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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 516

Ed Bellis | Posted 10/10/2007 10:28:00 PM | message detail
Portable Ops has MGS2/MGS3 caliber graphics. Unless I'm forgetting something crucial, there's no way he gets a legitimate sprite from that.

Big Boss' actual sprite is from the same games Snake gets his - only he wears a funny red hat!


...oh.

Big Boss = Carmen Sandiego confirmed !!
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creativename | Posted 10/10/2007 10:28:22 PM | message detail
I wouldn't be at all surprised if L-Block leads the whole damn poll for a while. Kratos ain't weak, but he's a casual-friendly character.

Yeah, the first hour should be more "static" than other hours are. But in the end the impact of the first hour is pretty diluted.

I think L-Block will do good in that match though.


Actually Ganon coming in could very well make Mudkip look better.

I think everyone agrees that he'll look better relative to Luigi due to Ganon's presence, it's just that he won't increase in percentage from the last round (barring outright stuffing).
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GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/10/2007 10:28:43 PM | message detail
where in the world is big boss

FIRST PLACE AWW YEAH

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Keno316 | Posted 10/10/2007 10:31:10 PM | message detail
Why on Earth is Vincent struggling to put Bidoof away?


OK peoples, if this were Cloud here instead of Vincent, how would the match be?
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
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Yesmar | Posted 10/10/2007 10:31:41 PM | message detail
I really think that Magus would have beaten Big Boss without that picture. Last time we saw Big Boss he was high end fodder*. There's no way I could see Magus dropping that low.

*On the fodder line at best if you want to argue for Samus not being adjusted up enough.
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hochiminh155 | Posted 10/10/2007 10:32:07 PM | message detail
And if Vincent is struggling to beat Bidoof, Ganondorf is screwed against the stronger Mudkip. Plus Ganon has to contend with Luigi SFF
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Failure
swirldude has exposed me as a prediction fraud.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/10/2007 10:32:19 PM | message detail
Two in a row for beaver. He and Vincent took a nice cut from Link that time...

Bidoof's Match 1 % at 1:30: 22.07%
Bidoof's Match 2 % at 1:30: 23.98%
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
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creativename | Posted 10/10/2007 10:33:17 PM | message detail
look at L-Block's trends -- they're the same as Bidoof's. I know you like ol' L and all, but it's definitely a "joke vote". it's no more "legitimate" than voting a random ugly pokemon.

L-Block did follow joke/heavy board favorite trends. But his strength is not joke character level. And Bidoof is more extreme of a joke trend, as L-Block went down 8 points while Bidoof went down 12, but L-Block started much higher.

As for legitimate, I doubt anyone any first hour cheating for L-Block was close to what it looks like Bidoof level is.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/10/2007 10:33:18 PM | message detail
You know, you can argue the possibility for Big Boss being SFFed or just plain increasing, not to mention MGS doing better in this format. Look how much ass he kicked in the previous round too, doing so much better on Mario/Wander/Pac-Man than he was supposed to on Mario alone.

http://img101.imageshack.us/img101/356/fmsx0078xq6.jpg

why
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/10/2007 10:33:35 PM | message detail
Link probably won't hit 50%. He definitley failed to match Cloud.

Hmm...compare Zelda to Kefka, Bidoof to Revolver, and Vincent to Fenix please.
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Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/10/2007 10:34:29 PM | message detail
Cloud > Link > Bidoof > Zelda

if you switched Cloud with Vincent. 8% is well enough for Cloud to sneak into first.
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Feel my truth.
swirIdude | Posted 10/10/2007 10:34:41 PM | message detail
why

The truck have only started to move.
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creativename | Posted 10/10/2007 10:35:27 PM | message detail
I really think that Magus would have beaten Big Boss without that picture. Last time we saw Big Boss he was high end fodder*.

King Morgoth's x-stats for Big Boss in round 1 work out to about 22% (if you give Mario 40%). It seems he increased/benefitted from the format prior to the picture, though the picture was very likely a big deal for him too.
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TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/10/2007 10:36:42 PM | message detail
I can't tell if this is good or bad from Link. The numbers are meh, but if Bidoof really has strength then last round, as well as this one, look quite impressive.
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hochiminh155 | Posted 10/10/2007 10:38:07 PM | message detail
There is nothing good about this performance from Link. Sure, Vincent is sucking too but he isn't the one who is going against the superboosted Cloud in the finals, is he?
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Failure
swirldude has exposed me as a prediction fraud.
creativename | Posted 10/10/2007 10:38:35 PM | message detail
And if Vincent is struggling to beat Bidoof, Ganondorf is screwed against the stronger Mudkip. Plus Ganon has to contend with Luigi SFF

Mudkip beating out Luigi would suck, but I actually think Luigi>Mudkip>Ganon would be very entertaining :) I wouldn't mind seeing that. Though, I think it's pretty much impossible for that to happen.
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YoAriel33 | Posted 10/10/2007 10:40:13 PM | message detail
Mudkip beating out Luigi would suck, but I actually think Luigi>Mudkip>Ganon would be very entertaining :) I wouldn't mind seeing that. Though, I think it's pretty much impossible for that to happen.

Agree on all points except the last. I don't think any of us have much of an idea how the SFF in that match will pan out.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/10/2007 10:41:16 PM | message detail
Don't Vincent and Cloud come from the same game?

Seems to me you were using Vincent's round 1 match to hype up your unlikely upset.

TuRtLe
~~~
133/176 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Vincenzo
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Gaddswell | Posted 10/10/2007 10:42:59 PM | message detail
Doof's starting to collapse!

That Ulti topic on /v/ sure is interesting.
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hochiminh155 | Posted 10/10/2007 10:43:25 PM | message detail
Don't forget Vergil. Being the only real character there might be enough to net him 23-24%. He may not have managed that last round, but he was being LFFed by Ratchet and maybe Thrall. If he can get that percent, he could get 2nd.
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Failure
swirldude has exposed me as a prediction fraud.
Mumei | Posted 10/10/2007 10:44:31 PM | message detail
Super....boosted ... Cloud?

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Keno316 | Posted 10/10/2007 10:45:45 PM | message detail
More updates like that, plz!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Lopen | Posted 10/10/2007 10:46:01 PM | message detail
The votes are still coming in at a higher rate than usual. Bidoof probably hasn't quite run out of resources yet. 5000 votes ahead of yesterday, by the way.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/10/2007 10:46:04 PM | message detail
Everyone in this topic (Incluidng me) thought he'd get 51-53%. He got well over 56%. Yes, superboosted.
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Failure
swirldude has exposed me as a prediction fraud.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/10/2007 10:46:28 PM | message detail
Ver.....Vergil?

lol hochiminh

TuRtLe
~~~
133/176 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Vincenzo
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Lopen | Posted 10/10/2007 10:52:56 PM | message detail
Heh... it's funny to watch his intake just slowly drop. How low does he go once they totally wear off, that's the question. I'm thinkin around 8% updates.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
Mumei | Posted 10/10/2007 10:56:13 PM | message detail
Everyone in this topic (Incluidng me) thought he'd get 51-53%. He got well over 56%. Yes, superboosted

... It wasn't all that surprising, hochi. Predicting percentages in this format for the N9 appears quite hard to pin down, anyway, so the expectations of this topic don't mean that much to me.

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
Seginustemple | Posted 10/10/2007 11:00:08 PM | message detail
Link probably won't hit 50%. He definitley failed to match Cloud.

Are you serious? Cloud faced a bunch of lower midcarders. Link is facing Vincent, one of the higher tier characters, a joke who's stuffed to be on par with Vincent, and Zelda, who would beat Kefka at the least. 43%-44% right now on two characters of Vincents strength alone is impressive.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/10/2007 11:00:42 PM | message detail
So, Ulti is basically daring 4chan to get Mudkip to round 3.

daring 4chan to get Mudkip to round 3

to get Mudkip to round 3

Mudkip to round 3

TuRtLe
~~~
133/176 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Vincenzo
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
HaRRicH | Posted 10/10/2007 11:00:43 PM | message detail
Ulti made a topic at 4chan? What for?
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Lopen | Posted 10/10/2007 11:03:33 PM | message detail
Dammit, Ulti, why couldn't you dare them to get Duke Nukem to round 3?
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/10/2007 11:04:02 PM | message detail
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=38808293

TuRtLe
~~~
133/176 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Vincenzo
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
voltch | Posted 10/10/2007 11:13:30 PM | message detail
what the..bidoof you've gone too far i say,too far!
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hochiminh155 | Posted 10/10/2007 11:13:45 PM | message detail
Vincent is now increasing his percentage at a more rapid pace than Link. I told you Bidoof is what was brining Vincent down
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Failure
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/10/2007 11:14:29 PM | message detail
Nintendo/FF7 SFF confirmed!

Cloud is so screwed!

TuRtLe
~~~
133/176 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Vincenzo
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
ZFS | Posted 10/10/2007 11:14:54 PM | message detail
Ah, this is looking a bit better now. Nice to Vincent increasing pretty rapidly here. No idea how he ends up getting, but it's probably not around 30%.

darn you bidoof

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Haste_2 | Posted 10/10/2007 11:15:54 PM | message detail
Wow... Bidoof. At this point in Round 1 Bidoof had... 21.29% of the vote. Currently Bidoof has... 23.15% of the vote. Also, Bidoof lost about 1.3% in the last hour of today's poll, while in Round 1 Bidoof lost 1.6% between hours 1 and 2. Uh-oh, Bidoof might do better with the day vote, too, hm?

Anyway, I need to bring another thing up as to explain Bidoof's success: there might be lots of voters that are catching on to this fad of voting for joke (Pokemon) characters this time around. Bidoof was the first joke character (CATS aside) to appear in the contest.

Also, I love how Zelda's doing so poorly. I hope it at least gives Ganondorf a little more respect now.

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Keno316 | Posted 10/10/2007 11:17:41 PM | message detail
Hey! Zelda actually reached 8% with that last one.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
transience | Posted 10/10/2007 11:17:50 PM | message detail
Vincent's doing great here. Link's slowing down, which is a bit disappointing but nothing to really worry about. I don't put any stock into matches with joke characters, especially when something crazy happens.
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ZFS | Posted 10/10/2007 11:19:10 PM | message detail
Yeah. I'm not really taking much out of this one either way. Bidoof went and screwed everything up. Gonna be a fun next round, though!

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let's mosey
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/10/2007 11:19:41 PM | message detail
That last update Link actually dropped at Vincent's expense. Crono needs to impress tomorrow... of course, he's facing 2 high end fodder and a mid-carder.
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Hochiminh155's Trail to Failure
swirldude has exposed me as a prediction fraud.
MadGamer_11 | Posted 10/10/2007 11:21:26 PM | message detail
Zero is going to be very interesting in the match tommorow.
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"To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX
Haste_2 | Posted 10/10/2007 11:21:41 PM | message detail
I agree that Vincent is doing a really good job here, when comparing his score to Link's. I'll still favor him over Crono. (let's see how Crono does tomorrow)

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"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/10/2007 11:25:03 PM | message detail
WTF?!

How is Bidoof doing better than last round. augh
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/10/2007 11:25:29 PM | message detail
What does everyone think the %age looks like tomorrow?

I'm thinking Crono with high 30s, Zero about 4-5% below him, and Raiden and HK having an epic battle to see who can suck harder.

TuRtLe
~~~
133/176 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Vincenzo
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
hochiminh155 | Posted 10/10/2007 11:27:03 PM | message detail
Crono: 37%
Zero: 31%
HK-47: 19%
Raiden: 13%

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Hochiminh155's Trail to Failure
swirldude has exposed me as a prediction fraud.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/10/2007 11:28:05 PM | message detail
Nice numbers hochi, but Raiden is just a smidge too high

TuRtLe
~~~
133/176 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Vincenzo
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Lopen | Posted 10/10/2007 11:29:25 PM | message detail
Crono: 37%
Zero: 23%
HK-47: 11%
Raiden: 29%

Believe
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/10/2007 11:29:56 PM | message detail
I'm with Lopen on this one.
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Gaddswell | Posted 10/10/2007 11:31:54 PM | message detail
Hit or Miss Lopen hits again!
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