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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 516

The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/10/2007 11:32:15 PM | message detail
So...

*looks at poll*

Bidoof > Snake confirmed?
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/10/2007 11:32:18 PM | message detail
The only thing I believe is that those numbers are the product of much failure and suck.

TuRtLe
~~~
133/176 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Vincenzo
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
HaRRicH | Posted 10/10/2007 11:36:40 PM | message detail
It's funny how Bidoof can advance past the first round and lead Vincent for an hour with Link in the poll, yet Mewtwo couldn't lead Bowser for a minute with Toad in the poll. Mudkip has the potential to advance a second round and Pikachu could too after winning a poll over Tidus...but Mewtwo had to be royally ****ed.

Mewtwo's a victim of circumstances. If it wasn't for logic, I would think Mewtwo was being over-rated in comparison to these other Poke-jobbers! I still have to occasionally wonder if Mewtwo is indirectly far-and-away better than the other Pokemon though, or if it would only be proven in a direct match-up. I side with the former, but the latter teases me from time to time.
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PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/10/2007 11:39:28 PM | message detail
I'm honestly entertaining the idea that Mudkip will outdo Luigi. What is this sorcery
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/10/2007 11:40:41 PM | message detail
This sorcery is a hilarious upset in the making.

It's a shame that it would screw the Master Chief > Ganondorf party van

Or would it!?

TuRtLe
~~~
133/176 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Vincenzo
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Keno316 | Posted 10/10/2007 11:42:21 PM | message detail
Ouch! Zelda is being absolutely decimated these last few updates.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
HaRRicH | Posted 10/10/2007 11:43:58 PM | message detail
Here's my thought-process: if Mudkip doesn't advance, Ganon > Luigi. If Mudkip does advance, Luigi > Mudkip.

I figure if Mudkip gets THAT many votes, it's going to be because Ganon's fans aren't going to stay that loyal to him. I would take Ganon head to head against Luigi and I have Ganon > Luigi in this round, but I don't like his chances against Luigi if it comes down to a smaller pool of Nintendo fans that don't vote for Mudkip. I think Ganon wants high numbers to advance.
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PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580
smitelf | Posted 10/10/2007 11:45:13 PM | message detail
Everyone in this topic (Incluidng me) thought he'd get 51-53%.

What is this "everyone"? There were several people, me included, who anticipated Cloud's performance. Not bragging (because considering today's crappy prediction...), just pointing out that if you take Kefka into account, it's not so surprising at all that Cloud did well.

Sephiroth, on the other hand...wtf. Fox collapsed like a house of cards in a hurricane.
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/10/2007 11:48:49 PM | message detail
Bidoof is really collapsing. He's getting less this hour so far than he did in his first match despite a stronger start WITHOUT 4chan. That doesn't even make sense
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
Haste_2 | Posted 10/10/2007 11:50:13 PM | message detail
Ah, nevermind. Bidoof is dropping even faster this hour.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Gaddswell | Posted 10/10/2007 11:54:08 PM | message detail
12% Derp update. Zelda should start winning a few updates if this collapse keeps going.
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Haste_2 | Posted 10/10/2007 11:56:18 PM | message detail
I seriously cannot wait until Ganondorf beats Luigi to hush all the Ganondorf doubters.

just pointing out that if you take Kefka into account, it's not so surprising at all that Cloud did well.
Kefka avoided all SFF... either that, or the SFF canceled out with Kefka's hardcore fans. Kefka probably hurt Cloud slightly, if anything.

Sephiroth, on the other hand...wtf. Fox collapsed like a house of cards in a hurricane.
Nah. Fox just has SFFing power. He collapsed equally as hard as Wario, so it all made sense in the end.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
smitelf | Posted 10/10/2007 11:56:30 PM | message detail
In his last match, Bidoof lost >12% between 3am and the end of the poll. He could easily end up somewhere around 10% (i.e. the sanity of this match could still be rescued).
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/10/2007 11:56:40 PM | message detail
aw yeah Link
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 122/176; Oracle - 29th
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/10/2007 11:59:35 PM | message detail
Looks like Link may salvage a somewhat within expectation finish by the end of the match. Although it looks like Vincent isn't really moving up much at Bidoof's expense. Too bad
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
Lopen | Posted 10/11/2007 12:03:31 AM | message detail
Personally I think Cloud SFFed all three of them in a way. Kefka through FF, Ocelot through the weird FF7/MGS thing, and Marcus Fenix just having a fickle casual fanbase ala Diablo. Not that much, but a notable amount.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
smitelf | Posted 10/11/2007 12:05:11 AM | message detail
I seriously cannot wait until Ganondorf beats Luigi to hush all the Ganondorf doubters.

I agree. And not only will he beat Luigi, he will beat down Luigi. I think that match is going to be nowhere near close, and this goes further to show that it's really just Link that hurts other Zelda characters this badly and not Ganondorf being a chump.

Kefka avoided all SFF... either that, or the SFF canceled out with Kefka's hardcore fans. Kefka probably hurt Cloud slightly, if anything.

I think you're underestimating what Kefka would have gotten without SFF with Cloud. He'd have been much closer to Ocelot. There was definitely some SFF going on - not anywhere near on the level of this match, but enough to push Cloud up almost 2%, I think. The rest was all Cloud; he was guaranteed 53%ish without SFF anyway.

Nah. Fox just has SFFing power. He collapsed equally as hard as Wario, so it all made sense in the end.

I dunno, Wario ended up about where I expected him to - he was never going to get >10%. But Fox was acting like he hadn't improved at all since '04 (which I guess is possible, I'm not saying Sephiroth rose, just that his percentage was surprising to me).
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/11/2007 12:05:58 AM | message detail
The Great Bidoof collapses

Time .| Link ......| Bidoof ..| Vincent .| Zelda
01:00 | 43.33% | 24.48% | 24.36% | 07.84%
02:00 | 44.80% | 21.47% | 25.74% | 07.99%
03:00 | 46.54% | 15.29% | 29.71% | 08.46%


Time .| ....J .....| Bidoof.. .| Link ......| Edgeworth
01:00 | 5.31% | 23.04% | 58.80% | 12.86%
02:00 | 5.25% | 18.66% | 65.26% | 10.82%
03:00 | 5.36% | 16.94% | 65.52% | 12.18%

I need to compare these to L-block...
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
transience | Posted 10/11/2007 12:07:22 AM | message detail
they're both taking turns gangbanging Bidoof's percentage. by the time the true night rolls around, Vincent probably goes back to dominating him/it.

Bidoof won't fall to 10%, but getting him down to 15 seems possible.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Vivi.
"All I can do... is just sit with them."
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/11/2007 12:18:48 AM | message detail
You know, as bad as Zelda is doing here, she's holding up better than Ganondorf did. It's a multiway poll and there's other random factors to take into account, of course, and it's not really that much better, but still. Not sure how much worse this gets during the day, though.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 122/176; Oracle - 29th
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/11/2007 12:22:05 AM | message detail
Well in order to be doing worse she'd need under 6.5% I mean no matter how bad you get SFFed, there's got to be a minimum for characters with at least SOME fanbase...
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
Janus5000 | Posted 10/11/2007 12:29:04 AM | message detail
At least Zelda can take solace in the fact that she's getting slightly more than Tingle.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/11/2007 12:29:41 AM | message detail
This begs the question: What would Tingle get in her position?
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 122/176; Oracle - 29th
smitelf | Posted 10/11/2007 12:30:12 AM | message detail
From KleenexTissue50
This begs the question: What would Tingle get in her position?

-9.47% <_<
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
Lopen | Posted 10/11/2007 12:30:41 AM | message detail
1.3%

Zelda fans vote Link, joke voters vote Bidoof, voters that don't want Nintendo vote Vincent. Tingle has nothing!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
Lopen | Posted 10/11/2007 12:31:11 AM | message detail
Hell, smitelf's probably closer than I am.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/11/2007 12:38:01 AM | message detail
More updates like that.

Link and Vincent smashing Bidoof's face in aw yeah.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 122/176; Oracle - 29th
Keno316 | Posted 10/11/2007 12:50:15 AM | message detail
Looking at the match now, its really hard to believe Bidoof lead Vincent for over an hour...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Lopen | Posted 10/11/2007 1:05:19 AM | message detail
ZELDACUT

Wow, that's... still pretty sad. Even being wrung dry of corrupt votes he's still hanging with her.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/11/2007 1:26:05 AM | message detail
Bidoof aside. Link is really sucking it up here. >_>
And aside from Yoshi, Nintendo has sucked it up throughout the contest as a whole. Which is bizarre since Nintendo have had the best year since these contests were born.
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Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism
Pika eats wang
satai_delenn | Posted 10/11/2007 2:23:39 AM | message detail
Grrrr Yoshi.

I'd be perfectly happy if it was the other way around. The rest of Nintendo can do well as long as Yoshi sucks.

<_< what?
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My Contest Hero: SHOULD have been Axel. Ugh.
Currently playing: Aria of Sorrow, Silent Hill 2, Super Mario RPG
ejm5446 | Posted 10/11/2007 2:52:20 AM | message detail
Vincent now with a near 8% lead. Bidoof dropping like a rock, over 0.05% per update.
ffmasterjose | Posted 10/11/2007 3:27:25 AM | message detail
Good. First Round 2 match I have perfectly selected >____>
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Current Score: 118/176 - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VI
NP: Link > Vincent Valentine
ejm5446 | Posted 10/11/2007 3:36:59 AM | message detail
Bidoof under 19% now, Link getting virtually all that he's dropping.
Kratos_42 | Posted 10/11/2007 3:48:58 AM | message detail
Holy ****, Bidoof was leading? Man, that site is beastly.
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It's difficult sometimes to distinguish between existentialism and a bad mood.
xeroabyss | Posted 10/11/2007 4:01:44 AM | message detail
UGH!!!!
Can someone remind me again which colors mean what on the brackets.
I know that they pertain to wheather you gotthe winners 1st and 2nd place order right, or totally got the winners wrong altogether, but what does each color mean?
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Signatures are lame cause too many people quote others liek they are that person...
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/11/2007 5:06:52 AM | message detail
So this counts as Link underperforming?

Cool.
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~
Arsenal FC: 7-0-1. Pts: 22. Position: 1st L5: W-W-W-W-W
Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/11/2007 5:13:20 AM | message detail
Green - 2 points - correct order
Yellow - 1 point - wrong order
Red - 0 point - wrong character
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/11/2007 5:16:42 AM | message detail
So this counts as Link underperforming?

Link against Cloud, Seph and Snake: 42%

Link against Bidoof, Vincent and Zelda: 46%

Not ot mention that both Vincent is doing better than Cloud and Bidoof is doing better than Seph and Snake.

Link is dominating this contest guys...
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI
Mumei | Posted 10/11/2007 5:23:44 AM | message detail
I probably screwed something up, but I think Link got over 52% on the 8th hour.

I'd wait until later in the match before deciding he's underperformed. <<

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
transience | Posted 10/11/2007 5:27:20 AM | message detail
Link just dominated that before-school vote while Vincent stopped in his tracks. his morning will probably be better than his afterschool vote, but that's damn impressive.

I think he's doing absolutely fine here.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Vivi.
"All I can do... is just sit with them."
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/11/2007 5:30:04 AM | message detail
I'm starting to think that Sephiroth has a great chance to upset Link in one round if Crono wins over Vincent. Link has Mario that will take away about 10% away from him, and Crono is more likely to hurt Link than Seph. Not that it matters, since Link will still advance in that round and win the contest...
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/11/2007 5:31:14 AM | message detail
zylo be quiet stop getting my hopes up.
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~
Arsenal FC: 7-0-1. Pts: 22. Position: 1st L5: W-W-W-W-W
Mumei | Posted 10/11/2007 5:31:38 AM | message detail
(9:42:06 PM) Mumei: What was Link's best hour yesterday?
(9:43:14 PM) God: 20:00 | 04.68% | 12.22% | 75.52% | 07.58%
(9:43:23 PM) Mumei: not bad.
(9:43:29 PM) Mumei: What is Vinny's best hour?
(9:44:16 PM) God: 21:00 | 15.19% | 16.07% | 41.06% | 27.68%

(RPGuy96 is God on my AIM. <.<)

Does anyone have the hourly percentages for that match, by the way?

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/11/2007 5:33:19 AM | message detail
Pff Sephiroth is the man who deserves to win over Link, not Cloud. To bad that most people disagree with me and Cloud will kill Sephy this time just like last year.


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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI
SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/11/2007 5:34:35 AM | message detail
Look at any previous contest. The final winner has NEVER given reason for anybody to doubt them. They've been stunning at every hurdle.

And Link has just showcased questionable performances not once, but twice.
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
Ranked: #16th in the Character Battle 2006. (207 Points)
Twilight Swift | Posted 10/11/2007 5:36:27 AM | message detail
Two?! Where do you two smurf? Link is increasing by 100+ votes over Vincents deficit EVERY FIVE MINUTES. At this rate he'll have 48%+% before the day's end. >_> People really jump to conclusions too quick. Plus, Snake raped Cloud in the Battle Royale last year WITH Brawl. If he's in the final again this year, not even Sonic's scraps leeched off Link will shave Cloud.

False hope people. Link dominates again. :P
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*~Swift~*
Giants (3-2)
Twilight Swift | Posted 10/11/2007 5:37:02 AM | message detail
*shaves Cloud and Smorf*
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*~Swift~*
Giants (3-2)
Draco1214 | Posted 10/11/2007 5:37:52 AM | message detail
Uh, why are people downplaying Link's domination. The only reason Link doesn't look as impressive is because of Bidoof. His real test comes next round with Crono, Vincent and Zero.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/11/2007 5:37:57 AM | message detail
Oh dear, Swift's clutching at straws now. He can smell the lingering odour of a Link defeat.
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
Ranked: #16th in the Character Battle 2006. (207 Points)
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