GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 522
smitelf | Posted 10/16/2007 1:06:20 PM | message detail |
....have we not been through this a million times? If you think Riku is getting 100% of Roxas' votes, and then 60% of Haseo's, you're bat-**** crazy. And haven't I already said that Riku doesn't need 100% of Roxas's votes and 60% of Haseo's? I'm not rehashing that today, maybe tomorrow. Anyway, I've also said that I see Riku as the longshot, just less of a longshot judging by the amount of SFF incest that evidently happened between Tidus/Isaac/Serge. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/16/2007 1:07:51 PM | message detail |
Then why even bring Haseo up? --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
smitelf | Posted 10/16/2007 1:10:36 PM | message detail |
Then why even bring Haseo up? Because Riku could potentially get a big chunk of Haseo's votes, though not 60%. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2007 1:13:47 PM | message detail |
Snake > Ryu is a lock at this point. The way he dominated last round, combined with the fact that Bowser still couldn't beat Ryu even with Toad/Mewtwo gone PLUS the whole Snake/Sora thing, if Riku wins I will be very surprised. TuRtLe ~~~ 169/216 in the contest. Next pick: Leon > Yellow Rat BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/16/2007 1:15:35 PM | message detail |
But 100% or Roxas'? Either way, I don't know how Tidus needing 11% more of Vivi's votes to outdo Pikachu, inspires confidence into Riku needing 100% of a characters and then near 60% from another. (For the record, that's 60% if the other 40% go straight to Snake, and Ryu H gets 0%, which makes it even more unrealistic). sorry seems just seems strange. --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2007 1:17:49 PM | message detail |
And I hesitate to call SFF last round. Whatever Serge did to Tidus, Isaac did equally to Pikachu. Isaac has WAY more overlap with Pikachu than anything Tidus related. As for today, I think we're seeing Vivi being a representative of the FF series as a whole more than any other match. He's a great option for FF fans to support their series, but throw an actual FF character against him and he does much worse (nevermind the whole Sephiroth thing) TuRtLe ~~~ 169/216 in the contest. Next pick: Leon > Yellow Rat BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
smitelf | Posted 10/16/2007 1:19:07 PM | message detail |
But 100% or Roxas No...my best guess right now would be 80%ish, maybe a little more. I haven't looked super-closely at what happened with Tidus/Serge/Isaac yet, which is why I'll get more deeply Rikku/Roxas/Haseo tomorrow, and I've got to leave. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
smitelf | Posted 10/16/2007 1:20:48 PM | message detail |
And I hesitate to call SFF last round. Whatever Serge did to Tidus, Isaac did equally to Pikachu. Isaac has WAY more overlap with Pikachu than anything Tidus related. Highly doubtful, IMO. Pikachu and Isaac share a platform; Tidus and Isaac share a genre, which is a more powerful relation. And Pikachu has been in far more places than just the GB, anyway. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/16/2007 1:21:11 PM | message detail |
but then riku still loses. either way its a bit different from 11% --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 10/16/2007 1:21:51 PM | message detail |
Not only would Ryu get some of the Roxas votes, but some of those voters would simply not vote in a Ryu/Riku poll as well. And I don't think Serge/Isaac did much last round. Vivi is hurting Tidus this round, and Pikachu is being hurt by having some decent competition (just not to the extent I thought it would :/). |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2007 1:22:02 PM | message detail |
Pikachu is a Nintendo character on a Gameboy RPG. Isaac is a Nintendo character in a Gameboy RPG. Hmmmm TuRtLe ~~~ 169/216 in the contest. Next pick: Leon > Yellow Rat BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/16/2007 1:24:27 PM | message detail |
So now you guys get to make me feel good/bad about my bracket. Snake > Ryu H (4 points) Master Chief > Yuna (MC > Yuna, 12 points) (Ganon > MC, -12 points) (MC > Ganon, 0 points) Cloud > Ryu (Ryu, -8 points) (Auron, 0 points) Link > Vincent. (Vincent, -8 points) (Crono, 8 points) Master Chief > Dante (MC > Dante, 16 points) (Ganon > Dante, -16 points) Initial is -6 points. Ryu H, MC > Dante, and NOT (Ganon > MC) should generally be considered locks. (If Leon somehow beats Dante, it doesn't matter because we both have Dante) Which leaves us with: (MC > Yuna, 12 points) (MC > Ganon, 0 points) (Cloud > Ryu, -8 points) (Cloud > Auron, 0 points) (Link > Vincent, -8 points) (Link > Crono, 8 points) Initial is 14 points. This means that in order for Moltar to beat me, we need to have Cloud > Ryu, Link > Vincent, and MC > Ganondorf. Who do you favour, and what are the odds? (Assume that the "locks" mentioned earlier all work out) ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 10/16/2007 1:35:21 PM | message detail |
Looks to me like you'll lose by 2 points if things go how I expect them to. Down 6. Down 2. Snake>Ryu Down 2. Cloud>Auron Down 10. Link>Vincent Down 10. Master Chief>Ganon Down 2. Master Chief>Ganon |
voltch | Posted 10/16/2007 1:36:17 PM | message detail |
i assumed snake took away all of ryu's casual appeal and then riku goes through by taking most of roxas's votes. but in that case the fight becomes incredibly tighter. --- Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest. |
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/16/2007 1:38:09 PM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
voltch | Posted 10/16/2007 1:38:18 PM | message detail |
argh how could i forget snake>sora. maybe riku has more dedicated fans i hope. --- Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest. |
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/16/2007 1:41:50 PM | message detail |
...Yeah. So basically it all comes down to the 3rd round four pack that everyone was wondering about before the contest began. gogo luigi lff(argh i hate that term) ganon to oblivion ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
Haste_2 | Posted 10/16/2007 2:02:37 PM | message detail |
argh how could i forget snake>sora. maybe riku has more dedicated fans i hope. Massive pic-factor. Snake didn't just have the picture advantage... the environment literally favored Snake. In MGS-fashion. And Sora was the victim (enemy) of that. I would say that could easily make the difference between 65% and, say, 61%. That said, Riku doesn't have to SFFed by Snake tomorrow. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
Haste_2 | Posted 10/16/2007 2:04:42 PM | message detail |
Er... in two days. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2007 2:13:17 PM | message detail |
I figure I have a shot at beating Moltar if Snake > Kratos, Link > Zero and Ganondorf > Master Chief in round 4. TuRtLe ~~~ 169/216 in the contest. Next pick: Leon > Yellow Rat BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2007 2:15:35 PM | message detail |
And anybody else noticing Tidus is going even with Vivi since the ASV started? TuRtLe ~~~ 169/216 in the contest. Next pick: Leon > Yellow Rat BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
H__RR____H | Posted 10/16/2007 2:31:24 PM | message detail |
Pikachu just ensured Vivi didn't come back while I was in class.
"Wonderful"...I'll lose afew ranks on the leaderboard for that mistake,
ha. I don't know how I'm still on the leaderboard -- this is the sixth
match I've not gotten full points for this round (today's the twelfth
match this round). Fortunately, the only other risky pick I have this
round is Squall > Sora...if I get that right and the rest of this
round is relatively upset-free (by our expectations now, not
pre-contest), then I might stay on the board for a long time. Might...! --- Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio |
Haste_2 | Posted 10/16/2007 2:35:39 PM | message detail |
I'm still wondering how Hayabusa is stronger than Riku... is it more
because Riku's weakened, or is it because Hayabusa increased in
popularity (or was underrated)? --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
H__RR____H | Posted 10/16/2007 2:49:36 PM | message detail |
I keep wanting to blame Solid/Yoshi, but I forget that Riku and Hayabusa had the same four-pack...grrr. I feel pretty certain that Hayabusa is stronger than last year, even if only marginally. Microsoft's fanbase is as supported here as ever (albeit through the 360) and Ninja Gaiden Sigma came out for the PS3...neither of which are crucial, but I'm sure did SOMETHING to him to help him from last year. If Dante SFF'd Hayabusa, then that makes his jump into this year all the bigger...but I don't think many people besides KH were behind that idea. IF KH2's recency was what made Riku so strong last year, then Riku could be weaker...and, hey, Yoshi beating Dante went against any mathematical logic, so maybe Yoshi over-performed on Dante... ...it's really hard to say, and it could be a number of things. It's still amazing though. --- Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio |
Draco1214 | Posted 10/16/2007 2:51:37 PM | message detail |
I highly doubt Dante SFF'd Hayabusa by any significant amount. That
match falls in line with his previous two years (against Sora and Zero). --- Currently Playing: Fire Emblem Path of Raidance (replay), Wild Arms 3, Persona 3 |
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/16/2007 3:03:25 PM | message detail |
Huh. Completely forgot about Link > Zero. That would be infinitely better than Vincent, at least. argh i love you vincent but please die :( ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2007 3:35:28 PM | message detail |
aww yeah zero bandwagon gaining steam TuRtLe ~~~ 169/216 in the contest. Next pick: Leon > Yellow Rat BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
ZFS | Posted 10/16/2007 4:03:15 PM | message detail |
more like ashe plz die thx --- godslayer |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2007 4:05:32 PM | message detail |
So thoughts about tomorrow? Guru consensus is Kirby > Kratos, but it doesn't reallly make sense that Kirby has such a consensus behind him. I think Kratos should have this in the bag, and Kirby should survive whatever L-block throws at him. L-block > DK is a certainty though <_< TuRtLe ~~~ 169/216 in the contest. Next pick: Leon > Yellow Rat BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/16/2007 4:08:51 PM | message detail |
From ZFS Posted 10/16/2007 7:03:15 PM #378 more like ashe plz die thx http://img512.imageshack.us/img512/4153/vincent1hz1.jpg ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
Master Moltar | Posted 10/16/2007 4:13:16 PM | message detail |
vincent train > zero bandwagon train holds more ppl imotbqh --- Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe Leon/Vivi/Pikachu/Tidus - Bracket: Leon > Vivi - Vote: Leon (183/216) |
Haste_2 | Posted 10/16/2007 4:15:02 PM | message detail |
I never understood why Kirby was favored over Kratos beforehand... I guess people thought Kratos was mediocre mid-carder? And, I'm skeptical about how L-Block will do. I just don't see it holding up well, when I think about. it.. last round it was up against Kirby and two nobodies. Now L-Block has Kratos (and DK) to deal with. I'm expecting L-Block to be inbetween DK and Kirby fairly comfortably, though maybe it could get last. Now, what COULD cause L-Block to do great this round is if it has an improved picture this time around... I think any picture that's more instantly recognizable as a Tetris piece could make a good difference. Why do you have to wait until the last second for them, SBAllen?! It's not like I'm always around an hour or two before the match to correct my Oracle pick... =P --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
ZFS | Posted 10/16/2007 4:18:00 PM | message detail |
what --- godslayer |
creativename | Posted 10/16/2007 4:37:47 PM | message detail |
what I have noticed that this word now seems to encompass about 50% of your vocabulary :) --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
ZFS | Posted 10/16/2007 4:42:09 PM | message detail |
I blame Pokemon, FF fanart (damn you ashe) and this contest! --- godslayer |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/16/2007 4:59:57 PM | message detail |
Time .| Pikachu | Tidus ...| Leon .....| Vivi 01:00 | 25.42% | 19.88% | 32.54% | 22.16% 02:00 | 22.92% | 20.11% | 34.59% | 22.38% 03:00 | 23.19% | 19.97% | 34.60% | 22.23% 04:00 | 22.95% | 20.25% | 33.50% | 23.31% 05:00 | 21.52% | 21.86% | 31.71% | 24.91% 06:00 | 23.57% | 22.09% | 30.85% | 23.49% 07:00 | 25.55% | 19.98% | 32.83% | 21.65% 08:00 | 25.03% | 21.79% | 31.29% | 21.89% 09:00 | 23.61% | 21.29% | 32.23% | 22.86% 10:00 | 22.59% | 21.54% | 31.87% | 23.99% 11:00 | 23.08% | 20.87% | 33.39% | 22.67% 12:00 | 21.29% | 22.37% | 33.27% | 23.07% 13:00 | 20.78% | 21.22% | 34.81% | 23.18% 14:00 | 20.85% | 20.79% | 35.17% | 23.18% 15:00 | 23.38% | 20.97% | 34.27% | 21.38% 16:00 | 25.62% | 20.39% | 32.89% | 21.10% 17:00 | 26.27% | 20.37% | 33.22% | 20.14% 18:00 | 26.17% | 20.01% | 33.05% | 20.77% 19:00 | 25.44% | 21.11% | 33.67% | 19.78% 20:00 | 27.58% | 21.03% | 32.75% | 18.64% I have no idea what just happened in that past hour, but I think Vivi insulted Pikachu's mom and Pikachu got straight up pissed --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
HaRRicH | Posted 10/16/2007 5:31:02 PM | message detail |
Just to note, this is the closest that 4th place has come to winning a match to date. Bravo Tidus? --- PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580 |
smitelf | Posted 10/16/2007 5:33:33 PM | message detail |
Pikachu is a Nintendo character on a Gameboy RPG. Isaac is a Nintendo character in a Gameboy RPG. Pokemon isn't an RPG in the same sense. It's practically its own genre. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
Draco1214 | Posted 10/16/2007 6:53:27 PM | message detail |
Anyone who still believes Kirby > Kratos is happening after all
we've seen (especially after today) is clinging. I'd love for it to
happen for my bracket's sake and my preference, but no. Same with Snake > Ryu H tomorrow. --- Currently Playing: Fire Emblem Path of Raidance (replay), Wild Arms 3, Persona 3 |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2007 7:01:46 PM | message detail |
What the hell just happened? TuRtLe ~~~ 169/216 in the contest. Next pick: Leon > Yellow Rat BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/16/2007 7:03:13 PM | message detail |
internets borked --- CB6 - 158/216; Oracle - 32nd http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg |
Master Moltar | Posted 10/16/2007 7:08:49 PM | message detail |
Site couldn't handle Pikachu in second, so a live sacrifice was needed. --- Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe Leon/Vivi/Pikachu/Tidus - Bracket: Leon > Vivi - Vote: Leon (183/216) |
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/16/2007 7:11:15 PM | message detail |
The only fair solution is to have a redo of this match tomorrow. (Only the hardcore users will know that it is a redo and not just the same match so Vivi will beat Pikachu. Someone convince S-Ballin' gogogo) ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
HaRRicH | Posted 10/16/2007 7:11:20 PM | message detail |
Fortunately, fedor offered himself for the sake of the site. Hochi owes his future success to him now. --- PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580 |
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/16/2007 7:14:06 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2879 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2887 kirby es so screwed --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
HaRRicH | Posted 10/16/2007 7:17:21 PM | message detail |
I'll sacrifice my bracket with pride for three things: 1) If Mega Man wins the contest. 2) If Solid Snake wins the contest. 3) If L-Block wins tomorrow. --- PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580 |
BDawg | Posted 10/16/2007 7:17:47 PM | message detail |
I find it kinda funny that Leon and Tidus pretty much stayed constant
while Pikachu violently assaulted Vivi. I guess one of these days I'll
learn Leon is shockingly (for a RE character) average with the after
school vote (I always fear that he will day vote bomb). --- Should I start running now? |
smitelf | Posted 10/16/2007 7:23:54 PM | message detail |
So thoughts about tomorrow? Guru consensus is Kirby > Kratos, but it doesn't reallly make sense that Kirby has such a consensus behind him. I think Kratos should have this in the bag, and Kirby should survive whatever L-block throws at him. L-block > DK is a certainty though <_< I agree with all of this. I may have Kirby > Kratos in my bracket (not sure why, wishful thinking?), but there's no way Kirby is winning tomorrow with DK in the poll. And, I'm skeptical about how L-Block will do. I just don't see it holding up well, when I think about. it. L-Block will hold up as well as all the other "joke" characters. I'd be really surprised if it didn't get in the low 20s at least, with DK and Kirby being LFFed. --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2007 7:24:35 PM | message detail |
I'd sacrifice my bracket to see Zero back where he was in the good old days. Fortunately, I won't have to sacrifice my bracket since I took that into consideration when making my bracket. TuRtLe ~~~ 169/216 in the contest. Next pick: Leon > Yellow Rat BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/16/2007 7:31:27 PM | message detail |
I still think that Donkey Kong and Kratos are great characters to make
L-Block look even more legit. One is a complete choker, and the other
one is very new to the gaming scene and very casual-friendly. I can see
L-Block siphoning votes from both. --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |