0% Riku was expected to get 35% and he got 27% so he has a net decrease of 8% Ryu H. was epxcted to get 41% and he got 45% so a net increase of 4% This is what would be expected in tomorrow's match Snake: 40% Nightmare: 15% Riku: 25% Ryu H: 20% However, with the formula.... Remember to divide the net increase/decrease by 4 since it's a four-way match. That means Riku will do 2% worse than expected while Ryu H. will do 1% better than expected. The 1 remaining percent goes to Snake because of the SFF potentiality. Snake: 41% Nightmare: 15% Riku: 23% Ryu H: 21% Looks like it'll be close but Riku will win. --- Hochiminh155's Trail to Victory Future winner of the Summer 2007 Contest |
| transience | Posted 10/17/2007 1:37:14 PM | message detail |
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I want the username "SFF potentiality" --- xyzzy |
| Lady Ashe | Posted 10/17/2007 1:38:07 PM | message detail |
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Should I point out the flaw or leave it to someone else? <_< ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| transience | Posted 10/17/2007 1:38:27 PM | message detail |
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hochi is perfect do not pretend to find flaws in such a demigod --- xyzzy |
| ZFS | Posted 10/17/2007 1:38:47 PM | message detail |
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aww yeah hochi --- "No spoony bard could spin a sweeter tale." |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2007 1:40:12 PM | message detail |
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WTF. Using his formula he somehow arrived at almost exactly what my oracle pick is going to be for tomorrow. --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| transience | Posted 10/17/2007 1:43:27 PM | message detail |
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and you're #1 in the oracle proof that he is god --- xyzzy |
| RPGGamer0 | Posted 10/17/2007 1:48:59 PM | message detail |
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Remember how ridiculous we thought it was when "KUJA LOST TO A HAND"!? Kirby's losing to a block. --- Metal Gear Solid OOOOWWWWWWNS! |
| creativename | Posted 10/17/2007 1:50:10 PM | message detail |
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What's this stuff about pic factor not affecting L because "he's a freakin' block"? Um...that's exactly why pic factor is probably huge for him. Does this really need to be spelled out for people? I mean, could this be any more obvious common sense? The average voter will be confused by the name "L-Block" and will likely not know what that is except by the picture, at which point everyone will be in on it. People figured before his first round match that the pic could be huge for him if he got an in-game pic (which is the only pic people were expecting). This is not news. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/17/2007 1:50:32 PM | message detail |
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L-Block is awesome. MH is not. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| creativename | Posted 10/17/2007 1:52:37 PM | message detail |
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I would. the NES games mean a lot more than freakin' DOA DoA meaning more for Ryu than his NES games is inconceivable to me. There's just no way. Snake: 41% Nightmare: 15% Riku: 23% Ryu H: 21% Switdch Riku and Ryu and it's a solid prediction. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| creativename | Posted 10/17/2007 1:55:14 PM | message detail |
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WTF. Using his formula he somehow arrived at almost exactly what my oracle pick is going to be for tomorrow. I'm not sure if you saw he had Riku>Ryu :) and you're #1 in the oracle proof that he is god hochi, this contest is your story. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/17/2007 1:58:43 PM | message detail |
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ASV finally kicked in? Kirby is gaining on L-Block. --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg |
