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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 517

__hiei__ | Posted 10/11/2007 9:41:28 PM | message detail
Crono is the most random contest character ever.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/11/2007 9:42:03 PM | message detail
So, today's match should put me to within 10 brackets or so of the leaderboard.

Guess that means Mudkip advances tomorrow.

TuRtLe
~~~
141/184 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Zero
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2007 9:42:07 PM | message detail
Everyone gains at Raiden's expense!

Or Crono does. Either way really.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/11/2007 9:42:27 PM | message detail
The NN will still hold, format or not.

Vincent can suck it.
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CB6 - 130/184; Oracle - 30th
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/11/2007 9:42:30 PM | message detail
Zero went up .02% thank you very much

TuRtLe
~~~
141/184 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Zero
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2007 9:42:59 PM | message detail
And HK went down .04.

STOP MAKING **** UP

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mmm feel the vibration baby
ZFS | Posted 10/11/2007 9:43:22 PM | message detail
more like crono can suck it who likes that loser vincent all the way baby

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let's mosey
Keno316 | Posted 10/11/2007 9:44:08 PM | message detail
more like crono can suck it who likes that loser

=(
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/11/2007 9:44:19 PM | message detail
I love how whenever a character does poorly one update and everyone is calling for him to lose the match all of a sudden, then they come back and gain 100 votes.

lol Zero
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2007 9:44:26 PM | message detail
the last time me and hm were riding the same upset train i dont think it turned out very well

augh
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mmm feel the vibration baby
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/11/2007 9:44:53 PM | message detail
excellent
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CB6 - 130/184; Oracle - 30th
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
ZFS | Posted 10/11/2007 9:45:05 PM | message detail
get the hell off my wagon ec

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let's mosey
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2007 9:45:27 PM | message detail
LOL EVERYONE GAINS AT THE EXPENSE OF ZERO!!

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mmm feel the vibration baby
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/11/2007 9:45:38 PM | message detail
Has HM ever ridden the upset train to success?
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
ZFS | Posted 10/11/2007 9:46:02 PM | message detail
Has HM ever ridden the upset train to success?

Vincent, actually!

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let's mosey
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/11/2007 9:46:03 PM | message detail
Oh wait, he called Vincent doing well didn't he?

So you get SOME credit HM.
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/11/2007 9:46:04 PM | message detail
He would have if he stuck with the Chief this year!
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CB6 - 130/184; Oracle - 30th
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2007 9:46:05 PM | message detail
My wagon will kick your wagon's ass HM.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/11/2007 9:46:23 PM | message detail
From DaruniaTheGoron
I love how whenever a character does poorly one update and everyone is calling for him to lose the match all of a sudden, then they come back and gain 100 votes.

lol Zero


That's because when one update has more votes than usual for one character over another, it's usually the random variation caused by using 5 minute updates. Say Crono gets 500 votes in a 10-minute update, he could have 300 one update and 200 the next, which makes the one update look great and the other one look crappy. Which is why 15 minute updates are the way to go

lol you

TuRtLe
~~~
141/184 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Zero
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2007 9:46:41 PM | message detail
HM getting off the Chief train was the best thing that ever happened to my bracket.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
ZFS | Posted 10/11/2007 9:47:13 PM | message detail
master chief was not a bad enough dude to get my services

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let's mosey
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2007 9:47:29 PM | message detail
he's too bad.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/11/2007 9:47:30 PM | message detail
I think the possibility of HK coming back and beating Raiden is hilarious and very very just.

Go HK!

TuRtLe
~~~
141/184 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Zero
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/11/2007 9:47:59 PM | message detail
hit the brakes, chief
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CB6 - 130/184; Oracle - 30th
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 10/11/2007 9:48:49 PM | message detail
HK lost the day vote in his match also though.....
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 127/184 -- T-1031 (192 way)
Bracket: Crono > Zero -- Vote: Crono
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/11/2007 9:49:19 PM | message detail
Why lol me, BT? I'm calling people out on stupid predictions based on randomly bad 5 minute updates.

Anyway I think using hourly marks is a better indicator of trends than anything, although that takes a lot longer to decide obviously and we just don't have the patience.
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/11/2007 9:51:00 PM | message detail
Oh Raiden...
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CB6 - 130/184; Oracle - 30th
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
Keno316 | Posted 10/11/2007 9:51:04 PM | message detail
Crono's gains seem to come at the fault of Raiden. lol Raiden!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
ZFS | Posted 10/11/2007 9:51:40 PM | message detail
I wonder of HK-47 can beat Raiden...

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let's mosey
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/11/2007 9:51:46 PM | message detail
Once again, Zero's fourpack was full of day-oriented characters compared to Crono's fourpack with a fodderific MGS character and an even more fodderific Castlevania character.

TuRtLe
~~~
141/184 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Zero
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/11/2007 9:52:25 PM | message detail
Damn, Raiden's getting killed. Looks like my 17% for him was a little high.

Pretty spot on for today's match though. Shouldn't end up more than 6-10% total off on the prediction depending on Zero's performance.
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/11/2007 9:53:04 PM | message detail
Zero stays steady, Raiden bleeds even more percentage

lol raiden

The worst character in this contest aside from Vincent and Wario.

TuRtLe
~~~
141/184 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Zero
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Keno316 | Posted 10/11/2007 9:53:49 PM | message detail
The worst character in this contest aside from Vincent and Wario.


Man you like to fail a lot.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2007 9:53:52 PM | message detail
He might be the worst character, but at least he has character.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 10/11/2007 9:54:19 PM | message detail
I'd actually call HK-47 the favorite for 3rd at the moment. He lost the day vote by a little in the first round match, but all 3 opponents were pretty good with it. And this is a faceless MGS character he's up against.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/11/2007 9:54:22 PM | message detail
I based my prediction percentage on the assumption Raiden = HK, meaning if you were to switch Zero and Crono's round 1 matches, Zero would have done slightly better and Crono would have done slightly worse due to how low Simon was compared to the other 5 chumps.

TuRtLe
~~~
141/184 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Zero
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
ZFS | Posted 10/11/2007 9:54:29 PM | message detail
Is BT posting crap again?

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let's mosey
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2007 9:55:02 PM | message detail
does he ever stop

give me back my veteran status account god why
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mmm feel the vibration baby
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/11/2007 9:55:37 PM | message detail
Boourns

Crappy update is crappy

TuRtLe
~~~
141/184 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Zero
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/11/2007 9:55:47 PM | message detail
Raiden steals everyone's % aw yeah.
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CB6 - 130/184; Oracle - 30th
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/11/2007 9:55:58 PM | message detail
First Ocelot, now you pick on Raiden.

And you're a Zero fanboy. *sigh*
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2007 9:57:24 PM | message detail
It's good that BT likes awful characters, that's how we can confirm how much they truly suck.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/11/2007 10:00:39 PM | message detail
How the hell does Zero have Crono under 40%?
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GSB International Champion Masamune
Masa/Hiko/HeroicTronBonne/Cory/Buddha
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/11/2007 10:01:09 PM | message detail
oh man zero sucks
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CB6 - 130/184; Oracle - 30th
http://i236.photobucket.com/albums/ff192/Afroking97/sonicwii.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 10/11/2007 10:01:24 PM | message detail
Crono over 41% and Zero under 30% on that update! We need more of those.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 127/184 -- T-1031 (192 way)
Bracket: Crono > Zero -- Vote: Crono
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2007 10:01:25 PM | message detail
oh man just look at zero gaining all the way until the end of the poll

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mmm feel the vibration baby
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/11/2007 10:01:32 PM | message detail
Night vote has begun!
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
transience | Posted 10/11/2007 10:02:48 PM | message detail
hmm.. what were people expecting for Crono here? I had him at 38%, so this looks all right by my expectations. I don't see this as a colossal failure.. but then, some people were calling Link a failure yesterday and that was just stupid.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Vivi.
"All I can do... is just sit with them."
red sox 777 | Posted 10/11/2007 10:03:54 PM | message detail
Hmm.....both Crono and Zero rose steadily in the first 2 hours and peaked at about 3 AM last match.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 127/184 -- T-1031 (192 way)
Bracket: Crono > Zero -- Vote: Crono
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2007 10:04:44 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
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