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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 514

PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/9/2007 7:19:17 PM | message detail
lumpy and lukewarm pretty much sums up my lopen experience.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/9/2007 7:19:25 PM | message detail
oh cool guess i won't be needing this razor then huh
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/9/2007 7:19:29 PM | message detail
uhhh

Peach v. Wario

post-Brawl

gogogo
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
Janus5000 | Posted 10/9/2007 7:19:59 PM | message detail
wario has a more lethal ass, he wins
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
trannyscience | Posted 10/9/2007 7:20:48 PM | message detail
depends on who's HIGHER TIER

oh and if peach develops a fart technique she wins with 999% of the vote
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xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/9/2007 7:21:00 PM | message detail
Peach. I have faith in humanity.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
Lopen | Posted 10/9/2007 7:25:37 PM | message detail
Lumpy and warm might describe the warm compress applied to your head after passing out from the Lopen experience and hitting your head on a book case!!

Not that I'd let that happ...

... what do you know!?

...

Hay guyz about some GAME FUEL?
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
swirIdude | Posted 10/9/2007 7:26:02 PM | message detail
Lady Ashe has faith in humanity.

What a naive fool.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
BDawg | Posted 10/9/2007 7:28:50 PM | message detail
Someday I know Fox will get in a match that doesn't involve SFF or Clinkeroth, and that day he will shine!! Oh but considering Wario gained all night I'd be surprised if he drops below 10% in the last hour.
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Should I start running now?
creativename | Posted 10/9/2007 7:33:46 PM | message detail
Big Boss has transformed into the clear-cut favorite for this match. Few people seem to have faith in Magus here. Hopefully that means we're in store for another surprise and Magus can pull it out (I've never played a Metal Gear game so I have no reason to root for Naked Snake).

The biggest hope for Magus might be that the pic factor impact is diluted here, because there are more characters per picture.

Also, the pic layout for this round sucks.

But Big Boss does deserve to be favored here, though a Magus victory shouldn't be shocking.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
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Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/9/2007 7:37:43 PM | message detail
phoenix gets 13.37% believe
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
trannyscience | Posted 10/9/2007 7:38:53 PM | message detail
I'm not sure what to make of Magus right now. I'd call him a regular midcarder at this point, maybe Rikku level. Big Boss is clearly below that; "Naked Snake" is probably above it. (how high? who knows.. Luigi?) Naked Boss (*shudder*) is somewhere in the middle.
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xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/9/2007 7:42:10 PM | message detail
Naked The Boss? *gulp*
how about naked yuna?
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/9/2007 7:42:19 PM | message detail
Round 2- Division 3 Semifinal B

Previous Matches:


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2873
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2874

Characters Involved:

Mario


The plumber returns after SFFing the utter crap out of Pac-Man. Will he be able to partake in the Noble Nine pissing match of getting over 50%? Perhaps, but I doubt it.

Big Boss

A seemingly impressive match last round that I personally feel was strongly influenced by Mario/Pac SFF. The only argument for him advancing here is his Naked Snake match picture, and Magus disappointing last round.

Magus

Speaking of which, here we have the Character Battles' fallen one. Once a force that achieved 35% on Link, he now struggles to break 30% on Bomberman Phoenix Wright and Crash Bandicoot.

Phoenix Wright

He required one of the most illigitimate rallys of all time to beat out Bomberman. He won't be doing much after the first 10 minutes here.

Predictions:

A complete lock pre-contest, this match has become somewhat debated, with all the factors seemingly lining up for Big Boss to beat out Magus. Chief among these factors is the picture, where for the first time Big Boss will be getting Naked Snake, basically Solid Snake with an eyepatch.

While I think this picture will help, I can't help but feel BB was massively overrated by the Mario/Pac-Man SFF last round. Alarm bells should have went off when he scored higher in that fourpack than he did against Auron alone.

Secondly, Magus must have been at least slightly underrated by the extreme closeness of the Bomberman/Phoenix rivalry.

A lot of people are banking on this crazy upset, and given what we've seen so far in this contest, it's entirely possible, but I just can't see Magus having fallen that far.

TuRtLe's Prediction: Mario 45%, Magus 23%, Big Boss 18%, Phoenix 14%
TuRtLe's Bracket: Mario > Magus
TuRtLe's Vote: Mario

TuRtLe
~~~
119/160 in the contest. Next pick: Sephiroth > Fax
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Master Moltar | Posted 10/9/2007 7:46:11 PM | message detail
Division 3: Round 2 - Match 38 – Mario vs. Big Boss vs. Magus vs. Phoenix Wright

Moltar’s Analysis

Mario
Round 1 – 57.91% vs. Big Boss, Pac-Man and Wander

Mario takes care of business like usual.

Big Boss
Round 1 – 23.00% vs. Mario, Pac-Man and Wander

Thanks to Pac-Man getting stomped, Big Boss easily gets through.

Magus
Round 1 – 30.87% vs. Phoenix, Bomberman and Crash

….What the hell happened to you?

Phoenix
Round 1 – 23.96% vs. Magus, Bomberman and Crash

Squeaks past Bomberman to get to Round 2.

Interesting how most of the tough Round 2 matches turn up to be easier than expected, while the easier ones get tougher. Of course, Mario has no problems here. He won’t benefit like he did Round 1, but he still will perform well against these weak guys.

Before, Magus was a lock to take second. I mean, 35% on Link, beat Ganondorf, this guy isn’t a joke! But then he loses to Knuckles, and now 30% against a group with Phoenix “I lost to Freeman” Wright, Bombaman and Crash “Cool 10 years ago” Bandicoot? what

Now if Magus can only pull that against crap competition, how does he do with Mario and Big Boss instead of Bomberman and Crash? Well, we better hope he holds up damn well, because right now, Big Boss and Phoenix aren’t looking that bad for the upset.

Phoenix shouldn’t fall too hard from last round, thanks to his dedicated group of voters. Big Boss should also hold up well, as we’ve already seen him perform in relation to Mario. Magus is the big question mark here. Does he lose enough support to fall below either Big Boss or Phoenix? I’m going to guess no, but they’re going to come pretty close. At least close enough to give us a scare for a while.

*looks at match pic*

oh wate i mess up

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Mario > Magus

Moltar’s Prediction is: Mario: 45% - Big Boss: 22% - Magus: 19% - Phoenix: 14%



Ultimaterializer’s Analysis

I was pretty much convinced that Mario > Magus was a lock here, but then I saw Big Boss's picture. People are going to vote for that thing based on it looking EXACTLY like Snake, and Magus is in some trouble. Remember, he didn't exactly have the best first round. He needed 30 minutes to take first place from Phoenix, then finished up with a very low vote total for a first place character in this format. If the big upset happens here, people will likely see it coming rather than the Knuckles fiasco.

All I'm convinced of now is that Mario comes in first place Phoenix comes in last place, which is no lock in and of itself. Those Phoenix fans will be ready for this.

Ulti's Prediction:
Mario [51.00%]
Big Boss [20.00%]
Magus [19.00%]
Phoenix Wright [10.00%]



Heroic Mario’s Analysis

UPSET TIME, BABY, BELIEVE!

Big Boss is looking to make a big upset here after an impressive show against Mario last round, and a pic from Portable Ops that makes him look near-identical to Snake. There’s always been some speculation thrown around that Big Boss could be a pretty big force if he would ever get a “Naked Snake” pic, and now is as golden an opportunity as any -- MGS is performing great in this format and his competition for second looked vulnerable in round 1.

Magus isn’t out of it by any means, though. As much flak he gets lately, he’s still miles stronger than either Big Boss or Phoenix, make no mistake. Despite not being the noble nine breaker he was hyped to be, he’s still got plenty of strength to handle these guys. If he wins this match with ease, I wouldn’t be surprised at all.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/9/2007 7:46:32 PM | message detail
As for Phoenix Wright, he’s going to have his time at the start of the poll. Depending on how many people jump onto his bandwagon after he advanced last round, he may have a shot at holding the lead for a little bit, and second place for even longer. Once we start hitting the night vote, though, I expect him to start falling apart to Big Boss and Magus, if he hasn’t already.

The hardcore fanbases for Big Boss, Magus and Phoenix to be out in full force for this match, too -- and that means Mario’s going to feel the hurt, percentage-wise. I have no idea where most people are pegging Mario for tomorrow, but it’s probably high. In all likelihood, this will turn into another Samus-esque show where Mario goes and exceeds most people’s expectations, but I’ll take my chances with something low here!

With that said, I give you an excerpt from the Chrono Trigger retranslation:
Ah, Magus-sama~
Magus-sama~
Shining eyes, windblown hair
Higher than mountains, deeper than seas
However sunny and lonely the day,
If we think of you, we’re not afraid
If you’re there, we’re fine
Ah, Magus-sama~
Magus-sama~
Our savior
Magus-sama~
(Deeep -- win magus win)

Mario – 40%
Big Boss – 23%
Magus – 22%
Phoenix Wright – 15%


Bracket: Mario > Magus
Vote: Big Boss


Yoblazer’s Analysis

What a thrill...
With darkness and silence through the night
What a thrill...
I'm searching and I'll melt into you
What a fear in my heart
But you're so supreme!

I'd give my life
Not for honour, but for you! [Snake Eater]
In my time there'll be no one else
Crime, it's the way I fly to you! [Snake Eater]
I'm still in a dream,
Snake Eater!

Someday you go through the rain
And someday, you feed on a tree frog
This ordeal, the trial to survive
For the day we see new light!

I'd give my life
Not for honour, but for you! [Snake Eater]
In my time there'll be no one else
Crime, it's the way I fly to you! [Snake Eater]
I'm still in a dream,
Snake Eater!

I am still in a dream,
SNAAAAAAAAAAAAAKE EEEEAAAAATEEERRRR!!!!!!!!!

[Snake Eater]

Mario - 42%
Big Boss - 23%
Magus - 20%
Phoenix Wright - 15%



Lopen’s Analysis

Hey, I'd hate to start another match with a shout out to the picture but OH MY GAWD NAKED SNAKE.

Once again, the contest is keepin it real with messages endorsing shroom munching Seems those performance enchancing Russian glowcaps have truly taken their effect now. With this power, he is unstoppable. He'll keep going and going and going... better than any batteries! What, you don't think so? Think of a battery like a bunny.

*Big Boss CQCs the a random pink bunny*
Big Boss: Speak!
Bunny of my own design that happens to be wielding a drum: *BUMF, BUMF, BUMF, BUMF*
Big Boss: Answer me!
Totally original bunny that happens to be pink: *BUMF, BUMF, BUMF, BUMF*

Bass drums, they go bumf. Trust me! Big Boss got pissed right about here. Now I'm not gonna say he killed the bunny, that would be savage and totally mean to bunnies. Now he might've tranquilized it to eat later. Might have. We can't really say. What does all this mean? Well think of Phoenix Wright and Magus like pink bunnies with drums. One of the pink bunnies like to point dramatically and slam its drum really hard from time to time, one is too busy talking about the black wind howling to get anywhere in this match.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/9/2007 7:46:59 PM | message detail
Off-topic, but GameFAQs actually endorsed an ignore-user feature? Wow...might have to try it out if the stats topics gets crazy like last year.
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PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580
Master Moltar | Posted 10/9/2007 7:47:28 PM | message detail
Now, bunny related rambling aside... if I was absolutely certain that Big Boss would get to round 2, I was going to take this upset and gamble that Big Boss would get a picture like this and take him for the win here. But I didn't. But I'm well prepared to lose four points here. Do I think he'll be an absolute beast? No, not really. Crazy picture powahs or not, the name still says Big Boss. Does he need to be? No, not really. Frankly, Magus looked like crap last round, and I have my doubts that he'll even outdo Phoenix Wright. In fact, I'm going to gamble that he doesn't now that we have two people stronger than Magus here. Both their votes will be siphoned, but I think PW has the hardcore fanbase that'll keep him from losing terribly more than he did last match.

Yeap. Magus for last. Hahaha... HAHAHA.

Lopen's Prediction:
Mushroom munchin Mario - 41.55%
Glowcap munchin Big Boss - 23.45%
Phoenix Wright - 17.86% (let's see you hold first over Mario for the first update! Believe)
Magus - 17.14% (Of course there's always the chance Big Boss isn't too crazy powerful and you win anyway. We'll see!)



Karma Hunter’s Analysis

Well, today's match seems to be pretty dull (outside of the fact that it houses the most awesomeness contained in one pack so far), so there doesn't seem to be much to talk about. Mario wins, and

HOLD IT!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-38.jpg

WARNING


eRROR pARSING mEMCACHE

WARNING

WALL OF TEXT INCOMING

WARNING

PREPARE FOR THE VOID

WARNING

OBJECTION! AND SUCH


...

...

...

/reboot

/run program aww yeah


Mario
Placing Last Round: 1st, 57.91% of the vote

The icon of video gaming is back on his Power Trip to his inevitable showdown with Sephiroth. After what GameFAQs' favorite bishie is pulling today, though, it's gonna take a miracle and one hell of a performance to put him back in the running. And frankly the former seems more likely than the latter, what with...

Big Boss
Placing Last Round: 2nd, 23.00% of the vote

Perhaps there are some that do not understand Big Boss, passing over him as perceived bottom-feeder fodder that only squeaked through last round due to Mario/Pac-Man SFF.

These people are Satanists. For particular... reasons, let's return to Big Boss after examining the rest of his competition.

Magus
Placing Last Round: 1st, 30.87% of the vote

what in the blue hell happened here

Chrono Trigger was supposed to be beastly in this format.
Magus, THE fan-favorite of Chrono Trigger, was supposed to be even more dominating.

Well, Crono couldn't break 50% on his pack of chumps.
Frog needed blatant cheating to overcome friggin' Axel and got blown the hell out by Scorpion.
And Magus? Magus?

Unable to break 31% against Phoenix Wright, Bomberman, and Crash Bandicoot.
Losing to Phoenix Wright for 25 minutes.
And speaking of Phoenix, when you just take their votes and compare them directly? Magus wins with just over a 56% margin. Y'know... significantly worse than Gordon Freeman, in other words.

And yet he still looked to be safe. With such a weak pack, how could he be denied his first trip to Round 3 in four years? Well...

PHOENIX WRIGHT
Placing Last Round: 2nd, 23.96%

The Guru favorite to advance in his pack last round, but you'd never know it looking at the board.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/9/2007 7:48:01 PM | message detail
Phoenix Wright is a phenomenon. A hero of the board, the one man to end GFNW (heck, Gordon managed to lose to Duke Nukem this year), he who shares with L-Block the most dominant Power Hour in these contests. With all that (and a niche/cult fanbase of his adventure games), Phoenix managed to stage the impossible and... beat Bomberman.

Okay, so he's weak, and it likely took a heaping dose of shenanigans to get PW to pull through all the way. But he's here! And you've even got to give him a small shot at upsetting here - sure, he was 7% lower than Magus last round, but with freaking Mario there and Magus perhaps being disproportionately hurt by him as compared to Phoenix, his chances looked slim but possible. And he's got MY vote!

But... um... well...

Oh, yeah! Him.

BIG ****ING BOSS

Most people do not primarily know Big Boss by the name 'Big Boss'. To most, he goes by a much more recognizable name:

Snake.

Naked Snake, to be specific. The protagonist of Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater and Metal Gear Solid: Portable Ops, Naked Snake is perhaps THE most important figure in all of MGS. But don't take my word for it, just look at the words from THIS brilliant spokesman's essay!: http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/bigboss.htm

<_<

For those not interested in loquacious awesomeness, suffice to say that Big Boss - Naked Snake - produced a few clones. One being SOLID SNAKE, star of 2k6, slayer of Sephiroth, and a part of the as of yet untouchable Noble Nine. It might also interest you that as far as physical designs go, Solid and his father are virtually identical. 'Cept Naked sports a cool eyepatch. :D

Up to now, however, Big Boss has always been stuck with pictures representing him as an old man - the form where he appeared in such juggernauts of games as Metal Gear and Metal Gear 2: Solid Snake (the latter not even being released in the United States until just recently with MGS3: Subsistence). Considering that Naked Snake is called Big Boss very few times in MGS3, where he gets most of his strength, it's hard for many casual voters to make the connection.

Until http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-38.jpg, of course.

Let's face it, MGS characters have shown to wildly fluctuate in the past based on pictures. They've got weird and almost downright unrecognizable melting official art, wacky sprites, and tend to get hit even in the most favorable circumstances. People have brought up Raiden's MGS4 picture as reasoning for his disappointing Fisher performance. Ocelot did as well on Nemesis as he did on Dr. Wily, and many believe the differences between his old man (Nemesis) and young (Wily) pictures played a huge factor in that. He looked like an unrecognizable blob against Pac-Man, and got upset. Are there people that dispute this picture factor? Of course! - and these are the same people who have constantly downplayed Snake's terrible sprite performances against Frog, Bowser, and Yoshi - who are all massively overrated in those respective years, of course. Still coincidences/flukes? WHY NOT!? - I still see people trying to justify that Yoshi performance as legit today (huzzah for this format!).

The point is that the naysayers are the ones that never give MGS any credit in the first place (it attracts almost as much hate as love, is the not-so-well-kept secret here). Me, though? I give MGS credit whenever I can. And for balance here, I'm gonna give you my strictly partisan interpretation ^_^:
Master Moltar | Posted 10/9/2007 7:48:56 PM | message detail
Big Boss wins. The doubters are ridiculous, uncomprehending anti-fanboys who never vote for MGS in the first place, and don't have the slightest grasp of how popular Naked Snake is. Among the core fanbase, he outright challenges Solid Snake for dominance as the most popular character (as the Solid series goes he stars in as many games!). For those who haven't played MGS3/don't make the connection, he serves as a Solid Snake proxy. This is the best picture he could have ever hoped for, in the best situation he could have ever hoped for. There's no excuse for him not to win tomorrow. And he WILL win.

Book it, bank it, take it to the pawn shop and ask for a weekly advance. And pick up MGS3: Subsistence with that paycheck while you're at it.

Karma Hunter's Vote: PHOENIX WRIGHT YOU JUST DON'T UNDERSTAND THE PASSIONATE RELATIONSHIP HE AND I SHARE
Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Big Boss with 55%, Mario with 25%, Phoenix Wright with 20%, Magus with 0%

Pretty obvious, I think. NEXT

...okay, fine.

Karma Hunter's Much More BORING Yet Slightly More Realistic Prediction: Mario with 42.5%, Big Boss with 25%, Magus with 17%, Phoenix Wright with 15.5%

I will hurt you

Upset Probability: 0%

We give no quarter.

We offer no surrender.

Life's End... Beautiful, isn't it?

Where did you learn it? From my mentor.

That's one of the rules of being a lawyer my mentor taught me!


You're a wonderful man... Kill me...

The only time a man can cry is when it's all over.



Transience’s Analysis

this is one of my most anticipated matches of all time. has there ever been a more unpredictable match?

Big Boss

NAKED. SNAKE.
this guy's range is absolutely ludicrous right now. based on 2k5 stats, Big Boss is fodder. based on his first match, Big Boss looked like a decent midcarder, putting up almost as much against Mario, Pac Man and Wander as he did Auron. this led some people to theorize that maybe Big Boss was SFFed by Auron -- he did *that* well.

now add in Naked Snake. what happens here? god only knows. this might be the single greatest "picture advantage" we've ever seen -- I mean, there were talks of Big Boss > Auron and Ganondorf in 2005 based SOLELY on the idea of him getting a Naked Snake picture. it's very possible that he functions as a "Snake proxy" and absolutely destroys the competition. the only time this has ever happened to my knowledge was in 2003, when Shadow acted as a Sonic proxy to Mario and picked up a miraculous 45% of the vote. after seeing his performance yesterday, that has to be one of the great flukes of all time. anyway, I believe that Naked Snake is by FAR the second strongest Metal Gear Solid character. it shouldn't even be close. the question is if the name "Big Boss" will throw people off or not.

but, I mean, look at that picture. that's Solid goddamn Snake. he's even pointing at you. that has to scare you if you don't have Big Boss in your bracket, and quite honestly, the only reason you would pick Big Boss is if he got a Naked Snake picture. well, here it is.

Mario

Mario would probably win this match even if he was against Solid Snake. he's by far the most unique character here, he oozes iconicness and mainstream appeal while the other three are niche characters with different fanbases. his percentage here is utterly unpredictable though, mostly due to his competition.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/9/2007 7:49:19 PM | message detail
Magus

once touted as a Noble Nine killer thanks to him getting a higher percentage on Link than Sonic got on Cloud, Magus has been exposed time and again as maybe the most overrated character in contest history. his loss to Knuckles in 2005 is arguably the biggest board upset of all time and he couldn't even manage 30% on Bomberman, Phoenix Wright and Crash Bandicoot. from 35% on Link to 29% on two third-rate icons and the biggest cult character in contest history -- not very encouraging.

oh, and he's up against NAKED SNAKE. as if he needed more bad luck.

Phoenix Wright

the single greatest character to watch in a contest. the Phoenix Wright Power Hour last round was easily my favourite moment in this contest, if not contest history (SUCK IT MAGUS). Phoenix Wright might just have the most dedicated fans of any character in this contest. if this is true, he could very well get 20% again, and with Mario in the poll to suck up a ton of votes, who knows? maybe that'll be enough. it's highly, highly unlikely though. but still, he's the ultimate underdog and his first 60 minutes is an absolute treat to watch. can he hold the lead over friggin' Mario? only time will tell there.

so.. what happens here? hell if I know! it's tough to feel confident in Magus right now. 29% was just pathetic, one of the worst performances in round 1. I think Phoenix Wright hurts him in this format -- I bet most people who vote Phoenix would normally vote Magus. they just seem like two niche guys that would have similar fans to me. usually this would lead to Phoenix underperforming, but his fanbase is so dedicated that it's more like "rSFF". add in Naked Snake, Mario and that horrid picture and you've got a guy who could very well end up in fourth place. or he could come in second place easily, as he's the only character of the three who is definitely not fodder. who knows?

Naked Snake throws a huge monkey wrench into this whole match. I'm going to back him here, but I feel like I'm overreacting to a stupid picture. that said, you can't look at that picture without saying "holy crap, that's Solid Snake." if this were the old Magus I pick him with confidence, but as it is, I'll go against my bracket and roll the dice with the sexiest bandwagon upset pick I can remember. I want to *really* roll the dice and pick Phoenix here, but I think some of his votes will be negated due to BRACKETS and due to people believing he doesn't have much of a chance. if Mario can get 45% or so in this match, who knows? that 20% could hold up. it's really, really unlikely though.

WOO PHOENIX

Naked Snake? ohhh crap
Magus never gets a break
a picture beats him

transience's prediction: Mario with 37.88%, Big Boss with 24.34%, Magus with 22.51%, Phoenix Wright with 15.27%



Guest’s Analysis - Luis_Sera89

AUGH at the last two days results. Maybe I should start having Link as my favourite character or something, then I’d never be let down by those silly GameFAQs voters!
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/9/2007 7:49:51 PM | message detail
HaRR I'm ignoring you for interrupting Moltar's posts.

owned

oh god
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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
Master Moltar | Posted 10/9/2007 7:49:59 PM | message detail
But anyway, to the present, and potentially the best match of Round 2 (HINT: Probably not) But regardless, it has Phoenix in it, which is always better than nothing. Going into this match, the big news is whether we can see an upset over Magus that would eclipse Knuckles’ win, perhaps not in shock but certainly in embarrassment, with this year’s contender being Big Boss. This coming after Big Boss joined a host of MGS characters enjoying the format with a fine second place behind Mario in Round 1, and Magus taking half an hour to take the lead from Phoenix Wright, on his way to a mighty 30% against such powerhouses as said lawyer, Crash Bandicoot and Bomberman. To put that into perspective, Big Boss managed a round 23% against Mario, Pac-Man and Wander. Admittedly, any of the 7 in these 2 four packs beats Wander, and that was a mightily SFFed Pac, but Mario remains no joke whatsoever, and surrendering 60% of the vote to those vicious beats of the Character Battle setting like Magus did, isn’t what a supposed high midcarder should be doing.

And even disregarding pretty strong evidence like that, gasoline has been poured over this raging fire with the news that Big Boss has gotten the Naked Snake picture that’s deserted him in his last 2 matches. So who wins, Magus or Snake lite?

I doubt I’m the only one going with the ‘upset’ here. In fact it wouldn’t surprise me in the least to see the crew favour Big Boss over Magus here. As far as BB’s concerned “Everything’s coming up Milhouse!” for this match. An even belower-par Magus than could possibly have been expected so far this contest, no-one to leech votes, and it’s hard to see Magus gaining any more votes than he already had from Phoenix or Mario. In fact Mario might be doing his own number on Magus and do some siphoning of his own. That and the MGS fans are really out in force this year. Something tells me Magus is still going to eek one out, but the opportunitys too good to miss.

Oh yeah, and apparently there’s two other people in this match. Mario will win, and comfortably at that. He wont quite be getting 58% again, but he’ll be pushing for 50. I’d say he’ll get around 47. Phoenix will likely lose a little support this time around. He wont be so madly rallied for in this match with last place almost a certainty, and he could potentially lose a little of his DS support to Mr. Nintendo there. I’ve got him pegged in the low teens, as I still wager that the majority of people who voted for him before will no doubt do so again. And for what its worth he’ll have the lead for a few minutes again.

But this match, like so many others, is about the two duking it out for second, and silly though it may seem, I’ve got the picture swinging this one, and how. Naked Snake could be a whole different beast to Big Boss. For all I know I could be undershooting him by 10% or something! Who’d have thought that in that little period after a heavy loss to Auron?

Mario – 47.1%
Big Boss – 21.7%
Magus – 18.2%
Phoenix – 13%



Crew Consensus: So Mario takes first and Big Boss is the favorite to advance over Magus.

...

So Mario takes first and Big Boss is the favorite to advance over Magus.

Big Boss is the favorite to advance over Magus.

Big Boss to advance over Magus.

Big Boss over Magus.

what
trannyscience | Posted 10/9/2007 7:50:42 PM | message detail
the ignore feature is awesome, it's like the person doesn't exist. highly recommended for select users!
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xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
Janus5000 | Posted 10/9/2007 7:51:06 PM | message detail
wtf the entire crew fails
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/9/2007 7:52:15 PM | message detail
Fails with style!
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/9/2007 7:53:52 PM | message detail
I can't see EC telling me I'm ignored because I ignored him first. Owned.


Turning on PW for my first time ever, hope it's awesome.
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PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
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Master Moltar | Posted 10/9/2007 7:54:04 PM | message detail
You won't be saying that in a few hours!!
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Mario/Big Boss/Magus/Phoenix - Bracket: Mario > Magus - Vote: Big Boss (143/168)
trannyscience | Posted 10/9/2007 7:55:28 PM | message detail
be warned - it takes PW a while to get going, and the first case is basically a throwaway. still fun, but you won't get a feel for the fanaticism we're going to be showing in 65 minutes!
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xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
Janus5000 | Posted 10/9/2007 7:57:22 PM | message detail
even if you're right I still say you all fail on principle

as do most of the voters

not that I should really talk since I still haven't opened the copy of MGS3 I've had for almost two years... or maybe it was three...
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
HaRRicH | Posted 10/9/2007 7:57:45 PM | message detail
My name is Phoenix Wright. Here's the story:

awww damn
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PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
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swirIdude | Posted 10/9/2007 7:58:22 PM | message detail
When something smells, it's usually the Butz.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
HaRRicH | Posted 10/9/2007 7:59:09 PM | message detail
get out of my game goooooooooood
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PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/9/2007 8:00:21 PM | message detail
Wow remember when Magus used to be the most popular character on board 8.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 37: Sephiroth > Peach Points: 113/160
trannyscience | Posted 10/9/2007 8:01:09 PM | message detail
I like Magus!

but if I picked based on favouritism I'd have like a 46 bracket
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xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/9/2007 8:03:39 PM | message detail
I like Magus as well, quite a lot actually! He just got hit with my favorite pack of the contest, preference-wise - EVERY character here is elite in my eyes.
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
ZFS | Posted 10/9/2007 8:03:46 PM | message detail
Phoenix Wright is the new Magus around here!

Magus is cool, though -- he's just up against two other great characters!

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let's mosey
trannyscience | Posted 10/9/2007 8:04:23 PM | message detail
haha this coming from Heroic Mario

Heroic Cutthroat Bill more like
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xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/9/2007 8:04:51 PM | message detail
The good thing about PW is that we set our expectations low and hope for the turnabout!

No jumping off the bandwagon caused by the catalyst of losing to Knuckles, no sirree!
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
ZFS | Posted 10/9/2007 8:05:04 PM | message detail
aww yeah

new account time baby

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let's mosey
swirIdude | Posted 10/9/2007 8:05:56 PM | message detail
Magus - 50.01%
Sonic - 49.99%

BELIEVE
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
trannyscience | Posted 10/9/2007 8:06:30 PM | message detail
oh, and I can't wait to see Mario come daytime. Chrono Trigger, Metal Gear Solid and Phoenix Wright -- aww yeah.
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xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
swirIdude | Posted 10/9/2007 8:07:32 PM | message detail
WHAT IS MARIO DOING WITH THAT CHAIR? IT'S A DAMN SCREWJOB BAH GAWD!
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
HaRRicH | Posted 10/9/2007 8:08:37 PM | message detail
That question is irrelevant to this case!

Phoenix pointing for his first time, bay-bee!
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swirIdude | Posted 10/9/2007 8:09:17 PM | message detail
That lying cheating she-dog!
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
therealmnm | Posted 10/9/2007 8:10:40 PM | message detail
yuck stats topic phoenix wright fanboyism

*leaves*
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Currently playing: Call of Duty 2, Maverick Hunter X, Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Dead Rising, Tomb Raider Legend
swirIdude | Posted 10/9/2007 8:10:59 PM | message detail
GOOD! GO AWAY!
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/9/2007 8:11:19 PM | message detail
No one cares, but Sephiroth broke 57%! Go go Wario, go below 10%! You know you can do it!
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/9/2007 8:12:53 PM | message detail
lol entire crew takes Mario>BB

They should be taking Phoenix>Mario
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
swirIdude | Posted 10/9/2007 8:14:03 PM | message detail
APPROVED!
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
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