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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 521

nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/15/2007 5:04:23 AM | message detail
How many gurus have Dante > Ada?
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Just to check.
Haste_2 | Posted 10/15/2007 5:06:10 AM | message detail
I don't think Ammy can hold this...

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nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/15/2007 5:06:15 AM | message detail
14 votes for Ada?

Ammy annhilated.
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This match is over!
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/15/2007 5:42:03 AM | message detail
Nice. CT/LTTP repeat?

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PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/15/2007 5:51:39 AM | message detail
And just as Ammy looked like she was willing to give up her lead, she builds it back up to 40. It's funny how if one of the people isn't attempting to make an epic comeback a close match suddenly becomes boring, even if the lead never extends past 80, or whatever it was.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
Draco1214 | Posted 10/15/2007 5:53:16 AM | message detail
Hell, even Balthier is stalling Ada.
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Currently Playing: Fire Emblem Path of Raidance (replay), Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
Yesmar | Posted 10/15/2007 5:55:15 AM | message detail
Woah! Awesome match, but am I the only one who thinks that either Ada or Amaterasu is cheating. It just seems weird to look at those poll updates and see Ada go up, and then Amaterasu come back over and over again.
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"Look out-- It's Liquids and Gases!"
Ultimaphazon | Posted 10/15/2007 5:56:02 AM | message detail
Ammy > Ada >>>>> Balthier would be the greatest result these contest have ever seen.

Ammy is on my must-nominate list for next year.
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/15/2007 5:57:09 AM | message detail
I don't think there's cheating (though I haven't really looked at it closely), it just makes sense that if characters are going to be this close to each other, they're going to be switching 10 vote gains and losses thanks to random variance.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
Kurisu1337 | Posted 10/15/2007 6:00:00 AM | message detail
hay guys i herd u liek mudkipz??

vote mudkipz k?
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/15/2007 6:00:12 AM | message detail
This is getting absolutely ridiculous...
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Kurisu1337 | Posted 10/15/2007 6:01:21 AM | message detail
what's ridiculous??? just make sure mudkip wins because i herd u liek mudkipz
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Lugia2 | Posted 10/15/2007 6:04:30 AM | message detail
what's ridiculous??? just make sure mudkip wins because i herd u liek mudkipz

He didn't advance.
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Yesmar | Posted 10/15/2007 6:05:14 AM | message detail
My mistake. Amaterasu's been the one with the lead most of the time, not Ada.
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"Look out-- It's Liquids and Gases!"
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/15/2007 6:05:24 AM | message detail
Are you, like, a 13 year old who just discovered that meme and wants to throw it everywhere? Just wondering
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WhakkoJacko | Posted 10/15/2007 6:10:23 AM | message detail
Yeah, it's a shame we can't, like, ignore users. >_>

Anyway, GO GO ADA! This is the European after school-vote, Ada is so going to pull away. <_<
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i dont like haley scarnato
Draco1214 | Posted 10/15/2007 6:12:58 AM | message detail
Balthier's been stalling for some time. He isn't going to win (these three were too stable in their previous matches for him to go on a tear), but he might end up looking decent at the end of this.

Well, as decent as you can get in a poll losing to Amaterasu and Ada Wong.
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Currently Playing: Fire Emblem Path of Raidance (replay), Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/15/2007 6:18:39 AM | message detail
If Balthier had any decent competition this round, there's no way I would have taken him to advance. I always felt as though I thought less of Balthier than most of the people here.... I just thought he could beat Ada and a wolf.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
Draco1214 | Posted 10/15/2007 6:23:05 AM | message detail
I merely thought Balthier was going to be Kefka level, but right now, even that seems like a tall order.
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Currently Playing: Fire Emblem Path of Raidance (replay), Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
Diorelli | Posted 10/15/2007 6:25:28 AM | message detail
I think Ammy is going to take this now. This is the highest lead so far at 92. >_>
Who Cares? | Posted 10/15/2007 6:31:44 AM | message detail
Wow, this match has been quite the barnburner. I don't if this has been asked yet (just woke up) but how much did Okami sell? I'm amazed Ammy's been going stride for stride with a RE4 character.
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Current Points: 163
Maximum Possible Points: 723/768
Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/15/2007 6:35:38 AM | message detail
Ammy is a wolf! Tell me, who here hates wolves? Not many people. They're cute.

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Ultimaphazon | Posted 10/15/2007 6:42:28 AM | message detail
Who has the better ASV, Ammy or Ada?
Being from RE, Ada's ASV should be pretty bad, but Okami is a cult game, so Ammy's ASV shouldn't be too good either.
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
transience | Posted 10/15/2007 6:51:20 AM | message detail
100
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Vivi.
"All I can do... is just sit with them."
Master Moltar | Posted 10/15/2007 6:52:43 AM | message detail
Wow, back and forth struggle all night, with the lead finally breaking 100 now. Didn't think it would be this tight.

Go Ammy, you wolfie thang!
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Dante/Ammy/Ada/Balthier - Bracket: Dante > Balthier - Vote: Ammy (179/208)
charmander6000 | Posted 10/15/2007 6:54:00 AM | message detail
This match is great.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 43: Dante > Balthier Points: 153/208
Diorelli | Posted 10/15/2007 7:10:16 AM | message detail
Oh noes, Ada is faltering.

Fight, fight, fight Ada!
The Mana Sword | Posted 10/15/2007 7:11:55 AM | message detail
So what's the dealie here?

Is this Ammy having some kind of legit strength, Ada/Balthier have no strength (making Jade look sub-Tanner in the process), or Dante SFFing the crap out of Ada?
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Master Moltar | Posted 10/15/2007 7:14:28 AM | message detail
Yes (if by legit you mean high fodder at most)
Yes
No
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Dante/Ammy/Ada/Balthier - Bracket: Dante > Balthier - Vote: Ammy (179/208)
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/15/2007 7:16:30 AM | message detail
Wow, Ammy's lead is skyrocketing
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Oracle Prediction: ~ Dante 43.53% - Wang 21.24% - David Bowie 18.41% - Lassie 16.82%~ Status: OK
miniver | Posted 10/15/2007 7:21:08 AM | message detail
So how much of a lead does Ammy need by 3:00 to actually win this? Or will she also win the after school vote?
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/15/2007 7:25:45 AM | message detail
200 votes, and it's a steel lock within a hollowed book inside a successful bank.
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/15/2007 7:27:03 AM | message detail
And there's two-hundred...GAME.


Seriously, I'd say 700 puts Ammy in a great position of power unless Ada breaks trends.
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Master Moltar | Posted 10/15/2007 7:28:33 AM | message detail
Winning the during school vote isn't a good sign that you'll win the after school vote, but Ada isn't going to take it either.

So um...no clue really. I'd feel pretty safe at 500 honestly, because I'm not seeing any huge shifts between the two.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Dante/Ammy/Ada/Balthier - Bracket: Dante > Balthier - Vote: Ammy (179/208)
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/15/2007 7:29:32 AM | message detail
Wow, it took ten minutes shy of ten hours for a hundred vote lead to show up...That's gotta be some type of record.
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transience | Posted 10/15/2007 7:29:50 AM | message detail
Wesker was particularly bad during this time, too.. weird how that is seeing as how RE1-3 seem to excel during this time.

WOO DOG
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Vivi.
"All I can do... is just sit with them."
Master Moltar | Posted 10/15/2007 7:36:03 AM | message detail
Now that Ammy's ahead I just want to see Dante keep rising.

You got nothing and nothing's got you.
I can see your pain, it surrounds you.
Built with strife and insight but it's not enough.
I'll defeat and discreet your every move.

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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Dante/Ammy/Ada/Balthier - Bracket: Dante > Balthier - Vote: Ammy (179/208)
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/15/2007 7:51:47 AM | message detail
I go away for an hour and...

god dammit Ada you useless whore. Fight, you *****, fight
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/15/2007 8:01:56 AM | message detail
Well, Ada has just made two good cuts through Ammy's lead

I expect an Ammy spike next...
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Oracle Prediction: ~ Dante 43.53% - Wang 21.24% - David Bowie 18.41% - Lassie 16.82%~ Status: OK
creativename | Posted 10/15/2007 8:04:00 AM | message detail
What in the world was up with Yuna's prediction % last round? I mean that's just ridiculous. How could it possibly have been that low? She was the obvious choice, who else were they picking?

10% had her beating Chief in round 1, only 21% even had her placing in round 2!?


YoAriel:
Who would be the strongest non-gaming character?
Darth Vader
Spider-Man
Wolverine
Batman
I've narrowed it down to these four, and I really doubt it could be anyone else.


Same people I've said for a while.

Imagine him tearing through the bracket at an unprecedented level only to get his Episode 1 picture against Link.

Haha :)

Do you think Bacon would ever bite on a contest like this? I'm sure the board would be unanimously in favor of it.

I could be a "fictional character to ever appear in a game" contest. I don't see it happening though.

Star Wars would be like the FF7 of the contest. Han Solo, Luke, Yoda, Darth Maul, maybe Boba Fett would all be among the most powerful characters, but most wouldn't make it via nominations.

Mudkip hurt Luigi more than he did Ganondorf.

Very possible.


RPGamer0
And you don't think Superman has any shot?

Superman couldn't beat Batman in a poll except at a Superman fan site. Batman is more popular. He might SFF Superman.


Haste2
The effect of LFF is overrated for the most part.

Seems to be fairly substantial actually. Definitely the one factor that keeps owning Oracle picks above all others.

Bowser didn't gain that much on Ryu the next round,

Actually he did gain quite a bit, though not as much as expected. Also, there was that weird Shadow drop-off-the-earth. If it really was because of Bowser like some think, well, maybe Bowser got jobbed twice. I'm not sure about that one though.

I wouldn't be surprised if Yuna actually got fourth place next round, despite Luigi and Ganondorf being together.

Neither would I. Anything could happen there.

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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/15/2007 8:04:49 AM | message detail
Two Ada cuts! There's still hope!

One more and it's a trend, right?
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creativename | Posted 10/15/2007 8:06:59 AM | message detail
There's certainly hope for Ada fans. If either manages any sort of real advantage with the ASV, they should have it.

Right now though I don't think any such advantage would be very much.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/15/2007 8:09:49 AM | message detail
If Ada takes the ASV by, like, 5 votes per update then they go even again with the second night vote, she wins, right?
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SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/15/2007 8:10:52 AM | message detail
2 hours time is the Ammy spike hour IMO. n_n
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
Ranked: #16th in the Character Battle 2006. (207 Points)
Big Bob | Posted 10/15/2007 8:25:00 AM | message detail
So Ammy and Ada have been going head to head all match, except for the morning where Ammy was winning fairly easily?

Ammy's got this. Go wolf!
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"You're slowing going from Nixon to Mr. Burns." -Jon Stewart on Bush
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/15/2007 8:25:05 AM | message detail
You think something should be happenning of some sort. And it almost looks like it is. And then you glimpse back and realise in the past 40 minutes there's been a change of 3 votes.
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Christ on a ****ing mountain, something must change or I'll explode.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/15/2007 8:26:09 AM | message detail
Could someone post the hourlies for Ada's last match?

I still can't figure out which file I'm supposed to open...I have Office, but that doesn't seem to help.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/15/2007 8:26:33 AM | message detail
They're beginning to hover around the same area, as they were before. Only now, Ammy has a significant lead whereas before it was much lower. How many lead changes has it been, btw?

*waits for update*

****ing hell, Ada, you're a whore. Jesus...
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/15/2007 8:50:36 AM | message detail
One of the closest wire to wire matches, why couldn't it have been between 2 good characters? Or at least 2 characters that somebody actually has advancing?

TuRtLe
~~~
165/208 in the contest. Next pick: Danta > Han Solo
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/15/2007 8:52:33 AM | message detail
Ammy and Ada are both very likeable. I think most people are gone beyond the stage of caring about results based on their brackets.
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
Ranked: #16th in the Character Battle 2006. (207 Points)
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