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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 520

SonicRaptor | Posted 10/14/2007 5:00:35 PM | message detail
Master Chief is the character thats most popular among the people who started to game last gen.

Then why am I playing Halo 3 more than anything right now despite myself gaming for 20 years now?
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/14/2007 5:02:00 PM | message detail
Then why am I playing Halo 3 more than anything right now despite myself gaming for 20 years now?

Try comprehending what he said.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
EvilPrinny | Posted 10/14/2007 5:02:08 PM | message detail
I didnt say hes not popular with long tiem gamers, too. But Halo is the most popular game series of last gen, and Master Chief was by far the most popular character first introduced last gen. So alot of people know him. I mean, does Sonic have his own drink? >_>
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Dood! I'm another alt of Albion Hero!
creativename | Posted 10/14/2007 5:06:37 PM | message detail
Liquid Snake doing abysmal here. No one could have foreseen this level of suckitude.

The first thought that occurs is that MC is SFFing him somehow. Which, if true, might actually be the 2nd instance of MC benefitting from SFF (rather than being hurt by LFF like almost everyone else) - he might have done something similar to Vercetti.

Oracle-wise this match seems to be going as expected, except with Liquid underperforming by the number of points that MC is overperforming by. Could be a coincidence, but it does leap out at you.

I don't know what kind of SFF MC could get on Liquid - "casual SFF" between Chief and Vercetti made plenty of sense to me, but Liquid? Doesn't really seem like there should be overlap there.
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EvilPrinny | Posted 10/14/2007 5:08:00 PM | message detail
Liquid and MC are SFFing the people who like good characters
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Dood! I'm another alt of Albion Hero!
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/14/2007 5:08:47 PM | message detail
...You're joking, right?
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
SonicRaptor | Posted 10/14/2007 5:09:00 PM | message detail
Alright, I get what you are saying, I take back what I said...Halo is pretty popular because it takes what FPS games established as "right" for the genre and refined them. That's where a vast majority of it's appeal comes from, Halo has the most easy-to-learn online play to boot as well.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
BesaidGuy | Posted 10/14/2007 5:09:02 PM | message detail
that right there is my main reason for taking MC to the finals.

he will not be sff or lff in anyway, making him quite the performer in this format.
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Leader of the Master Chief Bandwagon
Believe
SonicRaptor | Posted 10/14/2007 5:13:59 PM | message detail
Yeah, I cannot think of one character that might SFF Master Chief.

MAYBE Marcus Fenix, but that's just speculation.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/14/2007 5:19:09 PM | message detail
Alright underlings, fill me in on what you think happened in (Don't worry, I'll correct you theories if need be)


- The last half of Link's match. When I left, he was at about 46.5%... what the hell happened?
- Crono/Zero. I hope you don't think Zero is a powerhouse... Crono just sucks. Look at how piss-poor Frog and Magus have done
- Ganondorf/Luigi.Could Luigi coming so close bode ill for Ganon next round? It should be widely accepted that Mudkip fans will more likely flock to Luigi.
- Today. WTF at Master Chief?

-
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Failure
swirldude has exposed me as a prediction fraud.
redrocket | Posted 10/14/2007 5:21:20 PM | message detail
It should be widely accepted that Mudkip fans will more likely flock to Luigi.

I would like a more detailed explanation of this theory.

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From his looks Magus is Macho Man Randy Savage as an anime zombie. The black wind howls, and one of you will snap into a Slim Jim ooh yeeeah! -sonicblastpunch
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/14/2007 5:21:53 PM | message detail
luigi and mudkip are both good guys.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2007 5:23:13 PM | message detail
more like luigi and mukip both suck mirite

(hint hint luigi has a vaccum)
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
MC/Yuna/Alucard/Liquid - Bracket: MC > Yuna - Vote: Liquid (171/200)
EvilPrinny | Posted 10/14/2007 5:30:26 PM | message detail
how far do you have MC going, Hochi
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Dood! I'm another alt of Albion Hero!
charmander6000 | Posted 10/14/2007 5:35:10 PM | message detail
Hey I'm back from my trip.

Crono/Zero - Not looking good for Crono next round.
Ganondorf/Luigi - lol at Mudkip leading for a few hours
Master Chief/Yuna - MC is a beast and what happened in LS/Alucard?
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 42: Master Chief > Yuna Points: 145/200
SonicRaptor | Posted 10/14/2007 5:35:35 PM | message detail
Yeah, it's going to be Ganondorf/MC advancing to the next round. What's really going to be crazy is how close MC could get to Ganondorf.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
EvilPrinny | Posted 10/14/2007 5:36:22 PM | message detail
You think ganondorf will BEAT mc? lol.
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redrocket | Posted 10/14/2007 5:37:21 PM | message detail
^don't you mean how close ganondorf will get to mc?

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From his looks Magus is Macho Man Randy Savage as an anime zombie. The black wind howls, and one of you will snap into a Slim Jim ooh yeeeah! -sonicblastpunch
BesaidGuy | Posted 10/14/2007 5:41:22 PM | message detail
Master Chief drops nearly 40% on Ganondorf. Bank on it.
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Leader of the Master Chief Bandwagon
Believe
BesaidGuy | Posted 10/14/2007 5:41:22 PM | message detail
Master Chief drops nearly 40% on Ganondorf. Bank on it.
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Leader of the Master Chief Bandwagon
Believe
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/14/2007 5:56:04 PM | message detail
Link
Samus
Master Chief
Sonic

Who wins this fourpack?
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Feel my truth.
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/14/2007 5:57:33 PM | message detail
Link.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
swirIdude | Posted 10/14/2007 5:59:41 PM | message detail
Samus is a throwaway, Link wins, so it's between MC and Sonic. Gotta give it to MC.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
Seginustemple | Posted 10/14/2007 5:59:56 PM | message detail
It should be widely accepted that Mudkip fans will more likely flock to Luigi.

Yeah, and I suspect about 80% of Vergil's votes will go straight to the green plumber too, right?
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
creativename | Posted 10/14/2007 6:22:44 PM | message detail
It should be widely accepted that Mudkip fans will more likely flock to Luigi.

You know I never thought of this, but it does sound right. And Vergil should be neutral. We'll see though.


Link
Samus
Master Chief
Sonic
Who wins this fourpack?


Are you kidding? Link demolishes everybody. If you think MC's independence will mean jack against Link you are sadly mistaken, he gets crushed, though he might take 2nd.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/14/2007 6:46:11 PM | message detail
Match XLIII: Dante vs Amaterasu vs Ada Wong vs Balthier

Past Matches

Round 1

Dante - 49.19%
Amaterasu - 22.75%
Little Mac - 16.54%
Matt - 11.52%

Ada Wong - 38.42%
Balthier - 33.00%
Frank West - 20.13%
Jade Curtiss - 8.45%

Analysis

Well I’m back from my trip with just a few hours to spare. Last round we saw Dante getting the highest percent that isn’t from the noble nine while Amaterasu was able to round up what was left of the percent and comfortably took second. Ada Wong took the upset and was easily able to beat the heavily favored Balthier in the lowest scoring match of the tournament.

Like last round Dante is in one of the weakest four-pack of the round and like last round Dante is going to win big in this match. This match is so weak that Dante should have no problem breaking 40% in this match I wouldn’t be surprised if he took 45% without much trouble, his opponents aren’t that much stronger compare to last round.

Due to the flop of Balthier Ada has become the favorite to take second in this match. Amaterasu may have done better than Ada is expected to, but she does have Resident Evil 4 for the Wii to work with though because all the characters were new we don’t know by how much or if any. Ada must be one of the luckiest fodder characters ever, not only does she win a match twice, but she the favorite at getting to round three.

While Amaterasu was crushed by Dante last round she does have a chance at beating Ada. She did do better than Ada was expected to do though she would have to hope for a minimal RE4 Wii boost to be able to beat Ada and by looking at Leon’s performance last round that might not happen. There is also a chance of Capcom fanbase overlap, but I’ve never really seen it happen and I don’t expect that it would happen, but that could give Amaterasu a free pass to the next round.

Balthier really disappointed last round and like many people on the board I have him going to round three though I don’t expect that will happen. I guess like FFVI there isn’t a central character that the fans can all agree on supporting. Despite both Vaan and Balthier failing hard I would like to see Ashe in the contest to see how she would do.

Since I have no faith in Balthier coming in second I’m going with my favorite and have Amaterasu coming in second. However if Ada does win it could be interesting seeing if Leon is largely affected and if Pikachu can get close enough we could see the little rat making it to round four.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Dante > Balthier

charmander6000’s Prediction: Dante - 44.37%, Amaterasu - 20.72%, Ada Wong - 20.12%, Balthier - 14.79%

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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 42: Master Chief > Yuna Points: 145/200
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/14/2007 7:03:26 PM | message detail
Hochi, I know you're essentially an elite at this point but do you mind sharing your insight with the rest of us on how Luigi beats Master Chief


Certainly. MC might beat Luigi next round but that's because Luigi will be hindered by the weak Ganondorf. The round after though, Luigi is a lock to win. You have one Nintendo character (Luigi) and three "shooter-guys" (Dante, MC and Leon). Seems easy enough.
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Failure
swirldude has exposed me as a prediction fraud.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2007 7:05:09 PM | message detail
But won't MC Green SFF Luigi? I'm sorry but your logic is flawed.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
MC/Yuna/Alucard/Liquid - Bracket: MC > Yuna - Vote: Liquid (171/200)
Janus5000 | Posted 10/14/2007 7:05:49 PM | message detail
Not if Luigi is hindered by Pikachu !!
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/14/2007 7:05:58 PM | message detail
lol dante being a shooter guy
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/14/2007 7:06:06 PM | message detail
Green SFF? Let's not be silly here.
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Failure
swirldude has exposed me as a prediction fraud.
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/14/2007 7:06:56 PM | message detail
oh jeeze but mc has the energy sword so mc will sword + gun guy sff dante into the ground
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 10/14/2007 7:10:42 PM | message detail
That actually.......makes sense. If MC is getting SFF on Liquid today, why not?
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 143/200 -- T-668 (125 way)
Bracket: Yuna > Master Chief -- Vote: Yuna
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/14/2007 7:11:35 PM | message detail
Except he isn't.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
Janus5000 | Posted 10/14/2007 7:11:59 PM | message detail
...SFF? This is just what happens to people that beat Alucard.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
Seginustemple | Posted 10/14/2007 7:12:17 PM | message detail
Green SFF? Let's not be silly here.

Seriously people. Don't forget MC is probably going to be getting some SPF on Luigi, too.
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/14/2007 7:12:58 PM | message detail
From Janus5000 Posted 10/14/2007 10:11:59 PM #235
...SFF? This is just what happens to people that beat Alucard.

oh damn there goes my mc > yuna pick. =/
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2007 7:30:07 PM | message detail
- The last half of Link's match. When I left, he was at about 46.5%... what the hell happened?

Your bracket dying is what happened

- Crono/Zero. I hope you don't think Zero is a powerhouse... Crono just sucks. Look at how piss-poor Frog and Magus have done

Magus and Frog were piss poor in 2005 too, but Crono had no trouble being the second strongest character in the main bracket.

- Ganondorf/Luigi.Could Luigi coming so close bode ill for Ganon next round? It should be widely accepted that Mudkip fans will more likely flock to Luigi.

Most of Mudkip's votes were joke votes. Luigi would need a very high overlap with Kipper to be able to beat Ganondorf, and I don't see it happening.

- Today. WTF at Master Chief?

Once again, the sound of your bracket dying

aww yeah

TuRtLe
~~~
157/200 in the contest. Next pick: The Chief > The Summoner
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2007 7:31:28 PM | message detail
So people think Amatasersu has a shot despite her barely breaking 20% with 2 bottom of the barrel fodder characters in the match?

TuRtLe
~~~
157/200 in the contest. Next pick: The Chief > The Summoner
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2007 7:32:26 PM | message detail
*Amaterasu

But you're getting better though!
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
MC/Yuna/Alucard/Liquid - Bracket: MC > Yuna - Vote: Liquid (171/200)
Keno316 | Posted 10/14/2007 8:10:19 PM | message detail
I forgot Ammy was in this match! Lets hope she makes some noise and finishes over Balthier at least.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/14/2007 8:12:23 PM | message detail
Erm...even MC's next match won't tell us much about his strength, since it'll have two characters scoring major LFF on each other.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
ZFS | Posted 10/14/2007 8:13:47 PM | message detail
Amaterasu over Balthier? Man, get that outta here!

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let's mosey
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2007 8:14:12 PM | message detail
You know, I was just thinking about today and why Liquid is looking like crap. We've seen FF7/MGS overlap before, but what about Auron/Big Boss 2k5? We already saw BB overperform in round 1, before he got Naked Snake. Maybe he was badly underrated in 2005 by being behind not only Samus/Ganondorf, but Auron SFF as well?

TuRtLe
~~~
157/200 in the contest. Next pick: The Chief > The Summoner
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BDawg | Posted 10/14/2007 8:15:41 PM | message detail
Eh leech or not the next round will show us what Chief will do in the face of Nintendo as opposed to the Playstation clusters he's been facing. Seriously I would love it if he crumbles (as in barely beating Dorf or something).
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Should I start running now?
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2007 8:18:06 PM | message detail
Next round tells us nothing, because if anything, Ganon/Luigi will have a much higher overlap than Yuna/Liquid. I wouldn't be surprised if Chief pushes for 40% again. The only match that will give us an idea of where chief sits is the round 5 match with Ganondorf/Dante/Leon or Pikachu

TuRtLe
~~~
157/200 in the contest. Next pick: The Chief > The Summoner
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2007 8:33:15 PM | message detail
Division 6: Round 2 - Match 43 – Dante vs. Amaterasu vs. Ada Wong vs. Balthier

Moltar’s Analysis

Dante
Round 1 – 49.19% vs. Amaterasu, Little Mac and Matt

Beating down some dudes is nothing to him.

Ammy
Round 1 – 22.75% vs. Dante, Little Mac and Matt

Looks like people actually started playing Okami!

Ada
Round 1 – 38.42% vs. Balthier, Frank and Jade

mmm mmm yum

Balthier
Round 1 – 33.00% vs. Ada, Frank and Jade

bububububut Final Fantasy XII

AUGH AUGH AUGH DIVISON 6 RETURNS HIDE THE CHILDREN!

Yeah, the Division that most of us bombed in Round 1 is back with a vengeance. Pre-Contest, Dante > Balthier was pretty much a lock. Since then, some spice has been added to the match. Mainly, Amaterasu making it here, Balthier being Lolthier, and Ada doing so well because the voters want to…aww yeah.

So, first thing’s first….place that is. Dante takes it without much trouble. Amaterasu is also the most likely candidate for last place. Yeah, she did advance with a pretty decent number, but look at her competition. I mean, who would pick THEM to advance (mmm mmm hindsight)

The battle for second, in my opinion, is between Ada and Balthier. Now, Ada surprised many last round by easily taking first in her group. Now, you know your fourpack is crap when Ada “I got killed by Samus” freakin’ Wong takes it. The big big big question here is how she holds up with Dante, a well-known character. Here, she doesn’t get the “Oh, she was the chick in RE4 and I have no clue who in the hell the rest of these characters are” vote. I think that’s going to be something that will hit her hard.

Balthier, on the other hand, probably got most of his votes from fans of FFXII or FF in general. That saying, he should hold up better here than Ada. Yeah, call it me clinging to my bracket, but I think Balthier will *somewhat* redeem himself for the embarrassment last round.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Dante > Balthier

Moltar’s Prediction is: Dante: 43% - Balthier: 21% - Ada: 19% - Ammy: 17%



Ultimaterializer’s Analysis

I'm fairly sure Board 8 consensus had Balthier winning his match with Ada in second, but he completely embarrassed himself in the first round's lowest-scoring match.

Dante has a very easy first place here, and the only way Ada doesn't get second place is if we see some whacky PS2 SFF in the match. We've seen it before (Snake/Sora, FF7 vs anything in the PSx era, etc), but I don't know if people care about these characters enough to have them deviate from the norm. Dante > Ada seems safe enough.

Ulti's Prediction:
Dante [44.00%]
Ada [21.00%]
Balthier [19.00%]
Ammy [16.00%]


Heroic Mario’s Analysis

Man, what in the world happened to Balthier last round? Losing to Ada Wong is not how you wanna come out in your first contest match. Fortunately, I think he has a chance to turn around in this match. Delusional? Maybe – but it’s the leading man, yo!

There have been a few folks to bring it up (tran, notably, I think) about the possibility of Ada “collapsing” when she runs into someone more well-known, like Dante. I’m not sure how true that may be, but if today is any indication with Liquid, there may be something to it. We’re seeing right now that someone can go from winning last round to not even being competitive. While I don’t think it’ll go that far, Balthier might be the Alucard of this one and reverse the result!
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2007 8:33:52 PM | message detail
If nothing else, Balthier should easily have the more dedicated fanbase here. I know some people don’t really buy into that, but if Ada does lose some of that casual support, she’s gotta rely on the bigger Ada Wong fans (man what). Balthier may not be where some of us expected him to be, but he’s still from Final Fantasy, and he’ll get that chunk of the vote.

Yeah, there may not be a lot going for Balthier this round, aside from having to rely on some goofy stuff, but eh, I don’t think he’s in nearly as bad a position as some are saying. Even if he doesn’t advance here, I do expect him to be a lot closer to Ada than he was last round. And Amaterasu? Get that thing outta here – it ain’t beating Balthier!!

Dante – 35%
Balthier – 25%
Ada Wong – 23%
Amaterasu – 17%


Bracket: Dante > Balthier
Vote: Balthier


Yoblazer’s Analysis

My goodness, Chief's domination is making Dante's weak performance against three total pieces of fodder look even worse. I was a firm believer that Dante and Leon's casual LFF (I'm still not sure what that stands for, but it looks nice) would allow the Nintendo rep, most likely Ganondorf, to come in first ahead of Master Chief, but I'm not nearly as confident now. Regardless, Dante's competition hasn't improved drastically over the last round, so he'll cruise to another win, and we'll have to wait another round to see how he performs against real competition. Needless to say, Dante really lucked out with his draw; it's the easiest 8-pack of the field by a wide margin.

His hapless competitors are three entrants who shocked us for two different reasons. While Ada Wong and Amaterasu can be considered two of the first round's strongest performers, Balthier Bunansa, who nearly everyone has in a comfortable second place today, was undoubtedly one of the weakest. Balthier was expected to cruise in the first round against fodderific competition. Instead, he lost to the lovely Ada by 5.5%. It has to rank up there as one of the worst first impressions we've seen in recent years, and a real testament to just how little GameFAQs, an RPG haven, cares about FFXII.

There have been theories about Balthier benefiting from some Dante/Ada casual SFF en route to a razor thin second place finish. I won't say it's impossible. Actually, the proof is staring us in the face right now. Alucard and Liquid went dead even last round, yet one of them is leading by over 6% today. Based on that alone, I'd come across very arrogant to say Balthier has zero chance, but whatever chance he does have is super slim. There may indeed be casual SFF, but I don't think it will be enough to let Balthier pull through, not when FFXII has already fallen on its face twice and its becoming more apparent that no one cares about the characters. Heck, I wouldn't be surprised if Dante hurts Balthier more and Ada holds up surprisingly well after the popular RE4Wii.

Also, I think Amaterasu might surprise people here. The wolf held up surprisingly well against Dante and crushed the other two weaklings, so it may actually have a decent fanbase. On the other hand, the ease of its win may be attributed to the fact that it had the coolest picture by far, an advantage no one really has in today's match.

Dante - 41%
Ada Wong - 22%
Balthier Bunansa - 19%
Amaterasu - 18%



Lopen’s Analysis

"To take me out you must fight like a man
You've yet to proven that you can
I see your might it compares to something
That is if something is nothing"
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2007 8:34:49 PM | message detail
Anyone who is worth their salt as far as knowing Dante goes had this enter their mind when deciding this match. Now this raises the question.. who is the most manly fighter here? Alright, so in corner three, we've got a dog... that turns into a girl, that... fights with a paintbrush or something. Pretty much the antithesis of fighting like a man. I think we can safely Amaterasu is not in the running.

Then we've got Ada Wong and Balthier. Intuition says that the one who is actually a man fights more like a man. So therefo-- no... upon I... well... no. Ada Wong fights more like a man, there's no question about this.

Uh... uh... but... dammit! That doesn't say what I want at all! Damn you Ada for being so badass. Fine, a different approach.

Ada beat Balthier last round, but I don't think her fanbase will hold very well when put up against a badass guns glory demon slaying demon like Dante. It wasn't a huge defecit Balthier had to overcome last round, and his more devoted fanbase should hold against stronger competition better in general. Not to mention that Dante might be the closest thing to a direct trump Ada has.. their games are both Capcom and kinda similar in appeal. Though I suppose Ada is primarily Gamecube, which might make it less of a direct trump. Still, I think any popular character in general would do it enough to put her below Balthier just barely... we'll see, though!

Amaterasu has a chance too... a small chance, but 22% on Dante isn't too bad. I don't expect any of these three to outdo that today... course her competition is far from the FNBA this time... (Fodder National Boxing Association for those keeping score at home)

Lopen's prediction:
Dante - 41.14%
Balthier - 22.02%
Ada Wong - 20.80%
Amaterasu - 16.04%



Guest’s Analysis - satai_delenn

"Look, Agni. We have guests."
"Guests? How exciting, Rudra! We haven't had guests in a very long time."
"They look like they're fighting, brother. Who do you think will win?"
"Hmm. Hmmm. Oh, look, one of them is the son of Sparda, that rather rude young man who visited us last time we had a guest."
"Ah yes, the one who was sighing. He was very strong, wasn't he? Yes, he was the one who was able to defeat us."
"Yes, yes. Surely, if he can defeat us, he can defeat two humans and a …dog?"
"That's a wolf, Agni."
"What is 'wolf'?"
"Well, you see, a 'wolf' is a kind of wild dog that—wait a minute, we were talking about the fight! Don't change the subject!"
"…sorry."


*ahem* That's enough of letting two swords write my analysis for me.

What a strange match. Three Capcom characters and…Balthier. All four from games that appeared on PS2. First place and last place are fairly obvious, I should think; it's the middle two that require some thought.

I'll start with the wolf. It unfortunately finds itself in a match with three fairly recognizable/popular characters from three very popular franchises and to be honest, if it weren't for the contest I'd have had no idea what its name was. Okami made a bit of a splash when it came out, but it seems too cult to allow its main character to do much here. Sorry, Ammy.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2007 8:35:19 PM | message detail
Then there's everybody's favorite half-demon badass. Awwwww yeah. (Wonder why satai took this match…) Dante's the clear winner here, it's really just a matter of how many of his votes Ada will eat. How much will she affect Dante's performance? A bit, perhaps, but she's not even Leon Kennedy, let alone someone Dante should fear. He should be able to cruise to another comfortable first place. And when I say "cruise to another comfortable first place," I mean "pound in the faces of everyone who gets in his way and even some who don't, because he's just that freaking awesome." Especially since they used his DMC3 picture instead of the terrible DMC2 one. Woohoo!

Now then. The interesting part! Ada looked pretty good last round, despite being up against a Final Fantasy protagonist (lol Vaan). She's got potential to take a lot of the casual vote here—she's got the "hot chick" factor, the "multiple platform" factor, and the "RE4 is really really popular" factor. Arguably she'll take a lot of the Nintendo vote, having the only game here that appeared on a Nintendo console. When I first looked at the match, I took her for second and was prepared not to look back. Then again…

Balthier performed kind of pathetically last round compared to expectations. In retrospect, FF12 wasn't very widely liked in comparison with its fellow FF games, and it's almost impressive how many people didn't bother to finish it despite the huge amount of hype that accompanied its release. That said, Balthier himself was one of the highlights of the game for anyone who did bother to play it, and there's no question that he's its most popular character.

"But satai," you say, "you already made Ada sound like the obvious second place winner!" Yeah, I did. She's got a lot going for her. But with Dante around, I think she'll be the victim of a little "Capcom action game with guns SFF" or "DMC/RE QXGJPFF" or whatever they're calling these things these days. Being the only RPG character and a Square one to boot, if Balthier plays his cards right (and what pirate worth his salt doesn't play a good hand of poker?) he should be able to capitalize just enough on this to squeak past into second place.

Ada Wong? More like Ada Wrong! >_>

…sorry. Flashbacks to last year. Won't happen again, I swear.

Satai's vote: gosh i dunno let's see who shou—DANTE, SON OF
SPARDA.

Satai's prediction:
Dante – 43.42%
Amaterasu – 14.02%
Ada Wong – 21.23%
Balthier Bunansa – 21.33% whoa upset



Crew Consensus: Even after the loss last round, we're thinking Balthier takes second and Dante takes first.
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