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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 516

MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/11/2007 9:40:21 AM | message detail
Ah... and, so much for Mudkip > Luigi.

Ehh? Mudkip pretty much won the day-vote over Luigi. Unlike every other joke, he didn't die in the day. Mudkip getting second is still a real possibility.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
ZFS | Posted 10/11/2007 10:02:00 AM | message detail
Okay, what.

I don't know what I read just now, but anyone calling for Link's head based on what he's doing now is grasping. Nothing would be better to me than to see Cloud beat Link, but this isn't a performance where you say "HAY LOOK AT LINK STRUGGLING LOL UPSET COMIN'." Link's doing fine right now, with the rest of the day to look forward to, and considering he's putting up nearly 50% with a noble nine quality opponent, there's no reason to be trying to downplay this.

That said, Cloud should still keep up his impressive run, and I expect him to be very competitive in the final regardless of whether he wins or loses. If he's gotten back up to Link's level, we'll see it in one of these later performances. There will always be that one that blows your mind and lets you know what might be going down later on -- what's up Sonic in 03! -- but for right now, it's Link doing what he does and Cloud looking better than usual. Can't say anything right now.

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let's mosey
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/11/2007 10:14:46 AM | message detail
Ha, whoa. Link sure recovered.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 122/176; Oracle - 29th
smitelf | Posted 10/11/2007 10:40:31 AM | message detail
Bidoof's got to level off at some point soon; there aren't many more votes they can grab from him. Vincent looks terrible, wtf? If this is the best he can do against Link with SFF on his side, pfft. Just makes Zelda last round look worse - I wouldn't count this round against her, though.
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
BDawg | Posted 10/11/2007 10:58:06 AM | message detail
Well, it seems to me Bidoof's legit number is somewhere around 11%, so unless the ASV gives him a Pokemon bump he'll keep going down.
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Should I start running now?
The Real Truth | Posted 10/11/2007 11:00:16 AM | message detail
I actually thought Link was doing really well.
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/11/2007 11:02:57 AM | message detail
Time .| Link ......| Bidoof ..| Vincent .| Zelda
01:00 | 43.33% | 24.48% | 24.36% | 7.84%
02:00 | 44.80% | 21.47% | 25.74% | 07.99%
03:00 | 46.54% | 15.29% | 29.71% | 08.46%
04:00 | 46.88% | 13.90% | 30.80% | 08.41%
05:00 | 46.78% | 11.58% | 33.11% | 08.53%
06:00 | 48.45% | 10.14% | 32.34% | 09.07%
07:00 | 50.69% | 12.76% | 28.84% | 07.71%
08:00 | 52.35% | 11.56% | 27.95% | 08.13%
09:00 | 52.92% | 11.23% | 27.21% | 08.63%
10:00 | 51.30% | 11.36% | 29.07% | 08.26%
11:00 | 52.24% | 09.90% | 29.73% | 08.13%
12:00 | 52.85% | 10.32% | 29.08% | 07.76%
13:00 | 51.46% | 11.23% | 29.40% | 07.91%
14:00 | 52.46% | 10.01% | 29.60% | 07.93%

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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
BesaidGuy | Posted 10/11/2007 11:12:54 AM | message detail
With the Bidoof Madness all but dead, let me bring up a question.


Besides HM, does anyone else believe my Master Chief to the Final 4 pick has any chance?

When I called this a few weeks before the contest everyone outside of HM called me an idiot, but after his first poll and his MVP of the first round, I was wondering if more people warmed up to this idea?

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FuturamandFFX/TheRealoSix
AndyManCan's favorite user
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/11/2007 11:16:54 AM | message detail
I think it's certainly possible, but unlike most other people, I still think there's that polar opposite possibility of Chief falling on his ass. The biggest "legends" the guy has ever faced are Crono, Sub-Zero, and Donkey Kong. That's a very far cry from Snake and Sonic in the same poll, and even though this format undoubtedly works in his favor, I still feel he could fold against competition of such caliber. I'm not saying that he will; I'm just saying that his range is massive.
Acronym | Posted 10/11/2007 11:18:50 AM | message detail
MGS has been ridiculous this contest and Sonic was just announced for Brawl. No way does MC beat either of them.
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MURMAIDER MURMAIDER MURMAIDER
BesaidGuy | Posted 10/11/2007 11:20:08 AM | message detail
I wonder how long Halo 3 will be the number 1 FAQ.
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FuturamandFFX/TheRealoSix
AndyManCan's favorite user
BDawg | Posted 10/11/2007 11:22:41 AM | message detail
Well, I'd like to see Sonic in action first before I judge the Smash boost. And he conveniently has a pretty similar four pack to test his strength on.
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Should I start running now?
HaRRicH | Posted 10/11/2007 11:22:53 AM | message detail
Which is more important for these two established characters: having Halo 3 be released less than a month ago, or having been announced to be in SSBB earlier this week?
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PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
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Lady Ashe | Posted 10/11/2007 11:27:27 AM | message detail
Halo 3 should be, since nobody is going to come to GameFAQs to find out about how to beat SSBB using Sonic. o.O

And unlike Snake, everybody already knows Sonic.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
BesaidGuy | Posted 10/11/2007 11:29:49 AM | message detail
That is a tough one. Snake has obviously gotten a boost from SSBB but he also is getting one from the immense MGS4 hype so how do we judge hhow much Brawl gave him.

Halo 3 is hands down the biggest game this year, and with Brawl being pushed back even farther who knows what that will do for the quote unquote boost.

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FuturamandFFX/TheRealoSix
AndyManCan's favorite user
HaRRicH | Posted 10/11/2007 11:30:35 AM | message detail
Oh, and perhaps a bigger question: since SSBB is supposedly delayed until February 10th...who's the new front-runner for GotY this year? Right now there is GoW2, MP3, SMS, Halo 3...anything else?
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PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/11/2007 11:31:48 AM | message detail
Snake also had more time for the news to set in, for better or for worse, and his announcement was much more of a surprise than Sonic's.
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PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
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YoAriel33 | Posted 10/11/2007 11:31:52 AM | message detail
I'd be gobsmacked if anything topped Bioshock. Metroid Prime 3 was a great game, and Bioshock mopped the floor with it.
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/11/2007 11:31:58 AM | message detail
SMG.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
Acronym | Posted 10/11/2007 11:32:07 AM | message detail
I don't know, with an icon like Sonic it's always a question of "What have you done for me lately?" His support's not going to go away overnight, but it probably needs to be refreshed every now and then for him to keep ahead of more polarizing characters like Master Chief. The fact that everybody already knows Sonic is what makes the Brawl announcement meaningful; people don't need to be coming here for a FAQ to use that as a reason to vote for him.

BioShock is likely GotY, unless you mean on GameFAQs.
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MURMAIDER MURMAIDER MURMAIDER
HaRRicH | Posted 10/11/2007 11:32:40 AM | message detail
Ah, Bioshock too, forgot that one...though I figure Halo 3 will clock it in a GotY poll.
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PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
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Lady Ashe | Posted 10/11/2007 11:33:16 AM | message detail
Why wouldn't he mean GameFAQs? o.O
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
BesaidGuy | Posted 10/11/2007 11:34:33 AM | message detail
Halo 3 is GoTY without question or fail. Sure it didn't live up to expectations, but honestly, NOTHING could. But look at it from an unbiased perspective, no game has ever been as hyped as Halo 3. It sold more preorders than most big games sell copies.

It was a damn event.


It is this popularity that makes me feel like Master Chief is a force this year

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FuturamandFFX/TheRealoSix
AndyManCan's favorite user
Acronym | Posted 10/11/2007 11:34:38 AM | message detail
Because GameFAQs makes no official or meaningful GotY declaration, to the best of my knowledge.
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MURMAIDER MURMAIDER MURMAIDER
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/11/2007 11:35:18 AM | message detail
Oh, GOTY polls.

Xbox 360 - Halo 3
Wii - Super Mario Galaxy
PS3 - Heavenly Sword?
PSP - No idea
DS - Pokemon, possibly Zelda

Winner - Halo 3
Acronym | Posted 10/11/2007 11:36:02 AM | message detail
On the polls, I'd have to say Halo 3.
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MURMAIDER MURMAIDER MURMAIDER
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/11/2007 11:38:20 AM | message detail
Hasn't the final poll been between the top three performers recently? If that's the case, it will be Halo 3, Galaxy, and the DS winner. Halo will kill that poll.
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/11/2007 11:39:11 AM | message detail
GotY depends. If the first poll is something like Halo 3 vs Bioshock vs Galaxy vs Corruption vs Phantom Hourglass vs God of War II vs PS3 game vs (vs PSP game?) vs Guitar Hero III, probably Halo 3. But if that gets whittled down to something like Halo 3 vs Galaxy vs God of War II vs Guitar Hero III for the second poll, I'd go with Galaxy.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
HaRRicH | Posted 10/11/2007 11:40:08 AM | message detail
Halo 2 also set such records and events, and it still lost to GTA:SA pretty handily back in 2k4.

Halo 3 is even bigger though and there's a bigger 360 base here BEFORE Halo 3 than there ever was for the Xbox though, and just because it's Mario doesn't mean it's going to be on the level of GTA:SA...I want to see those two battle.
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PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
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YoAriel33 | Posted 10/11/2007 11:40:46 AM | message detail
Wow, I completely forgot about GoWII. That should perform well enough to make it into the final poll. If it does and Galaxy is the lone Nintendo game, Supa Mario should win it!
Twilight Swift | Posted 10/11/2007 11:46:57 AM | message detail
How is this considered doing bad when Link, as anyone with a brain knew, was going to get near 50%. I mean come on, Vincent is no failure and two Nintendo leeches? Link still doubling the competition? I'd say this is exactly what he'd do.
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*~Swift~*
Giants (3-2)
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/11/2007 11:48:03 AM | message detail
It was doing bad at 1 AM. Now it's... actually going to be exceeding my oracle prediction soon X_X
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
Twilight Swift | Posted 10/11/2007 11:51:34 AM | message detail
Nice. That's what I like to hear. Well, not your oracle failing, but Link reigning supreme to piss everyone off around here again. =D
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*~Swift~*
Giants (3-2)
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/11/2007 11:53:12 AM | message detail
Link leaps past 49% with a great update. After school vote ahoy-hoy?
Twilight Swift | Posted 10/11/2007 11:54:08 AM | message detail
=D
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*~Swift~*
Giants (3-2)
transience | Posted 10/11/2007 11:54:53 AM | message detail
oh yeah, no more Brawl. though I goddamn guarantee that if you put it in a poll it would STILL win despite not being out.

Halo 3 will win GOTY. nobody else is going to bring in that 36% or whatever that it's guaranteed. I don't think Mario Galaxy has enough pull.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Vivi.
"All I can do... is just sit with them."
transience | Posted 10/11/2007 12:01:55 PM | message detail
good god, Link.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Vivi.
"All I can do... is just sit with them."
Mumei | Posted 10/11/2007 12:02:14 PM | message detail
Can I see another hourly update?

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/11/2007 12:03:58 PM | message detail
Time .| Link ......| Bidoof ..| Vincent .| Zelda
01:00 | 43.33% | 24.48% | 24.36% | 07.84%
02:00 | 44.80% | 21.47% | 25.74% | 07.99%
03:00 | 46.54% | 15.29% | 29.71% | 08.46%
04:00 | 46.88% | 13.90% | 30.80% | 08.41%
05:00 | 46.78% | 11.58% | 33.11% | 08.53%
06:00 | 48.45% | 10.14% | 32.34% | 09.07%
07:00 | 50.69% | 12.76% | 28.84% | 07.71%
08:00 | 52.35% | 11.56% | 27.95% | 08.13%
09:00 | 52.92% | 11.23% | 27.21% | 08.63%
10:00 | 51.30% | 11.36% | 29.07% | 08.26%
11:00 | 52.24% | 09.90% | 29.73% | 08.13%
12:00 | 52.85% | 10.32% | 29.08% | 07.76%
13:00 | 51.46% | 11.23% | 29.40% | 07.91%
14:00 | 52.46% | 10.01% | 29.60% | 07.93%
15:00 | 53.08% | 09.98% | 29.07% | 07.88%

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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/11/2007 12:04:17 PM | message detail
Time . | Link . . . | Bidoof . | Vincent | Zelda
01:00 | 43.28% | 24.49% | 24.31% | 07.92%
02:00 | 44.78% | 21.82% | 25.60% | 07.79%
03:00 | 46.15% | 15.83% | 29.57% | 08.45%
04:00 | 47.14% | 14.29% | 30.29% | 08.28%
05:00 | 46.23% | 11.79% | 33.15% | 08.83%
06:00 | 48.27% | 09.81% | 32.71% | 09.20%
07:00 | 50.34% | 12.75% | 29.12% | 07.78%
08:00 | 52.71% | 11.55% | 27.74% | 08.00%
09:00 | 52.92% | 11.23% | 27.21% | 08.63%
10:00 | 51.30% | 11.36% | 29.07% | 08.26%
11:00 | 52.24% | 09.90% | 29.73% | 08.13%
12:00 | 52.85% | 10.32% | 29.08% | 07.76%
13:00 | 51.46% | 11.23% | 29.40% | 07.91%
14:00 | 52.46% | 10.01% | 29.60% | 07.93%
15:00 | 53.08% | 09.98% | 29.07% | 07.88%

Bonus 15 minute update:
15:00 | 54.91% | 10.58% | 27.13% | 07.37%

---
Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/11/2007 12:05:39 PM | message detail
I'll say it again, since it seems to be ignored every time "stuffing" is mentioned.

Proxies wouldn't work on the poll, because IIRC, the site uses MAC addresses to prevent cheating.

4chan may have legitimately rallied a few hundred votes, but nothing more than that.

TuRtLe
~~~
133/176 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Vincenzo
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/11/2007 12:06:50 PM | message detail
I don't know. The drop off was pretty dramatic. Not to mention after the first hour, the match was on pace to nearly tie the highest voting match of the contest. Now it's... well... not.
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/11/2007 12:07:55 PM | message detail
59% update for Link.....we're going to see some 60% updates this afternoon.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 119/176 -- T-1244 (234 way)
Bracket: Link > Vincent -- Vote: Link
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/11/2007 12:08:38 PM | message detail
That bonus 15-minute update doesn't look good for Vincent. If Link is able to rocket past 50% while keeping Vinnie under 29%, I'll upgrade his performance from good to great.
voltch | Posted 10/11/2007 12:10:36 PM | message detail
so vincent>crono bandwagon still on?
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Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest.
BDawg | Posted 10/11/2007 12:10:37 PM | message detail
Looks like Link is gonna halt Vincent's advance at 28%, and continue to help himself to nice helpings of Zelda SFF and Bidoof joke fade.
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Should I start running now?
Mumei | Posted 10/11/2007 12:19:09 PM | message detail
Any takers on Zelda dropping below 7.25%?

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/11/2007 12:20:58 PM | message detail
If Zelda finishes with less than 10000 votes I will laugh
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Oracle Prediction: Link 48.84% - Vincent Vega 32.55% - Beaver 9.55% - SFFelda 9.06% ~ Status: Meh
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/11/2007 12:23:08 PM | message detail
Any takers on Zelda dropping below 7.25%?

Right here! Hard to believe that she'll fall that far.
Mumei | Posted 10/11/2007 12:23:18 PM | message detail
It wouldn't surprise me now. <_<

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
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