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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 519

MadGamer_11 | Posted 10/13/2007 12:42:17 PM | message detail
If Yuna doesn't advance next round I'm so screwed. I have her going to round 4.
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"To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2007 12:44:11 PM | message detail
And I fail to see how Squall's performance was crappy. Aeris disappointed last year, but not to the extent that Squall would SFF her harder than he did Tidus.

TuRtLe
~~~
149/192 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Luigi
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
TexasAggie | Posted 10/13/2007 12:46:25 PM | message detail
Some of you need to stop getting hard for subby. His relationship to sonic has more to do with the fact that sonic sucks in this format, than with any subby boost.
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Contest pts: 115 (leaderboard position #27)
Today: Cloud>Jill
SonicRaptor | Posted 10/13/2007 12:53:53 PM | message detail
If Yuna doesn't advance next round I'm so screwed. I have her going to round 4.

I'm having a feeling she will, but behind MC. I don't know how Liquid Snake or Alucard would fare, personally I'm more worried about Liquid Snake pulling another upset.

Yuna will be lucky to make it to Round 4, if MC's strength holds.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2007 12:54:45 PM | message detail
Round 3: Master Chief > Ganondorf

Believe
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
BDawg | Posted 10/13/2007 12:57:08 PM | message detail
I think it's a shame 4chan had to pull their BS, it seems Mudkip would legitimately score in the lower twenties and that would look fine. I don't even want to guess what "joke" voters do but it will be interesting to see who the Pokemon voters back next round. Tomorrow Yuna has to prove to me she can put some decent distance between her and Liquid/Alucard before I'd say she can capitalize on the Nintendo split.
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Should I start running now?
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2007 12:57:08 PM | message detail
MC > Ganondorf next round looks like a lock. Round 4 Ganondorf > MC looks likely too.

TuRtLe
~~~
149/192 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Luigi
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2007 12:59:25 PM | message detail
Uh oh, BT is guaranteeing that my bracket is right, that's not good.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
consolefreak | Posted 10/13/2007 1:11:28 PM | message detail
MC > Ganondorf next round looks like a lock. Round 4 Ganondorf > MC looks likely too.

TuRtLe


A 'lock'? .. How? Yuna looks better than Zero, honestly. And I wouldn't go anywhere near saying Zero not advancing is a 'lock'.
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148/192. Today : Ganondorf > Luigi. Tomorrow : Master Chief > Yuna
*One_Winged_Ange*
creativename | Posted 10/13/2007 1:23:13 PM | message detail
This is Korea we're talking about. A Starcraft forum there would be the equivalent of... well, Gamefaqs here. They have competitive leagues that get thousands of viewers. Starcraft is to Korea like the NFL is to America.

I used to think this topic ganging up on you was just mass lemming bandwagon crap, but seriously man. Stop it with this Starcraft stuff. It's a joke.
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BesaidGuy | Posted 10/13/2007 1:29:28 PM | message detail
Ganondorf has NO CHANCE against Master Chief. I expect MC to drop another 45-47% this round.

I believe he is going to get boosted even more AFTER Halo 3 comes out.


Either I am going to be terribly inaccurate and someone will quote this post and make fun of me, or my MC to the Finals bandwagon will get another passanger.

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FuturamandFFX/TheRealoSix
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MadGamer_11 | Posted 10/13/2007 1:34:57 PM | message detail
BOLD PREDICTION: Yuna gets 30%
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"To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX
swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2007 1:40:32 PM | message detail
I'm afraid I only have MC in the Final 8. That might have been a mistake, given Sonic's performance.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
octoinky | Posted 10/13/2007 1:41:38 PM | message detail
I'm setting up a "double elimination" 32 character bracket as a proposal for next year.

I took out Link Cloud Seph Mario.


If you are unfamiliar with the way a double elimination bracket is setup, google has good results, and I'll post an example of a filled bracket.

Just for example, the bracket I've currently worked out has the following potential matchups in it, but I'd like to get some better round 1 loser matches:



Sonic Ryu
Bowser Squall
Sonic Squall
MC Ganondorf
Megaman Ganondorf
Sonic Squall
Sonic Megaman (again)
Zelda Vincent
Snake Vincent
Auron Crono
Snake Samus
Sonic Samus
Zero Auron
Zero Vivi
Tifa Zelda
Ganondorf Squall
Squall Snake
Ryu Luigi
MC Dante
Subzero Frog
MC Subzero
Crono Ryu
Vincent MC
Crono Vincent
Megaman Vincent
Snake Megaman



And then in terms of the first rounds / first round losers bracket, these are some of the more "fodder" matches that show up after ranks 17-32 lose at first

RD 1 matches..
Vivi subzero
Leon Tifa
Zelda Sora
Yoshi Vincent
Dante Zero


RD1 losers
Mewtwo Fox
Yuna Kirby
DK Vivi
Kratos Alucard
Luigi Tifa
Sora Yoshi
Yuna Dante
Frog Marcus..




As you can see, a double elimination format with only 32 strong characters gives a *lot* of possibilities, as we see a ton of noble 9 matches as well as midcard matchups, and each of the top tier non noble 9 get TWO shots at the noble 9, or atleast shots against eachother.



I really hope we can push for this format next year, with maybe a ceiling on a few characters per series to get away from SFF.

The thing is, a good bracket is inevitable, because if you seed 18 45 36 and 27, you inevitably get a 8 vs 4/5, 6vs 7, 4/5 vs 6/7 matchup that we usually die to see but instead they all just lose.





If you'd like to view the bracket I created, here are two images. I find it best to print them... or on paper or something, because of all the "loser goes to xxxx" directions.

http://www.geocities.com/mmrankins/winnersbracket.JPG
http://www.geocities.com/mmrankins/losersbracket.JPG



Once I revise it a bit I'll make a topic.

Anyway, a bit early, but keep this in mind next year, it'd really be great to have this. Predicting would be pretty tough, errors would really be magnified, but still.. Cool stuff.
swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2007 1:43:34 PM | message detail
But in the final, you would have the winner bracket rep who needs only one win, and the loser bracket rep that needs two wins. The idea of the loser bracket winning the first match, then the winner bracket taking the second is almost impossible unless it's a barnburner all the way through.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
ZFS | Posted 10/13/2007 2:11:37 PM | message detail
Whoa. Nice to see Ganon and Luigi back ahead of Mudkip.

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let's mosey
Ngamer64 | Posted 10/13/2007 2:39:13 PM | message detail
Yeah, double elim is a really cool idea for a tourney. I wasn't sold on it until talking it over with octo and then printing and predicting the bracket, but yeah, so many fantastic matchups.

The only trouble is those repeat matches... I think what I'd do would be to have the loser's bracket fully separated. So then Samus knocks out Snake, and Samus could go on to win the main and Snake the secondary, but that would be it. (If there was something after the main bracket, another Battle Royale or Gauntlet or something, you could send both Snake and Samus into it like last year).

And then beyond that I'd put a 'tiebreaker' rule into effect whereby any time you get matched up against someone you already beat, you automatically advance. Hopefully that wouldn't happen at all, but the way my bracket went Snake was forced to defeat Vincent twice, which was kind of silly.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/13/2007 2:41:36 PM | message detail
Master Chief>Luigi

MC takes 1st for obvious reasons while Ganondorf's fans abandon him to support...uh...Alucard! Yeah.

Believe.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2007 2:43:05 PM | message detail
Ganon/Alucard in 2004 was a bit weak for Ganon...but I doubt Alucard is that strong anymore!
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/13/2007 2:44:09 PM | message detail
Seriously though, don't count Luigi out. This match is close enough for something weird like Badass SFF to happen and for him to get second. Not saying it's likely, but neither was a lot of stuff that's happened.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
ZFS | Posted 10/13/2007 2:45:20 PM | message detail
...Badass SFF? Really?

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let's mosey
octoinky | Posted 10/13/2007 2:46:26 PM | message detail
Double elimination has possibilities for repeat matches - but really not many at all barring HUGE holes in logic. However I believe there must be a rematch somewhere.. or atleast the losers side has to win twice in the finals.


Either way, the whole idea I was going off of was half the characters with same # of matches = twice as many good matches.

It'd be as if we ran 2 32 character battles back to back, so toss out the entire first round of 80% crap matches, and replace it with a lot of awesomeness.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/13/2007 2:46:36 PM | message detail
Well I said it would be weird if it happened!
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
HotPoontang | Posted 10/13/2007 2:46:44 PM | message detail
Yuna will vaginaSFF Ganon into the ground.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/13/2007 2:50:40 PM | message detail
Oh wait I got some more

Villain LFF with Liquid

Triple Badass LFF With MC, Ganondorf, and Alucard
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
HotPoontang | Posted 10/13/2007 2:51:38 PM | message detail
I only see one badass there, and his name is Chief.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 10/13/2007 2:51:55 PM | message detail
LFF? What is that?
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10/11 - Bidoof Lost the GFAQS Contest
ZFS | Posted 10/13/2007 2:52:51 PM | message detail
why is alucard there i wonder

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let's mosey
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/13/2007 2:52:57 PM | message detail
Leech Fanbase Factor. Example: Stick Mario, Crono, and...uh...Arthas in a poll. Mario>Crono, right? Add Luigi and it's Crono>Mario.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2007 2:53:14 PM | message detail
Green SFF between MC and Luigi

Green Factor eliminating Ganondorf due to him thinking Link is in the match and crapping his pants.

The Plan Factor calling for Alucard and Yuna to tie and advance to the next round together with MC, creating an epic 5-man match.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/13/2007 2:53:28 PM | message detail
why is alucard there i wonder

because the stats topic ill needs a savior such as you
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
http://server3.uploadit.org/files/ff6man-PhoenixVote.jpg
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/13/2007 2:54:38 PM | message detail
From swirIdude Posted 10/13/2007 5:53:14 PM #330
The Plan Factor calling for Alucard and Yuna to tie and advance to the next round together with MC, creating an epic 5-man match.

</3
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
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swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2007 2:58:08 PM | message detail
Sorry if The Plan is sexist, I merely read from the scriptures.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
Ngamer64 | Posted 10/13/2007 3:00:19 PM | message detail
LFF is

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/LFF

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thengamer.com/xstats = lol x-stats
smitelf | Posted 10/13/2007 3:08:20 PM | message detail
No no, Alucard's plan is to meld with Master Chief for the match tomorrow, creating a new contest entity that shall surpass all others.

Its name shall be Mastercard.
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Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2007 3:09:08 PM | message detail
Mastercard will buy everything.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
HotPoontang | Posted 10/13/2007 3:09:16 PM | message detail
vyse and tifa will then combine to form visa and get their asses kicked

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
smitelf | Posted 10/13/2007 3:14:59 PM | message detail
More evidence to support my theory:

Mastercard backwards = Dracretsam.

Drac = short for Dracula, obviously. Coincidence?!

Sam = Sam is the first name of Sam Fisher, who defeated Simon Belmont in the first round. Coincidence?!

Ret = Random letters brilliantly inserted between Drac and Sam to confuse us!
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2007 3:18:16 PM | message detail
*mind explodes*
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/13/2007 3:47:53 PM | message detail
I just came back and I've got only one thing to say: Epic LuLZ @ Mudkip.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI
swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2007 4:16:28 PM | message detail
If Ada and Leon are in the same match, is it really possible for Ada to hurt Leon to the point where he can't advance?
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
Haste_2 | Posted 10/13/2007 4:53:10 PM | message detail
Hrm... maybe there Jak/Zero LFF last round. Yes, that's it. That's why Jak lost to Lloyd, and how Zero looked so much better this round, even beating HK-47 worse (granted, Crono sucked and HK-47 had an awful picture)...hey, maybe it's possible. =p

As for tomorrow... I figure Yuna is nearly a lock tomorrow, if only because Rikku almost beat Knuckles. Still, there is some doubt simply because Yuna lost so badly to MC... I'm rooting for Alucard all the way. Could Liquid Snake get hurt badly by MC's presence?

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swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2007 5:34:36 PM | message detail
No, MGS and Halo have both shown dedicated support in the past and in this contest. I think they'll both do well, which means Yuna and Alucard will have to fight to take 2nd.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
creativename | Posted 10/13/2007 5:37:31 PM | message detail
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/LFF

Good, but you should use the example of Sephiroth/Cloud in the Battle Royale, not a made up example with crazy numbers :) I suppose the Snake elimination gets in the way, but you could compare their linear proportions, and/or their Morgoth x-stats and show how Cloud jumps.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/13/2007 6:24:44 PM | message detail
Between the two, I think Alucard will get hurt more than Liquid by MC's presence. Don't forget he probably got a small portion of his votes from SOTN being released on 360.
I just don't see why Liquid would be hurt by MC
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Oracle Prediction: ~ GaNOSEdorf 35.11% - Luigi 29.98% - Mukdip 21.01% - Vergil 13.90%~ Status: Meh
swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2007 6:26:12 PM | message detail
Really, this match has 4 mostly independent fanbases going at it. This will be exciting.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2007 7:11:49 PM | message detail
I still think Liquid and Alucard come dangerously close to Yuna. Actually, I'm pretty worried that Yuna is going to suck as bad as she did last round. And I fully expect Chief to break 40% again.

TuRtLe
~~~
149/192 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Luigi
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Master Moltar | Posted 10/13/2007 7:36:47 PM | message detail
Division 5: Round 2 - Match 42 – Master Chief vs. Yuna vs. Liquid Snake vs. Alucard

Moltar’s Analysis

MC
Round 1 – 45.69% vs. Yuna, Tommy and PaRappa

I said wow.

Yuna
Round 1 – 30.18% vs. MC, Tommy and PaRappa

Honestly, it’s not too shabby.

Liquid
Round 1 – 27.79% vs. Alucard, Ness and Zidane

Won with the power earned THROUGH THIS ARM

Alucard
Round 1 – 27.79% vs. Liquid, Ness and Zidane

It was all a part of the plan.

Finally, another pretty exciting match to talk about. I mean, we had MC flat-out dominating, and Liquid and Alucard going at it until the very final update of the match.

Well, I’m predicting Chief takes first here. He looked monstrous in round 1, and that was on Halo 3 hype. Now that the game is out and has sold 2.00x10^32 copies, logic dictates that he should be even stronger now. Better watch out Clink!

Second is either Yuna, Alucard or Liquid. It’s kind of hard to place where all three of these characters belong thanks to Chief and Ness being horrible measuring sticks, and Zidane…just not being reliable enough. If you want to get to the most basic point though, then Chief > Ness by quite a bit. Liquid has never proven to be strong, and Alucard has looked worse and worse over the years, so they’d probably be a little over Ness in strength when dealing with the regular format, which isn’t anything to be proud of.

In this format? Who knows. Now that Chief is here, neither of them can be much better off. Yuna is stronger than them one-on-one, but how does she hold up with these new opponents? I can’t say for sure, but the odds are on her side. I think the fact that she’s just stronger will give her the edge, so I’m sticking with my bracket here.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: MC > Yuna

Moltar’s Prediction is: MC: 32% - Yuna: 24% - Liquid: 22% - Alucard: 22%



Ultimaterializer’s Analysis

Given what happened in the first round, I'm pretty sure of Chief > Yuna. I *want* Alucard > Liquid for personal preference, but I doubt either are strong enough to get into second place, let alone first.

I suppose Yuna vs Chief would have been a date before the first round, but with the way Chief destroyed everyone? CHIEF > LINK CONFIRMED.

Ulti's Prediction:
Chief [33.00%]
Yuna [26.00%]
Alucard [21.00%]
Liquid [20.00%]



Heroic Mario’s Analysis

ROUND 2 WITH MASTER CHIEF -- NOW WITH MORE GAME FUEL.

So after the release of Halo 3, can the Chief put up the crazy numbers (45% in a poll with three other characters what) for a second time? Depends on how high we’re talking here, but I’m not thinking so. For whatever reason – and I don’t have a good one! – I’m expecting to see Master Chief come back down to earth here. He’ll look good, and have first wrapped up with no problems, but his performance won’t be as ridiculous as last round, I don’t think, even with Game Fuel!

Despite a lot of people being down on Yuna, I think she’s going to be fine here. There are a lot of people talking about Liquid or Alucard having second place, but I don’t see it. Yuna’s performance last round wasn’t that bad at all. Unless you expected her to live up to the numbers she put up in last year’s female bracket (why), then her performance was about where she should be. The Master Chief we’re seeing this year isn’t the same one who lost to Sub-Zero last year, so it’s certainly not necessarily a bad thing that she wasn’t competing with him for first.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/13/2007 7:36:59 PM | message detail
As for Liquid and Alucard, they should end up having another close one for third. It won’t matter, but it should be entertaining to watch them go back and forth, with Liquid coming out on top. I just can’t see either one of these guys competing for second here, though. If they do, I think that’s more of Yuna’s fault than anything. I mean, these guys had a great show last round, but come on, they were barely beating Ness. There’s a world of difference between Ness and Yuna, folks!

Master Chief is who is making this match, though. What percentage he pulls in could determine how far the guy goes. I’ve got him at a good 35%, but if he’s pushing, or even exceeds, 40%? Yeah – good night. At that point, I’d be confident enough in saying the Chief would have the finals just about locked up. Brawl hype or no, it won’t matter if MC is looking that beastly.

Master Chief – 35%
Yuna – 27%
Liquid Snake – 20%
Alucard – 18%


Bracket: Master Chief > Yuna
Vote: BROTHER FASTER (Yuna)


Yoblazer’s Analysis

Despite the fact that all four of these entrants can move on, I don't really have much insight to put into this match. It's Chief, Yuna, Liquid, and Alucard in a fight to the death. One spot is guaranteed, but the other is completely up for grabs. Who'll get it? Whoever MC deceived to share his Game Fuel with, of course!

Master Chief was undoubtedly one of the stars of Round 1. In what seemed to be a middle finger directed at his infamous "Halo hate" past, the Halo star put up 45.7% against what seemed to be pretty good competition. Yuna was there, a well liked FFX character, as was Tommy Vercetti, a contest veteran of GTA fame. Yet Chief found no trouble in dominating. Yuna was supposed to keep it relatively close, but failed bigtime. As such, Chief's spot as this match's winner is guaranteed, while Yuna's spot to advance, something that at first seemed safe, is very much in jeopardy.

Her competitors are Alucard and Liquid Snake, two fan-favorites who gave us a performance for the ages in Round 1. They're of equal strength, so if one of these guys tries to eek past Yuna, you know it'll be one hell of a barn burner, as the other guy will probably be right there as well. While the gates of Round 3 are very much open for any of them, I still see Yuna as the favorite. She underperformed against Master Chief, but she still had enough pop to more than double Vercetti, something I'm not sure either of her opponents today can do. If Vercetti was held down by Master Chief, then it isn't out of the realm of reality to assume the same fate can behold Alucard or Liquid. It'll be close, but I think Yuna squeeze through by a few points.

Master Chief - 35%
Yuna - 25%
Alucard - 20%
Liquid Snake - 20%



Lopen’s Analysis

Today... today is a day of a revolution. Believe, GAME FUEL, MASTER CHIEF IS INVINCIBLE!

Did I leave any off? I don't think I did. Alright, so... the question here, for me anyway, is not who wins out of Yuna, Alucard, and Liquid for what might be a hotly contested second place but rather how effectively Master Chief kicks their teeth in while they claw around for the scraps that we call second place. Now, I think Master Chief is going to do quite well for himself today. Some would say that by merit of the poll not having PafreakinRappa that he's guaranteed to fall below 40%. Nay, I say... that's simply not the case!
Master Moltar | Posted 10/13/2007 7:38:20 PM | message detail
Now any fool who's worth his Game Fuel could tell you that Master Chief gets stronger in the face of adversity. Like, remember that time there were eleven elites in the same room guardi-- er... that's not what I'm talking about! What I mean quite simply is that Master Chief's apparent contest power is gonna ramp up as his competition gets more and more rough. It's all about the fanatical fanbase I've been talkin about several times. Okay, sure, Phoenix Wright didn't really seem to have it.. but I really only know his fanbase from the board. Master Chief? Proven fanatical force. We will not abandon our champion of the X-Box... not easily.

Talk about someone who isn't Master Chief? What is this crap? I... I don't wanna! Alright, fine. I still think Yuna's a good deal ahead of Liquid and Alucard 1v1, but in this contest setting she might falter a bit... I'm not sure. I wouldn't feel terrible having Alucard or Liquid in second place right now, but I think Yuna should fall somewhat safely ahead of them. In spite of everything, Yuna's performance didn't strike me as weak last round. We had a proven man in Tommy Vercetti in that poll, and I don't think Tommy Vercetti has turned into a joke nor do I believe Master Chief SFFed him excessively.

Actually, something you might find interesting... if you use the 4-way stat generator for Vercetti, Yuna, and PaRappa's most recent X-Stat values, they're actually about proportionally correct. Coincidence? I THINK NOT...!! Truly, this must mean that Yuna is about as strong as 2k6 implies and Master Chief is just a beast in this format. Master Chief at 46% on BL pre-Halo3-boost in this format whoop believe believe believe.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/48?input_values=Master+Chief+%3D+46%0D%0AYuna+%3D+35%0D%0ATommy+Vercetti+%3D+23%0D%0APaRappa+%3D+14

(Okay, maybe not... as evidenced by my %s here! I mean believe)

Lopen's Prediction: (Look, they all get the dignity of actual names!)
Master Chief - 43.37%
Yuna - 20.22%
Alucard - 18.30%
Liquid Snake - 18.11%



Karma Hunter’s Analysis

What was once more of a debated match for first has more or less become a gauge for one of the - wait for it - favorites to make the finals.
How things change...

Master Chief

Absolutely demolishing his fourpack past the expectations of even his most stalwart supporters, Master Chief has established himself as a force in this format and perhaps being able to easily cruise past Ganondorf/upset Sonic. Though Brawl makes the latter possibility much more slim... however, with Halo 3 under his belt now, this could be the strongest Chief we've ever seen.

Let's see how that translates here against a threepack of legitimate competition.

Yuna

While people gloss over it in retrospect, her performance was in comparison quite disappointing to Master Chief's. More overrating courtesy of the female bracket? Yuna bad in this format? Or was it deceptively decent? This will be the time to tell, though Yuna has a long way to go before making herself credible against the Ganon/Luigi duo. Not to mention she's not exactly picture-perfect safe against the other two opponents...

Liquid Snake

Finally getting some measure of vindication in these contests, Liquid snags a win - the closest win in contest history, to be exact - over Alucard, Ness, and Zidane. Of course, three votes isn't much to rest upon when your closest competition is returning for revenge here, but Liquid has never backed down from a prolonged confrontation before...

Alucard

The Plan only comes through partially for Alucard, as while he snags second he loses to Liquid in a nailbiter (also making him the only board favorite in recent memory to lose such a match agh curse this sig). Plans are never without multiple steps, though, and Round 2 is cruise control for redemption...
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